Articles | Volume 18, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1297-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1297-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Multi-model ensembles for assessment of flood losses and associated uncertainty
Rui Figueiredo
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia, Pavia, Italy
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Sect. 5.4: Hydrology, Potsdam, Germany
Kai Schröter
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Sect. 5.4: Hydrology, Potsdam, Germany
Alexander Weiss-Motz
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Sect. 5.4: Hydrology, Potsdam, Germany
Mario L. V. Martina
Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia, Pavia, Italy
Heidi Kreibich
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Sect. 5.4: Hydrology, Potsdam, Germany
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39 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The determination of flood damage curve in areas lacking disaster data based on the optimization principle of variation coefficient and beta distribution Z. Wu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142277
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- Potential Benefits in Remapping the Special Flood Hazard Area: Evidence from the U.S. Housing Market A. Pollack et al. 10.1016/j.jhe.2023.101956
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- The role of socio-economic and property variables in the establishment of flood depth-damage curve for the data-scarce area in Malaysia S. Sulong & N. Romali 10.1080/1573062X.2022.2099292
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- Evaluating targeted heuristics for vulnerability assessment in flood impact model chains A. Zischg et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12736
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- What drives uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks? I. Hosseini-Shakib et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131055
- INSYDE-BE: adaptation of the INSYDE model to the Walloon region (Belgium) A. Scorzini et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1743-2022
- Extreme Flood Disasters: Comprehensive Impact and Assessment Q. Yu et al. 10.3390/w14081211
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- A hazard-human coupled model (HazardCM) to assess city dynamic exposure to rainfall-triggered natural hazards Q. Dai et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104684
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Latest update: 03 Nov 2024
Short summary
Flood loss modelling is subject to large uncertainty that is often neglected. Most models are deterministic, and large disparities exist among them. Adopting a single model may lead to inaccurate loss estimates and sub-optimal decision-making. This paper proposes the use of multi-model ensembles to address such issues. We demonstrate that this can be a simple and pragmatic approach to obtain more accurate loss estimates and reliable probability distributions of model uncertainty.
Flood loss modelling is subject to large uncertainty that is often neglected. Most models are...
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