Probabilistic projections and past trends of sea level rise in Finland

Pellikka, Havu; Johansson, Milla M.; Nordman, Maaria; Ruosteenoja, Kimmo

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1613-2023

Articles | Volume 23, issue 4

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1613-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1613-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 23, issue 4

Research article

|

28 Apr 2023

Research article |

| 28 Apr 2023

Probabilistic projections and past trends of sea level rise in Finland

Havu Pellikka, Milla M. Johansson, Maaria Nordman, and Kimmo Ruosteenoja

Data sets

Probabilistic projections of mean sea level change in Finland by 2100 Havu Pellikka, Milla M. Johansson, Maaria Nordman, and Kimmo Ruosteenoja https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7752521

Short summary

We explore the rate of past and future sea level rise at the Finnish coast, northeastern Baltic Sea, in 1901–2100. For this analysis, we use tide gauge observations, modelling results, and a probabilistic method to combine information from several sea level rise projections. We provide projections of local mean sea level by 2100 as probability distributions. The results can be used in adaptation planning in various sectors with different risk tolerance, e.g. land use planning or nuclear safety.