31 Aug 2003
31 Aug 2003
Flicker-noise spectroscopy in earthquake prediction research
A. V. Descherevsky1, A. A. Lukk1, A. Y. Sidorin1, G. V. Vstovsky2, and S. F. Timashev2
A. V. Descherevsky et al.
A. V. Descherevsky1, A. A. Lukk1, A. Y. Sidorin1, G. V. Vstovsky2, and S. F. Timashev2
- 1O. Yu. Schmidt United Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Bolshaya Gruzinskaya 10, D-242, GSP-5, Moscow 123995, Russia
- 2L. Ya. Karpov Research Institute of Physical Chemistry Russian State Scientific Center, Vorontsovo pole 10, Moscow 103064, Russia
- 1O. Yu. Schmidt United Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Bolshaya Gruzinskaya 10, D-242, GSP-5, Moscow 123995, Russia
- 2L. Ya. Karpov Research Institute of Physical Chemistry Russian State Scientific Center, Vorontsovo pole 10, Moscow 103064, Russia
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The problem of earthquake prediction and the methods of identification of geophysical precursory signals are discussed. To get information on the dynamics of earthquake preparation processes, fluctuations in geophysical time series are analyzed with the method of flicker-noise spectroscopy. Integral indices – power spectra and various moments ("structural functions") – are used as information relations. We demonstrate that the method allows us to reveal earthquake precursors.