Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-21-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-21-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Modelling the Brumadinho tailings dam failure, the subsequent loss of life and how it could have been reduced
Darren Lumbroso
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
HR Wallingford, Howbery Park, Wallingford, Oxfordshire OX10 8BA, UK
Mark Davison
HR Wallingford, Howbery Park, Wallingford, Oxfordshire OX10 8BA, UK
Richard Body
HR Wallingford, Howbery Park, Wallingford, Oxfordshire OX10 8BA, UK
Gregor Petkovšek
HR Wallingford, Howbery Park, Wallingford, Oxfordshire OX10 8BA, UK
Viewed
Total article views: 8,375 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 04 Jun 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5,528 | 2,700 | 147 | 8,375 | 799 | 113 | 128 |
- HTML: 5,528
- PDF: 2,700
- XML: 147
- Total: 8,375
- Supplement: 799
- BibTeX: 113
- EndNote: 128
Total article views: 6,654 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 07 Jan 2021)
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5,010 | 1,517 | 127 | 6,654 | 310 | 90 | 101 |
- HTML: 5,010
- PDF: 1,517
- XML: 127
- Total: 6,654
- Supplement: 310
- BibTeX: 90
- EndNote: 101
Total article views: 1,721 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 04 Jun 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
518 | 1,183 | 20 | 1,721 | 489 | 23 | 27 |
- HTML: 518
- PDF: 1,183
- XML: 20
- Total: 1,721
- Supplement: 489
- BibTeX: 23
- EndNote: 27
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 8,375 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 7,865 with geography defined
and 510 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 6,654 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,295 with geography defined
and 359 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,721 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,570 with geography defined
and 151 with unknown origin.
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
40 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Prototype Scale Evaluation of Non-Newtonian Algorithms in HEC-RAS: Mud and Debris Flow Case Studies of Santa Barbara and Brumadinho S. Gibson et al. 10.3390/geosciences12030134
- Sentinel-1 Spatiotemporal Simulation Using Convolutional LSTM for Flood Mapping N. Ulloa et al. 10.3390/rs14020246
- Flood–pedestrian simulator for modelling human response dynamics during flood-induced evacuation: Hillsborough stadium case study M. Shirvani & G. Kesserwani 10.5194/nhess-21-3175-2021
- Insights from the Compilation and Critical Assessment of Breach and Runout Characteristics from Historical Tailings Dam Failures: Implications for Numerical Modelling D. Adria et al. 10.1007/s10230-023-00964-0
- High-temperature thermochemical conversion of iron ore tailings into diopside and akermanite-based composite materials X. Zou et al. 10.1016/j.apt.2024.104670
- Dynamic planning method of evacuation route in dam-break flood scenario based on the ACO-GA hybrid algorithm K. Dong et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104219
- Modified of ERM Index for Southeast Asia D. Pangestuti et al. 10.1080/23311975.2023.2199906
- Probabilistic mapping of life loss due to dam-break flooding A. Maranzoni et al. 10.1007/s11069-023-06285-3
- Numerical investigation of creeping rockmass interaction with hardening and shrinking cemented paste backfill B. Yan et al. 10.1016/j.conbuildmat.2022.127639
- Public databases of tailings storage facilities fall short of full risk disclosure R. Massignan & L. Sánchez 10.1016/j.exis.2024.101420
- Three-dimensional intelligent monitoring and early warning technology for tailings ponds based on spatiotemporal fusion of multisource big data W. Nie et al. 10.1007/s10661-024-13242-5
- Environmental, Social, and Governance Considerations in Production Scheduling Optimisation for Sublevel Stoping Mining Operations: a Review of Relevant Works and Future Directions G. Ullah et al. 10.1007/s42461-023-00869-0
- The economic valuation of environmental damages in scenarios of tailings dams' ruptures: The case of Brumadinho's catastrophe, Minas Gerais, Brazil L. Carvalho Medeiros et al. 10.1016/j.cscee.2024.101037
- Probabilistic Analysis of Floods from Tailings Dam Failures: A Method to Analyze the Impact of Rheological Parameters on the HEC-RAS Bingham and Herschel-Bulkley Models M. Melo & J. Eleutério 10.3390/w15162866
- A new look at the statistics of tailings dam failures L. Piciullo et al. 10.1016/j.enggeo.2022.106657
- Engineering Potentials and Stability of Nigerian Waste Rocks as Alternative construction Geo-materials and Earth Structure Fills R. Maduka & O. Igwe 10.1007/s12517-022-10062-0
- Review of Historical Dam-Break Events and Laboratory Tests on Real Topography for the Validation of Numerical Models F. Aureli et al. 10.3390/w13141968
- Validation of an Empirical Model with Risk Assessment Functionalities to Simulate and Evaluate the Tailings Dam Failure in Brumadinho T. Dedring et al. 10.3390/su14116681
- Brief communication: Landslide activity on the Argentinian Santa Cruz River mega dam works confirmed by PSI DInSAR G. Tamburini-Beliveau et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1987-2023
- Simulation of breaching of laboratory-scale earth dams by overtopping with XBeach K. Barlow et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104471
- A Suggested Equivalent Method for a Drainage Structure to Analyze Seepage in Tailings Dam H. Zhang et al. 10.3390/ma15207154
- Increasing flood awareness through dam-break serious games M. Gomes et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104543
- Assessment of loss of life owing to dam-failure flooding considering population distribution and evacuation J. Peng et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104737
- Experiments on Entrainment of Tailings into Suspension in an Annular Flume A. Rojas-Aguirre & M. Garcia 10.1061/JHEND8.HYENG-14095
- The Reprocessing and Revalorization of Critical Minerals in Mine Tailings C. Vitti & B. Arnold 10.1007/s42461-021-00524-6
- Advanced monitoring of tailings dam performance using seismic noise and stress models S. Ouellet et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00629-w
- Indium in ore deposits and mine waste environments: Geochemistry, mineralogy, and opportunities for recovery O. Mejías et al. 10.1016/j.gexplo.2023.107312
- Efficiency-fairness trade-offs in evacuation management of urban floods: The effects of the shelter capacity and zone prioritization W. Oh et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0253395
- The slip surface mechanism of delayed failure of the Brumadinho tailings dam in 2019 F. Zhu et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01086-9
- Integrating reverse osmosis to a conventional river water treatment plant as a strategy to produce drinking water after mining dam rupture events: a case study V. Moreira et al. 10.1080/09593330.2024.2326799
- Development of an agent-based model to improve emergency planning for floods and dam failures D. Lumbroso et al. 10.2166/hydro.2023.194
- Advances in Dam-Break Modeling for Flood Hazard Mitigation: Theory, Numerical Models, and Applications in Hydraulic Engineering F. Aureli et al. 10.3390/w16081093
- Tracking Deformation Processes at the Legnica Glogow Copper District (Poland) by Satellite InSAR—II: Żelazny Most Tailings Dam P. Mazzanti et al. 10.3390/land10060654
- Analysis of flood warning and evacuation efficiency by comparing damage and life-loss estimates with real consequences related to the São Francisco tailings dam failure in Brazil A. Silva & J. Eleutério 10.5194/nhess-23-3095-2023
- A metamodel for sensitivity and uncertainty analysis in the modeling of loss of life due to dam failures J. Duarte & V. Costa 10.2166/hydro.2024.325
- Estimating loss of life caused by dam breaches based on the simulation of floods routing and evacuation potential of population at risk W. Ge et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128059
- 2D and 3D Numerical Simulation of Dam-Break Flooding: A Case Study of the Tuzluca Dam, Turkey C. Akgun et al. 10.3390/w15203622
- The Life Safety Model: An Agent-Based Model to Improve Emergency Planning for Floods and Dam Failures D. Lumbroso et al. 10.2139/ssrn.3987793
- Effectiveness of a Dam-Breach Flood Alert in Mitigating Life Losses: A Spatiotemporal Sectorisation Analysis in a High-Density Urban Area in Brazil A. Silva & J. Eleutério 10.3390/w15193433
- Flood risks from failure of infrastructure P. Samuels 10.1111/jfr3.12960
39 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Prototype Scale Evaluation of Non-Newtonian Algorithms in HEC-RAS: Mud and Debris Flow Case Studies of Santa Barbara and Brumadinho S. Gibson et al. 10.3390/geosciences12030134
- Sentinel-1 Spatiotemporal Simulation Using Convolutional LSTM for Flood Mapping N. Ulloa et al. 10.3390/rs14020246
- Flood–pedestrian simulator for modelling human response dynamics during flood-induced evacuation: Hillsborough stadium case study M. Shirvani & G. Kesserwani 10.5194/nhess-21-3175-2021
- Insights from the Compilation and Critical Assessment of Breach and Runout Characteristics from Historical Tailings Dam Failures: Implications for Numerical Modelling D. Adria et al. 10.1007/s10230-023-00964-0
- High-temperature thermochemical conversion of iron ore tailings into diopside and akermanite-based composite materials X. Zou et al. 10.1016/j.apt.2024.104670
- Dynamic planning method of evacuation route in dam-break flood scenario based on the ACO-GA hybrid algorithm K. Dong et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104219
- Modified of ERM Index for Southeast Asia D. Pangestuti et al. 10.1080/23311975.2023.2199906
- Probabilistic mapping of life loss due to dam-break flooding A. Maranzoni et al. 10.1007/s11069-023-06285-3
- Numerical investigation of creeping rockmass interaction with hardening and shrinking cemented paste backfill B. Yan et al. 10.1016/j.conbuildmat.2022.127639
- Public databases of tailings storage facilities fall short of full risk disclosure R. Massignan & L. Sánchez 10.1016/j.exis.2024.101420
- Three-dimensional intelligent monitoring and early warning technology for tailings ponds based on spatiotemporal fusion of multisource big data W. Nie et al. 10.1007/s10661-024-13242-5
- Environmental, Social, and Governance Considerations in Production Scheduling Optimisation for Sublevel Stoping Mining Operations: a Review of Relevant Works and Future Directions G. Ullah et al. 10.1007/s42461-023-00869-0
- The economic valuation of environmental damages in scenarios of tailings dams' ruptures: The case of Brumadinho's catastrophe, Minas Gerais, Brazil L. Carvalho Medeiros et al. 10.1016/j.cscee.2024.101037
- Probabilistic Analysis of Floods from Tailings Dam Failures: A Method to Analyze the Impact of Rheological Parameters on the HEC-RAS Bingham and Herschel-Bulkley Models M. Melo & J. Eleutério 10.3390/w15162866
- A new look at the statistics of tailings dam failures L. Piciullo et al. 10.1016/j.enggeo.2022.106657
- Engineering Potentials and Stability of Nigerian Waste Rocks as Alternative construction Geo-materials and Earth Structure Fills R. Maduka & O. Igwe 10.1007/s12517-022-10062-0
- Review of Historical Dam-Break Events and Laboratory Tests on Real Topography for the Validation of Numerical Models F. Aureli et al. 10.3390/w13141968
- Validation of an Empirical Model with Risk Assessment Functionalities to Simulate and Evaluate the Tailings Dam Failure in Brumadinho T. Dedring et al. 10.3390/su14116681
- Brief communication: Landslide activity on the Argentinian Santa Cruz River mega dam works confirmed by PSI DInSAR G. Tamburini-Beliveau et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1987-2023
- Simulation of breaching of laboratory-scale earth dams by overtopping with XBeach K. Barlow et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104471
- A Suggested Equivalent Method for a Drainage Structure to Analyze Seepage in Tailings Dam H. Zhang et al. 10.3390/ma15207154
- Increasing flood awareness through dam-break serious games M. Gomes et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104543
- Assessment of loss of life owing to dam-failure flooding considering population distribution and evacuation J. Peng et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104737
- Experiments on Entrainment of Tailings into Suspension in an Annular Flume A. Rojas-Aguirre & M. Garcia 10.1061/JHEND8.HYENG-14095
- The Reprocessing and Revalorization of Critical Minerals in Mine Tailings C. Vitti & B. Arnold 10.1007/s42461-021-00524-6
- Advanced monitoring of tailings dam performance using seismic noise and stress models S. Ouellet et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00629-w
- Indium in ore deposits and mine waste environments: Geochemistry, mineralogy, and opportunities for recovery O. Mejías et al. 10.1016/j.gexplo.2023.107312
- Efficiency-fairness trade-offs in evacuation management of urban floods: The effects of the shelter capacity and zone prioritization W. Oh et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0253395
- The slip surface mechanism of delayed failure of the Brumadinho tailings dam in 2019 F. Zhu et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01086-9
- Integrating reverse osmosis to a conventional river water treatment plant as a strategy to produce drinking water after mining dam rupture events: a case study V. Moreira et al. 10.1080/09593330.2024.2326799
- Development of an agent-based model to improve emergency planning for floods and dam failures D. Lumbroso et al. 10.2166/hydro.2023.194
- Advances in Dam-Break Modeling for Flood Hazard Mitigation: Theory, Numerical Models, and Applications in Hydraulic Engineering F. Aureli et al. 10.3390/w16081093
- Tracking Deformation Processes at the Legnica Glogow Copper District (Poland) by Satellite InSAR—II: Żelazny Most Tailings Dam P. Mazzanti et al. 10.3390/land10060654
- Analysis of flood warning and evacuation efficiency by comparing damage and life-loss estimates with real consequences related to the São Francisco tailings dam failure in Brazil A. Silva & J. Eleutério 10.5194/nhess-23-3095-2023
- A metamodel for sensitivity and uncertainty analysis in the modeling of loss of life due to dam failures J. Duarte & V. Costa 10.2166/hydro.2024.325
- Estimating loss of life caused by dam breaches based on the simulation of floods routing and evacuation potential of population at risk W. Ge et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128059
- 2D and 3D Numerical Simulation of Dam-Break Flooding: A Case Study of the Tuzluca Dam, Turkey C. Akgun et al. 10.3390/w15203622
- The Life Safety Model: An Agent-Based Model to Improve Emergency Planning for Floods and Dam Failures D. Lumbroso et al. 10.2139/ssrn.3987793
- Effectiveness of a Dam-Breach Flood Alert in Mitigating Life Losses: A Spatiotemporal Sectorisation Analysis in a High-Density Urban Area in Brazil A. Silva & J. Eleutério 10.3390/w15193433
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
A tailings dam is an earth embankment used to store the waste from mines, known as tailings. In 2019, the Brumadinho tailings dam in Brazil failed, releasing a mudflow which killed ~ 300 people. This paper details the use of an agent-based model to estimate the risk to people downstream of this dam. The agent-based model represents each individual person. The modelling indicated that if a warning had been issued as the dam failed, the number of fatalities could have been reduced.
A tailings dam is an earth embankment used to store the waste from mines, known as tailings. In...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint