I thank the authors for their consideration of my and my fellow reviewers’ comments. I feel that the paper has become significantly sharper and improved a lot. I found the narrative and ‘red thread’ much easier to follow, and I believe that by reducing the papers objectives, it now does not aim to present too much work. The introduction, while I feel still needs some adjustments, is more focused and the research gap comes out more clearly. The setting the scene is now a much more appropriate length and to the point, providing enough and relevant information. The methodology is now clearer and the results are presented more strongly by reducing the number of tables and figures. This discussion has improved. I still feel the paper needs another round of revisions before it can be published in NESS. Find below my comments on specific sections.
Abstract
‘Within multi-hazards, both the impacts of hazards and the mitigation strategies can augment vulnerabilities, adding layers to the complexity of multi-risk assessments.’ - This statement is also true in a single hazard context, additionally, what is meant by within multi-hazards? Suggest to change to ‘in a multi-hazard context’
Introduction
‘Given the increased frequency of co-occurrent or cascading hazards, vulnerability consolidated its key position in multi-risk analysis because the impact of multiple hazards and adaptive strategies reshaped its spatial and temporal dynamics.’ – This is a rather strange formulation, as vulnerability is already key in single risk analysis. I also do not fully understand what is meant by impacts and adaptation reshaping spatial and temporal dynamics of vulnerability. This needs unpacking.
I would also adjust the language in the introduction as its currently framed as if vulnerability itself has consolidated its position or done something, it should be written in the third person.
Review use non-scientific language including words and phrases throughout the paper such as ‘tall order’, ‘conundrum’, ‘hot topic’ ‘dwells on impact chains’
Lines 113 – 114: ‘Such efforts are vital for elaborating post pandemic update risk management plans’ – Remove ‘Update’
The paragraph between lines 120 – 130 is more of a conclusion to your work and should not be in the introduction.
Setting the scene
The opening sentence here (lines 133 – 135) is not well places and should be shifted down to a more appropriate position
Figure 1 has merit and is interesting to show, however can the formatting/ size be adjusted so it is larger and more clear?
Methodology
Lines 286 - 288: “This approach aligns with Zebisch et al. (2021) recommendation that the “relatively linear and sectorial approach of impact chains could be widened to impact webs, which would include feedback relations and cross-connections.” - Suggest to include the following citation for this statement: Sparkes. E., Hagenlocher, M., Cotti, D. et al. (2023). Understanding and characterizing complex risks with Impact Webs: a guidance document. UNU-EHS, Bonn, Germany
Line 313 + Figure 3: What are on-point examples? It would be helpful to explain this
Line 335: ‘Cumulatively, the Impact Chain drew from 46 scientific papers (including one on the feedback of first responders), one legislative document, one official press release, one Eurostat statistical dataset, 6 official reports, and 75 news reports.’ – it also drew on the feedback from 595 first responders as well didn’t it? I would include this knowledge source in this sentence as well, as it is very important
Lines 411-412: “Within the new conceptual framework of the enhanced Impact Chain (Figure 4), certain augmented vulnerabilities stand out also as impacts that deepen the impact that increased the vulnerability in the first place” – this sentence is hard to understand, how is an augmented vulnerability also an impact that deepened an impact that increased the initial vulnerability? Are you talking about feedback effects here? How is the ‘sharpens’ connection different from a feedback effect. I suggest to review the paragraph on lines 411 – 419 and rewrite so as it is more clear and understandable.
I feel it would be good to distinguish somewhere how you classified something as an impact and something as a vulnerability, as in the results I feel there is some overlap between the two. This would help the reader with clarification of statements on line 627 such as “When augmented, certain vulnerabilities act like impacts and reinforce the impact that increased the vulnerability in the first place.”
Results
Lines 442 – 445: “This section focuses on the augmentation of vulnerability stemming from certain flood or pandemic impacts and of the adaptation options implemented to mitigate vulnerabilities and/or impacts” – Here you separate flood and pandemic impacts, but in the problem statement you say you are looking at co-occurring and compounding impacts.
Lines 557 – 559: “Most of the vulnerabilities contribute to prominent multi-hazard impacts such as the flooded/damaged houses or households, the flooded/damaged/blocked roads, the displaced/(self-) evacuated people, increased stress or anxiety, and the potential increase in COVID-19 new cases” – these are not all multi-hazard impacts, the first three are flood hazard impacts, increased stress/ anxiety could be considered multi-hazard, and increase in COVID-19 cases multi-hazard if you are explicit in saying flooding resulting in less social distancing, resulting in increased COVID cases, in which case it would be a cascading impact of flooding. I suggest you review here.
Line 575: “When it comes to adaptation options, only 30.76% of the vulnerabilities were mitigated by such elements” – Do you mean adaptation options mitigated the effects/ were targeted to 30% of the vulnerabilities identified in the Impact Chain?
I do not think its necessary to present percentiles to two decimal places, e.g.: “, 27.77% to the COVID-19 pandemic, and 22.22% to both hazards.” Consider just saying 28% and 22%, and integrate this throughout.
Lines 629 – 634: “Some vulnerabilities were transformed into derived impacts more than once underwent multiple transformations into derived impacts, resulting in a larger number of cases where the augmentation of a vulnerability created a derived impacts (15 cases), compared to the number of actual derived impacts (9) in the chain. The explanation lies in the fact that multiple impacts can augment the same vulnerability, creating also a derived impact that reinforce the impact that generated the augmentation.” – I find this formulation very hard to understand and convoluted. I strongly suggest to look throughout the paper again when describing this effect/ phenomenon you have observed in your results and explain it in another way that is more clear and easy to understand.
Line 685: “while the low-performance medical system is specific to the pandemic” – Is it? The medical system would have also been put under strain from those injured from floods, suggest to be specific here if talking about performance for COVID-19 treatment
Line 681: “with the goal of pinpointing those vulnerabilities expected to experience the most substantial increase” – I am still struggling here to see how your statistical analysis can be used as a projection for expected future increase. When you say increase, do you mean those vulnerabilities that were most influenced by the past event of an extreme flood co-occurring with the COVID-19 pandemic, which can then point to where risk management and preventative interventions should be targeted for future? I feel this framing would better suit what you are showing with your work.
Discussion
“Interest in vulnerability dynamics has surfaced since 2020 0, and discussions have remained at a theoretical level (de Ruiter and Van Loon 2022), with no case study up to date.” – This is incorrect, there has been interest in vulnerability dynamics for a far longer time that 4 years, and many case studies on it.
“This improved version of the chain” – I would strongly avoid using this kind of framing, your adjustments to the Impact Chain method are relevant for your own work and research context here, they do not necessarily improve impact chains per se. This very much depends on what you want to achieve.
“The dual functionality highlights the capability of the methodological framework to account for both changes in vulnerability and the intricacies of multi-hazard impacts” – What do you mean by intricacies of multi-hazard impacts? Interconnectivity?
“Finally, the paper provides a limited view on the dynamics of vulnerability, relying only on two temporal pictures captured by the initial Impact Chain and the enhanced version of it.” – Unless I am misunderstanding, in your results do you not suggest that the enhanced impact chain can show vulnerabilities expected to experience the most substantial increase, thus as a predictive tool? If I have grasped this correctly your limitations contradict your results here.
I also feel a deeper reflection on the limitations of your methodological, in particularly your classifications of vulnerabilities and impacts, and your statistical analysis to rank vulnerabilities would be more appropriate in section 5.3. rather than reflecting mostly on data limitations. |