Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2018-21
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2018-21
 
31 Jan 2018
31 Jan 2018
Status: this preprint was under review for the journal NHESS but the revision was not accepted.

The Quick Assessment Model of Casualties for Asia based on the Vulnerability of Earthquake

Yue Zhang, Qigen Lin, Yanyi Liu, and Ying Wang Yue Zhang et al.
  • Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China

Abstract. In order to make a scientific emergency strategic decision after an earthquake, casualties need to be estimated rapidly. Asia is the most earthquake-prone continent in the world. In this paper, by spatial statistic and regressive analysis of historical Asian earthquake data from 1990 to 2012, vulnerability curves portraying the empirical relationship between the magnitude of an earthquake event and the casualty rate caused by it were created for countries of six-groups and the Quick Assessment Model of Earthquake Casualties for Asia (QAMECA) was developed. The casualty rate was defined as the ratio of the sum of injuries and deaths in an earthquake to the number of people living in the earthquake-affected region. Thirty-one earthquake events from 2013 to 2016 were used to validate this model, and the validation results were good with actual casualties of twenty-one were within the range estimated by the model and the biases of eight out of ten were less than one hundred percent. The two input parameters of QAMECA were magnitude and location of epicenter of an earthquake and earthquake casualties can be estimated immediately after earthquake has occurred. As a consequence, QAMECA can be used to estimate earthquake casualties for Asian countries and aid decision making in international emergency relief in the future.

Yue Zhang et al.

 
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
 
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Yue Zhang et al.

Yue Zhang et al.

Viewed

Total article views: 1,062 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
675 354 33 1,062 35 41
  • HTML: 675
  • PDF: 354
  • XML: 33
  • Total: 1,062
  • BibTeX: 35
  • EndNote: 41
Views and downloads (calculated since 31 Jan 2018)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 31 Jan 2018)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 1,010 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,004 with geography defined and 6 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 24 May 2022
Download
Short summary
In order to estimate casualties rapidly after earthquake for Asian countries, we created vulnerability curves portraying the empirical relationship between the magnitude of an earthquake event and the casualty rate caused by it for countries of six-groups and developed the Quick Assessment Model of Earthquake Casualties for Asia (QAMECA).The two input parameters of QAMECA were magnitude and location of epicenter and casualties can be estimated rapidly after earthquake has occurred.
Altmetrics