Articles | Volume 15, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1215-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1215-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Estimating the long-term historic evolution of exposure to flooding of coastal populations
A. J. Stevens
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Faculty of Engineering and Environment, University of Southampton, University Road, Highfield, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK
D. Clarke
Faculty of Engineering and Environment, University of Southampton, University Road, Highfield, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich, UK
R. J. Nicholls
Faculty of Engineering and Environment, University of Southampton, University Road, Highfield, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich, UK
M. P. Wadey
Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK
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Cited
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing Coastal Flood Risk in a Changing Climate for Dublin, Ireland R. Paranunzio et al. 10.3390/jmse10111715
- Assessing the inundation risk resulting from extreme water levels under sea-level rise: a case study of Rongcheng, China A. Feng et al. 10.1080/19475705.2018.1447026
- Preface: Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme storm events in a changing climate J. Brown et al. 10.5194/nhess-16-463-2016
- Identifying Land-Use Related Potential Disaster Risk Drivers in the Ayeyarwady Delta (Myanmar) during the Last 50 Years (1974–2021) Using a Hybrid Ensemble Learning Model A. Vogel et al. 10.3390/rs14153568
- Spatiotemporal changes of manufacturing firms in the flood prone Yangtze Delta S. Jiao et al. 10.1080/17477891.2021.1988502
- HANZE: a pan-European database of exposure to natural hazards and damaging historical floods since 1870 D. Paprotny et al. 10.5194/essd-10-565-2018
- Assessment and comparison of extreme sea levels and waves during the 2013/14 storm season in two UK coastal regions M. Wadey et al. 10.5194/nhess-15-2209-2015
- Coastal flood analysis and visualisation for a small town M. Wadey et al. 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2015.07.028
- An improved database of coastal flooding in the United Kingdom from 1915 to 2016 I. Haigh et al. 10.1038/sdata.2017.100
- Coupling scenarios of urban growth and flood hazards along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Italy) I. Sekovski et al. 10.5194/nhess-15-2331-2015
- Integrated Framework for Emergency Shelter Planning Based on Multihazard Risk Evaluation and Its Application: Case Study in China C. Fan et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000253
- A comparison of the 31 January–1 February 1953 and 5–6 December 2013 coastal flood events around the UK M. Wadey et al. 10.3389/fmars.2015.00084
7 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing Coastal Flood Risk in a Changing Climate for Dublin, Ireland R. Paranunzio et al. 10.3390/jmse10111715
- Assessing the inundation risk resulting from extreme water levels under sea-level rise: a case study of Rongcheng, China A. Feng et al. 10.1080/19475705.2018.1447026
- Preface: Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme storm events in a changing climate J. Brown et al. 10.5194/nhess-16-463-2016
- Identifying Land-Use Related Potential Disaster Risk Drivers in the Ayeyarwady Delta (Myanmar) during the Last 50 Years (1974–2021) Using a Hybrid Ensemble Learning Model A. Vogel et al. 10.3390/rs14153568
- Spatiotemporal changes of manufacturing firms in the flood prone Yangtze Delta S. Jiao et al. 10.1080/17477891.2021.1988502
- HANZE: a pan-European database of exposure to natural hazards and damaging historical floods since 1870 D. Paprotny et al. 10.5194/essd-10-565-2018
- Assessment and comparison of extreme sea levels and waves during the 2013/14 storm season in two UK coastal regions M. Wadey et al. 10.5194/nhess-15-2209-2015
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Coastal flood analysis and visualisation for a small town M. Wadey et al. 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2015.07.028
- An improved database of coastal flooding in the United Kingdom from 1915 to 2016 I. Haigh et al. 10.1038/sdata.2017.100
- Coupling scenarios of urban growth and flood hazards along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Italy) I. Sekovski et al. 10.5194/nhess-15-2331-2015
- Integrated Framework for Emergency Shelter Planning Based on Multihazard Risk Evaluation and Its Application: Case Study in China C. Fan et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000253
- A comparison of the 31 January–1 February 1953 and 5–6 December 2013 coastal flood events around the UK M. Wadey et al. 10.3389/fmars.2015.00084
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 13 Nov 2024
Short summary
Using census data, historic maps and hydrodynamic modelling, this paper presents a methodology for assessing how the exposure of people to flooding has changed over the last 200 years at the local level in the UK. The method is applied to two case studies at Portsea and Hayling Islands in the UK's Solent region. The analysis shows that for the case studies, population rise has, to date, had a much greater influence on exposure than sea level rise.
Using census data, historic maps and hydrodynamic modelling, this paper presents a methodology...
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