Articles | Volume 24, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-29-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-29-2024
Research article
 | 
10 Jan 2024
Research article |  | 10 Jan 2024

Compound flood impacts from Hurricane Sandy on New York City in climate-driven storylines

Henrique M. D. Goulart, Irene Benito Lazaro, Linda van Garderen, Karin van der Wiel, Dewi Le Bars, Elco Koks, and Bart van den Hurk

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Cited articles

Aerts, J. C., Botzen, W. J., de Moel, H., and Bowman, M.: Cost estimates for flood resilience and protection strategies in New York City, Ann. NY Acad. Sci., 1294, 1–104, https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.12200, 2013. a
Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W. J. W., Emanuel, K., Lin, N., de Moel, H., and Michel-Kerjan, E. O.: Evaluating Flood Resilience Strategies for Coastal Megacities, Science, 344, 473–475, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1248222, 2014. a
Amante, C. J., Love, M., Carignan, K., Sutherland, M. G., MacFerrin, M., and Lim, E.: Continuously Updated Digital Elevation Models (CUDEMs) to Support Coastal Inundation Modeling, Remote Sensing, 15, 1702, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15061702, 2023. a
Baatsen, M., Haarsma, R. J., Delden, A. J. V., and de Vries, H.: Severe Autumn storms in future Western Europe with a warmer Atlantic Ocean, Clim. Dynam., 45, 949–964, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2329-8, 2015. a
Bartholomeus, R. P., van der Wiel, K., van Loon, A. F., van Huijgevoort, M. H., van Vliet, M. T., Mens, M., Muurling-van Geffen, S., Wanders, N., and Pot, W.: Managing water across the flood–drought spectrum: Experiences from and challenges for the Netherlands, Cambridge Prisms: Water, 1, e2, https://doi.org/10.1017/wat.2023.4, 2023. a, b
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We explore how Hurricane Sandy (2012) could flood New York City under different scenarios, including climate change and internal variability. We find that sea level rise can quadruple coastal flood volumes, while changes in Sandy's landfall location can double flood volumes. Our results show the need for diverse scenarios that include climate change and internal variability and for integrating climate information into a modelling framework, offering insights for high-impact event assessments.
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