Articles | Volume 24, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-13-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-13-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Regional-scale landslide risk assessment in Central Asia
Francesco Caleca
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Florence, via G. la Pira 4, 50121 Florence, Italy
Chiara Scaini
National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics – OGS, Borgo Grotta Gigante, 34100 Sgonico (Trieste), Italy
William Frodella
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Florence, via G. la Pira 4, 50121 Florence, Italy
Veronica Tofani
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Florence, via G. la Pira 4, 50121 Florence, Italy
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Cited
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Landslide susceptibility analysis for Ancient Shu Roads using ensemble machine learning H. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s40494-026-02659-5
- Statistical–machine learning coupled models predicting landslide susceptibility in Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture: performance comparison and factor explanations Z. Ning et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-026-04917-z
- Evaluating the factors affecting landslides using machine learning algorithms (case study: the catchment area of Karun-3 Dam, Iran) R. Zandi & G. Shah Pari Far https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2025.07.005
- Spatial Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility for Sustainable Land-Use Planning in the Foothill Zones of the Almaty Agglomeration (Southeastern Kazakhstan) Using the Frequency Ratio Method and GIS A. Bekzhanova et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18179079
- Engaging diverse stakeholders in exposure data collection: Participatory tools and activities C. Scaini et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105179
- Quantitative landslide risk analysis with limited dataset by leveraging geospatial approaches in Indonesia D. Melati et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07645-x
- A hybrid framework for landslide prediction integrating machine learning and sample enhanced by spatial autocorrelation L. Ding et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-025-03079-w
- Thickness inversion of large-scale active landslides: concepts, methods, and InSAR-based pathways G. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2026.105728
- A Geospatial Framework for Landslide Risk Assessment of Road Infrastructure at a Regional Level in Greece Z. Misiri et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi15060246
- Predicting deep-seated landslide displacement on Taiwan's Lushan through the integration of convolutional neural networks and the Age of Exploration-Inspired Optimizer J. Chou et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-119-2025
- Quantitative landslide risk assessment for Italy F. Caleca et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-025-02590-z
- Multi-Sensor Satellite Analysis for Landslide Characterization: A Case of Study from Baipaza, Tajikistan F. Poggi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17122003
- Integrating multidisciplinary approach to decipher the peculier incidence of burst of new water source and perpetual problem of ground subsidence in Joshimath, Uttarakhand H. Bahuguna et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07737-8
- From landslide susceptibility to risk assessment in the conterminous United States F. Caleca et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108994
- Spatiotemporal assessment of landslide risk over large areas: a case study of the Valencian Community (1950–2021) I. Cantarino Martí et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2505-2026
- Residential community-based quantitative risk assessment of rainfall-induced loess landslides for the suburban residential areas of Chengguan district in Lanzhou city with an innovative framework J. He et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108785
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Landslide susceptibility analysis for Ancient Shu Roads using ensemble machine learning H. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s40494-026-02659-5
- Statistical–machine learning coupled models predicting landslide susceptibility in Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture: performance comparison and factor explanations Z. Ning et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-026-04917-z
- Evaluating the factors affecting landslides using machine learning algorithms (case study: the catchment area of Karun-3 Dam, Iran) R. Zandi & G. Shah Pari Far https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2025.07.005
- Spatial Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility for Sustainable Land-Use Planning in the Foothill Zones of the Almaty Agglomeration (Southeastern Kazakhstan) Using the Frequency Ratio Method and GIS A. Bekzhanova et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18179079
- Engaging diverse stakeholders in exposure data collection: Participatory tools and activities C. Scaini et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105179
- Quantitative landslide risk analysis with limited dataset by leveraging geospatial approaches in Indonesia D. Melati et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07645-x
- A hybrid framework for landslide prediction integrating machine learning and sample enhanced by spatial autocorrelation L. Ding et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-025-03079-w
- Thickness inversion of large-scale active landslides: concepts, methods, and InSAR-based pathways G. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2026.105728
- A Geospatial Framework for Landslide Risk Assessment of Road Infrastructure at a Regional Level in Greece Z. Misiri et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi15060246
- Predicting deep-seated landslide displacement on Taiwan's Lushan through the integration of convolutional neural networks and the Age of Exploration-Inspired Optimizer J. Chou et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-119-2025
- Quantitative landslide risk assessment for Italy F. Caleca et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-025-02590-z
- Multi-Sensor Satellite Analysis for Landslide Characterization: A Case of Study from Baipaza, Tajikistan F. Poggi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17122003
- Integrating multidisciplinary approach to decipher the peculier incidence of burst of new water source and perpetual problem of ground subsidence in Joshimath, Uttarakhand H. Bahuguna et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07737-8
- From landslide susceptibility to risk assessment in the conterminous United States F. Caleca et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108994
- Spatiotemporal assessment of landslide risk over large areas: a case study of the Valencian Community (1950–2021) I. Cantarino Martí et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2505-2026
- Residential community-based quantitative risk assessment of rainfall-induced loess landslides for the suburban residential areas of Chengguan district in Lanzhou city with an innovative framework J. He et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108785
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 21 Oct 2026
Short summary
Landslide risk analysis is a powerful tool because it allows us to identify where physical and economic losses could occur due to a landslide event. The purpose of our work was to provide the first regional-scale analysis of landslide risk for central Asia, and it represents an advanced step in the field of risk analysis for very large areas. Our findings show, per square kilometer, a total risk of about USD 3.9 billion and a mean risk of USD 0.6 million.
Landslide risk analysis is a powerful tool because it allows us to identify where physical and...
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