Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 16, issue 12
Articles | Volume 16, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2501-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2501-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 16, issue 12
Research article
 | 
30 Nov 2016
Research article |  | 30 Nov 2016

Landslide forecasting and factors influencing predictability

Emanuele Intrieri and Giovanni Gigli

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Short summary
Forecasting a landslide collapse is a key element in risk reduction, but it is also a very difficult task due to scientific difficulties in predicting a complex natural event and the severe social repercussions caused by a false or missed alarm. In order to help decision makers, we propose a method of increasing the confidence when making landslide predictions. This study also helps understand how geology affects landslide predictability by introducing a predictability index.
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