Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-33
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-33

  10 Feb 2021

10 Feb 2021

Review status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal NHESS.

Invited perspectives: The ECMWF strategy 2021–2030 Challenges in the area of natural hazards

Florian Pappenberger, Florence Rabier, and Fabio Venuti Florian Pappenberger et al.
  • European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts, Reading/Bologna/Bonn, UK/Italy/Germany

Abstract. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts mission is to deliver high quality global medium‐range numerical weather predictions and monitoring of the Earth system to its Member States. The modelling and forecasting of natural hazards are an important part of this mission. The new strategy identified several goals: producing world leading weather and earth-system science, cutting edge technology and computational science, high quality products fit for purpose, efficient and easy access to products, and aiming to inspire and hire the best experts. Challenges for the future include integration of innovative observations into the earth system, a realistic representations of water, energy, and carbon cycles, coupling and initialisation of all earth system components, adequate representation of uncertainties and advances in software engineering. Progress in all these areas will need enhanced collaboration with Member States and partners across Europe and beyond.

Florian Pappenberger et al.

Status: open (until 24 Mar 2021)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-33', Ricardo Tavares da Costa, 11 Feb 2021 reply
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Florian Pappenberger, 11 Feb 2021 reply
  • CC2: 'Comment on nhess-2021-33', Chloe Brimicombe, 16 Feb 2021 reply
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-33', Anonymous Referee #1, 23 Feb 2021 reply

Florian Pappenberger et al.

Florian Pappenberger et al.

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Short summary
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts mission is to deliver high quality global medium‐range (3–15 days ahead of time) weather forecasts and monitoring of the Earth system. We have published a new strategy and in this paper we discuss what this means for forecasting and montitoring natural hazards.
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