Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 203–217, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-203-2021

Special issue: Groundbreaking technologies, big data, and innovation for...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 203–217, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-203-2021

Research article 21 Jan 2021

Research article | 21 Jan 2021

A glimpse into the future of exposure and vulnerabilities in cities? Modelling of residential location choice of urban population with random forest

Sebastian Scheuer et al.

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Short summary
The choice of residential location is one of the drivers shaping risks in cities. We model likely outcomes of this decision-making process for distinct socioeconomic groups in the city of Leipzig, Germany, using random forests and geostatistical methods. In so doing, we uncover hot spots and cold spots that may indicate spatial patterns and trends in exposure and vulnerabilities of urban population, to shed light on how residential location choice affects these risk components as a process.
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