Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-239-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-239-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Risk of large-scale fires in boreal forests of Finland under changing climate
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki,
Finland
A. Venäläinen
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki,
Finland
M. Kämäräinen
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki,
Finland
H. Peltola
University of Eastern Finland, School of Forest Sciences,
Joensuu, Finland
H. Gregow
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki,
Finland
Viewed
Total article views: 4,583 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 14 Aug 2015)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2,574 | 1,279 | 730 | 4,583 | 133 | 137 |
- HTML: 2,574
- PDF: 1,279
- XML: 730
- Total: 4,583
- BibTeX: 133
- EndNote: 137
Total article views: 4,172 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 21 Jan 2016)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2,412 | 1,053 | 707 | 4,172 | 119 | 125 |
- HTML: 2,412
- PDF: 1,053
- XML: 707
- Total: 4,172
- BibTeX: 119
- EndNote: 125
Total article views: 411 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 14 Aug 2015)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
162 | 226 | 23 | 411 | 14 | 12 |
- HTML: 162
- PDF: 226
- XML: 23
- Total: 411
- BibTeX: 14
- EndNote: 12
Cited
38 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Moisture content variation of ground vegetation fuels in boreal mesic and sub-xeric mineral soil forests in Finland H. Lindberg et al. 10.1071/WF20085
- Potential Health Impacts from a Wildfire Smoke Plume over Region Jämtland Härjedalen, Sweden A. Tornevi et al. 10.3390/atmos14101491
- Global warming is shifting the relationships between fire weather and realized fire-induced CO2 emissions in Europe J. Carnicer et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-14480-8
- Diversification of forest management can mitigate wind damage risk and maintain biodiversity M. Potterf et al. 10.1007/s10342-023-01625-1
- Projected changes in forest fire season, the number of fires, and burnt area in Fennoscandia by 2100 O. Kinnunen et al. 10.5194/bg-21-4739-2024
- The response of epiphytic lichens on living and dead Pinus sylvestris to prescribed fires of varying severity A. Nirhamo et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121558
- Missing forest cover gains in boreal forests explained L. Guindon et al. 10.1002/ecs2.2094
- Decadal‐Scale Recovery of Carbon Stocks After Wildfires Throughout the Boreal Forests M. Palviainen et al. 10.1029/2020GB006612
- Multivariate quantile mapping bias correction: an N-dimensional probability density function transform for climate model simulations of multiple variables A. Cannon 10.1007/s00382-017-3580-6
- Recent and future hydrological trends of aapa mires across the boreal climate gradient A. Sallinen et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.129022
- The exceptional Nordic forest fire season 2018 in the context of climate change 10.35614/ISSN-2341-6408-IK-2021-03-RL
- Disentangling the effects of management and climate change on habitat suitability for saproxylic species in boreal forests E. Ekman et al. 10.1007/s11676-023-01678-3
- Exploring the future change space for fire weather in southeast Australia H. Clarke & J. Evans 10.1007/s00704-018-2507-4
- Effects of using certain tree species in forest regeneration on regional wind damage risks in Finnish boreal forests under different CMIP5 projections V. Ikonen et al. 10.1007/s10342-020-01276-6
- Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Forest Fires in Poland and Consequences for Fire Protection Systems: Seeking a Balance between Efficiency and Costs A. Kolanek et al. 10.3390/su152416829
- Two Types of Physical Inconsistency to Avoid with Univariate Quantile Mapping: A Case Study over North America Concerning Relative Humidity and Its Parent Variables P. Grenier 10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0177.1
- Trends and patterns in annually burned forest areas and fire weather across the European boreal zone in the 20th and early 21st centuries I. Drobyshev et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108467
- Reviews and syntheses: Arctic fire regimes and emissions in the 21st century J. McCarty et al. 10.5194/bg-18-5053-2021
- Foraging Behaviour of the Eurasian Three-Toed Woodpecker Picoides tridactylus in Its Peak Abundance After Wildfire M. Versluijs et al. 10.5253/arde.v110i1.a2
- Effects of forest management practices on carbon dynamics of China's boreal forests under changing climates C. Huang et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117497
- Climate change induces multiple risks to boreal forests and forestry in Finland: A literature review A. Venäläinen et al. 10.1111/gcb.15183
- Climate change strongly affects future fire weather danger in Indian forests A. Barik & S. Baidya Roy 10.1038/s43247-023-01112-w
- Predicting iron transport in boreal agriculture-dominated catchments under a changing climate M. Saari et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136743
- Seasonal soil moisture and drought occurrence in Europe in CMIP5 projections for the 21st century K. Ruosteenoja et al. 10.1007/s00382-017-3671-4
- Estimation of the high-spatial-resolution variability in extreme wind speeds for forestry applications A. Venäläinen et al. 10.5194/esd-8-529-2017
- Optimal forest rotation under carbon pricing and forest damage risk T. Ekholm 10.1016/j.forpol.2020.102131
- Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018 F. Krikken et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021
- Decomposing sources of uncertainty in climate change projections of boreal forest primary production T. Kalliokoski et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.06.030
- Prediction of forest canopy fuel parameters in managed boreal forests using multispectral and unispectral airborne laser scanning data and aerial images M. Maltamo et al. 10.1080/22797254.2020.1816142
- Developing Indicators to Improve Safety and Security of Citizens in Case of Disruption of Critical Infrastructures Due to Natural Hazards—Case of a Snowstorm in Finland R. Molarius et al. 10.3390/safety8030060
- Effects of using certain tree species in forest regeneration on volume growth, timber yield, and carbon stock of boreal forests in Finland under different CMIP5 projections L. ALRahahleh et al. 10.1007/s10342-018-1126-z
- Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region A. Rutgersson et al. 10.5194/esd-13-251-2022
- Effects of CMIP5 Projections on Volume Growth, Carbon Stock and Timber Yield in Managed Scots Pine, Norway Spruce and Silver Birch Stands under Southern and Northern Boreal Conditions L. ALRahahleh et al. 10.3390/f9040208
- Age-related response of forest floor biogenic volatile organic compound fluxes to boreal forest succession after wildfires H. Zhang-Turpeinen et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108584
- Fire activity and hydrological dynamics in the past 5700 years reconstructed from Sphagnum peatlands along the oceanic–continental climatic gradient in northern Poland K. Marcisz et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.10.018
- Soil phosphorus forms show only minor changes across a 5000-year-old boreal wildfire chronosequence A. Vincent et al. 10.1007/s10533-022-00910-2
- The European Climate Research Alliance (ECRA): Collaboration from bottom-up W. Hoke et al. 10.5194/adgeo-46-1-2019
- Sectoral policies cause incoherence in forest management and ecosystem service provisioning C. Blattert et al. 10.1016/j.forpol.2022.102689
38 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Moisture content variation of ground vegetation fuels in boreal mesic and sub-xeric mineral soil forests in Finland H. Lindberg et al. 10.1071/WF20085
- Potential Health Impacts from a Wildfire Smoke Plume over Region Jämtland Härjedalen, Sweden A. Tornevi et al. 10.3390/atmos14101491
- Global warming is shifting the relationships between fire weather and realized fire-induced CO2 emissions in Europe J. Carnicer et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-14480-8
- Diversification of forest management can mitigate wind damage risk and maintain biodiversity M. Potterf et al. 10.1007/s10342-023-01625-1
- Projected changes in forest fire season, the number of fires, and burnt area in Fennoscandia by 2100 O. Kinnunen et al. 10.5194/bg-21-4739-2024
- The response of epiphytic lichens on living and dead Pinus sylvestris to prescribed fires of varying severity A. Nirhamo et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121558
- Missing forest cover gains in boreal forests explained L. Guindon et al. 10.1002/ecs2.2094
- Decadal‐Scale Recovery of Carbon Stocks After Wildfires Throughout the Boreal Forests M. Palviainen et al. 10.1029/2020GB006612
- Multivariate quantile mapping bias correction: an N-dimensional probability density function transform for climate model simulations of multiple variables A. Cannon 10.1007/s00382-017-3580-6
- Recent and future hydrological trends of aapa mires across the boreal climate gradient A. Sallinen et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.129022
- The exceptional Nordic forest fire season 2018 in the context of climate change 10.35614/ISSN-2341-6408-IK-2021-03-RL
- Disentangling the effects of management and climate change on habitat suitability for saproxylic species in boreal forests E. Ekman et al. 10.1007/s11676-023-01678-3
- Exploring the future change space for fire weather in southeast Australia H. Clarke & J. Evans 10.1007/s00704-018-2507-4
- Effects of using certain tree species in forest regeneration on regional wind damage risks in Finnish boreal forests under different CMIP5 projections V. Ikonen et al. 10.1007/s10342-020-01276-6
- Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Forest Fires in Poland and Consequences for Fire Protection Systems: Seeking a Balance between Efficiency and Costs A. Kolanek et al. 10.3390/su152416829
- Two Types of Physical Inconsistency to Avoid with Univariate Quantile Mapping: A Case Study over North America Concerning Relative Humidity and Its Parent Variables P. Grenier 10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0177.1
- Trends and patterns in annually burned forest areas and fire weather across the European boreal zone in the 20th and early 21st centuries I. Drobyshev et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108467
- Reviews and syntheses: Arctic fire regimes and emissions in the 21st century J. McCarty et al. 10.5194/bg-18-5053-2021
- Foraging Behaviour of the Eurasian Three-Toed Woodpecker Picoides tridactylus in Its Peak Abundance After Wildfire M. Versluijs et al. 10.5253/arde.v110i1.a2
- Effects of forest management practices on carbon dynamics of China's boreal forests under changing climates C. Huang et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117497
- Climate change induces multiple risks to boreal forests and forestry in Finland: A literature review A. Venäläinen et al. 10.1111/gcb.15183
- Climate change strongly affects future fire weather danger in Indian forests A. Barik & S. Baidya Roy 10.1038/s43247-023-01112-w
- Predicting iron transport in boreal agriculture-dominated catchments under a changing climate M. Saari et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136743
- Seasonal soil moisture and drought occurrence in Europe in CMIP5 projections for the 21st century K. Ruosteenoja et al. 10.1007/s00382-017-3671-4
- Estimation of the high-spatial-resolution variability in extreme wind speeds for forestry applications A. Venäläinen et al. 10.5194/esd-8-529-2017
- Optimal forest rotation under carbon pricing and forest damage risk T. Ekholm 10.1016/j.forpol.2020.102131
- Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018 F. Krikken et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2169-2021
- Decomposing sources of uncertainty in climate change projections of boreal forest primary production T. Kalliokoski et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.06.030
- Prediction of forest canopy fuel parameters in managed boreal forests using multispectral and unispectral airborne laser scanning data and aerial images M. Maltamo et al. 10.1080/22797254.2020.1816142
- Developing Indicators to Improve Safety and Security of Citizens in Case of Disruption of Critical Infrastructures Due to Natural Hazards—Case of a Snowstorm in Finland R. Molarius et al. 10.3390/safety8030060
- Effects of using certain tree species in forest regeneration on volume growth, timber yield, and carbon stock of boreal forests in Finland under different CMIP5 projections L. ALRahahleh et al. 10.1007/s10342-018-1126-z
- Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region A. Rutgersson et al. 10.5194/esd-13-251-2022
- Effects of CMIP5 Projections on Volume Growth, Carbon Stock and Timber Yield in Managed Scots Pine, Norway Spruce and Silver Birch Stands under Southern and Northern Boreal Conditions L. ALRahahleh et al. 10.3390/f9040208
- Age-related response of forest floor biogenic volatile organic compound fluxes to boreal forest succession after wildfires H. Zhang-Turpeinen et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108584
- Fire activity and hydrological dynamics in the past 5700 years reconstructed from Sphagnum peatlands along the oceanic–continental climatic gradient in northern Poland K. Marcisz et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.10.018
- Soil phosphorus forms show only minor changes across a 5000-year-old boreal wildfire chronosequence A. Vincent et al. 10.1007/s10533-022-00910-2
- The European Climate Research Alliance (ECRA): Collaboration from bottom-up W. Hoke et al. 10.5194/adgeo-46-1-2019
- Sectoral policies cause incoherence in forest management and ecosystem service provisioning C. Blattert et al. 10.1016/j.forpol.2022.102689
Saved (final revised paper)
Saved (preprint)
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
The number of large forest fires in Finland will most likely increase during the twenty-first century in response to projected climate change. This would increase the risk that some of the fires could develop into real conflagrations which have become almost extinct in Finland due to effective fire suppression. However, our results show considerable inter-model variability, demonstrating the large uncertainty related to the rate of the projected change in forest-fire danger.
The number of large forest fires in Finland will most likely increase during the twenty-first...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint