Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-134
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-134

  25 May 2021

25 May 2021

Review status: this discussion paper is a preprint. It has been under review for the journal Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS). The manuscript was not accepted for further review after discussion.

Chronicle of a forecast flood: exposure and vulnerability on the southeast coast of Spain

Rubén Giménez-García, Víctor Ruiz-Álvarez, and Ramón García-Marín Rubén Giménez-García et al.
  • Department of Geography, University of Murcia, 30001 Murcia, Spain

Abstract. In recent years, flooding has become one of the main natural disasters which poses the greatest risk, impact and bearing on the coastal areas of southeast peninsular Spain. Traditionally, the analysis of torrential precipitation events that cause floods has been predominant in the assessment of the factors that lead to this type of catastrophe. At present, despite considering this meteorological phenomenon as the trigger of river overflows, responsibility corresponding to the human factor in the perpetration of the risk of a natural disaster should not be forgotten. This study will ascertain the influence of urban and real estate development in increasing exposure to floods. In this sense, the pluviometric observations obtained in different precipitation events have been counted, mapped and analysed. Likewise, the evolution and development of the real estate portfolio is examined. The information obtained has been crossed with the digital cartography of flooded areas (National System of Flood Zones Cartography, SNCZI in spanish acronym). The main finding of the study shows that there seems to be unquestionable evidence to attribute a good part of the existing risk to the territorial transformation and to the continuous process of artificialization of the soil recently carried out.

Rubén Giménez-García et al.

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-134', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Jun 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 18 Jun 2021
  • CC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-134', Foudi Barth, 28 Jun 2021
    • AC2: 'Reply on CC1', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 28 Jun 2021
  • CC2: 'Comment on nhess-2021-134', Alfredo Perez, 05 Jul 2021
    • CC3: 'Reply on CC2', Alfredo Perez, 05 Jul 2021
      • AC3: 'Reply on CC3', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 15 Jul 2021
  • RC2: 'Review of nhess-2021-134', Dominik Paprotny, 24 Jul 2021
    • CC4: 'Reply on RC2', Ramon García-Marín, 26 Jul 2021
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 04 Aug 2021

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-134', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Jun 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 18 Jun 2021
  • CC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-134', Foudi Barth, 28 Jun 2021
    • AC2: 'Reply on CC1', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 28 Jun 2021
  • CC2: 'Comment on nhess-2021-134', Alfredo Perez, 05 Jul 2021
    • CC3: 'Reply on CC2', Alfredo Perez, 05 Jul 2021
      • AC3: 'Reply on CC3', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 15 Jul 2021
  • RC2: 'Review of nhess-2021-134', Dominik Paprotny, 24 Jul 2021
    • CC4: 'Reply on RC2', Ramon García-Marín, 26 Jul 2021
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', RUBEN GIMENEZ GARCIA, 04 Aug 2021

Rubén Giménez-García et al.

Rubén Giménez-García et al.

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Short summary
In recent decades the Mediterranean coast has experienced an increase in vulnerability and exposure to the danger of torrential rains. The significant increase in the number of floods and their consequent damage to the coastal belt, according to precipitation records, is related to a multiplication of exposure and vulnerability to these events, rather than an increase in extreme rainfall phenomena.
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