Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 25, issue 10
Articles | Volume 25, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4135-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4135-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 25, issue 10
Research article
 | 
24 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 24 Oct 2025

Temporal persistence of postfire flood hazards under present and future climate conditions in southern Arizona, USA

Tao Liu, Luke A. McGuire, Ann M. Youberg, Charles J. Abolt, and Adam L. Atchley

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Short summary
Wildfires increase flood risk by making it harder for soil to absorb water. We studied how this risk changes over time as the landscape recovers and how it will be affected by more intense rainfall due to climate change. Using a computer model of a burned watershed in Arizona, we found that while the soil's ability to soak up water recovers over a few years, future rainfall is predicted to be so intense that the period of high flood danger will last longer, making severe floods much more common.
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