Articles | Volume 18, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1327-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1327-2018
Research article
 | 
15 May 2018
Research article |  | 15 May 2018

Risk-based flood protection planning under climate change and modeling uncertainty: a pre-alpine case study

Beatrice Dittes, Maria Kaiser, Olga Špačková, Wolfgang Rieger, Markus Disse, and Daniel Straub

Related authors

Managing uncertainty in flood protection planning with climate projections
Beatrice Dittes, Olga Špačková, Lukas Schoppa, and Daniel Straub
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2511–2526, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2511-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2511-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Risk Assessment, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Socioeconomic and Management Aspects
Assessment of building damage and risk under extreme flood scenarios in Shanghai
Jiachang Tu, Jiahong Wen, Liang Emlyn Yang, Andrea Reimuth, Stephen S. Young, Min Zhang, Luyang Wang, and Matthias Garschagen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3247–3260, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3247-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3247-2023, 2023
Short summary
Mangrove ecosystem properties regulate high water levels in a river delta
Ignace Pelckmans, Jean-Philippe Belliard, Luis E. Dominguez-Granda, Cornelis Slobbe, Stijn Temmerman, and Olivier Gourgue
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3169–3183, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3169-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3169-2023, 2023
Short summary
Analysis of flood warning and evacuation efficiency by comparing damage and life-loss estimates with real consequences related to the São Francisco tailings dam failure in Brazil
André Felipe Rocha Silva and Julian Cardoso Eleutério
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3095–3110, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3095-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3095-2023, 2023
Short summary
Criteria-based visualization design for hazard maps
Max Schneider, Fabrice Cotton, and Pia-Johanna Schweizer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2505–2521, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2505-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2505-2023, 2023
Short summary
Regional-scale landslide risk assessment in Central-Asia
Francesco Caleca, Chiara Scaini, William Frodella, and Veronica Tofani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2023-106,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2023-106, 2023
Revised manuscript accepted for NHESS
Short summary

Cited articles

Apel, H., Aronica, G. T., Kreibich, H., and Thieken, A. H.: Flood risk analyses – how detailed do we need to be?, Nat. Hazards, 49, 79–98, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-008-9277-8, 2009.
Baker, J., Straub, D., Nishijima, K., and Faber, M.: On the assessment of robustness I: A general framework, in JCSS and IABSE Workshop on Robustness of Structures, Watford, 2005.
Bosshard, T., Carambia, M., Goergen, K., Kotlarski, S., Krahe, P., Zappa, M. and Schär, C.: Quantifying uncertainty sources in an ensemble of, hydrological climate-impact projections, Water Resour. Res., 49, 1523–1536, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011533, 2013.
Bubeck, P., de Moel, H., Bouwer, L. M., and Aerts, J. C. J. H.: How reliable are projections of future flood damage?, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 3293–3306, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-11-3293-2011, 2011.
Download
Short summary
We study flood protection options in a pre-alpine catchment in southern Germany. Protection systems are evaluated probabilistically, taking into account climatic and other uncertainties as well as the possibility of future adjustments. Despite large uncertainty in damage, cost, and climate, we arrive at a rough recommendation. Hence, one can make good decisions under large uncertainty. The results also show it is preferable to plan risk-based rather than protecting from a specific design flood.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint