Articles | Volume 20, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1573-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1573-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
04 Jun 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 04 Jun 2020
| 04 Jun 2020
Induced seismicity risk analysis of the hydraulic stimulation of a geothermal well on Geldinganes, Iceland
Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Department of Civil Engineering and Industrial Design,
University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
Arnaud Mignan
Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Institute of Geophysics, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Francesco Grigoli
Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Dimitrios Karvounis
Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Antonio Pio Rinaldi
Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Institute of Geophysics, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Laurentiu Danciu
Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Hannes Hofmann
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam – GFZ German Research Centre for
Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Claus Milkereit
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam – GFZ German Research Centre for
Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Torsten Dahm
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam – GFZ German Research Centre for
Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Günter Zimmermann
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam – GFZ German Research Centre for
Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Vala Hjörleifsdóttir
Orkuveita Reykjavíkur (Reykjavík Energy), Reykjavik, Iceland
Stefan Wiemer
Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
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Cited
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Comprehensive Survey of Seismic Hazard at Geothermal Sites by a Meta-Analysis of the Underground Feedback Activation Parameter afb A. Mignan et al. 10.3390/en14237998
- Monitoring microseismicity of the Hengill Geothermal Field in Iceland F. Grigoli et al. 10.1038/s41597-022-01339-w
- A systematic review and meta-analysis of artificial neural network, machine learning, deep learning, and ensemble learning approaches in field of geotechnical engineering E. Yaghoubi et al. 10.1007/s00521-024-09893-7
- High-dimensional nonlinear Bayesian inference of poroelastic fields from pressure data M. Karimi et al. 10.1177/10812865221140840
- Cyclic Water Injection Potentially Mitigates Seismic Risks by Promoting Slow and Stable Slip of a Natural Fracture in Granite Y. Ji et al. 10.1007/s00603-021-02438-7
- Probabilistic Evaluation of Susceptibility to Fluid Injection-Induced Seismicity Based on Statistics of Fracture Criticality W. Cao et al. 10.1007/s00603-022-03084-3
- A discrete fracture hybrid model for forecasting diffusion-induced seismicity and power generation in enhanced geothermal systems D. Karvounis & S. Wiemer 10.1093/gji/ggac056
- Soft stimulation treatment of geothermal well RV-43 to meet the growing heat demand of Reykjavik H. Hofmann et al. 10.1016/j.geothermics.2021.102146
- Seismic performance assessment of a masonry building under earthquakes induced by geothermal power plants operation A. Khansefid et al. 10.1016/j.jobe.2021.103909
- A Strategy for Choosing Red‐Light Thresholds to Manage Hydraulic Fracturing Induced Seismicity in North America R. Schultz et al. 10.1029/2021JB022340
- Metre-scale stress heterogeneities and stress redistribution drive complex fracture slip and fracture growth during a hydraulic stimulation experiment L. Villiger et al. 10.1093/gji/ggab057
- Assessing Potential Seismic Hazard in Enhanced Geothermal Systems: Insights from Comparing Gonghe and Pohang Reservoirs S. Zhang et al. 10.1785/0220240245
- Hydraulic stimulation strategies in enhanced geothermal systems (EGS): a review Y. Jia et al. 10.1007/s40948-022-00516-w
- Laboratory hydraulic fracturing experiments on crystalline rock for geothermal purposes L. Zhuang & A. Zang 10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103580
- Seismic Noise Reduction as a Function of Depth Recorded by a Vertical Array Installed in a 285-m-Deep Borehole at a Gas Storage Field in Northern Italy C. Rossi et al. 10.1785/0220220337
- Fragility and comfortability curves development and seismic risk assessment of a masonry building under earthquakes induced by geothermal power plants operation A. Khansefid et al. 10.1016/j.strusafe.2023.102343
- Relaxation damage control via fatigue-hydraulic fracturing in granitic rock as inferred from laboratory-, mine-, and field-scale experiments A. Zang et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-86094-5
- Induced Earthquake Hazard by Geothermal Power Plants: Statistical Evaluation and Probabilistic Modeling A. Khansefid et al. 10.1007/s13753-022-00441-2
- Preventing Instabilities and Inducing Controlled, Slow‐Slip in Frictionally Unstable Systems I. Stefanou & G. Tzortzopoulos 10.1029/2021JB023410
- Induced seismicity traffic light protocol at the Alberta No. 1 geothermal project site A. Yaghoubi et al. 10.1016/j.geothermics.2023.102860
- A multibranch, multitarget neural network for rapid point-source inversion in a microseismic environment: examples from the Hengill Geothermal Field, Iceland N. Nooshiri et al. 10.1093/gji/ggab511
- Induced Seismicity Completeness Analysis for Improved Data Mining A. Mignan 10.3389/feart.2021.635193
- Ground Motion Models for the Induced Earthquakes by the Geothermal Power Plants Activity A. Khansefid et al. 10.1080/13632469.2022.2084475
- Soil-structure-interaction effects on the seismic performance of a masonry building under geothermal power plants induced earthquakes A. Khansefid et al. 10.1016/j.istruc.2023.06.040
- A Multi-LASSO model to forecast induced seismicity at enhanced geothermal systems A. Mignan et al. 10.1016/j.geoen.2024.212746
- Pseudo‐Prospective Forecasting of Induced and Natural Seismicity in the Hengill Geothermal Field V. Ritz et al. 10.1029/2023JB028402
- Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity V. Ritz et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00581-9
- Seasonal Variations in the b-Value of the Reservoir-Triggered Seismicity in the Koyna–Warna Region, Western India V. Smirnov et al. 10.1134/S1069351322030077
25 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Comprehensive Survey of Seismic Hazard at Geothermal Sites by a Meta-Analysis of the Underground Feedback Activation Parameter afb A. Mignan et al. 10.3390/en14237998
- Monitoring microseismicity of the Hengill Geothermal Field in Iceland F. Grigoli et al. 10.1038/s41597-022-01339-w
- A systematic review and meta-analysis of artificial neural network, machine learning, deep learning, and ensemble learning approaches in field of geotechnical engineering E. Yaghoubi et al. 10.1007/s00521-024-09893-7
- High-dimensional nonlinear Bayesian inference of poroelastic fields from pressure data M. Karimi et al. 10.1177/10812865221140840
- Cyclic Water Injection Potentially Mitigates Seismic Risks by Promoting Slow and Stable Slip of a Natural Fracture in Granite Y. Ji et al. 10.1007/s00603-021-02438-7
- Probabilistic Evaluation of Susceptibility to Fluid Injection-Induced Seismicity Based on Statistics of Fracture Criticality W. Cao et al. 10.1007/s00603-022-03084-3
- A discrete fracture hybrid model for forecasting diffusion-induced seismicity and power generation in enhanced geothermal systems D. Karvounis & S. Wiemer 10.1093/gji/ggac056
- Soft stimulation treatment of geothermal well RV-43 to meet the growing heat demand of Reykjavik H. Hofmann et al. 10.1016/j.geothermics.2021.102146
- Seismic performance assessment of a masonry building under earthquakes induced by geothermal power plants operation A. Khansefid et al. 10.1016/j.jobe.2021.103909
- A Strategy for Choosing Red‐Light Thresholds to Manage Hydraulic Fracturing Induced Seismicity in North America R. Schultz et al. 10.1029/2021JB022340
- Metre-scale stress heterogeneities and stress redistribution drive complex fracture slip and fracture growth during a hydraulic stimulation experiment L. Villiger et al. 10.1093/gji/ggab057
- Assessing Potential Seismic Hazard in Enhanced Geothermal Systems: Insights from Comparing Gonghe and Pohang Reservoirs S. Zhang et al. 10.1785/0220240245
- Hydraulic stimulation strategies in enhanced geothermal systems (EGS): a review Y. Jia et al. 10.1007/s40948-022-00516-w
- Laboratory hydraulic fracturing experiments on crystalline rock for geothermal purposes L. Zhuang & A. Zang 10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103580
- Seismic Noise Reduction as a Function of Depth Recorded by a Vertical Array Installed in a 285-m-Deep Borehole at a Gas Storage Field in Northern Italy C. Rossi et al. 10.1785/0220220337
- Fragility and comfortability curves development and seismic risk assessment of a masonry building under earthquakes induced by geothermal power plants operation A. Khansefid et al. 10.1016/j.strusafe.2023.102343
- Relaxation damage control via fatigue-hydraulic fracturing in granitic rock as inferred from laboratory-, mine-, and field-scale experiments A. Zang et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-86094-5
- Induced Earthquake Hazard by Geothermal Power Plants: Statistical Evaluation and Probabilistic Modeling A. Khansefid et al. 10.1007/s13753-022-00441-2
- Preventing Instabilities and Inducing Controlled, Slow‐Slip in Frictionally Unstable Systems I. Stefanou & G. Tzortzopoulos 10.1029/2021JB023410
- Induced seismicity traffic light protocol at the Alberta No. 1 geothermal project site A. Yaghoubi et al. 10.1016/j.geothermics.2023.102860
- A multibranch, multitarget neural network for rapid point-source inversion in a microseismic environment: examples from the Hengill Geothermal Field, Iceland N. Nooshiri et al. 10.1093/gji/ggab511
- Induced Seismicity Completeness Analysis for Improved Data Mining A. Mignan 10.3389/feart.2021.635193
- Ground Motion Models for the Induced Earthquakes by the Geothermal Power Plants Activity A. Khansefid et al. 10.1080/13632469.2022.2084475
- Soil-structure-interaction effects on the seismic performance of a masonry building under geothermal power plants induced earthquakes A. Khansefid et al. 10.1016/j.istruc.2023.06.040
- A Multi-LASSO model to forecast induced seismicity at enhanced geothermal systems A. Mignan et al. 10.1016/j.geoen.2024.212746
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Pseudo‐Prospective Forecasting of Induced and Natural Seismicity in the Hengill Geothermal Field V. Ritz et al. 10.1029/2023JB028402
- Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity V. Ritz et al. 10.1038/s43247-022-00581-9
- Seasonal Variations in the b-Value of the Reservoir-Triggered Seismicity in the Koyna–Warna Region, Western India V. Smirnov et al. 10.1134/S1069351322030077
Latest update: 30 May 2025
Short summary
This study presents a first-of-its-kind pre-drilling probabilistic induced seismic risk analysis for the Geldinganes (Iceland) deep-hydraulic stimulation. The results of the assessment indicate that the individual risk within a radius of 2 km around the injection point is below the safety limits. However, the analysis is affected by a large variability due to the presence of pre-drilling deep uncertainties. This suggests the need for online risk updating during the stimulation.
This study presents a first-of-its-kind pre-drilling probabilistic induced seismic risk analysis...
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