Articles | Volume 17, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1623-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1623-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
25 Sep 2017
Research article |
| 25 Sep 2017
Effects of sample size on estimation of rainfall extremes at high temperatures
Berry Boessenkool
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Gerd Bürger
Institute for Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Maik Heistermann
Institute for Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
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Cited
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Exploring the linkage between dew point temperature and precipitation extremes: A multi-time-scale analysis on a semi-arid Mediterranean region D. Pumo & L. Noto 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105508
- Overview of Observed Clausius-Clapeyron Scaling of Extreme Precipitation in Midlatitudes M. Martinkova & J. Kysely 10.3390/atmos11080786
- On the response of daily precipitation extremes to local mean temperature in the Yangtze River basin Y. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107265
- Mapping seasonal and annual extreme precipitation over the Peruvian Andes F. Domínguez‐Castro et al. 10.1002/joc.5739
- Seasonal characteristics and spatio-temporal variations of the extreme precipitation-air temperature relationship across China X. Li et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd01a
- Observed Climatological Relationships of Extreme Daily Precipitation Events With Precipitable Water and Vertical Velocity in the Contiguous United States K. Kunkel et al. 10.1029/2019GL086721
- Extreme significant wave height of tropical cyclone waves in the South China Sea Z. Shao et al. 10.5194/nhess-19-2067-2019
- Monotonic Increase of Extreme Precipitation Intensity With Temperature When Controlled for Saturation Deficit G. Wang & X. Sun 10.1029/2022GL097881
- Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France L. Luu et al. 10.5194/esd-13-687-2022
- Intensification of Convective Rain Cells at Warmer Temperatures Observed from High-Resolution Weather Radar Data N. Peleg et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0158.1
- Reassessing hourly precipitation–temperature scaling: the diurnal cycle in a warming China M. Lei et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ada3e6
- Sensitivity of extreme rainfall to temperature in semi-arid Mediterranean regions D. Pumo et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.03.036
- Subhourly rainfall in a convection-permitting model E. Meredith et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6787
- The Diurnal Nature of Future Extreme Precipitation Intensification E. Meredith et al. 10.1029/2019GL082385
- Temperature-Driven Rise in Extreme Sub-Hourly Rainfall G. Bürger et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0136.1
- Estimation of probable maximum precipitation at three provinces in Northeast Vietnam using historical data and future climate change scenarios L. Thanh Thuy et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.100599
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Exploring the linkage between dew point temperature and precipitation extremes: A multi-time-scale analysis on a semi-arid Mediterranean region D. Pumo & L. Noto 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105508
- Overview of Observed Clausius-Clapeyron Scaling of Extreme Precipitation in Midlatitudes M. Martinkova & J. Kysely 10.3390/atmos11080786
- On the response of daily precipitation extremes to local mean temperature in the Yangtze River basin Y. Jiang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107265
- Mapping seasonal and annual extreme precipitation over the Peruvian Andes F. Domínguez‐Castro et al. 10.1002/joc.5739
- Seasonal characteristics and spatio-temporal variations of the extreme precipitation-air temperature relationship across China X. Li et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd01a
- Observed Climatological Relationships of Extreme Daily Precipitation Events With Precipitable Water and Vertical Velocity in the Contiguous United States K. Kunkel et al. 10.1029/2019GL086721
- Extreme significant wave height of tropical cyclone waves in the South China Sea Z. Shao et al. 10.5194/nhess-19-2067-2019
- Monotonic Increase of Extreme Precipitation Intensity With Temperature When Controlled for Saturation Deficit G. Wang & X. Sun 10.1029/2022GL097881
- Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France L. Luu et al. 10.5194/esd-13-687-2022
- Intensification of Convective Rain Cells at Warmer Temperatures Observed from High-Resolution Weather Radar Data N. Peleg et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0158.1
- Reassessing hourly precipitation–temperature scaling: the diurnal cycle in a warming China M. Lei et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ada3e6
- Sensitivity of extreme rainfall to temperature in semi-arid Mediterranean regions D. Pumo et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.03.036
- Subhourly rainfall in a convection-permitting model E. Meredith et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6787
- The Diurnal Nature of Future Extreme Precipitation Intensification E. Meredith et al. 10.1029/2019GL082385
- Temperature-Driven Rise in Extreme Sub-Hourly Rainfall G. Bürger et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0136.1
Saved (final revised paper)
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 31 May 2025
Short summary
Rainfall is more intense at high temperatures than in cooler weather, as can be seen in summer thunder storms. The relationship between temperature and rainfall intensity seems to invert at very high temperatures, however. There are some possible meteorological explanations, but we propose that part of the reason might be the low number of observations, due to which the actually possible values are underestimated. We propose a better way to estimate high quantiles from small datasets.
Rainfall is more intense at high temperatures than in cooler weather, as can be seen in summer...
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