Articles | Volume 20, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3261–3277, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3261-2020

Special issue: Advances in computational modelling of natural hazards and...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3261–3277, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3261-2020

Research article 03 Dec 2020

Research article | 03 Dec 2020

Forecasting flood hazards in real time: a surrogate model for hydrometeorological events in an Andean watershed

María Teresa Contreras et al.

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Latest update: 05 Dec 2021
Short summary
The prediction of multiple scenarios of flood hazard in mountain regions is typically based on expensive high-resolution models that simulate the flood propagation using significant computational resources. In this investigation we develop a surrogate model that provides a rapid evaluation of the flood hazard using a statistical approach and precomputed scenarios. This surrogate model is an advanced tool that can be used for early warning systems and to help decision makers and city planners.
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