Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-326
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-326

  08 Nov 2021

08 Nov 2021

Review status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal NHESS.

Invited perspectives: A research agenda towards Disaster Risk Management pathways in multi-risk assessment

Philip James Ward1, James Daniell2, Melanie Duncan3, Anna Dunne4, Cédric Hananel4, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler5, Annegien Tijssen6, Silvia Torresan7, Roxana Ciurean3, Joel Gill3, Jana Sillmann8, Anaïs Couasnon1, Elco Koks1, Noemi Padrón-Fumero9, Sharon Tatman6, Marianne Tronstad Lund8, Adewole Adesiyun10, Jeroen Aerts1,6, Alexander Alabaster11, Bernard Butler12, Carlos Campillo Torres13, Andrea Critto7, Raúl Hernández Martin9, Marta Machado14, Jaroslav Mysiak7, Rene Orth15, Irene Palomino13, Eva-Cristina Petrescu16, Markus Reichstein16, Timothy Tiggeloven1, Anne van Loon1, Hung Vuong Pham17, and Marleen de Ruiter1 Philip James Ward et al.
  • 1Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1111, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands
  • 2Risklayer, Haid und Neu Str. 7, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany
  • 3British Geological Survey, The Lyell Centre, Edinburgh, EH14 4BA, United Kingdom & Nicker Hill, Keyworth, Notts, NG12 5GG, United Kingdom
  • 4Arctik, Avenue de Broqueville 12, 1150 Woluwe-Saint-Pierre, Belgium
  • 5IIASA-International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
  • 6Deltares, Boussinesqweg 1, 2629 HV Delft, The Netherlands
  • 7Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, VIA A Imperatore 16, 73100 Lecce, Italy
  • 8CICERO, Gaustadallèen 21, 0349 Oslo, Norway
  • 9Universidad de la Laguna, Molinos de Agua, 38071 La Laguna, Tenerife, Spain
  • 10FEHRL, Boulevard de la Woluwe 42, 1200 Brussels, Belgium
  • 11AON, 8 Devonshire Square, London EC2M 4PL, United Kingdom
  • 12TNO, Anna van Buerenplein 1, 2595 DA The Hague, The Netherlands
  • 13CICYTEX, Autovia A5 KM 372 Finca La Orden Guad, 06187 Lobon Badajoz, Spain
  • 14HOTREC, Dautzenberg 36, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
  • 15Department of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Straße 10, D-07745 Jena, Germany
  • 16Bucharest University of Economic Studies (ASE Bucharest), 6 Piata Romana, 010374 Bucharest, Romania
  • 17Dept. of Environmental Sciences Informatics and Statistics, University Ca' Foscari Venice, Via delle Industrie 21/8, c/o INCA - VEGAPARK, 30175 Marghera-Venice, Italy

Abstract. Whilst the last decades have seen a clear shift in emphasis from managing natural hazards to managing risk, the majority of natural hazard risk research still focuses on single hazards. Internationally, there are calls for more attention for multi-hazards and multi-risks. Within the European Union (EU), the concepts of multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management have taken centre stage in recent years. In this perspective paper, we outline several key developments in multi-hazard and multi-risk research in the last decade, with a particular focus on the EU. We present challenges for multi-risk management as outlined in several research projects and papers. We then present a research agenda for addressing these challenges. We argue for an approach that addresses multi-hazard, multi-risk management through the lens of sustainability challenges that cut across sectors, regions, and hazards. In this approach, the starting point is a specific sustainability challenge, rather than an individual hazard or sector, and trade-offs and synergies are examined across sectors, regions, and hazards. We argue for in-depth case studies in which various approaches for multi-hazard and multi-risk management are co-developed and tested in practice. Finally, we present a new pan-European research project in which our proposed research agenda will be implemented, with the goal of enabling stakeholders to develop forward-looking disaster risk management pathways that assess trade-offs and synergies of various strategies across sectors, hazards, and scales.

Philip James Ward et al.

Status: open (until 20 Dec 2021)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Philip James Ward et al.

Philip James Ward et al.

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Short summary
The majority of natural hazard risk research focuses on single hazards (e.g. either a flood, a drought, a volcanic eruption, an earthquake, etc.). In the international research and policy community it is recognised that risk management could benefit from a more systemic approach. In this perspective paper, we argue for an approach that addresses multi-hazard, multi-risk management through the lens of sustainability challenges that cut across sectors, regions, and hazards.
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