Articles | Volume 19, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-737-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-737-2019
Research article
 | 
10 Apr 2019
Research article |  | 10 Apr 2019

Re-evaluating safety risks of multifunctional dikes with a probabilistic risk framework

Richard Marijnissen, Matthijs Kok, Carolien Kroeze, and Jantsje van Loon-Steensma

Related authors

Flood exposure in Rotterdam’s unembanked areas from 1970 to 2150: sensitivities to urban development, sea level rise and adaptation
Cees Oerlemans, Martine van den Boomen, Ties Rijcken, and Matthijs Kok
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2910,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2910, 2025
Short summary
The dynamics of peak head responses at Dutch canal dikes and the impact of climate change
Bart Strijker and Matthijs Kok
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1495,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1495, 2024
Short summary
Using the classical model for structured expert judgment to estimate extremes: a case study of discharges in the Meuse River
Guus Rongen, Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles, and Matthijs Kok
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2831–2848, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2831-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2831-2024, 2024
Short summary
Economically optimal safety targets for interdependent flood defences in a graph-based approach with an efficient evaluation of expected annual damage estimates
Egidius Johanna Cassianus Dupuits, Ferdinand Lennaert Machiel Diermanse, and Matthijs Kok
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1893–1906, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1893-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1893-2017, 2017
Short summary
Robust, multifunctional flood defenses in the Dutch rural riverine area
J. M. van Loon-Steensma and P. Vellinga
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1085–1098, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-1085-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-1085-2014, 2014

Related subject area

Risk Assessment, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Socioeconomic and Management Aspects
An evaluation of the alignment of drought policy and planning guidelines with the contemporary disaster risk reduction agenda
Ilyas Masih
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2155–2178, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2155-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2155-2025, 2025
Short summary
Qualitative risk assessment of sensitive infrastructures at the local level: flooding and heavy rainfall
Alessa Truedinger, Joern Birkmann, Mark Fleischhauer, and Celso Ferreira
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2097–2113, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2097-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2097-2025, 2025
Short summary
Measuring extremes-driven direct biophysical impacts in agricultural drought damages
Mansi Nagpal, Jasmin Heilemann, Luis Samaniego, Bernd Klauer, Erik Gawel, and Christian Klassert
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2115–2135, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2115-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2115-2025, 2025
Short summary
Brief communication: Bridging the data gap – a call to enhance the representation of global coastal flood protection
Nicole van Maanen, Joël J.-F. G. De Plaen, Timothy Tiggeloven, Maria Luisa Colmenares, Philip J. Ward, Paolo Scussolini, and Elco Koks
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2075–2080, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2075-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2075-2025, 2025
Short summary
Disaster management following the great Kahramanmaraş earthquakes in 2023, Türkiye
Bektaş Sarı
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2031–2043, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2031-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2031-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Aguilar-López, J. P., Warmink, J. J., Schielen, R. M. J., and Hulscher, S. J. M. H.: Correlation Effect in Probabilistic Design against Piping in Multi-Functional Flood Defences, in: Geotechnical Safety and Risk V, edited by: Schweckendiek, T., Van Tol, A. F., Pereboom, D., Van Staveren, A., and Cools, P. M. C. B. M., IOS Press, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, https://doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-580-7-237, 2015. 
Aguilar-López, J. P., Warmink, J. J., Schielen, R. M. J., and Hulscher, S. J. M. H.: Piping erosion safety assessment of flood defences founded over sewer pipes, Eur. J. Environ. Civ. En., 22, 707–735, https://doi.org/10.1080/19648189.2016.1217793, 2018. 
Anvarifar, F., Oderkerk, M., van der Horst, B. R., and Zevenbergen, C.: Cost-effectiveness study on preventive interventions: A survey of multifunctional flood defences, in: Comprehensive Flood Risk Management: research for policy and practice, edited by: Klijn, F. and Schweckendiek, T., CRC Press, London, UK, 891–899, 2013. 
Anvarifar, F., Zevenbergen, C., Thissen, W., and Islam, T.: Understanding flexibility for multifunctional flood defences: a conceptual framework, J. Water Clim. Change, 7, 467–484, https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2016.064, 2016. 
Anvarifar, F., Voorendt, M., Zevenbergen, C., and Thissen, W.: An application of the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) to risk analysis of multifunctional flood defences in the Netherlands, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safe., 158, 130–141, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2016.10.004, 2017. 
Download
Short summary
Flood defences have the potential to be integrated with many other functions. While assessments of multifunctional dikes are usually conservative, using a probabilistic framework allows for synergies to be integrated and the risks to be made explicit. This change leads to a better perspective on the protection level of a flood defence and the effectiveness of reinforcements, allowing for better implementation of multifunctional elements on flood defences.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint