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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">NHESSD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">NHESSD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2195-9269</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/nhess-2017-303</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Review Article: Validation of flood risk models: current practice and
innovations</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Molinari</surname>
<given-names>Daniela</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2473-1257</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>De Bruijn</surname>
<given-names>Karin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Castillo</surname>
<given-names>Jessica</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4411-9973</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Aronica</surname>
<given-names>Giuseppe T.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0485-6466</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bouwer</surname>
<given-names>Laurens M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, 20133, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Deltares, Delft, 2629-HD, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Research Institute on Water and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, 46022, Spain</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Engineering, University of Messina, Messina, 98166, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>31</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2017</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>18</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2017 Daniela Molinari et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2017</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/preprints/nhess-2017-303/">This article is available from https://nhess.copernicus.org/preprints/nhess-2017-303/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/preprints/nhess-2017-303/nhess-2017-303.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://nhess.copernicus.org/preprints/nhess-2017-303/nhess-2017-303.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Although often neglected, model validation is a key topic in flood risk analysis, as flood risk estimates are characterised by significant levels of uncertainty. In this paper, we discuss the state of art of flood risk models validation, as concluded from the discussion among more than 50 experts at two main scientific events. The events aimed at identifying policy and research recommendations towards promoting more common practice of validation, and an improvement of flood risk models reliability. We pay specific attention to the different components of the risk modelling chain (i.e. flood hazard, defence failure and flood damage analysis) as well as to their role into risk estimates, to highlight specificities and commonalities with respect to implemented techniques and research needs. The main conclusions from this review can be summarised as the need of higher quality data to perform validation and of benchmark solutions to be followed in different contexts, along with a greater involvement of end-users in the debate on flood risk models validation.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="18"/></counts>
</article-meta>
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