Articles | Volume 23, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2365-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2365-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Jun 2023
Research article |
| 28 Jun 2023
| 28 Jun 2023
Propagation from meteorological to hydrological drought in the Horn of Africa using both standardized and threshold-based indices
Rhoda A. Odongo
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Hans De Moel
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Anne F. Van Loon
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
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Cited
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Hydrologic Extremes in a Changing Climate: a Review of Extremes in East Africa M. Taye & E. Dyer 10.1007/s40641-024-00193-9
- Assessment of Hydrological and Meteorological Composite Drought Characteristics Based on Baseflow and Precipitation S. Huang et al. 10.3390/w16111466
- Evaluating the standardized and threshold based drought indices for historical drought detection in the Great Ruaha River Basin, Tanzania E. Mukama et al. 10.1007/s11069-025-07279-z
- Linking reported drought impacts with drought indices, water scarcity and aridity: the case of Kenya M. Lam et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2915-2023
- Analysis of the Propagation Characteristics of Meteorological Drought to Hydrological Drought and Their Joint Effects on Low-Flow Drought Variability in the Oum Er Rbia Watershed, Morocco I. Houmma et al. 10.3390/rs17020281
- From indices to impacts using environmental and socio-economic clustering in Kenya R. Odongo et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102269
- Drought impacts and community adaptation: Perspectives on the 2020–2023 drought in East Africa R. Odongo et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105309
- Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems A. Van Loon et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024
- Agricultural Drought Dynamics With Satellite Soil Moisture and Impacts on Crop Loss in China During 2003–2022 Y. Gu et al. 10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3572312
- Characterization of the recent (2019–2022) La Plata Basin hydrological drought from a centennial-scale perspective J. Rivera 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.02.002
- Spatiotemporal analysis of drought characteristics across multiple timescales in the upper Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia M. Alemu et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05667-w
- Multidecadal changes in hydrological droughts across Sub-Saharan Africa D. Peña-Angulo et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102595
- Impact of Hydroclimatic Changes on Water Security in the Cantareira Water Production System, Brazil J. Tercini & A. Mello Júnior 10.3390/atmos14121836
- Characteristics, prediction model and driving mechanism of multidimensional daily scale propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought in Guangxi, China Y. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134233
- Technical note: What does the Standardized Streamflow Index actually reflect? Insights and implications for hydrological drought analysis F. Lema et al. 10.5194/hess-29-1981-2025
- Assessing the Flood and Drought Regulation Capacity of Dams in a Changing Climate: An Application to the Largest Hydropower Dam in Africa T. Abraham et al. 10.1007/s41748-025-00815-8
- Drought propagation in high-latitude catchments: insights from a 60-year analysis using standardized indices C. Teutschbein et al. 10.5194/nhess-25-2541-2025
- Spatiotemporal analysis of compound droughts and heat waves in the Horn of Africa A. Alasow et al. 10.1002/joc.8595
- Quantifying Sahel Runoff Sensitivity to Climate Variability, Soil Moisture and Vegetation Changes Using Analytical Methods E. Nkiaka et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00464-3
- Spatiotemporal analysis of soil moisture drought in the Horn of Africa A. Alasow et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-05052-z
- Long-term hydrological drought monitoring and trend analysis in Blue Nile River basin K. Tareke 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e41161
- Drought Quantification in Africa Using Remote Sensing, Gaussian Kernel, and Machine Learning F. Sseguya & K. Jun 10.3390/w16182656
- Building a framework for a synoptic overview of drought A. Di Paola et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177949
- The inclusion of time-lag response reveals contrasting effects of meteorological and agricultural drought on agroecosystem water use efficiency in Africa X. Guo et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134346
- How could climate change affect the magnitude, duration and frequency of hydrological droughts and floods in West Africa during the 21st century? A storyline approach J. Ekolu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133482
- Unveiling Asymptotic Behavior in Precipitation Time Series: A GARCH-Based Second Order Semi-Parametric Autocorrelation Framework for Drought Monitoring in the Semi-Arid Region of India N. Choudhari et al. 10.3390/hydrology12100254
- Investigating Whether the Ensemble Average of Multi-Global-Climate-Models Can Necessarily Better Project Seasonal Drought Conditions in China J. Liu et al. 10.3390/atmos14091408
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Hydrologic Extremes in a Changing Climate: a Review of Extremes in East Africa M. Taye & E. Dyer 10.1007/s40641-024-00193-9
- Assessment of Hydrological and Meteorological Composite Drought Characteristics Based on Baseflow and Precipitation S. Huang et al. 10.3390/w16111466
- Evaluating the standardized and threshold based drought indices for historical drought detection in the Great Ruaha River Basin, Tanzania E. Mukama et al. 10.1007/s11069-025-07279-z
- Linking reported drought impacts with drought indices, water scarcity and aridity: the case of Kenya M. Lam et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2915-2023
- Analysis of the Propagation Characteristics of Meteorological Drought to Hydrological Drought and Their Joint Effects on Low-Flow Drought Variability in the Oum Er Rbia Watershed, Morocco I. Houmma et al. 10.3390/rs17020281
- From indices to impacts using environmental and socio-economic clustering in Kenya R. Odongo et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102269
- Drought impacts and community adaptation: Perspectives on the 2020–2023 drought in East Africa R. Odongo et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105309
- Review article: Drought as a continuum – memory effects in interlinked hydrological, ecological, and social systems A. Van Loon et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3173-2024
- Agricultural Drought Dynamics With Satellite Soil Moisture and Impacts on Crop Loss in China During 2003–2022 Y. Gu et al. 10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3572312
- Characterization of the recent (2019–2022) La Plata Basin hydrological drought from a centennial-scale perspective J. Rivera 10.1016/j.hydres.2024.02.002
- Spatiotemporal analysis of drought characteristics across multiple timescales in the upper Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia M. Alemu et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05667-w
- Multidecadal changes in hydrological droughts across Sub-Saharan Africa D. Peña-Angulo et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102595
- Impact of Hydroclimatic Changes on Water Security in the Cantareira Water Production System, Brazil J. Tercini & A. Mello Júnior 10.3390/atmos14121836
- Characteristics, prediction model and driving mechanism of multidimensional daily scale propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought in Guangxi, China Y. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134233
- Technical note: What does the Standardized Streamflow Index actually reflect? Insights and implications for hydrological drought analysis F. Lema et al. 10.5194/hess-29-1981-2025
- Assessing the Flood and Drought Regulation Capacity of Dams in a Changing Climate: An Application to the Largest Hydropower Dam in Africa T. Abraham et al. 10.1007/s41748-025-00815-8
- Drought propagation in high-latitude catchments: insights from a 60-year analysis using standardized indices C. Teutschbein et al. 10.5194/nhess-25-2541-2025
- Spatiotemporal analysis of compound droughts and heat waves in the Horn of Africa A. Alasow et al. 10.1002/joc.8595
- Quantifying Sahel Runoff Sensitivity to Climate Variability, Soil Moisture and Vegetation Changes Using Analytical Methods E. Nkiaka et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00464-3
- Spatiotemporal analysis of soil moisture drought in the Horn of Africa A. Alasow et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-05052-z
- Long-term hydrological drought monitoring and trend analysis in Blue Nile River basin K. Tareke 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e41161
- Drought Quantification in Africa Using Remote Sensing, Gaussian Kernel, and Machine Learning F. Sseguya & K. Jun 10.3390/w16182656
- Building a framework for a synoptic overview of drought A. Di Paola et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177949
- The inclusion of time-lag response reveals contrasting effects of meteorological and agricultural drought on agroecosystem water use efficiency in Africa X. Guo et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134346
- How could climate change affect the magnitude, duration and frequency of hydrological droughts and floods in West Africa during the 21st century? A storyline approach J. Ekolu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133482
- Unveiling Asymptotic Behavior in Precipitation Time Series: A GARCH-Based Second Order Semi-Parametric Autocorrelation Framework for Drought Monitoring in the Semi-Arid Region of India N. Choudhari et al. 10.3390/hydrology12100254
- Investigating Whether the Ensemble Average of Multi-Global-Climate-Models Can Necessarily Better Project Seasonal Drought Conditions in China J. Liu et al. 10.3390/atmos14091408
Latest update: 13 Oct 2025
Short summary
We characterize meteorological (P), soil moisture (SM) and hydrological (Q) droughts and the propagation from one to the other for 318 catchments in the Horn of Africa. We find that propagation from P to SM is influenced by soil properties and vegetation, while propagation from P to Q is from catchment-scale hydrogeological properties (i.e. geology, slope). We provide precipitation accumulation periods at the subbasin level that can be used as a proxy in drought forecasting in dryland regions.
We characterize meteorological (P), soil moisture (SM) and hydrological (Q) droughts and the...
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