Articles | Volume 20, issue 2
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 425–450, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-425-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue: Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean (ACP/AMT/GMD/HESS/NHESS/OS...
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 425–450, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-425-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
07 Feb 2020
Research article
| 07 Feb 2020
Evaluation of two hydrometeorological ensemble strategies for flash-flood forecasting over a catchment of the eastern Pyrenees
Hélène Roux et al.
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Total article views: 1,513 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Cited
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Ensemble flash flood predictions using a high-resolution nationwide distributed rainfall-runoff model: case study of the heavy rain event of July 2018 and Typhoon Hagibis in 2019 T. Sayama et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00391-7
- Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecast of a Highly Localized Convective Event in the Mediterranean L. Furnari et al. 10.3390/w12061545
- Ensemble forecasting system for the management of the Senegal River discharge: application upstream the Manantali dam D. Ndione et al. 10.1007/s13201-020-01199-y
- Potential of stochastic methods for improving convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of extreme events over the Western Mediterranean A. Hermoso et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105571
- The sequence of heavy precipitation and flash flooding of 12 and 13 September 2019 in eastern Spain. Part II: A hydro-meteorological predictability analysis based on convection-permitting ensemble strategies A. Amengual et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0181.1
- Interpreting the Manning Roughness Coefficient in Overland Flow Simulations with Coupled Hydrological-Hydraulic Distributed Models M. Sanz-Ramos et al. 10.3390/w13233433
- Improvement of Heavy Rainfall Simulated with SST Adjustment Associated with Mesoscale Convective Complexes Related to Severe Flash Flood in Luwu, Sulawesi, Indonesia E. Yulihastin et al. 10.3390/atmos12111445
- Overview towards improved understanding of the mechanisms leading to heavy precipitation in the western Mediterranean: lessons learned from HyMeX S. Khodayar et al. 10.5194/acp-21-17051-2021
- NRCS-CN Estimation from Onsite and Remote Sensing Data for Management of a Reservoir in the Eastern Pyrenees M. Sanz-Ramos et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001979
- Atmospheric–hydrological modeling for Beijing's sub-center based on WRF and SWMM Y. Gu et al. 10.1016/j.uclim.2021.101066
- Optimización del cálculo de la Vía de Intenso Desagüe con criterios hidráulicos M. Sanz-Ramos et al. 10.4995/ia.2020.13364
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Ensemble flash flood predictions using a high-resolution nationwide distributed rainfall-runoff model: case study of the heavy rain event of July 2018 and Typhoon Hagibis in 2019 T. Sayama et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00391-7
- Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecast of a Highly Localized Convective Event in the Mediterranean L. Furnari et al. 10.3390/w12061545
- Ensemble forecasting system for the management of the Senegal River discharge: application upstream the Manantali dam D. Ndione et al. 10.1007/s13201-020-01199-y
- Potential of stochastic methods for improving convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of extreme events over the Western Mediterranean A. Hermoso et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105571
- The sequence of heavy precipitation and flash flooding of 12 and 13 September 2019 in eastern Spain. Part II: A hydro-meteorological predictability analysis based on convection-permitting ensemble strategies A. Amengual et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0181.1
- Interpreting the Manning Roughness Coefficient in Overland Flow Simulations with Coupled Hydrological-Hydraulic Distributed Models M. Sanz-Ramos et al. 10.3390/w13233433
- Improvement of Heavy Rainfall Simulated with SST Adjustment Associated with Mesoscale Convective Complexes Related to Severe Flash Flood in Luwu, Sulawesi, Indonesia E. Yulihastin et al. 10.3390/atmos12111445
- Overview towards improved understanding of the mechanisms leading to heavy precipitation in the western Mediterranean: lessons learned from HyMeX S. Khodayar et al. 10.5194/acp-21-17051-2021
- NRCS-CN Estimation from Onsite and Remote Sensing Data for Management of a Reservoir in the Eastern Pyrenees M. Sanz-Ramos et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001979
- Atmospheric–hydrological modeling for Beijing's sub-center based on WRF and SWMM Y. Gu et al. 10.1016/j.uclim.2021.101066
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 30 Jan 2023
Short summary
The performances of flash-flood forecasts are evaluated using a meteorological model forcing a rainfall-runoff model. Both deterministic (single forecast of the most likely weather) and ensemble forecasts (set or ensemble of forecasts) have been produced on three subcatchments of the eastern Pyrenees exhibiting different rainfall regimes. Results show that both overall discharge forecast and flood warning are improved by the ensemble strategies with respect to the deterministic forecast.
The performances of flash-flood forecasts are evaluated using a meteorological model forcing a...
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