Articles | Volume 19, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Water-level attenuation in global-scale assessments of exposure to coastal flooding: a sensitivity analysis
Athanasios T. Vafeidis
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Coastal Risks and Sea-Level Rise Research Group, Department of Geography, Christian-Albrechts University Kiel, Ludewig-Meyn-Str. 14, 24098 Kiel, Germany
Mark Schuerch
Lincoln Centre for Water and Planetary Health, School of Geography, University of Lincoln, Think Tank, Lincoln LN6 7FL, UK
Claudia Wolff
Coastal Risks and Sea-Level Rise Research Group, Department of Geography, Christian-Albrechts University Kiel, Ludewig-Meyn-Str. 14, 24098 Kiel, Germany
Tom Spencer
Cambridge Coastal Research Unit, Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Downing Place, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK
Jan L. Merkens
Coastal Risks and Sea-Level Rise Research Group, Department of Geography, Christian-Albrechts University Kiel, Ludewig-Meyn-Str. 14, 24098 Kiel, Germany
Jochen Hinkel
Global Climate Forum e.V. (GCF), Neue Promenade 6, 10178 Berlin, Germany
Daniel Lincke
Global Climate Forum e.V. (GCF), Neue Promenade 6, 10178 Berlin, Germany
Sally Brown
Faculty of Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK
Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, Bournemouth University, Fern Barrow, Poole, Dorset BH12 5BB, UK
Robert J. Nicholls
Faculty of Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK
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46 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The benefits of coastal adaptation through conservation of foreshore vegetation T. Tiggeloven et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12790
- Sea-level rise induced change in exposure of low-lying coastal land: implications for coastal conservation strategies R. Thiéblemont et al. 10.1007/s44218-024-00041-1
- Review article: Natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale P. Ward et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-1069-2020
- Accounting for tropical cyclones more than doubles the global population exposed to low-probability coastal flooding J. Dullaart et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00204-9
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- Modeling surge dynamics improves coastal flood estimates in a global set of tropical cyclones T. Vogt et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01707-x
- National-Scale Built-Environment Exposure to 100-Year Extreme Sea Levels and Sea-Level Rise R. Paulik et al. 10.3390/su12041513
- Unravelling the Importance of Uncertainties in Global-Scale Coastal Flood Risk Assessments under Sea Level Rise J. Rohmer et al. 10.3390/w13060774
- Population pattern and exposure under sea level rise: Low elevation coastal zone in the Yangtze River Delta, 1990–2100 Y. Lv et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100348
- Reductions in water level over coastal wetlands during storm surges and tsunamis: An analytical result and a critical review of the literature A. Grant & M. Cooker 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2023.104328
- Spatial heterogeneity of land use along the coast of the Yangtze River Delta and implications for exposure assessment to erosion hazard X. Wang et al. 10.1007/s44218-022-00001-7
- Recasting geomorphology as a landscape science O. Slaymaker et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2021.107723
- Spatiotemporal changes of manufacturing firms in the flood prone Yangtze Delta S. Jiao et al. 10.1080/17477891.2021.1988502
- Introducing fuzzy set theory to evaluate risk of misclassification of land cover maps to land mapping applications: Testing on coastal watersheds Z. Teixeira et al. 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.104903
- Employment accessibility and rising seas R. Noland et al. 10.1016/j.trd.2019.09.017
- Population development as a driver of coastal risk: Current trends and future pathways L. Reimann et al. 10.1017/cft.2023.3
- Unprecedented threats to cities from multi-century sea level rise B. Strauss et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2e6b
- Co-production of climate services: A story map for future coastal flooding for the city of Flensburg B. Vollstedt et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100225
- Stochastic coastal flood risk modelling for the east coast of Africa I. Benito et al. 10.1038/s44304-024-00010-1
- European Copernicus Services to Inform on Sea-Level Rise Adaptation: Current Status and Perspectives A. Melet et al. 10.3389/fmars.2021.703425
- Invited perspectives: Managed realignment as a solution to mitigate coastal flood risks – optimizing success through knowledge co-production M. Schuerch et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-2879-2022
- Estimating population and urban areas at risk of coastal hazards, 1990–2015: how data choices matter K. MacManus et al. 10.5194/essd-13-5747-2021
- Satellite-based data driven quantification of pluvial floods over Europe under future climatic and socioeconomic changes P. Hosseinzadehtalaei et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137688
- Flow-tub model: A modified bathtub flood model with hydraulic connectivity and path-based attenuation I. Kasmalkar et al. 10.1016/j.mex.2023.102524
- Integrating historical storm surge events into flood risk security in the Copenhagen region J. Su et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100713
- The role of preconditioning for extreme storm surges in the western Baltic Sea E. Andrée et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1817-2023
- Projecting the effects of land subsidence and sea level rise on storm surge flooding in Coastal North Carolina J. Johnston et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-01096-7
- A framework for coastal flood hazard assessment under sea level rise: Application to the Persian Gulf M. Irani et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119502
- Earth Observations for Monitoring Marine Coastal Hazards and Their Drivers A. Melet et al. 10.1007/s10712-020-09594-5
- A review of estimating population exposure to sea-level rise and the relevance for migration C. McMichael et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abb398
- The potential of global coastal flood risk reduction using various DRR measures E. Mortensen et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1381-2024
- Enabling dynamic modelling of coastal flooding by defining storm tide hydrographs J. Dullaart et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1847-2023
- Contemporary Contamination of Urban Floodplains in Chennai (India) L. Bellanova et al. 10.1007/s11270-022-05785-5
- Improved modeling of the role of mangroves in storm surge attenuation Q. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.ecss.2021.107515
- Modeling compound flooding in coastal systems using a computationally efficient reduced-physics solver: Including fluvial, pluvial, tidal, wind- and wave-driven processes T. Leijnse et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2020.103796
- Global-scale benefit–cost analysis of coastal flood adaptation to different flood risk drivers using structural measures T. Tiggeloven et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-1025-2020
- Coastal Inundation Hazard Assessment in Australian Tropical Cyclone Prone Regions J. Nguyen & Y. Kuleshov 10.3390/hydrology10120228
- New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding S. Kulp & B. Strauss 10.1038/s41467-019-12808-z
- Amplified Drought and Flood Risk Under Future Socioeconomic and Climatic Change H. Tabari et al. 10.1029/2021EF002295
- Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise M. Hauer et al. 10.1038/s41467-021-27260-1
- Widespread retreat of coastal habitat is likely at warming levels above 1.5 °C N. Saintilan et al. 10.1038/s41586-023-06448-z
- A Flood Risk Framework Capturing the Seasonality of and Dependence Between Rainfall and Sea Levels—An Application to Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam A. Couasnon et al. 10.1029/2021WR030002
- Toxic Tides and Environmental Injustice: Social Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise and Flooding of Hazardous Sites in Coastal California L. Cushing et al. 10.1021/acs.est.2c07481
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Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
This paper evaluates the effect of surge water level reduction due to land surface characteristics when assessing flood impacts at global scales. Our results show that uncertainties due to not accounting for water attenuation are of similar magnitude to the uncertainties regarding the total amount of sea-level rise expected by 2100, thus highlighting the need for better understanding of the spatial and temporal variation of water levels across floodplains.
This paper evaluates the effect of surge water level reduction due to land surface...
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