Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-213
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-213
03 Dec 2024
 | 03 Dec 2024
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal NHESS.

Brief communication: Visualizing uncertainties in landslide susceptibility modeling using bivariate mapping

Matthias Schlögl, Anita Graser, Raphael Spiekermann, Jasmin Lampert, and Stefan Steger

Abstract. Effectively communicating uncertainties inherent to statistical models is a challenging yet crucial aspect of the modeling process. This is particularly important in applied research, where output is used and interpreted by scientists and decision makers alike. In disaster risk reduction, susceptibility maps for natural hazards are vital for spatial planning and risk assessment. We present a novel type of landslide susceptibility map that jointly visualizes the estimated susceptibility and the corresponding prediction uncertainty, using an example from a mountainous region in Carinthia, Austria. We also provide implementation guidelines to create such maps using popular free and open-source software packages.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
Matthias Schlögl, Anita Graser, Raphael Spiekermann, Jasmin Lampert, and Stefan Steger

Status: open (until 14 Jan 2025)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Matthias Schlögl, Anita Graser, Raphael Spiekermann, Jasmin Lampert, and Stefan Steger
Matthias Schlögl, Anita Graser, Raphael Spiekermann, Jasmin Lampert, and Stefan Steger
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 03 Dec 2024
Download
Short summary
Communicating uncertainties is a crucial yet challenging aspect of spatial modelling – especially in applied research, where results inform decisions. In disaster risk reduction, susceptibility maps for natural hazards guide planning and risk assessment, yet their uncertainties are often overlooked. We present a new type of landslide susceptibility map that visualizes both susceptibility and associated uncertainty, alongside guidelines for creating such maps using free and open-source software.
Altmetrics