Brief Communication: An update of the article "Modelling flood damages under climate change conditions – a case study for Germany"
- 1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany
- 2German Insurance Association (GDV), Berlin, Germany
- 3Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences, Poznan, Poland
Abstract. In our first study on possible flood damages under climate change in Germany, we reported that a considerable increase in flood-related losses can be expected in a future warmer climate. However, the general significance of the study was limited by the fact that outcome of only one global climate model (GCM) was used as a large-scale climate driver, while many studies report that GCMs are often the largest source of uncertainty in impact modelling. Here we show that a much broader set of global and regional climate model combinations as climate drivers show trends which are in line with the original results and even give a stronger increase of damages.