River flood risk in Jakarta under scenarios of future change

Budiyono, Yus; Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.; Tollenaar, Daniel; Ward, Philip J.

doi:10.5194/nhess-16-757-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-757-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-757-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 3

Research article

|

17 Mar 2016

Research article |

| 17 Mar 2016

River flood risk in Jakarta under scenarios of future change

Yus Budiyono, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Daniel Tollenaar, and Philip J. Ward

Viewed

Total article views: 9,129 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
3,657	5,242	230	9,129	187	232

HTML: 3,657
PDF: 5,242
XML: 230
Total: 9,129
BibTeX: 187
EndNote: 232

Views and downloads (calculated since 30 Jul 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Jul 2015	15	8	0	23
Aug 2015	49	31	2	82
Sep 2015	16	7	4	27
Oct 2015	8	9	2	19
Nov 2015	12	9	1	22
Dec 2015	11	15	0	26
Jan 2016	19	13	1	33
Feb 2016	21	17	3	41
Mar 2016	137	122	2	261
Apr 2016	81	60	4	145
May 2016	42	23	0	65
Jun 2016	38	7	1	46
Jul 2016	10	16	1	27
Aug 2016	10	12	0	22
Sep 2016	9	15	0	24
Oct 2016	7	11	1	19
Nov 2016	8	16	1	25
Dec 2016	8	10	0	18
Jan 2017	11	14	0	25
Feb 2017	20	19	1	40
Mar 2017	33	31	2	66
Apr 2017	28	28	0	56
May 2017	33	32	1	66
Jun 2017	27	31	1	59
Jul 2017	16	22	0	38
Aug 2017	26	24	1	51
Sep 2017	16	35	1	52
Oct 2017	9	33	1	43
Nov 2017	12	47	0	59
Dec 2017	12	23	2	37
Jan 2018	12	18	2	32
Feb 2018	16	20	1	37
Mar 2018	18	26	1	45
Apr 2018	13	17	1	31
May 2018	13	28	1	42
Jun 2018	13	21	1	35
Jul 2018	19	18	2	39
Aug 2018	20	17	1	38
Sep 2018	9	15	1	25
Oct 2018	26	36	2	64
Nov 2018	17	27	2	46
Dec 2018	16	19	0	35
Jan 2019	11	20	1	32
Feb 2019	18	21	1	40
Mar 2019	7	27	0	34
Apr 2019	15	27	0	42
May 2019	14	21	2	37
Jun 2019	13	23	1	37
Jul 2019	14	18	2	34
Aug 2019	14	26	0	40
Sep 2019	10	33	0	43
Oct 2019	17	25	3	45
Nov 2019	19	39	5	63
Dec 2019	16	67	0	83
Jan 2020	24	90	2	116
Feb 2020	15	75	0	90
Mar 2020	11	66	1	78
Apr 2020	19	91	2	112
May 2020	16	85	0	101
Jun 2020	31	72	1	104
Jul 2020	39	41	18	98
Aug 2020	6	50	9	65
Sep 2020	25	58	0	83
Oct 2020	16	71	2	89
Nov 2020	18	53	2	73
Dec 2020	19	44	0	63
Jan 2021	34	38	1	73
Feb 2021	29	59	0	88
Mar 2021	27	78	1	106
Apr 2021	35	61	2	98
May 2021	35	67	0	102
Jun 2021	18	55	2	75
Jul 2021	15	64	3	82
Aug 2021	15	46	0	61
Sep 2021	29	64	4	97
Oct 2021	33	107	4	144
Nov 2021	26	86	4	116
Dec 2021	24	46	3	73
Jan 2022	27	48	1	76
Feb 2022	31	34	2	67
Mar 2022	47	39	2	88
Apr 2022	31	36	3	70
May 2022	25	54	2	81
Jun 2022	15	34	3	52
Jul 2022	9	27	0	36
Aug 2022	19	24	2	45
Sep 2022	29	35	1	65
Oct 2022	25	70	1	96
Nov 2022	46	66	4	116
Dec 2022	28	69	0	97
Jan 2023	36	44	3	83
Feb 2023	66	57	0	123
Mar 2023	69	44	2	115
Apr 2023	28	50	2	80
May 2023	55	48	6	109
Jun 2023	53	29	2	84
Jul 2023	30	17	1	48
Aug 2023	22	23	2	47
Sep 2023	32	51	2	85
Oct 2023	43	55	3	101
Nov 2023	21	49	4	74
Dec 2023	42	70	2	114
Jan 2024	36	51	3	90
Feb 2024	47	76	2	125
Mar 2024	34	85	2	121
Apr 2024	42	49	4	95
May 2024	40	48	4	92
Jun 2024	51	41	3	95
Jul 2024	24	28	3	55
Aug 2024	49	53	5	107
Sep 2024	35	47	1	83
Oct 2024	41	44	1	86
Nov 2024	23	74	0	97
Dec 2024	41	48	2	91
Jan 2025	47	46	3	96
Feb 2025	62	62	5	129
Mar 2025	62	40	2	104
Apr 2025	47	41	1	89
May 2025	62	39	2	103
Jun 2025	98	53	0	151
Jul 2025	62	58	5	125
Aug 2025	50	58	3	111
Sep 2025	96	45	0	141
Oct 2025	67	75	3	145
Nov 2025	49	92	2	143

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 30 Jul 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Jul 2015	15	8	0	23
Aug 2015	49	31	2	82
Sep 2015	16	7	4	27
Oct 2015	8	9	2	19
Nov 2015	12	9	1	22
Dec 2015	11	15	0	26
Jan 2016	19	13	1	33
Feb 2016	21	17	3	41
Mar 2016	137	122	2	261
Apr 2016	81	60	4	145
May 2016	42	23	0	65
Jun 2016	38	7	1	46
Jul 2016	10	16	1	27
Aug 2016	10	12	0	22
Sep 2016	9	15	0	24
Oct 2016	7	11	1	19
Nov 2016	8	16	1	25
Dec 2016	8	10	0	18
Jan 2017	11	14	0	25
Feb 2017	20	19	1	40
Mar 2017	33	31	2	66
Apr 2017	28	28	0	56
May 2017	33	32	1	66
Jun 2017	27	31	1	59
Jul 2017	16	22	0	38
Aug 2017	26	24	1	51
Sep 2017	16	35	1	52
Oct 2017	9	33	1	43
Nov 2017	12	47	0	59
Dec 2017	12	23	2	37
Jan 2018	12	18	2	32
Feb 2018	16	20	1	37
Mar 2018	18	26	1	45
Apr 2018	13	17	1	31
May 2018	13	28	1	42
Jun 2018	13	21	1	35
Jul 2018	19	18	2	39
Aug 2018	20	17	1	38
Sep 2018	9	15	1	25
Oct 2018	26	36	2	64
Nov 2018	17	27	2	46
Dec 2018	16	19	0	35
Jan 2019	11	20	1	32
Feb 2019	18	21	1	40
Mar 2019	7	27	0	34
Apr 2019	15	27	0	42
May 2019	14	21	2	37
Jun 2019	13	23	1	37
Jul 2019	14	18	2	34
Aug 2019	14	26	0	40
Sep 2019	10	33	0	43
Oct 2019	17	25	3	45
Nov 2019	19	39	5	63
Dec 2019	16	67	0	83
Jan 2020	24	90	2	116
Feb 2020	15	75	0	90
Mar 2020	11	66	1	78
Apr 2020	19	91	2	112
May 2020	16	85	0	101
Jun 2020	31	72	1	104
Jul 2020	39	41	18	98
Aug 2020	6	50	9	65
Sep 2020	25	58	0	83
Oct 2020	16	71	2	89
Nov 2020	18	53	2	73
Dec 2020	19	44	0	63
Jan 2021	34	38	1	73
Feb 2021	29	59	0	88
Mar 2021	27	78	1	106
Apr 2021	35	61	2	98
May 2021	35	67	0	102
Jun 2021	18	55	2	75
Jul 2021	15	64	3	82
Aug 2021	15	46	0	61
Sep 2021	29	64	4	97
Oct 2021	33	107	4	144
Nov 2021	26	86	4	116
Dec 2021	24	46	3	73
Jan 2022	27	48	1	76
Feb 2022	31	34	2	67
Mar 2022	47	39	2	88
Apr 2022	31	36	3	70
May 2022	25	54	2	81
Jun 2022	15	34	3	52
Jul 2022	9	27	0	36
Aug 2022	19	24	2	45
Sep 2022	29	35	1	65
Oct 2022	25	70	1	96
Nov 2022	46	66	4	116
Dec 2022	28	69	0	97
Jan 2023	36	44	3	83
Feb 2023	66	57	0	123
Mar 2023	69	44	2	115
Apr 2023	28	50	2	80
May 2023	55	48	6	109
Jun 2023	53	29	2	84
Jul 2023	30	17	1	48
Aug 2023	22	23	2	47
Sep 2023	32	51	2	85
Oct 2023	43	55	3	101
Nov 2023	21	49	4	74
Dec 2023	42	70	2	114
Jan 2024	36	51	3	90
Feb 2024	47	76	2	125
Mar 2024	34	85	2	121
Apr 2024	42	49	4	95
May 2024	40	48	4	92
Jun 2024	51	41	3	95
Jul 2024	24	28	3	55
Aug 2024	49	53	5	107
Sep 2024	35	47	1	83
Oct 2024	41	44	1	86
Nov 2024	23	74	0	97
Dec 2024	41	48	2	91
Jan 2025	47	46	3	96
Feb 2025	62	62	5	129
Mar 2025	62	40	2	104
Apr 2025	47	41	1	89
May 2025	62	39	2	103
Jun 2025	98	53	0	151
Jul 2025	62	58	5	125
Aug 2025	50	58	3	111
Sep 2025	96	45	0	141
Oct 2025	67	75	3	145
Nov 2025	49	92	2	143

Latest update: 28 Nov 2025

Short summary

The paper describes a model framework for assessing flood risk in Jakarta under current and future scenarios (2030 and 2050) including climate change, sea level rise, land use change, and land subsidence. The results shows individual impact of future changes and serve as a basis to evaluate adaptation strategies in cities. They also show while the impacts of climate change alone on flood risk in Jakarta are highly uncertain, the combined impacts of all drivers reveal a strong increase in risk.