Articles | Volume 18, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2183-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2183-2018
Research article
 | 
16 Aug 2018
Research article |  | 16 Aug 2018

Probabilistic landslide ensemble prediction systems: lessons to be learned from hydrology

Ekrem Canli, Martin Mergili, Benni Thiebes, and Thomas Glade

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Latest update: 22 Nov 2024
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Short summary
Regional-scale landslide forecasting traditionally strongly relies on empirical approaches and landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds. Today, probabilistic methods utilizing ensemble predictions are frequently used for flood forecasting. In our study, we specify how such an approach could also be applied for landslide forecasts and for operational landslide forecasting and early warning systems. To this end, we implemented a physically based landslide model in a probabilistic framework.
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