The asymmetric impact of natural disasters on China's bilateral trade

Meng, Y.; Yang, S.; Shi, P.; Jeager, C. C.

doi:10.5194/nhess-15-2273-2015

Articles | Volume 15, issue 10

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2273-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2273-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 15, issue 10

Research article

|

09 Oct 2015

Research article |

| 09 Oct 2015

The asymmetric impact of natural disasters on China's bilateral trade

Y. Meng, S. Yang, P. Shi, and C. C. Jeager

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Views and downloads (calculated since 25 Mar 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
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May 2015	14	11	0	25
Jun 2015	15	11	0	26
Jul 2015	18	25	1	44
Aug 2015	12	26	0	38
Sep 2015	5	5	0	10
Oct 2015	52	31	2	85
Nov 2015	41	34	1	76
Dec 2015	10	16	0	26
Jan 2016	23	12	1	36
Feb 2016	19	13	1	33
Mar 2016	9	5	0	14
Apr 2016	9	10	1	20
May 2016	3	4	1	8
Jun 2016	6	2	2	10
Jul 2016	5	3	2	10
Aug 2016	4	7	1	12
Sep 2016	13	4	0	17
Oct 2016	27	16	0	43
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Dec 2016	4	4	0	8
Jan 2017	11	6	0	17
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Mar 2017	16	5	0	21
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May 2017	21	14	10	45
Jun 2017	14	5	0	19
Jul 2017	10	3	2	15
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Oct 2019	8	5	1	14
Nov 2019	5	2	0	7
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Jan 2020	8	4	2	14
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Mar 2021	8	5	0	13
Apr 2021	9	4	0	13
May 2021	7	8	0	15
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Jan 2022	6	9	0	15
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Mar 2022	6	9	0	15
Apr 2022	11	6	2	19
May 2022	6	3	1	10
Jun 2022	7	3	1	11
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Jan 2023	8	12	0	20
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Oct 2023	9	7	1	17
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Jan 2024	11	4	1	16
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Mar 2024	7	9	2	18
Apr 2024	21	8	5	34
May 2024	20	7	5	32
Jun 2024	19	7	2	28
Jul 2024	15	13	4	32
Aug 2024	12	3	1	16
Sep 2024	13	4	2	19
Oct 2024	20	9	2	31
Nov 2024	7	6	1	14
Dec 2024	13	6	1	20
Jan 2025	15	7	0	22
Feb 2025	23	6	0	29
Mar 2025	21	12	1	34
Apr 2025	14	13	0	27
May 2025	29	9	0	38
Jun 2025	36	17	0	53
Jul 2025	22	15	3	40
Aug 2025	19	16	0	35
Sep 2025	18	12	1	31
Oct 2025	26	23	2	51
Nov 2025	21	19	2	42

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 25 Mar 2015)

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Apr 2015	36	15	0	51
May 2015	14	11	0	25
Jun 2015	15	11	0	26
Jul 2015	18	25	1	44
Aug 2015	12	26	0	38
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Jan 2023	8	12	0	20
Feb 2023	8	7	0	15
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Jan 2024	11	4	1	16
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Apr 2024	21	8	5	34
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Jun 2024	19	7	2	28
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Oct 2024	20	9	2	31
Nov 2024	7	6	1	14
Dec 2024	13	6	1	20
Jan 2025	15	7	0	22
Feb 2025	23	6	0	29
Mar 2025	21	12	1	34
Apr 2025	14	13	0	27
May 2025	29	9	0	38
Jun 2025	36	17	0	53
Jul 2025	22	15	3	40
Aug 2025	19	16	0	35
Sep 2025	18	12	1	31
Oct 2025	26	23	2	51
Nov 2025	21	19	2	42

Latest update: 29 Nov 2025

Short summary

We propose a gravity model tailed to China’s national circumstances and taking into account the natural disaster impact. China’s natural disasters increase exports, but they have no significant impact on imports. Trading partner countries’ natural disasters reduce Chinese imports and exports. The impact of natural disasters on trade is asymmetric and significantly affected by other factors, like development level and land area.