Articles | Volume 24, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1303-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1303-2024
Research article
 | 
17 Apr 2024
Research article |  | 17 Apr 2024

Factors of influence on flood risk perceptions related to Hurricane Dorian: an assessment of heuristics, time dynamics, and accuracy of risk perceptions

Laurine A. de Wolf, Peter J. Robinson, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Jantsje M. Mol, and Jeffrey Czajkowski

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Cited articles

Ahmed, M. A., Haynes, K., Tofa, M., Hope, G., and Taylor, M.: Duty or safety? Exploring emergency service personnel's perceptions of risk and decision-making when driving through floodwater, Progress in Disaster Science, 5, 100068, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2020.100068, 2020. 
Baker, J., Shaw, W. D., Riddel, M., and Woodward, R. T.: Changes in subjective risks of hurricanes as time passes: Analysis of a sample of Katrina evacuees, J. Risk. Res., 12, 59–74, 2009. 
Basolo, V., Steinberg, L. J., Burby, R. J., Levine, J., Cruz, A. M., and Huang, C.: The effects of confidence in government and information on perceived and actual preparedness for disasters, Environ. Behav., 41, 338–364, 2009. 
Basolo, V., Steinberg, L. J., and Gant, S.: Hurricane threat in Florida: examining household perceptions, beliefs, and actions, Environ. Hazards-UK, 16, 253–275, 2017. 
Bicchieri, C. and Dimant, E.: Nudging with care: The risks and benefits of social information, Public Choice, 191, 443–464, 2022. 
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Short summary
An understanding of flood risk perceptions may aid in improving flood risk communication. We conducted a survey among 871 coastal residents in Florida who were threatened to be flooded by Hurricane Dorian. Part of the original sample was resurveyed after Dorian failed to make landfall to investigate changes in risk perception. We find a strong influence of previous flood experience and social norms on flood risk perceptions. Furthermore, flood risk perceptions declined after the near-miss event.
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