Articles | Volume 18, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2047-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2047-2018
Research article
 | 
27 Jul 2018
Research article |  | 27 Jul 2018

Changing seasonality of moderate and extreme precipitation events in the Alps

Stefan Brönnimann, Jan Rajczak, Erich M. Fischer, Christoph C. Raible, Marco Rohrer, and Christoph Schär

Related authors

600 years of wine must quality and April to August temperatures in Western Europe 1420–2019
Christian Pfister, Stefan Brönnimann, Andres Altwegg, Rudolf Brázdil, Laurent Litzenburger, Daniele Lorusso, and Thomas Pliemon
Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2023-66,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2023-66, 2023
Preprint under review for CP
Short summary
ModE-Sim – a medium-sized atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) ensemble to study climate variability during the modern era (1420 to 2009)
Ralf Hand, Eric Samakinwa, Laura Lipfert, and Stefan Brönnimann
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 4853–4866, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4853-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4853-2023, 2023
Short summary
The weather diaries of the Kirch family: Leipzig, Guben, and Berlin (1677–1774)
Stefan Brönnimann and Yuri Brugnara
Clim. Past, 19, 1435–1445, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1435-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1435-2023, 2023
Short summary
The weather diary of Georg Christoph Eimmart for Nuremberg, 1695–1704
Stefan Brönnimann
Clim. Past, 19, 1345–1357, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1345-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-1345-2023, 2023
Short summary
A 258-year-long data set of temperature and precipitation fields for Switzerland since 1763
Noemi Imfeld, Lucas Pfister, Yuri Brugnara, and Stefan Brönnimann
Clim. Past, 19, 703–729, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-703-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-19-703-2023, 2023
Short summary

Related subject area

Atmospheric, Meteorological and Climatological Hazards
Shallow and deep learning of extreme rainfall events from convective atmospheres
Gerd Bürger and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3065–3077, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3065-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3065-2023, 2023
Short summary
Linking reported drought impacts with drought indices, water scarcity and aridity: the case of Kenya
Marleen R. Lam, Alessia Matanó, Anne F. Van Loon, Rhoda A. Odongo, Aklilu D. Teklesadik, Charles N. Wamucii, Marc J. C. van den Homberg, Shamton Waruru, and Adriaan J. Teuling
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2915–2936, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2915-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2915-2023, 2023
Short summary
Future heat extremes and impacts in a convection-permitting climate ensemble over Germany
Marie Hundhausen, Hendrik Feldmann, Natalie Laube, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2873–2893, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2873-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2873-2023, 2023
Short summary
Assessment of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) ensemble extreme precipitation forecast skill over Europe
Pauline Rivoire, Olivia Martius, Philippe Naveau, and Alexandre Tuel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2857–2871, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2857-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2857-2023, 2023
Short summary
A long record of European windstorm losses and its comparison to standard climate indices
Stephen Cusack
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2841–2856, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2841-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2841-2023, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

Allen, M. R. and Ingram, W. J.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224–232, 2002. 
Ban, N., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Evaluation of the convection-resolving regional climate modelling approach in decade-long simulations, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 119, 7889–7907, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD021478, 2014. 
Ban, N., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Heavy precipitation in a changing climate: Does short-term summer precipitation increase faster?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 1165–1172, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062588, 2015. 
Bezzola, G. R. and Ruf, W. (Edd.): Ereignisanalyse Hochwasser August 2007, in: Analyse der Meteo- und Abflussvorhersagen; vertiefte Analyse der Hochwasserregulierung der Jurarandgewässer, Umwelt-Wissen Nr. 0927, Bundesamt für Umwelt, Bern, 209 pp., 2009. 
Bhend, J., Franke, J., Folini, D., Wild, M., and Brönnimann, S.: An ensemble-based approach to climate reconstructions, Clim. Past, 8, 963–976, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-963-2012, 2012. 
Download
Short summary
Heavy precipitation events in Switzerland are expected to become more intense, but the seasonality also changes. Analysing a large set of model simulations, we find that annual maximum rainfall events become less frequent in late summer and more frequent in early summer and early autumn. The seasonality shift is arguably related to summer drying. Results suggest that changes in the seasonal cycle need to be accounted for when preparing for moderately extreme precipitation events.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint