Articles | Volume 18, issue 2
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 445–461, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-445-2018
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 445–461, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-445-2018

Research article 08 Feb 2018

Research article | 08 Feb 2018

Process-based modelling to evaluate simulated groundwater levels and frequencies in a Chalk catchment in south-western England

Simon Brenner et al.

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Latest update: 22 Oct 2021
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Short summary
In this study we simulate groundwater levels with a semi-distributed karst model. Using a percentile approach we can assess the number of days exceeding or falling below selected groundwater level percentiles. We show that our approach is able to predict groundwater levels across all considered timescales up to the 75th percentile. We then use our approach to assess future changes in groundwater dynamics and show that projected climate changes may lead to generally lower groundwater levels.
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