Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3765-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3765-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
23 Nov 2022
Research article |
| 23 Nov 2022
| 23 Nov 2022
Glacial lake outburst flood hazard under current and future conditions: worst-case scenarios in a transboundary Himalayan basin
Simon K. Allen
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography, University of Zurich, 8057, Zurich, Switzerland
Institute for Environmental Science, University of Geneva, 1205, Geneva, Switzerland
Ashim Sattar
Department of Geography, University of Zurich, 8057, Zurich, Switzerland
Owen King
School of Geography and Sustainable Development, University of St Andrews, KY16 9AL, St Andrews, UK
Guoqing Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Atanu Bhattacharya
School of Geography and Sustainable Development, University of St Andrews, KY16 9AL, St Andrews, UK
Department of Earth Sciences and Remote Sensing, JIS University, Kolkata, 700109, India
Tandong Yao
State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Tobias Bolch
School of Geography and Sustainable Development, University of St Andrews, KY16 9AL, St Andrews, UK
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Physical information-fused deep learning model ensembled with a subregion-specific sampling method for predicting flood dynamics C. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129465
- Exploring Contrastive Representation for Weakly-Supervised Glacial Lake Extraction H. Zhao et al. 10.3390/rs15051456
- Early warning system for ice collapses and river blockages in the Sedongpu Valley, southeastern Tibetan Plateau W. Yang et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-3015-2023
- Enhanced glacial lake activity threatens numerous communities and infrastructure in the Third Pole T. Zhang et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-44123-z
- GLOF hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and risk assessment of potentially dangerous glacial lakes in the Bhutan Himalaya S. Rinzin et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129311
- Three decades of glacial lake research: a bibliometric and visual analysis of glacial lake identification Z. Liu et al. 10.3389/fevo.2023.1296111
- Modeling Potential Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Process Chains and Effects From Artificial Lake‐Level Lowering at Gepang Gath Lake, Indian Himalaya A. Sattar et al. 10.1029/2022JF006826
- Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Monitoring and Modeling through Integrating Multiple Remote Sensing Methods and HEC-RAS L. Yang et al. 10.3390/rs15225327
- Glacial Lake Changes and Risk Assessment in Rongxer Watershed of China–Nepal Economic Corridor S. Zhang et al. 10.3390/rs16040725
- Risk perception and vulnerability of communities in Nepal to transboundary glacial lake outburst floods from Tibet, China N. Khadka et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104476
- Reconstructing glacial lake outburst floods in the Poiqu River basin, central Himalaya X. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109063
- Climate change-induced high-altitude lake: Hydrochemistry and area changes of a moraine-dammed lake in Leh-Ladakh H. Kaushik et al. 10.1007/s11600-021-00670-x
- Improving the accuracy of glacial lake volume estimation: A case study in the Poiqu basin, central Himalayas M. Qi et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127973
- Glacier–glacial lake changes and modeling glacial lake outburst flood in Upper Ganga Basin, India M. Rawat et al. 10.1007/s40808-022-01512-5
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Physical information-fused deep learning model ensembled with a subregion-specific sampling method for predicting flood dynamics C. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129465
- Exploring Contrastive Representation for Weakly-Supervised Glacial Lake Extraction H. Zhao et al. 10.3390/rs15051456
- Early warning system for ice collapses and river blockages in the Sedongpu Valley, southeastern Tibetan Plateau W. Yang et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-3015-2023
- Enhanced glacial lake activity threatens numerous communities and infrastructure in the Third Pole T. Zhang et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-44123-z
- GLOF hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and risk assessment of potentially dangerous glacial lakes in the Bhutan Himalaya S. Rinzin et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129311
- Three decades of glacial lake research: a bibliometric and visual analysis of glacial lake identification Z. Liu et al. 10.3389/fevo.2023.1296111
- Modeling Potential Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Process Chains and Effects From Artificial Lake‐Level Lowering at Gepang Gath Lake, Indian Himalaya A. Sattar et al. 10.1029/2022JF006826
- Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Monitoring and Modeling through Integrating Multiple Remote Sensing Methods and HEC-RAS L. Yang et al. 10.3390/rs15225327
- Glacial Lake Changes and Risk Assessment in Rongxer Watershed of China–Nepal Economic Corridor S. Zhang et al. 10.3390/rs16040725
- Risk perception and vulnerability of communities in Nepal to transboundary glacial lake outburst floods from Tibet, China N. Khadka et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104476
- Reconstructing glacial lake outburst floods in the Poiqu River basin, central Himalaya X. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109063
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate change-induced high-altitude lake: Hydrochemistry and area changes of a moraine-dammed lake in Leh-Ladakh H. Kaushik et al. 10.1007/s11600-021-00670-x
- Improving the accuracy of glacial lake volume estimation: A case study in the Poiqu basin, central Himalayas M. Qi et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127973
- Glacier–glacial lake changes and modeling glacial lake outburst flood in Upper Ganga Basin, India M. Rawat et al. 10.1007/s40808-022-01512-5
Latest update: 25 Apr 2024
Short summary
This study demonstrates how the threat of a very large outburst from a future lake can be feasibly assessed alongside that from current lakes to inform disaster risk management within a transboundary basin between Tibet and Nepal. Results show that engineering measures and early warning systems would need to be coupled with effective land use zoning and programmes to strengthen local response capacities in order to effectively reduce the risk associated with current and future outburst events.
This study demonstrates how the threat of a very large outburst from a future lake can be...
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