Articles | Volume 21, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1867-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1867-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
17 Jun 2021
Research article |
| 17 Jun 2021
| 17 Jun 2021
Towards a compound-event-oriented climate model evaluation: a decomposition of the underlying biases in multivariate fire and heat stress hazards
Roberto Villalobos-Herrera
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Engineering, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE2 1HA, UK
Escuela de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Costa Rica, Montes de Oca, San José 1150-2060, Costa Rica
Emanuele Bevacqua
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Leipzig, Germany
Andreia F. S. Ribeiro
Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisbon, Portugal
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Universitätstrasse 16, Zurich 8092, Switzerland
Graeme Auld
School of Mathematics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
Laura Crocetti
Department of Geodesy and Geoinformation, TU Wien, Vienna, Austria
Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Bilyana Mircheva
Department of Meteorology and Geophysics, Sofia University “St. Kliment Ohridski”, Sofia, Bulgaria
Minh Ha
Laboratoire Atmosphères, Milieux, Observations Spatiales (LATMOS), Sorbonne Université, Paris and Guyancourt, France
Jakob Zscheischler
Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Leipzig, Germany
Climate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Carlo De Michele
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Large spread in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5 C. Manning et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-309-2023
- Compound Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drivers, Mechanisms and Methods W. Zhang et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.673495
- Compound Wind and Precipitation Extremes Across the Indo‐Pacific: Climatology, Variability, and Drivers D. Li et al. 10.1029/2022GL098594
- A compound event-oriented framework to tropical fire risk assessment in a changing climate A. Ribeiro et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac7342
- Research progresses and prospects of multi-sphere compound extremes from the Earth System perspective Z. Hao & Y. Chen 10.1007/s11430-023-1201-y
- Evaluation of bias correction methods for a multivariate drought index: case study of the Upper Jhelum Basin R. Ansari et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-2055-2023
- Guidelines for Studying Diverse Types of Compound Weather and Climate Events E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1029/2021EF002340
- Dynamic vulnerability assessment of maize under low temperature and drought concurrent stress in Songliao Plain Y. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.agwat.2023.108400
- Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties B. François & M. Vrac 10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023
- Compound droughts and hot extremes: Characteristics, drivers, changes, and impacts Z. Hao et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104241
- Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5
- Growing Threats From Unprecedented Sequential Flood‐Hot Extremes Across China Z. Liao et al. 10.1029/2021GL094505
- Larger Spatial Footprint of Wintertime Total Precipitation Extremes in a Warmer Climate E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1029/2020GL091990
- A standardized index for assessing sub-monthly compound dry and hot conditions with application in China J. Li et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1587-2021
- Amplified risk of compound heat stress-dry spells in Urban India P. Ganguli 10.1007/s00382-022-06324-y
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Large spread in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5 C. Manning et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-309-2023
- Compound Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drivers, Mechanisms and Methods W. Zhang et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.673495
- Compound Wind and Precipitation Extremes Across the Indo‐Pacific: Climatology, Variability, and Drivers D. Li et al. 10.1029/2022GL098594
- A compound event-oriented framework to tropical fire risk assessment in a changing climate A. Ribeiro et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac7342
- Research progresses and prospects of multi-sphere compound extremes from the Earth System perspective Z. Hao & Y. Chen 10.1007/s11430-023-1201-y
- Evaluation of bias correction methods for a multivariate drought index: case study of the Upper Jhelum Basin R. Ansari et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-2055-2023
- Guidelines for Studying Diverse Types of Compound Weather and Climate Events E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1029/2021EF002340
- Dynamic vulnerability assessment of maize under low temperature and drought concurrent stress in Songliao Plain Y. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.agwat.2023.108400
- Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties B. François & M. Vrac 10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023
- Compound droughts and hot extremes: Characteristics, drivers, changes, and impacts Z. Hao et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104241
- Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Growing Threats From Unprecedented Sequential Flood‐Hot Extremes Across China Z. Liao et al. 10.1029/2021GL094505
- Larger Spatial Footprint of Wintertime Total Precipitation Extremes in a Warmer Climate E. Bevacqua et al. 10.1029/2020GL091990
- A standardized index for assessing sub-monthly compound dry and hot conditions with application in China J. Li et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1587-2021
- Amplified risk of compound heat stress-dry spells in Urban India P. Ganguli 10.1007/s00382-022-06324-y
Latest update: 18 Apr 2024
Short summary
Climate hazards may be caused by events which have multiple drivers. Here we present a method to break down climate model biases in hazard indicators down to the bias caused by each driving variable. Using simplified fire and heat stress indicators driven by temperature and relative humidity as examples, we show how multivariate indicators may have complex biases and that the relationship between driving variables is a source of bias that must be considered in climate model bias corrections.
Climate hazards may be caused by events which have multiple drivers. Here we present a method to...
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