Articles | Volume 18, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2785-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2785-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
24 Oct 2018
Research article |
| 24 Oct 2018
| 24 Oct 2018
Combining probability distributions of sea level variations and wave run-up to evaluate coastal flooding risks
Finnish Meteorological Institute, P. O. Box 503, 00101, Helsinki, Finland
Jan-Victor Björkqvist
Finnish Meteorological Institute, P. O. Box 503, 00101, Helsinki, Finland
Milla M. Johansson
Finnish Meteorological Institute, P. O. Box 503, 00101, Helsinki, Finland
Havu Pellikka
Finnish Meteorological Institute, P. O. Box 503, 00101, Helsinki, Finland
Lauri Laakso
Finnish Meteorological Institute, P. O. Box 503, 00101, Helsinki, Finland
Kimmo K. Kahma
Finnish Meteorological Institute, P. O. Box 503, 00101, Helsinki, Finland
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Cited
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Event-based wave statistics for the Baltic Sea J. Björkqvist et al. 10.5194/sp-4-osr8-10-2024
- Numerical simulations of wave climate in the Baltic Sea: a review T. Soomere 10.1016/j.oceano.2022.01.004
- Recent meteorological and marine studies to support nuclear power plant safety in Finland K. Jylhä et al. 10.1016/j.energy.2018.09.033
- The future of the Portuguese (SW Europe) most vulnerable coastal areas under climate change – Part II: Future extreme coastal flooding from downscaled bias corrected wave climate projections G. Lemos et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2024.118448
- The Importance of Marine Research Infrastructures in Capturing Processes and Impacts of Extreme Events N. Lo Bue et al. 10.3389/fmars.2021.626668
- Bayesian hierarchical modelling of sea-level extremes in the Finnish coastal region O. Räty et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2403-2023
- Simulating sea level extremes from synthetic low-pressure systems J. Särkkä et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1835-2024
- Multihazard simulation for coastal flood mapping: Bathtub versus numerical modelling in an open estuary, Eastern Canada D. Didier et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12505
- A probabilistic approach to combine sea level rise, tide and storm surge into representative return periods of extreme total water levels: Application to the Portuguese coastal areas C. Antunes & G. Lemos 10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109060
- Correlation of wind waves and sea level variations on the coast of the seasonally ice-covered Gulf of Finland M. Johansson et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-813-2022
- Gauging mixed climate extreme value distributions in tropical cyclone regions J. O’Grady et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-08382-y
- Recent Advances and New Frontiers in Riverine and Coastal Flood Modeling K. Jafarzadegan et al. 10.1029/2022RG000788
- Variability of distributions of wave set-up heights along a shoreline with complicated geometry T. Soomere et al. 10.5194/os-16-1047-2020
- Incorporating compound flood events in the weather service value chain J. Su et al. 10.1038/s44304-025-00077-4
- Highlighting the Use of UAV to Increase the Resilience of Native Hawaiian Coastal Cultural Heritage K. Steward et al. 10.3390/rs16122239
- Modelling Coastal Flood Propagation under Sea Level Rise: A Case Study in Maria, Eastern Canada D. Didier et al. 10.3390/geosciences9020076
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Event-based wave statistics for the Baltic Sea J. Björkqvist et al. 10.5194/sp-4-osr8-10-2024
- Numerical simulations of wave climate in the Baltic Sea: a review T. Soomere 10.1016/j.oceano.2022.01.004
- Recent meteorological and marine studies to support nuclear power plant safety in Finland K. Jylhä et al. 10.1016/j.energy.2018.09.033
- The future of the Portuguese (SW Europe) most vulnerable coastal areas under climate change – Part II: Future extreme coastal flooding from downscaled bias corrected wave climate projections G. Lemos et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2024.118448
- The Importance of Marine Research Infrastructures in Capturing Processes and Impacts of Extreme Events N. Lo Bue et al. 10.3389/fmars.2021.626668
- Bayesian hierarchical modelling of sea-level extremes in the Finnish coastal region O. Räty et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2403-2023
- Simulating sea level extremes from synthetic low-pressure systems J. Särkkä et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1835-2024
- Multihazard simulation for coastal flood mapping: Bathtub versus numerical modelling in an open estuary, Eastern Canada D. Didier et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12505
- A probabilistic approach to combine sea level rise, tide and storm surge into representative return periods of extreme total water levels: Application to the Portuguese coastal areas C. Antunes & G. Lemos 10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109060
- Correlation of wind waves and sea level variations on the coast of the seasonally ice-covered Gulf of Finland M. Johansson et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-813-2022
- Gauging mixed climate extreme value distributions in tropical cyclone regions J. O’Grady et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-08382-y
- Recent Advances and New Frontiers in Riverine and Coastal Flood Modeling K. Jafarzadegan et al. 10.1029/2022RG000788
- Variability of distributions of wave set-up heights along a shoreline with complicated geometry T. Soomere et al. 10.5194/os-16-1047-2020
- Incorporating compound flood events in the weather service value chain J. Su et al. 10.1038/s44304-025-00077-4
- Highlighting the Use of UAV to Increase the Resilience of Native Hawaiian Coastal Cultural Heritage K. Steward et al. 10.3390/rs16122239
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 30 Aug 2025
Short summary
The coastal flooding risks based on the combined effect of sea level variations and wind-generated waves are estimated for the present, 2050 and 2100. The variability of the wave conditions between the two case study locations in the Helsinki archipelago leads to a difference in the safe building levels of up to 1 m. The rising mean sea level in the Gulf of Finland and the uncertainty of the associated scenarios contribute to the flooding risks notably in 2100.
The coastal flooding risks based on the combined effect of sea level variations and...
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Final-revised paper
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