Articles | Volume 19, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2117-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2117-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Oct 2019
Research article |
| 01 Oct 2019
| 01 Oct 2019
Quantification of climate change impact on dam failure risk under hydrological scenarios: a case study from a Spanish dam
Javier Fluixá-Sanmartín
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Centre de Recherche sur l'Environnement Alpin (CREALP), Sion, 1951, Switzerland
Adrián Morales-Torres
iPresas Risk Analysis, Valencia, 46023, Spain
Ignacio Escuder-Bueno
iPresas Risk Analysis, Valencia, 46023, Spain
Research Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering (IIAMA), Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV), Valencia, 46022, Spain
Javier Paredes-Arquiola
Research Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering (IIAMA), Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV), Valencia, 46022, Spain
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Cited
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Needs for Portfolio Risk Assessment of Aging Dams in the United States P. Concha Larrauri et al. 10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-5673
- Navigating Cyclone Threats: A Forecast Approach Using Water Streams’ Physical Characteristics as an Indicator to Predict High Risk Potential Areas in the Sultanate of Oman T. Al-Awadhi et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00392-2
- Projected impacts of climate change on major dams in the Upper Yangtze River Basin P. Qin et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-03303-w
- Modeling and Risk Analysis of Dam-Break Flooding in a Semi-Arid Montane Watershed: A Case Study of the Yabous Dam, Northeastern Algeria A. Gaagai et al. 10.3390/w14050767
- Hydro-Meteorological Characteristics of the 1973 Catastrophic Flood in the Mahi Basin, India U. Pawar et al. 10.3390/w15091648
- Climate change effects on rainfall extreme value distribution: the role of skewness D. De Luca et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130958
- Drones, virtual reality, and modeling: communicating catastrophic dam failure H. Spero et al. 10.1080/17538947.2022.2041116
- Preface: Natural hazard impacts on technological systems and infrastructures E. Petrova & M. Bostenaru Dan 10.5194/nhess-20-2627-2020
- Climate Change Impact Chains: A Review of Applications, Challenges, and Opportunities for Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessments L. Menk et al. 10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0014.1
- Climate Change and Rainfall Intensity–Duration–Frequency Curves: Overview of Science and Guidelines for Adaptation J. Martel et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002122
- Data use and data needs in critical infrastructure risk analysis A. Larsson & C. Große 10.1080/13669877.2023.2181858
- Hydrological risk assessment for Mangla Dam: compound effects of instant flow and precipitation peaks under climate change, using HEC-RAS and HEC-GeoRAS I. Ahmad et al. 10.1007/s42452-023-05579-2
- Accounting for Climate Change Uncertainty in Long-Term Dam Risk Management J. Fluixá-Sanmartín et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001355
- Non-Stationary Hydrological Regimes Due to Climate Change: The Impact of Future Precipitation in the Spillway Design of a Reservoir, Case Study: Sube y Baja Dam, in Ecuador J. Herbozo et al. 10.3390/atmos13050828
- A fuzzy framework for risk analysis of dam-break flood in climate change scenarios A. Goel & V. Srinivas 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105322
- Quantifying landscape change following catastrophic dam failures in Edenville and Sanford, Michigan, USA H. Martin et al. 10.1002/esp.5855
- Towards the effect of climate change in structural loads of urban infrastructure: A review V. Mishra & A. Sadhu 10.1016/j.scs.2022.104352
- Hydrological assessment of some old dams in Saudi Arabia under the current climate, environmental conditions, and the use of the advanced technology A. Elfeki et al. 10.1007/s13201-023-01990-7
- Dam System and Reservoir Operational Safety: A Meta-Research A. Badr et al. 10.3390/w15193427
- Modeling of Flood Wave Propagation Due to Hemren Dam Failure N. Al-Nedawi et al. 10.24237/djes.2024.17309
- Climate change and hydrological dam safety: a stochastic methodology based on climate projections M. Lompi et al. 10.1080/02626667.2023.2192873
- Comprehensive decision-making approach for managing time dependent dam risks J. Fluixá-Sanmartín et al. 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107100
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Needs for Portfolio Risk Assessment of Aging Dams in the United States P. Concha Larrauri et al. 10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-5673
- Navigating Cyclone Threats: A Forecast Approach Using Water Streams’ Physical Characteristics as an Indicator to Predict High Risk Potential Areas in the Sultanate of Oman T. Al-Awadhi et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00392-2
- Projected impacts of climate change on major dams in the Upper Yangtze River Basin P. Qin et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-03303-w
- Modeling and Risk Analysis of Dam-Break Flooding in a Semi-Arid Montane Watershed: A Case Study of the Yabous Dam, Northeastern Algeria A. Gaagai et al. 10.3390/w14050767
- Hydro-Meteorological Characteristics of the 1973 Catastrophic Flood in the Mahi Basin, India U. Pawar et al. 10.3390/w15091648
- Climate change effects on rainfall extreme value distribution: the role of skewness D. De Luca et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130958
- Drones, virtual reality, and modeling: communicating catastrophic dam failure H. Spero et al. 10.1080/17538947.2022.2041116
- Preface: Natural hazard impacts on technological systems and infrastructures E. Petrova & M. Bostenaru Dan 10.5194/nhess-20-2627-2020
- Climate Change Impact Chains: A Review of Applications, Challenges, and Opportunities for Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessments L. Menk et al. 10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0014.1
- Climate Change and Rainfall Intensity–Duration–Frequency Curves: Overview of Science and Guidelines for Adaptation J. Martel et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002122
- Data use and data needs in critical infrastructure risk analysis A. Larsson & C. Große 10.1080/13669877.2023.2181858
- Hydrological risk assessment for Mangla Dam: compound effects of instant flow and precipitation peaks under climate change, using HEC-RAS and HEC-GeoRAS I. Ahmad et al. 10.1007/s42452-023-05579-2
- Accounting for Climate Change Uncertainty in Long-Term Dam Risk Management J. Fluixá-Sanmartín et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001355
- Non-Stationary Hydrological Regimes Due to Climate Change: The Impact of Future Precipitation in the Spillway Design of a Reservoir, Case Study: Sube y Baja Dam, in Ecuador J. Herbozo et al. 10.3390/atmos13050828
- A fuzzy framework for risk analysis of dam-break flood in climate change scenarios A. Goel & V. Srinivas 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105322
- Quantifying landscape change following catastrophic dam failures in Edenville and Sanford, Michigan, USA H. Martin et al. 10.1002/esp.5855
- Towards the effect of climate change in structural loads of urban infrastructure: A review V. Mishra & A. Sadhu 10.1016/j.scs.2022.104352
- Hydrological assessment of some old dams in Saudi Arabia under the current climate, environmental conditions, and the use of the advanced technology A. Elfeki et al. 10.1007/s13201-023-01990-7
- Dam System and Reservoir Operational Safety: A Meta-Research A. Badr et al. 10.3390/w15193427
- Modeling of Flood Wave Propagation Due to Hemren Dam Failure N. Al-Nedawi et al. 10.24237/djes.2024.17309
- Climate change and hydrological dam safety: a stochastic methodology based on climate projections M. Lompi et al. 10.1080/02626667.2023.2192873
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 15 Mar 2025
Short summary
Climate change is likely to affect the different factors driving dam failure risks. This article analyses the impact of climate change on the safety of a Spanish dam. Results show a progressive deterioration of the dam failure risk, mainly due to an alteration of the hydrological regime. The approach followed in this paper can serve as a useful guidebook for dam owners and dam safety practitioners in the analysis of other study cases.
Climate change is likely to affect the different factors driving dam failure risks. This article...
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