Articles | Volume 18, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-633-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-633-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Mar 2018
Research article |
| 01 Mar 2018
| 01 Mar 2018
Influence of uncertain identification of triggering rainfall on the assessment of landslide early warning thresholds
Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, University of Catania, Catania, Italy
Antonino Cancelliere
Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, University of Catania, Catania, Italy
Roberto Greco
Dipartimento di Ingegneria Civile Design Edilizia e Ambiente, Università degli Studi della Campania Luigi Vanvitelli, Aversa (CE), Italy
Thom A. Bogaard
Water Resources Section, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
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Cited
55 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Determination of the Probabilities of Landslide Events—A Case Study of Bhutan R. Sarkar & K. Dorji 10.3390/hydrology6020052
- Analysis of meteorological parameters triggering rainfall-induced landslide: a review of 70 years in Valtellina A. Abbate et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2041-2021
- Modeling probabilistic-based reliability assessment of gridded rainfall thresholds for shallow landslide occurrence due to the uncertainty of rainfall in time and space X. Wang et al. 10.2166/hydro.2023.124
- Identifying Physics‐Based Thresholds for Rainfall‐Induced Landsliding M. Thomas et al. 10.1029/2018GL079662
- Modelling of rainfall-induced landslide: a threshold-based approach A. Paswan & A. Shrivastava 10.1007/s12517-022-10024-6
- Assessing rainfall threshold for shallow landslides triggering: a case study in the Alpes Maritimes region, France S. Barthélemy et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06941-2
- Using principal component analysis to incorporate multi-layer soil moisture information in hydrometeorological thresholds for landslide prediction: an investigation based on ERA5-Land reanalysis data N. Palazzolo et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-279-2023
- Towards a Transferable Antecedent Rainfall—Susceptibility Threshold Approach for Landsliding E. Monsieurs et al. 10.3390/w11112202
- Preface: Landslide early warning systems: monitoring systems, rainfall thresholds, warning models, performance evaluation and risk perception S. Segoni et al. 10.5194/nhess-18-3179-2018
- Soil moisture information can improve shallow landslide forecasting using the hydrometeorological threshold approach P. Marino et al. 10.1007/s10346-020-01420-8
- Evaluation of rainfall threshold models for debris flow initiation in the Jiangjia Gully, Yunnan Province, China H. Yang et al. 10.1007/s11629-023-8507-6
- Integration of observed and model-derived groundwater levels in landslide threshold models in Rwanda J. Uwihirwe et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1723-2022
- Regional back analysis of landslide events using TRIGRS model and rainfall threshold: an approach to estimate landslide hazard for Kodagu, India H. Rana & G. Babu 10.1007/s10064-022-02660-9
- A systematic review on rainfall thresholds for landslides occurrence F. Gonzalez et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e23247
- Application of hydrological modelling for temporal prediction of rainfall-induced shallow landslides N. Bezak et al. 10.1007/s10346-019-01169-9
- The Value of Using Multiple Hydrometeorological Variables to Predict Temporal Debris Flow Susceptibility in an Alpine Environment D. Prenner et al. 10.1029/2018WR022985
- Spatiotemporal variability of runoff events in response to rainfall, snowmelt, and rain-on-snow in the Lake Erie Basin G. Ali et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101774
- Precipitation-induced landslide risk escalation in China’s urbanization with high-resolution soil moisture and multi-source precipitation product K. He et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131536
- How much does the rainfall temporal resolution affect rainfall thresholds for landslide triggering? S. Gariano et al. 10.1007/s11069-019-03830-x
- Effect of basin morphometric parameters on physically-based rainfall thresholds for shallow landslides R. Marin et al. 10.1016/j.enggeo.2020.105855
- A Regional-Scale Landslide Warning System Based on 20 Years of Operational Experience S. Segoni et al. 10.3390/w10101297
- Deep learning forecast of rainfall-induced shallow landslides A. Mondini et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38135-y
- Deriving rainfall thresholds for landsliding at the regional scale: daily and hourly resolutions, normalisation, and antecedent rainfall E. Leonarduzzi & P. Molnar 10.5194/nhess-20-2905-2020
- Improving Spatial Landslide Prediction with 3D Slope Stability Analysis and Genetic Algorithm Optimization: Application to the Oltrepò Pavese N. Palazzolo et al. 10.3390/w13060801
- Determination of Empirical Rainfall Thresholds for Shallow Landslides in Slovenia Using an Automatic Tool G. Jordanova et al. 10.3390/w12051449
- Probabilistic landslide ensemble prediction systems: lessons to be learned from hydrology E. Canli et al. 10.5194/nhess-18-2183-2018
- Assessing the spatiotemporal impact of climate change on event rainfall characteristics influencing landslide occurrences based on multiple GCM projections in China Q. Lin et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02750-1
- Addressing the Effect of Intra-Seasonal Variations in Developing Rainfall Thresholds for Landslides: An Antecedent Rainfall-Based Approach C. Vishnu et al. 10.3390/geohazards5030033
- Monitoring the role of soil hydrologic conditions and rainfall for the triggering of torrential flows in the Rebaixader catchment (Central Pyrenees, Spain) R. Oorthuis et al. 10.1007/s10346-022-01975-8
- Preface to the Special Issue “Rainfall Thresholds and Other Approaches for Landslide Prediction and Early Warning” S. Segoni et al. 10.3390/w13030323
- Geotechnical and hydrological characterization of hillslope deposits for regional landslide prediction modeling G. Bicocchi et al. 10.1007/s10064-018-01449-z
- Effect of root architecture on rainfall threshold for slope stability: variabilities in saturated hydraulic conductivity and strength of root-soil composite X. Wang et al. 10.1007/s10346-020-01422-6
- The role of geomorphology, rainfall and soil moisture in the occurrence of landslides triggered by 2018 Typhoon Mangkhut in the Philippines C. Abancó et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-1531-2021
- Potential of satellite-derived hydro-meteorological information for landslide initiation thresholds in Rwanda J. Uwihirwe et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-3641-2022
- Feasibility of satellite-based rainfall and soil moisture data in determining the triggering conditions of debris flow: The Jiangjia Gully (China) case study H. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.enggeo.2023.107041
- Keynote lecture. Landslide Early Warning Systems: Resources or Problems? F. Guzzetti et al. 10.1051/e3sconf/202341503010
- Empirical and Physically Based Thresholds for the Occurrence of Shallow Landslides in a Prone Area of Northern Italian Apennines M. Bordoni et al. 10.3390/w11122653
- Implementation of hydrometeorological thresholds for regional landslide warning in Catalonia (NE Spain) R. Palau et al. 10.1007/s10346-023-02094-8
- Understanding hydrologic controls of sloping soil response to precipitation through machine learning analysis applied to synthetic data D. Roman Quintero et al. 10.5194/hess-27-4151-2023
- Modeling impacts of climate change on return period of landslide triggering D. Peres & A. Cancelliere 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.10.036
- Comparing methods for determining landslide early warning thresholds: potential use of non-triggering rainfall for locations with scarce landslide data availability D. Peres & A. Cancelliere 10.1007/s10346-021-01704-7
- Spatial variability of saturated hydraulic conductivity and measurement-based intensity-duration thresholds for slope stability, Santa Ynez Valley, CA P. Alessio 10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.06.004
- Uncertainty analysis of a rainfall threshold estimate for stony debris flow based on the backward dynamical approach M. Martinengo et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-1769-2021
- Hydro-meteorological landslide triggering thresholds based on artificial neural networks using observed precipitation and ERA5-Land soil moisture P. Distefano et al. 10.1007/s10346-023-02132-5
- Definition of Rainfall Thresholds for Landslides Using Unbalanced Datasets: Two Case Studies in Shaanxi Province, China S. Zhang et al. 10.3390/w15061058
- Atmospheric triggering conditions and climatic disposition of landslides in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan at the beginning of the 21st century X. Wang et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2125-2021
- Rainfall thresholds of debris flows based on varying rainfall intensity types in the mountain areas of Beijing H. Wang et al. 10.1080/19475705.2022.2111281
- Recent advancements of landslide hydrology R. Greco et al. 10.1002/wat2.1675
- Rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence: systematic underestimation using coarse temporal resolution data F. Marra 10.1007/s11069-018-3508-4
- Rainfall-induced landslide early warning system based on corrected mesoscale numerical models: an application for the southern Andes I. Fustos-Toribio et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-2169-2022
- Geographical landslide early warning systems F. Guzzetti et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.102973
- Physically based and distributed rainfall intensity and duration thresholds for shallow landslides R. Marin 10.1007/s10346-020-01481-9
- Examples of Application of GASAKe for Predicting the Occurrence of Rainfall-Induced Landslides in Southern Italy O. Terranova et al. 10.3390/geosciences8020078
- Landslide precipitation thresholds in Rwanda J. Uwihirwe et al. 10.1007/s10346-020-01457-9
- Hydrological regimes in different slope environments and implications on rainfall thresholds triggering shallow landslides F. Fusco et al. 10.1007/s11069-022-05417-5
52 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Determination of the Probabilities of Landslide Events—A Case Study of Bhutan R. Sarkar & K. Dorji 10.3390/hydrology6020052
- Analysis of meteorological parameters triggering rainfall-induced landslide: a review of 70 years in Valtellina A. Abbate et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2041-2021
- Modeling probabilistic-based reliability assessment of gridded rainfall thresholds for shallow landslide occurrence due to the uncertainty of rainfall in time and space X. Wang et al. 10.2166/hydro.2023.124
- Identifying Physics‐Based Thresholds for Rainfall‐Induced Landsliding M. Thomas et al. 10.1029/2018GL079662
- Modelling of rainfall-induced landslide: a threshold-based approach A. Paswan & A. Shrivastava 10.1007/s12517-022-10024-6
- Assessing rainfall threshold for shallow landslides triggering: a case study in the Alpes Maritimes region, France S. Barthélemy et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06941-2
- Using principal component analysis to incorporate multi-layer soil moisture information in hydrometeorological thresholds for landslide prediction: an investigation based on ERA5-Land reanalysis data N. Palazzolo et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-279-2023
- Towards a Transferable Antecedent Rainfall—Susceptibility Threshold Approach for Landsliding E. Monsieurs et al. 10.3390/w11112202
- Preface: Landslide early warning systems: monitoring systems, rainfall thresholds, warning models, performance evaluation and risk perception S. Segoni et al. 10.5194/nhess-18-3179-2018
- Soil moisture information can improve shallow landslide forecasting using the hydrometeorological threshold approach P. Marino et al. 10.1007/s10346-020-01420-8
- Evaluation of rainfall threshold models for debris flow initiation in the Jiangjia Gully, Yunnan Province, China H. Yang et al. 10.1007/s11629-023-8507-6
- Integration of observed and model-derived groundwater levels in landslide threshold models in Rwanda J. Uwihirwe et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1723-2022
- Regional back analysis of landslide events using TRIGRS model and rainfall threshold: an approach to estimate landslide hazard for Kodagu, India H. Rana & G. Babu 10.1007/s10064-022-02660-9
- A systematic review on rainfall thresholds for landslides occurrence F. Gonzalez et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e23247
- Application of hydrological modelling for temporal prediction of rainfall-induced shallow landslides N. Bezak et al. 10.1007/s10346-019-01169-9
- The Value of Using Multiple Hydrometeorological Variables to Predict Temporal Debris Flow Susceptibility in an Alpine Environment D. Prenner et al. 10.1029/2018WR022985
- Spatiotemporal variability of runoff events in response to rainfall, snowmelt, and rain-on-snow in the Lake Erie Basin G. Ali et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101774
- Precipitation-induced landslide risk escalation in China’s urbanization with high-resolution soil moisture and multi-source precipitation product K. He et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131536
- How much does the rainfall temporal resolution affect rainfall thresholds for landslide triggering? S. Gariano et al. 10.1007/s11069-019-03830-x
- Effect of basin morphometric parameters on physically-based rainfall thresholds for shallow landslides R. Marin et al. 10.1016/j.enggeo.2020.105855
- A Regional-Scale Landslide Warning System Based on 20 Years of Operational Experience S. Segoni et al. 10.3390/w10101297
- Deep learning forecast of rainfall-induced shallow landslides A. Mondini et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38135-y
- Deriving rainfall thresholds for landsliding at the regional scale: daily and hourly resolutions, normalisation, and antecedent rainfall E. Leonarduzzi & P. Molnar 10.5194/nhess-20-2905-2020
- Improving Spatial Landslide Prediction with 3D Slope Stability Analysis and Genetic Algorithm Optimization: Application to the Oltrepò Pavese N. Palazzolo et al. 10.3390/w13060801
- Determination of Empirical Rainfall Thresholds for Shallow Landslides in Slovenia Using an Automatic Tool G. Jordanova et al. 10.3390/w12051449
- Probabilistic landslide ensemble prediction systems: lessons to be learned from hydrology E. Canli et al. 10.5194/nhess-18-2183-2018
- Assessing the spatiotemporal impact of climate change on event rainfall characteristics influencing landslide occurrences based on multiple GCM projections in China Q. Lin et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02750-1
- Addressing the Effect of Intra-Seasonal Variations in Developing Rainfall Thresholds for Landslides: An Antecedent Rainfall-Based Approach C. Vishnu et al. 10.3390/geohazards5030033
- Monitoring the role of soil hydrologic conditions and rainfall for the triggering of torrential flows in the Rebaixader catchment (Central Pyrenees, Spain) R. Oorthuis et al. 10.1007/s10346-022-01975-8
- Preface to the Special Issue “Rainfall Thresholds and Other Approaches for Landslide Prediction and Early Warning” S. Segoni et al. 10.3390/w13030323
- Geotechnical and hydrological characterization of hillslope deposits for regional landslide prediction modeling G. Bicocchi et al. 10.1007/s10064-018-01449-z
- Effect of root architecture on rainfall threshold for slope stability: variabilities in saturated hydraulic conductivity and strength of root-soil composite X. Wang et al. 10.1007/s10346-020-01422-6
- The role of geomorphology, rainfall and soil moisture in the occurrence of landslides triggered by 2018 Typhoon Mangkhut in the Philippines C. Abancó et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-1531-2021
- Potential of satellite-derived hydro-meteorological information for landslide initiation thresholds in Rwanda J. Uwihirwe et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-3641-2022
- Feasibility of satellite-based rainfall and soil moisture data in determining the triggering conditions of debris flow: The Jiangjia Gully (China) case study H. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.enggeo.2023.107041
- Keynote lecture. Landslide Early Warning Systems: Resources or Problems? F. Guzzetti et al. 10.1051/e3sconf/202341503010
- Empirical and Physically Based Thresholds for the Occurrence of Shallow Landslides in a Prone Area of Northern Italian Apennines M. Bordoni et al. 10.3390/w11122653
- Implementation of hydrometeorological thresholds for regional landslide warning in Catalonia (NE Spain) R. Palau et al. 10.1007/s10346-023-02094-8
- Understanding hydrologic controls of sloping soil response to precipitation through machine learning analysis applied to synthetic data D. Roman Quintero et al. 10.5194/hess-27-4151-2023
- Modeling impacts of climate change on return period of landslide triggering D. Peres & A. Cancelliere 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.10.036
- Comparing methods for determining landslide early warning thresholds: potential use of non-triggering rainfall for locations with scarce landslide data availability D. Peres & A. Cancelliere 10.1007/s10346-021-01704-7
- Spatial variability of saturated hydraulic conductivity and measurement-based intensity-duration thresholds for slope stability, Santa Ynez Valley, CA P. Alessio 10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.06.004
- Uncertainty analysis of a rainfall threshold estimate for stony debris flow based on the backward dynamical approach M. Martinengo et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-1769-2021
- Hydro-meteorological landslide triggering thresholds based on artificial neural networks using observed precipitation and ERA5-Land soil moisture P. Distefano et al. 10.1007/s10346-023-02132-5
- Definition of Rainfall Thresholds for Landslides Using Unbalanced Datasets: Two Case Studies in Shaanxi Province, China S. Zhang et al. 10.3390/w15061058
- Atmospheric triggering conditions and climatic disposition of landslides in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan at the beginning of the 21st century X. Wang et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2125-2021
- Rainfall thresholds of debris flows based on varying rainfall intensity types in the mountain areas of Beijing H. Wang et al. 10.1080/19475705.2022.2111281
- Recent advancements of landslide hydrology R. Greco et al. 10.1002/wat2.1675
- Rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence: systematic underestimation using coarse temporal resolution data F. Marra 10.1007/s11069-018-3508-4
- Rainfall-induced landslide early warning system based on corrected mesoscale numerical models: an application for the southern Andes I. Fustos-Toribio et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-2169-2022
- Geographical landslide early warning systems F. Guzzetti et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.102973
- Physically based and distributed rainfall intensity and duration thresholds for shallow landslides R. Marin 10.1007/s10346-020-01481-9
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Examples of Application of GASAKe for Predicting the Occurrence of Rainfall-Induced Landslides in Southern Italy O. Terranova et al. 10.3390/geosciences8020078
- Landslide precipitation thresholds in Rwanda J. Uwihirwe et al. 10.1007/s10346-020-01457-9
- Hydrological regimes in different slope environments and implications on rainfall thresholds triggering shallow landslides F. Fusco et al. 10.1007/s11069-022-05417-5
Latest update: 20 Jan 2025
Short summary
We investigate the influence of imprecise identification of triggering instants on landslide early warning thresholds by perturbing an error-free synthetic dataset. Combined impacts of uncertainty with respect to temporal discretization of data and criteria for singling out rainfall events are assessed as well. Results show that thresholds can be significantly affected by these uncertainty sources.
We investigate the influence of imprecise identification of triggering instants on landslide...
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