Brief communication
19 Jul 2016
Brief communication | 19 Jul 2016
Brief Communication: An update of the article "Modelling flood damages under climate change conditions – a case study for Germany"
Fred Fokko Hattermann1, Shaochun Huang1, Olaf Burghoff2, Peter Hoffmann1, and Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz1,3
Fred Fokko Hattermann et al.
Fred Fokko Hattermann1, Shaochun Huang1, Olaf Burghoff2, Peter Hoffmann1, and Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz1,3
- 1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany
- 2German Insurance Association (GDV), Berlin, Germany
- 3Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland
- 1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany
- 2German Insurance Association (GDV), Berlin, Germany
- 3Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland
Correspondence: Fred Fokko Hattermann (hattermann@pik-potsdam.de)
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Received: 07 Oct 2015 – Discussion started: 01 Dec 2015 – Revised: 09 Jun 2016 – Accepted: 17 Jun 2016 – Published: 19 Jul 2016
Abstract. In our first study on possible flood damages under climate change in Germany, we reported that a considerable increase in flood-related losses can be expected in a future warmer climate. However, the general significance of the study was limited by the fact that outcome of only one global climate model (GCM) was used as a large-scale climate driver, while many studies report that GCMs are often the largest source of uncertainty in impact modelling. Here we show that a much broader set of global and regional climate model combinations as climate drivers show trends which are in line with the original results and even give a stronger increase of damages.
