Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 687–698, 2009
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-9-687-2009

Special issue: Methods and strategies to evaluate landslide hazard and risk

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 687–698, 2009
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-9-687-2009

  08 May 2009

08 May 2009

Combined rock slope stability and shallow landslide susceptibility assessment of the Jasmund cliff area (Rügen Island, Germany)

A. Günther1 and C. Thiel2,* A. Günther and C. Thiel
  • 1Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources, Hannover, Germany
  • 2Institute for Geography, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany
  • *now at: Leibniz Institute for Applied Geophysics, Hannover, Germany

Abstract. In this contribution we evaluated both the structurally-controlled failure susceptibility of the fractured Cretaceous chalk rocks and the topographically-controlled shallow landslide susceptibility of the overlying glacial sediments for the Jasmund cliff area on Rügen Island, Germany. We employed a combined methodology involving spatially distributed kinematical rock slope failure testing with tectonic fabric data, and both physically- and inventory-based shallow landslide susceptibility analysis. The rock slope failure susceptibility model identifies areas of recent cliff collapses, confirming its value in predicting the locations of future failures. The model reveals that toppling is the most important failure type in the Cretaceous chalk rocks of the area. The shallow landslide susceptibility analysis involves a physically-based slope stability evaluation which utilizes material strength and hydraulic conductivity data, and a bivariate landslide susceptibility analysis exploiting landslide inventory data and thematic information on ground conditioning factors. Both models show reasonable success rates when evaluated with the available inventory data, and an attempt was made to combine the individual models to prepare a map displaying both terrain instability and landslide susceptibility. This combination highlights unstable cliff portions lacking discrete landslide areas as well as cliff sections highly affected by past landslide events. Through a spatial integration of the rock slope failure susceptibility model with the combined shallow landslide assessment we produced a comprehensive landslide susceptibility map for the Jasmund cliff area.

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