Articles | Volume 19, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-421-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-421-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Mar 2019
Research article |
| 01 Mar 2019
| 01 Mar 2019
Projected intensification of sub-daily and daily rainfall extremes in convection-permitting climate model simulations over North America: implications for future intensity–duration–frequency curves
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Victoria, Canada
Silvia Innocenti
Institut national de la recherche scientifique,
Centre Eau Terre Environnement, Québec, Canada
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Cited
38 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing the Effect of Bias Correction Methods on the Development of Intensity–Duration–Frequency Curves Based on Projections from the CORDEX Central America GCM-RCM Multimodel-Ensemble M. Mendez et al. 10.3390/w16233473
- A unified statistical framework for detecting trends in multi-timescale precipitation extremes: application to non-stationary intensity-duration-frequency curves G. Chagnaud et al. 10.1007/s00704-021-03650-9
- European extreme precipitation: The effects of spatio-temporal resolution of the data M. Hamouda & C. Pasquero 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100337
- Quantifying future rainfall extremes in Türkiye: a CMIP6 ensemble approach with statistical downscaling T. Tugrul et al. 10.1007/s11600-025-01551-3
- Changes in historical and future precipitation patterns across the contiguous United States R. Sharif et al. 10.3389/feart.2025.1542536
- Bias‐Adjustment Methods for Future Subdaily Precipitation Extremes Consistent Across Durations H. Van de Vyver et al. 10.1029/2022EA002798
- Uncertainties in Riverine and Coastal Flood Impacts under Climate Change S. Wang et al. 10.3390/w13131774
- A framework for quantifying climate-informed heavy rainfall change: Implications for adaptation strategies W. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155553
- Insensitivity of Ecosystem Productivity to Predicted Changes in Fine‐Scale Rainfall Variability Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1029/2021JG006735
- Urban stormwater resilience: Global insights and strategies for climate adaptation M. Fereshtehpour & M. Najafi 10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102290
- Developing a framework for attribution analysis of urban pluvial flooding to human-induced climate impacts H. Tabari et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126352
- Short-duration precipitation extremes over Canada in a warmer climate S. Oh & L. Sushama 10.1007/s00382-020-05126-4
- Climate change impact on short-duration extreme precipitation and intensity–duration–frequency curves over Europe P. Hosseinzadehtalaei et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125249
- Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps P. Lucas‐Picher et al. 10.1002/wcc.731
- Assessment of extreme climatic event model parameters estimation techniques: a case study using Tasmanian extreme rainfall I. Hossain et al. 10.1007/s12665-021-09806-0
- Investigation of Trends, Temporal Changes in Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curves and Extreme Rainfall Events Clustering at Regional Scale Using 5 min Rainfall Data N. Bezak & M. Mikoš 10.3390/w11102167
- Toward Narrowing Uncertainty in Future Projections of Local Extreme Precipitation F. Marra et al. 10.1029/2020GL091823
- Assessing Future Rainfall Intensity–Duration–Frequency Characteristics across Taiwan Using the k-Nearest Neighbor Method P. Chen et al. 10.3390/w13111521
- Reduced Rainfall in Future Heavy Precipitation Events Related to Contracted Rain Area Despite Increased Rain Rate M. Armon et al. 10.1029/2021EF002397
- Update of intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves under climate change: a review I. Kourtis & V. Tsihrintzis 10.2166/ws.2022.152
- The Response of Daily and Sub‐Daily Extreme Precipitations to Changes in Surface and Dew‐Point Temperatures A. Pérez Bello et al. 10.1029/2021JD034972
- Efficient statistical approach to develop intensity-duration-frequency curves for precipitation and runoff under future climate J. Butcher et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-02963-y
- Uncertainty quantification in intensity-duration-frequency curves under climate change: Implications for flood-prone tropical cities W. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106070
- Climate Change and Rainfall Intensity–Duration–Frequency Curves: Overview of Science and Guidelines for Adaptation J. Martel et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002122
- Observed Changes in Daily Precipitation Intensity in the United States R. Harp & D. Horton 10.1029/2022GL099955
- Addressing Climate Internal Variability on Future Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves at Fine Scales across South Korea M. Doi & J. Kim 10.3390/w13202828
- A framework for projecting future intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves based on CORDEX Southeast Asia multi-model simulations: An application for two cities in Southern Vietnam W. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126461
- Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Rainfall in Eastern Africa in a Convection-Permitting Climate Model S. Chapman et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0851.1
- Updating the intensity-duration-frequency curves in major Canadian cities under changing climate using CMIP5 and CMIP6 model projections V. Crévolin et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2023.104473
- The future extreme precipitation systems of orographically locked diurnal convection: the benefits of using large-eddy simulation ensembles W. Chen et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad557d
- Introducing Non-Stationarity Into the Development of Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves under a Changing Climate D. Feitoza Silva et al. 10.3390/w13081008
- Comparison of estimation techniques for generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution parameters: a case study with Tasmanian rainfall I. Hossain et al. 10.1007/s13762-021-03693-5
- Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble G. Di Virgilio et al. 10.5194/gmd-18-671-2025
- Projected Changes in the Probability Distributions, Seasonality, and Spatiotemporal Scaling of Daily and Subdaily Extreme Precipitation Simulated by a 50‐Member Ensemble Over Northeastern North America S. Innocenti et al. 10.1029/2019JD031210
- Probabilistic downscaling of EURO-CORDEX precipitation data for the assessment of future areal precipitation extremes for hourly to daily durations A. El Hachem et al. 10.5194/hess-29-1335-2025
- Precipitation Extremes and Their Links with Regional and Local Temperatures: A Case Study over the Ottawa River Basin, Canada A. Llerena et al. 10.3390/atmos14071130
- Rainfall intensification amplifies exposure of American Southwest to conditions that trigger postfire debris flows M. Thomas et al. 10.1038/s44304-024-00017-8
- Changing Pattern of Intensity–Duration–Frequency Relationship of Precipitation due to Climate Change S. Maity & R. Maity 10.1007/s11269-022-03313-y
38 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing the Effect of Bias Correction Methods on the Development of Intensity–Duration–Frequency Curves Based on Projections from the CORDEX Central America GCM-RCM Multimodel-Ensemble M. Mendez et al. 10.3390/w16233473
- A unified statistical framework for detecting trends in multi-timescale precipitation extremes: application to non-stationary intensity-duration-frequency curves G. Chagnaud et al. 10.1007/s00704-021-03650-9
- European extreme precipitation: The effects of spatio-temporal resolution of the data M. Hamouda & C. Pasquero 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100337
- Quantifying future rainfall extremes in Türkiye: a CMIP6 ensemble approach with statistical downscaling T. Tugrul et al. 10.1007/s11600-025-01551-3
- Changes in historical and future precipitation patterns across the contiguous United States R. Sharif et al. 10.3389/feart.2025.1542536
- Bias‐Adjustment Methods for Future Subdaily Precipitation Extremes Consistent Across Durations H. Van de Vyver et al. 10.1029/2022EA002798
- Uncertainties in Riverine and Coastal Flood Impacts under Climate Change S. Wang et al. 10.3390/w13131774
- A framework for quantifying climate-informed heavy rainfall change: Implications for adaptation strategies W. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155553
- Insensitivity of Ecosystem Productivity to Predicted Changes in Fine‐Scale Rainfall Variability Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1029/2021JG006735
- Urban stormwater resilience: Global insights and strategies for climate adaptation M. Fereshtehpour & M. Najafi 10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102290
- Developing a framework for attribution analysis of urban pluvial flooding to human-induced climate impacts H. Tabari et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126352
- Short-duration precipitation extremes over Canada in a warmer climate S. Oh & L. Sushama 10.1007/s00382-020-05126-4
- Climate change impact on short-duration extreme precipitation and intensity–duration–frequency curves over Europe P. Hosseinzadehtalaei et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125249
- Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps P. Lucas‐Picher et al. 10.1002/wcc.731
- Assessment of extreme climatic event model parameters estimation techniques: a case study using Tasmanian extreme rainfall I. Hossain et al. 10.1007/s12665-021-09806-0
- Investigation of Trends, Temporal Changes in Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curves and Extreme Rainfall Events Clustering at Regional Scale Using 5 min Rainfall Data N. Bezak & M. Mikoš 10.3390/w11102167
- Toward Narrowing Uncertainty in Future Projections of Local Extreme Precipitation F. Marra et al. 10.1029/2020GL091823
- Assessing Future Rainfall Intensity–Duration–Frequency Characteristics across Taiwan Using the k-Nearest Neighbor Method P. Chen et al. 10.3390/w13111521
- Reduced Rainfall in Future Heavy Precipitation Events Related to Contracted Rain Area Despite Increased Rain Rate M. Armon et al. 10.1029/2021EF002397
- Update of intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves under climate change: a review I. Kourtis & V. Tsihrintzis 10.2166/ws.2022.152
- The Response of Daily and Sub‐Daily Extreme Precipitations to Changes in Surface and Dew‐Point Temperatures A. Pérez Bello et al. 10.1029/2021JD034972
- Efficient statistical approach to develop intensity-duration-frequency curves for precipitation and runoff under future climate J. Butcher et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-02963-y
- Uncertainty quantification in intensity-duration-frequency curves under climate change: Implications for flood-prone tropical cities W. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106070
- Climate Change and Rainfall Intensity–Duration–Frequency Curves: Overview of Science and Guidelines for Adaptation J. Martel et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002122
- Observed Changes in Daily Precipitation Intensity in the United States R. Harp & D. Horton 10.1029/2022GL099955
- Addressing Climate Internal Variability on Future Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves at Fine Scales across South Korea M. Doi & J. Kim 10.3390/w13202828
- A framework for projecting future intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves based on CORDEX Southeast Asia multi-model simulations: An application for two cities in Southern Vietnam W. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126461
- Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Rainfall in Eastern Africa in a Convection-Permitting Climate Model S. Chapman et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0851.1
- Updating the intensity-duration-frequency curves in major Canadian cities under changing climate using CMIP5 and CMIP6 model projections V. Crévolin et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2023.104473
- The future extreme precipitation systems of orographically locked diurnal convection: the benefits of using large-eddy simulation ensembles W. Chen et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad557d
- Introducing Non-Stationarity Into the Development of Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves under a Changing Climate D. Feitoza Silva et al. 10.3390/w13081008
- Comparison of estimation techniques for generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution parameters: a case study with Tasmanian rainfall I. Hossain et al. 10.1007/s13762-021-03693-5
- Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble G. Di Virgilio et al. 10.5194/gmd-18-671-2025
- Projected Changes in the Probability Distributions, Seasonality, and Spatiotemporal Scaling of Daily and Subdaily Extreme Precipitation Simulated by a 50‐Member Ensemble Over Northeastern North America S. Innocenti et al. 10.1029/2019JD031210
- Probabilistic downscaling of EURO-CORDEX precipitation data for the assessment of future areal precipitation extremes for hourly to daily durations A. El Hachem et al. 10.5194/hess-29-1335-2025
- Precipitation Extremes and Their Links with Regional and Local Temperatures: A Case Study over the Ottawa River Basin, Canada A. Llerena et al. 10.3390/atmos14071130
- Rainfall intensification amplifies exposure of American Southwest to conditions that trigger postfire debris flows M. Thomas et al. 10.1038/s44304-024-00017-8
- Changing Pattern of Intensity–Duration–Frequency Relationship of Precipitation due to Climate Change S. Maity & R. Maity 10.1007/s11269-022-03313-y
Latest update: 23 Apr 2025
Short summary
Rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves are used as the basis for water resource infrastructure design. Given intensification of the hydrological cycle with global warming, quantitative information on the future extreme rainfall hazard is needed by practitioners. Projected changes in annual maximum rainfall in high-resolution regional climate model simulations result in IDF curves that shift upward and steepen, with greater intensification at short durations and long return periods.
Rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves are used as the basis for water resource...
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