Articles | Volume 15, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-895-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-895-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Forecast-based financing: an approach for catalyzing humanitarian action based on extreme weather and climate forecasts
E. Coughlan de Perez
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, the Netherlands
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Earth Institute, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964-1000, USA
B. van den Hurk
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, the Netherlands
M. K. van Aalst
Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, the Netherlands
International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Earth Institute, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964-1000, USA
B. Jongman
Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, the Netherlands
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
T. Klose
German Red Cross, Berlin, Germany
P. Suarez
Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, the Netherlands
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Short summary
How can we use weather or climate forecasts to avoid disasters? This article offers a framework for determining when it is "worth" taking action to try to avoid a potential disaster. Considering forecast probabilities, actions, and funding constraints, we propose a novel forecast-based financing system that would automatically trigger action based on forecasts of increased risks.
How can we use weather or climate forecasts to avoid disasters? This article offers a framework...
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