Articles | Volume 22, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2807-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2807-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
26 Aug 2022
Research article |
| 26 Aug 2022
| 26 Aug 2022
An updated area-source seismogenic model (MA4) for seismic hazard of Italy
Francesco Visini
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Sezione di Pisa, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Pisa,
Italy
Carlo Meletti
Sezione di Pisa, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Pisa,
Italy
Andrea Rovida
Sezione di Milano, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia,
Milan, Italy
Vera D'Amico
Sezione di Pisa, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Pisa,
Italy
Bruno Pace
Dipartimento di Ingegneria e Geologia, Università degli Studi Gabriele d'Annunzio Chieti–Pescara, Chieti, Italy
Silvia Pondrelli
Sezione di Bologna, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia,
Bologna, Italy
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Cited
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantifying the role of logic tree parameters in soil probabilistic seismic hazard assessment: Insights from sensitivity analysis M. Ali et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2024.108635
- Conditional probability of surface rupture: A numerical approach for principal faulting L. Mammarella et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930241293570
- The 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model: overview and results L. Danciu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3049-2024
- Impact of ground motion model selection on the benefit from monitoring data N. Caglar & M. Limongelli https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02393-0
- Rockfall hazard estimation and related applications for a preliminary risk assessment at regional scale: an example from northwestern Italian Alps D. Tiranti et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-023-02060-4
- Combined Selection of Real and Simulated Accelerograms as Input for Seismic Site Response Modelling in Seismic Microzonation P. Pierri et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/13632469.2025.2486420
- Data-driven zonations for modelling the regional source and propagation effects into a Ground Motion Models in Italy G. Brunelli et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2023.107775
- A strainmeter array as the fulcrum of novel observatory sites along the Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory L. Chiaraluce et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/sd-33-173-2024
- The ShakeMap Atlas of Historical Earthquakes in Italy: Configuration and Validation I. Oliveti et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220230138
- Strong earthquake in a low seismicity area of the European Southern Alps during Roman Times – A lacustrine paleoseismic evaluation M. Niederstätter et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109341
- Regional probabilistic modeling of required slope resistance to co-seismic failure including site amplification effects P. Capone et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108986
- Seismotectonics-Driven Estimation of b-Value: Implications for Seismic Hazard Assessment G. Valensise et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240030
- Tectonic activity and river mouth proximity drive submarine canyon retreat along Italian coasts N. Parrino et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03373-7
- Advanced 3D seismic hazard analysis for active compression in the Adriatic Thrust Zone, Italy C. Pandolfi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-024-01948-3
- Vertical seismic ground shaking in the volcanic areas of Italy: prediction equations and PSHA examples F. Ramadan et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2023.108228
- Forecasting 3D Rupture Dynamics of the Alto Tiberina Low-Angle Normal Fault, Italy M. Marchandon et al. https://doi.org/10.26443/seismica.v4i2.1603
- ITACAext 2.0: A High-Quality Parametric Table of Strong-to-Weak Motion Recordings for Seismological and Engineering Research in Italy G. Lanzano et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240309
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantifying the role of logic tree parameters in soil probabilistic seismic hazard assessment: Insights from sensitivity analysis M. Ali et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2024.108635
- Conditional probability of surface rupture: A numerical approach for principal faulting L. Mammarella et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930241293570
- The 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model: overview and results L. Danciu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3049-2024
- Impact of ground motion model selection on the benefit from monitoring data N. Caglar & M. Limongelli https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-026-02393-0
- Rockfall hazard estimation and related applications for a preliminary risk assessment at regional scale: an example from northwestern Italian Alps D. Tiranti et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-023-02060-4
- Combined Selection of Real and Simulated Accelerograms as Input for Seismic Site Response Modelling in Seismic Microzonation P. Pierri et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/13632469.2025.2486420
- Data-driven zonations for modelling the regional source and propagation effects into a Ground Motion Models in Italy G. Brunelli et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2023.107775
- A strainmeter array as the fulcrum of novel observatory sites along the Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory L. Chiaraluce et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/sd-33-173-2024
- The ShakeMap Atlas of Historical Earthquakes in Italy: Configuration and Validation I. Oliveti et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220230138
- Strong earthquake in a low seismicity area of the European Southern Alps during Roman Times – A lacustrine paleoseismic evaluation M. Niederstätter et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109341
- Regional probabilistic modeling of required slope resistance to co-seismic failure including site amplification effects P. Capone et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108986
- Seismotectonics-Driven Estimation of b-Value: Implications for Seismic Hazard Assessment G. Valensise et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240030
- Tectonic activity and river mouth proximity drive submarine canyon retreat along Italian coasts N. Parrino et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03373-7
- Advanced 3D seismic hazard analysis for active compression in the Adriatic Thrust Zone, Italy C. Pandolfi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-024-01948-3
- Vertical seismic ground shaking in the volcanic areas of Italy: prediction equations and PSHA examples F. Ramadan et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2023.108228
- Forecasting 3D Rupture Dynamics of the Alto Tiberina Low-Angle Normal Fault, Italy M. Marchandon et al. https://doi.org/10.26443/seismica.v4i2.1603
- ITACAext 2.0: A High-Quality Parametric Table of Strong-to-Weak Motion Recordings for Seismological and Engineering Research in Italy G. Lanzano et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240309
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Aug 2026
Short summary
As new data are collected, seismic hazard models can be updated and improved. In the framework of a project aimed to update the Italian seismic hazard model, we proposed a model based on the definition and parametrization of area sources. Using geological data, seismicity and other geophysical constraints, we delineated three-dimensional boundaries and activity rates of a seismotectonic zoning and explored the epistemic uncertainty by means of a logic-tree approach.
As new data are collected, seismic hazard models can be updated and improved. In the framework...
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