<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0" article-type="research-article">
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">NHESS</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">NHESS</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1684-9981</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/nhess-24-1223-2024</article-id><title-group><article-title>Exploring inferred geomorphological sediment thickness as <?xmltex \hack{\break}?> a new site proxy to predict ground-shaking amplification at <?xmltex \hack{\break}?> regional scale: application to Europe and eastern Türkiye</article-title><alt-title>Exploring inferred geomorphological sediment thickness as a new site proxy</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Exploring inferred geomorphological sediment thickness as a new site proxy}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{K.~Loviknes et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Loviknes</surname><given-names>Karina</given-names></name>
          <email>karinalo@gfz-potsdam.de</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6107-624X</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Cotton</surname><given-names>Fabrice</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9242-3996</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Weatherill</surname><given-names>Graeme</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-2282</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, 14467 Potsdam, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Institute of Geosciences, University of Potsdam, 14469 Potsdam, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Karina Loviknes (karinalo@gfz-potsdam.de)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>5</day><month>April</month><year>2024</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>24</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <fpage>1223</fpage><lpage>1247</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>23</day><month>June</month><year>2023</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>18</day><month>July</month><year>2023</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>8</day><month>February</month><year>2024</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2024 </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>

      <p id="d1e105">To test whether a globally inferred sediment thickness value from geomorphological studies can be used as a proxy to predict earthquake site amplification, we derive site-amplification  models from the relation between empirical amplification for sites in Europe and Türkiye and the geomorphological sediment thickness. The new site-amplification predictions are then compared to predictions from site-amplification models derived using the traditional site proxies, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> inferred from slope, slope itself, and geological era and slope combined. The ability of each proxy to capture the site amplification is evaluated based on the reduction in site-to-site variability caused by each proxy. The results show that the highest reduction is caused by geological era and slope combined, while the geomorphological sediment thickness shows a slightly larger or equal reduction in site-to-site variability as inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope. We therefore argue that including geology and geomorphology in site-amplification modelling on regional scale can give an important added value and that globally or regionally inferred models for soil and sediment thickness from fields beyond engineering seismology can have a great potential in regional seismic hazard and risk assessments. Furthermore, the differences between the site-amplification maps derived from different proxies capture the epistemic uncertainty of site-amplification modelling. While the different proxies predict similar features on a large scale, local differences can be large. This shows that using only one proxy when predicting site amplification does not capture the full epistemic uncertainty, which is demonstrated by looking into detail on the site-amplification maps predicted for eastern Türkiye and Syria, where the devastating Kahramanmaraş  earthquake sequence occurred in February 2023.</p>
  </abstract>
    
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>European Commission</funding-source>
<award-id>URBASIS - New challenges for Urban Engineering Seismology (813137)</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>491075472</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <?pagebreak page1224?><p id="d1e145">Local geological features can have a strong impact on earthquake ground shaking, especially at sites with mainly loose sediments, which have been observed to amplify the recorded ground motion. Knowing the soil and sediment composition of a site is therefore necessary for computing the possible earthquake site amplification for seismic hazard and risk assessments. For a single site and site-specific analysis, several site parameters for characterizing shallow site conditions (e.g. fundamental frequency f0, shear wave velocity profile, horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR), depth to bedrock) can be obtained from seismic and geotechnical investigations and used to predict local site amplification <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7 bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx16" id="paren.1"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. For larger areas and regional site-amplification analysis, however, the site conditions must be derived from empirical relations between relevant proxies available through regional or global maps <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8 bib1.bibx46 bib1.bibx53" id="paren.2"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. Currently, the common practice for characterizing site amplification in seismic hazard and risk assessment is using the average shear wave velocity of the upper 30 m of the soil column (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). For a single site the velocity profile and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> can be measured directly, but for larger areas and regions, however, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> must be inferred from other parameters. A much-used method to calculate <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> uses slope from digital elevation models (DEMs), following <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.3"/>. This method is based on the hypothesis that steep (high) slopes generally have less sediment and therefore higher shear-wave velocity (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), while flat (low) slopes are more likely to be basins filled with sediment and thus with lower <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.4"/> used measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to derive a relation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope for active and stable tectonic regions separately and provided a global map of predicted <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values. However, inferring <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> based on slope has several limitations. As already stated by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.5"/>, the assumption of correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope breaks down for continental glaciated terrains and nominally flat volcanic plateaus. In addition, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.6"/> have shown that other geological conditions, in particular narrow sedimentary basins and small topographic heterogeneity, have a poor correlation with the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> model based on slope.</p>
      <p id="d1e335">Since the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.7"/> model, several <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> maps based on new methods and other geological proxies in addition to slope have been made, both on local and national level <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx44 bib1.bibx49 bib1.bibx18 bib1.bibx34 bib1.bibx29" id="paren.8"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. However, as also argued by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52 bib1.bibx53" id="text.9"/>, the main purpose of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is as a proxy to predict site amplification, and when inferring <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from other parameters, it thus becomes a proxy of a proxy. In fact, site amplification predicted by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> based on slope shows little improvement to the site-amplification models based directly on slope <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="paren.10"/>. Furthermore, it is important to keep in mind that inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> should not be used interchangeably with measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values without properly accounting for the additional uncertainty related to the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> calculations <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28 bib1.bibx45 bib1.bibx53" id="paren.11"/>. The variability of ground motion predictions can have great impact on the resulting probabilistic seismic hazard and risk assessments. Properly accounting for and separating between aleatory uncertainty, coming from natural randomness, and epistemic uncertainty, due to lack of knowledge, is therefore important. It has long been acknowledged that the site variability is a significant contributor to ground motion variability <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4 bib1.bibx40" id="paren.12"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. In particularly, using inferred site proxies in place of measured site parameters results in an increase in uncertainty. To account for this increase in uncertainty, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="text.13"/> derived separate site-amplification models for measured and inferred proxies and compared their impact on the final hazard and risk calculation. It was found that, although the median amplification predicted using inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was notably lower than the median predicted amplification using measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the resulting seismic hazard and risk curves from the different approaches were within the same range. This emphasizes how seismic hazard is controlled not only by the median amplification but also by the uncertainty. Indeed  this increase in uncertainty, related to inferred proxies, compensates for the change in predicted median amplification in a probabilistic hazard and risk context.</p>
      <p id="d1e491">In this study, we follow the approach of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52 bib1.bibx53" id="text.14"/>, to test the suitability of new site proxies as predictors for site amplification and investigate the effect on epistemic uncertainty when using different regional and globally available site proxies. We skip the step of deriving a site proxy ourselves and look beyond the field of engineering seismology for already available large-scale models of soil and sediment conditions that would allow for inference of soil amplification across a wide region. One such model is the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.15"/> geomorphological model for sedimentary thickness. As the thickness of soil and sediments down to bedrock is an important factor for modelling amplification of earthquake ground shaking, the thickness of porous weathered material above unweathered bedrock is necessary for land surface modelling of, for example, the water and carbon cycle <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="paren.16"/>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.17"/> therefore developed a global dataset of soil, intact regolith and sedimentary deposit thicknesses intended as input for hydrology and ecosystem models. The model is based on a combination of data including slope, lithology and stratigraphy, and water table depth, all of which correlate with geotechnical soil conditions known to yield seismic amplification. Because it is based on more robust geomorphological theories than traditional inferred site proxies, like <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> based on slope or geology, we acknowledge the potential value of the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.18"/> model and other similar large-scale models of soil thickness derived from other fields than our own, as possible input in site-amplification modelling in large-scale seismic hazard and risk modelling.</p>
      <p id="d1e524">To test the  whether the geomorphological model can provide extra information and is suitable for ground-shaking prediction, we derive a simple site-amplification prediction model using site-to-site residuals (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) from the European Engineering Strong-Motion (ESM) dataset <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27 bib1.bibx32" id="paren.19"/>. The site-to-site residuals (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) are derived from a simple ground motion model (GMM) following the method of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23 bib1.bibx24" id="text.20"/>. We compare the ability of the geomorphological model to predict site amplification to site-amplification models based on the traditional site proxies, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> derived from slope from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.21"/>, and slope alone, as well as a combination of slope and geological era. To better investigate the differences in the site-amplification prediction maps derived from the different proxies, we focus on eastern Türkiye and Syria, where the recent February 2023 Kahramanmaraş  earthquake sequence occurred <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33 bib1.bibx39" id="paren.22"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Site-to-site terms</title>
      <p id="d1e594">The site response at sites where ground motion records are available is often derived as the standard spectral ratio (SSR) between a site and a nearby rock reference, or, in the rare<?pagebreak page1225?> cases it is available, a borehole reference at the same site. However, a nearby rock reference or borehole stations are not always available for ground motion recording stations. Instead, when a station has recorded several earthquakes, the repeatable site response can be separated from the source and path effect of the ground motion, using methods like generalized inversion technique <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35" id="paren.23"><named-content content-type="pre">GIT, e.g.</named-content></xref>, empirical spectral modelling technique <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.24"/> or empirical ground motion modelling <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22 bib1.bibx23 bib1.bibx26" id="paren.25"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. In this study we use the latter method to remove the source and path effect from the ground motions using a simple GMM. To derive the GMM we use robust mixed-effects regression <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx21" id="paren.26"><named-content content-type="pre">rlmm,</named-content></xref>, where statistical outliers are down-weighted and hierarchical data are dealt with by distinguishing between fixed effects as explanatory variables and random effects as grouping factors <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx5" id="paren.27"/>. A GMM is typically composed of three main explanatory variables describing the source, path and site effects of the ground motion. In its most basic form, magnitude and distance are used to describe the source and path, while <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is usually used to characterize the site effects. Here, however, only the source and path effects are used as fixed effects, while the site is included as a random effect:

              <disp-formula specific-use="gather" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M31" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E1"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>1</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mtable rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">B</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">WS</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E2"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>2</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:msqrt><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ref</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E3"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>3</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ref</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E4"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>4</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mtable rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close="" open="{"><mml:mtable class="array" columnalign="left left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">if</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">if</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the median ground motion prediction and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">g</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">R</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">a</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">M</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the fixed effects capturing the scaling of the ground motion with geometric spreading, anelastic attenuation and magnitude for Joyner–Boore distance <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">JB</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, hypocentral depth <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and magnitude <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The reference values, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">ref</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, 8 and 12 km, are frequency-independent and defined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.28"/>. Following the notation of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx1" id="text.29"/>, the between-event random effect <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">B</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and site-to-site random effect <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> represent the systematic deviation of recorded ground motions from the GMM median predictions related to an event <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and a site <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">WS</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the “remaining” record-to-record variability <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23 bib1.bibx30" id="paren.30"/>. If a site-proxy-dependent site term were included in the fixed effect, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> would represent the systematic deviation of the observed amplification at site <inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> from the median amplification predicted by the model using the site proxy <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx1" id="paren.31"/>. However, because no site-proxy-dependent site term is included in the GMM derived here, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> captures all the site-specific response and thus can be used as an empirical site-amplification function describing the local amplification, or deamplification, of each station with respect to the median of all sites <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="paren.32"/>. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is comparable to site amplification from GIT, as shown by recent studies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx51" id="paren.33"/>. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is assumed to follow a frequency-dependent normal distribution with standard deviation, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:
          <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>5</label><mml:math id="M58" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        In this study the GMM and corresponding <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> are derived in the Fourier amplitude spectra (FAS) from the ESM dataset <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27 bib1.bibx32" id="paren.34"/>. While most GMMs are derived for response spectral amplitudes (SAs), representing the damped response of an elastic single-degree-of-freedom oscillator, we here derive the GMM and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> in FAS to better capture the physical effects that can be masked in the response spectra, in particularly at high frequencies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25 bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx6" id="paren.35"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e1451">To derive the GMM we use the same data selection criteria and similar functional form as <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.36"/>. The GMM of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25" id="text.37"/> is a regionally adaptable model in FAS for shallow crustal earthquakes in Europe and Mediterranean regions. The regionalization in these models is represented by including an earthquake locality-to-locality variability term and an attenuation region-to-region variability term to the random effects. In the GMM derived for this study, these terms are not included and only event and site are used as random effects. This is done to minimize the possibility that regional differences in site effects propagate into the region-to-region random effect.</p>
      <p id="d1e1460">Unlike traditional site-amplification factors, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is not relative to a reference rock condition but to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is the centre of the distribution, median, of all the stations. The final <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> dataset contains site terms in the frequency range <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.460</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–9.903 Hz for 1680 stations in Europe and the Middle East, as shown on the map in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/> at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, 1.062 and 9.903 Hz. Although the site amplification shows a high variability and is mainly dominated by very local effects, some regional effects can be observed. For example for Italy, the amplification is mainly high (above the median, red) in the Po Plain and low (below the median, blue) in the Alps.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e1546">Map of the site-amplification factor <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> for <bold>(a)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz, <bold>(b)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz and <bold>(c)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.903</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz. The colour scale shows the amplification for each station, where red represents amplified ground motions with respect to the median of all the stations, and blue represents deamplified ground motions.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f01.jpg"/>

      </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Site proxies: inferred~$V_{\mathrm{S30}}$, slope, geomorphological sediment thickness and geological era}?><title>Site proxies: inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, slope, geomorphological sediment thickness and geological era</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Inferred~$V_{\mathrm{S30}}$ from slope}?><title>Inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from slope</title>
      <?pagebreak page1226?><p id="d1e1662">The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> dataset of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.38"/> has had important implications for large-scale seismic hazard and risk assessments and is arguably the most used inferred site proxy in seismic hazard and risk studies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx42" id="paren.39"/>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.40"/> used measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from several locations in the United States, Taiwan, Italy and Australia to derive a relation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope, separating between active and stable tectonic regions. The slope was calculated from global 30 arcsec DEMs from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM30). Here we use the inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values for Europe directly from the global map published by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.41"/>. These values range from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">180</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> to 900 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> as shown in the map of Europe in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>a and the distribution plot in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>a.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1783">Map of the site proxies to be tested in this study. <bold>(a)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from slope by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.42"/>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope calculated from digital elevation models, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.43"/> and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era used in the latest European seismic risk model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14 bib1.bibx53" id="paren.44"><named-content content-type="pre">ESHM20,</named-content></xref>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f02.jpg"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e1833">The distribution of the site proxies to be tested in this study. <bold>(a)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from slope by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.45"/>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope calculated from digital elevation models, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.46"/> and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era used in the latest European seismic risk model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14 bib1.bibx53" id="paren.47"><named-content content-type="pre">ESHM20,</named-content></xref>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Geomorphological sediment thickness (GST)</title>
      <?pagebreak page1228?><p id="d1e1888">The <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.48"/> model provides a gridded global dataset of soil, intact regolith and sedimentary deposit thicknesses down to 50 m. In their model, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.49"/> define bedrock as the unweathered bedrock below unconsolidated material, which in lowlands is mainly considered sedimentary deposits, and high porosity material, which in uplands can be divided into regolith and soil where soil is the material that sustains life and regolith is the porous weathered material below soil <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37 bib1.bibx19" id="paren.50"/>. The model is therefore developed by partitioning the Earth's surface into uplands and lowlands, which are then separated into hillslopes and valley bottoms. Uplands and lowlands are defined as areas undergoing net erosion and net deposition, respectively, over geological timescales and are distinguished using geological maps and topographic analysis. Hillslopes and valley bottoms are identified using topographic curvature from DEMs, where hillslopes are areas of unconfined surface water flow, while valley bottoms are areas of confined surface water flow. This distinction is particularly important for uplands, and the regolith, soil and sediment thickness values are derived separately for the three landform types: upland hillslopes, upland valley bottoms and lowlands. The values are calculated using mathematical formulas specific to each landform, based on world climate data, water table depths, soil thickness databases and depth-to-bedrock data, among others, as input. The final dataset provided by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx38" id="text.51"/> includes several 30 arcsec pixel grids covering 60° S–90° N and 180° W–180° E, separating between maximum upland regolith, average soil thickness for upland hillslope, average soil and sediment thickness for upland valley bottom and lowlands and average soil and sediment thickness across all areas. This study uses the grids for average soil and sediment thickness for all areas, hereafter referred to as geomorphological sedimentary thickness. The <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.52"/> model has been previously tested as a proxy for basin depth in Japan <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="paren.53"/> and was included in the open-source site database of strong-motion stations in Japan by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="text.54"/>. However, both <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="text.55"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="text.56"/> used the average soil and sediment thickness for upland valley bottom and lowlands grid, while here we  use the average soil and sediment thickness for all areas, which is a combination of the grids for average soil thickness for upland hillslope and average soil and sediment thickness for upland valley bottom and lowlands, in order to access more values over a broader area. The geomorphological sedimentary thickness ranges between 0 and 50 m and is shown in the map of Europe in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>c and the distribution plot in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>c.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <label>3.3</label><title>Geological era and slope for Europe</title>
      <p id="d1e1931">In the latest European seismic hazard and risk model (ESHM20, ESRM20), geological era and slope are used to derive the site-response model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14 bib1.bibx53" id="paren.57"/>. This approach is based on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="text.58"/>, who made a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> map for Portugal from geological maps, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="text.59"/>, who compared several approaches for deriving site amplification from inferred proxies in Japan, including geology and slope. The harmonized surface geology map of Europe is a combination of three geological maps for Europe and Iceland and has a resolution of up to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Because several geological units, both following lithologic (nature) and stratigraphic (age) classification, contain too few stations, the geological units were grouped into the following seven geological eras: Holocene, Pleistocene, Cenozoic, Cretaceous, Jurassic–Triassic, Pre-Cambrian and Paleozoic. The map and station distribution of these eras are shown in Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>d and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>d. The slope used in this model was calculated from the 2014 General Bathymetric Chart of the Oceans grid (GEBCO 2014, <uri>https://www.gebco.net/</uri>, last access: 4 April 2022) and is shown in Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>b and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>b. In this study, we use the same slope and geological eras as <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="text.60"/>, with a resolution of 30 arcsec and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, respectively, which are available on the EFEHR seismic risk web services (<uri>http://risk.efehr.org/site-model/</uri>, last access: 23 September 2022).</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Amplification predictions according to the different proxies</title>
      <p id="d1e2022">We evaluate the ability of the different proxies to predict site amplification by deriving a site-amplification model for each proxy using linear regression to capture the relation between the empirical amplification <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the proxies:
          <disp-formula id="Ch1.E6" content-type="numbered"><label>6</label><mml:math id="M92" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
        where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the predicted site amplification for a site <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> at frequency <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> using a proxy <inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are the coefficients derived from the linear regression.</p>
      <p id="d1e2150">A log-normal distribution is generally assumed for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and depth to bedrock <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11 bib1.bibx49" id="paren.61"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>, and the relation between site amplification and measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is often derived as log-linear <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx41 bib1.bibx16" id="paren.62"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.</named-content></xref>. Indeed, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/> shows the linear regression between the empirical amplification <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at frequencies <inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 1.062 Hz, with measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The coefficient of determination <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shows that the correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is higher than between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on linear scale. We therefore, and following common practice, also assume a log-linear relation between the site amplification and the inferred site proxies.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e2337">The linear (green line) and log-linear (red dotted line) relation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the frequencies <bold>(a)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz and <bold>(b)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f04.png"/>

        <?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{5mm}}?>
      </fig>

      <p id="d1e2410">As shown by the distribution of the inferred proxies (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>), the log-normal assumption is not fully fulfilled for inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and especially geomorphological sediment thickness. This is because the proxies are limited to a certain range during their calculation process. In the case of geomorphological sediment thickness, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.63"/> set the maximum value to 50 m, effectively meaning the thickness of the sediment layer is 50 m or more. Likewise, the inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is limited to a maximum value of 900 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e2460">Inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(a–c)</bold> and geomorphological sedimentary thickness <bold>(d–f)</bold> with the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of all the 1680 stations (black dots) in the ESM dataset for the frequencies <inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz <bold>(a, d)</bold>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz <bold>(b, e)</bold> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.903</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz <bold>(c, f)</bold>. The regression lines are from the tobit regression (solid red line) and the linear regression on all the data (blue line), on the selected dataset without the maximum geomorphological sediment thickness values (50 m, green line), without the extreme values of geomorphological sediment thickness (0 and 50 m, dotted purple line), and the minimum geomorphological sediment thickness (0 m, orange line). The general trend of the data is shown by a non-parametric fit (dashed yellow line).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f05.png"/>

        <?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{5mm}}?>
      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e2562">Coefficient of determination <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the regressions shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/> between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the site proxies <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <bold>(b)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f06.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?pagebreak page1230?><p id="d1e2628">When dealing with such uneven distribution caused by censoring the data, so-called “censored data”, tobit regression <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx47" id="paren.64"/> is a possibility. The tobit model is developed to estimate linear relationships when the dependent variable is censored and uses the likelihood function to deal with the uneven distribution <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx3" id="paren.65"/>. However, as can be seen in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/> (red line), the tobit regression strongly overestimates the slope of the relation between the site proxies and site amplification, which is also demonstrated by the non-parametric fit (dashed yellow lines, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>) and the low coefficient of determination <inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the tobit regression (red line Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>) compared to the other regression models, as shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>. The slope from the tobit regression is especially overestimated at high frequencies, where a weak relation between the empirical site amplification and site proxies is expected due to the impact of small-scale heterogeneities at the site where even the location or housing of the strong-motion station can affect the amplification <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="paren.66"/> and the coarse spatial resolution (30 arcsec) of the site-amplification model. Interestingly, at very low frequencies (below 0.5 Hz), the coefficients of determination <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the regressions based on geomorphological sediment thickness are slightly reduced. This behaviour is not observed for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> based on the regressions with inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and might be caused by the geomorphological sediment thickness being limited to 50 m depth.</p>
      <p id="d1e2696">Another alternative approach to deal with the censored data is to exclude the end values when running the regression. However, this step only excludes a high number of sites while not having a strong impact on the regression line (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>, green, purple, orange and yellow line). Instead, we only omit sites with geomorphological sediment thickness <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 m, which is the value that causes the highest unevenness in the distribution, as well as sites with missing values for any of the proxies, leaving us with 1508 sites for the regression. To evaluate the dependency of the regression on the selection of sites, we run a 10-fold cross-validation test, which is a method to separate the data used for the regression (training set) and the data used to validate the regression (validation set) when dealing with small datasets  <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="paren.67"/>. Because our dataset consists of 1508 sites, we choose to separate the data into 10 parts in order to have a sufficiently large validation set (about 150 sites). In the 10-fold cross-validation test, the dataset is thus split into 10 equal parts and the model is derived on 10–1 parts and tested on the remaining 1 part of the dataset. This is done 10 times, and for each run a different subset of the data is used for validation. The distributions of the site proxies for each of the 10 cross-validation iterations are shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F18"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e2714">Because the object of this study is not to find the best possible relation between each proxy and empirical site amplification, but rather to compare the ability of the proxies to predict site amplifications, we choose linear regression for simplicity. We do, however, acknowledge that site amplification is a complex phenomenon that the linear assumption cannot fully capture. Furthermore, because the models are based on the proxies’ relation with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, the resulting amplification predictions are, as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, relative to the median prediction of the associated GMM used to obtain the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (Eqs. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>–<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e2770">We derive site-amplification models from linear regression between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> for the frequency range <inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.460</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–9.903 Hz and the site proxies, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from slope, slope alone, geomorphological sediment thickness and geological era combined with slope. The selected sites and the regression lines are shown for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/> for inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, slope and geomorphological sediment thickness. Although the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> shows a high scatter with the site proxies, a general trend of higher amplification for low <inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, low slope and high sediment thickness and low amplification for vice versa can be identified. For the regression over geological era and slope combined, we apply multiple linear regression, meaning with multiple independent variables where the categorical predictor, geological era, is transformed to dummy variables for each era and the regression then derives a constant coefficient for slope with a different intercept for each geological era (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>). The variation in prediction coefficients due to the alteration of the training set in the cross-validation process, shown as dotted red lines in Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>, is small for all the proxies except inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and geological era. This indicates that the site-amplification models based on inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and geological era and slope combined are more dependent on the data selection than the other proxies, causing a higher final uncertainty. The coefficients of determination for the linear regressions shown in Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/> and for the entire frequency range are shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F19"/>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e2930">Linear regression (red lines) over the site proxies inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(a, b)</bold>, slope <bold>(c, d)</bold> and geomorphological sedimentary thickness <bold>(e, f)</bold>, with the station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (black dots) for the frequencies <inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz <bold>(a, c, e)</bold> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz <bold>(b, d, f)</bold>.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f07.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e3011">Linear regression (red lines) over slope and the geological eras: Holocene <bold>(a, b)</bold>, Pleistocene <bold>(c, d)</bold>, Cenozoic <bold>(e, f)</bold>, Cretaceous <bold>(g, h)</bold>, Jurassic–Triassic <bold>(i, j)</bold>, Precambrian <bold>(k, l)</bold> and Palaeozoic <bold>(m, n)</bold>, with the station <inline-formula><mml:math id="M158" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> (black dots) for the frequencies <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz <bold>(a, c, e, g, i, k, m)</bold> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz <bold>(b, d, f, h, j, l, n)</bold>.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f08.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page1231?><sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Reduction in site-to-site variability</title>
      <p id="d1e3100">After deriving an amplification model based on each proxy, we compare the predicted amplification <inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with the empirical amplification <inline-formula><mml:math id="M164" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at a site <inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and frequency <inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. We measure the ability of each proxy to capture the site amplification using the reduction in site-to-site variability <inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as an indicator of the efficiency of each proxy in predicting the amplification <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43 bib1.bibx56" id="paren.68"/>. We compute the corrected site term for each proxy-specific predicted amplification <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>:

              <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M171" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E7"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>7</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E8"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>8</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> represents the remaining site amplification that is not captured by the proxy-based amplification prediction <inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the site-to-site variability of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  <inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with the four site proxies is shown for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, 1.062 and 9.903 Hz in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F20"/>. If the site-amplification model were able to perfectly predict and capture the full range of the site amplification at a specific site, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> would be reduced to zero. However, such an ideal case is not realistic and conventional site-amplification models can only aim to reduce <inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as much as possible. Hence, the greater the reduction in variability, meaning a lower <inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the better the ability of the proxy to capture the site amplification. Still, it is important to keep in mind that this measure and the correlation between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the site proxies are purely statistical and do not give any insight into what is causing the amplification and its variability.</p>
      <?pagebreak page1232?><p id="d1e3676">As described in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4"/>, the site-amplification models and corresponding reduction in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were derived and calculated 10 times following the 10-fold cross-validation technique. This means we are dealing with two sources of variability: the site-to-site variability <inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the variability related to running the regression on different subsets of the data in the 10-fold cross-correlation, here called <inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cc</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is a combination of the natural, random and irreducible (aleatory) variability of site response and the epistemic uncertainty related to the site proxies not being able to fully capture the site properties controlling the site amplification. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cc</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is fully epistemic as it is related to the difference between the site-amplification models derived using different datasets. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/> shows the mean <inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for all stations (black lines) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>(Proxy) for each proxy (coloured lines) from the 10 cross-validation iterations derived on the training sets (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>a) and the validation sets (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>b). The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for each cross-validation iteration is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F21"/>. In Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>, the shaded areas around the means are the variance <inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cc</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> related to the cross-validation process. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cc</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is, as expected, higher for the validation set (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>b), which for each iteration corresponds to only 10 % of the dataset, than for the training set (90 % of the data, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>a). Nonetheless, the general pattern is similar for both sets, where the highest reduction in site-to-site variability is caused by the site-amplification model based on geological era and slope. Inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, slope and geomorphological sediment thickness show similar reductions in variability for both the training and validation sets, with around a 1 % difference for the training set. For the validation set the reduction caused by inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, slope and geomorphological sediment thickness are within the same standard deviation <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϵ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cc</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and are not clearly distinguishable (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>b). For both the training and validation set, none of the site-amplification models are distinguishable for frequencies above 3 Hz, which might be caused by the low resolution (30 arcsec and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>:</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) of all the proxies considered in this study. This poor correlation between site amplification and topography- and geology-based proxies at high frequencies (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3.0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz) has also been observed by other studies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43 bib1.bibx56" id="paren.69"/>, also when higher-resolution indirect proxies were used <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8" id="paren.70"/>, indicating that inferred site proxies mainly capture the average and deep properties of the subsurface and not the finer local nuances of a site.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e3924">The site-to-site variability <inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for all selected stations (solid black line) and the corrected site-to-site variability after subtracting the predicted site amplification using inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), dashed blue lines), slope (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>(Slope), solid orange lines), geomorphological sediment thickness (GST) (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>(GST), dashed–dotted green lines) and geology and slope (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>(Geology and slope), dotted magenta lines) from the empirical site amplification using <bold>(a)</bold> the 10–1-part training set and <bold>(b)</bold> the 1-part validation set.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f09.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?pagebreak page1233?><p id="d1e4071"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>The results shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>, indicate that the site-amplification model based on geological era and slope combined is better at capturing site amplification relative to the other proxies used in this study. These results are consistent with the findings of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="text.71"/>, who also derived site-amplification models based on several inferred proxies for Japan. However, when applying the same model to Europe, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="text.72"/> found that the reduction from geological era and slope was not significantly lower than for inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> or slope alone. They speculate that this could be an artefact of the mixed-effects regression used to derive the model, where geological era and slope were included as a random effect, meaning the coefficient for slope changes with each geological era, which is different for the multiple linear regression applied in this study where the slope coefficient stays the same for each geological era. In addition, our study uses <inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from FAS, which is likely to affect the site-to-site variability.</p>
      <p id="d1e4121">Nevertheless, the case that geological era and slope combined give the highest reduction to the site-to-site variability shows the importance of including geology in site-amplification modelling. Furthermore, the new proxy geomorphological sedimentary thickness shows a similar or even slightly higher reduction in site-to-site variability as the traditional proxies inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope, indicating the potential of geomorphological sedimentary thickness as an alternative site proxy for seismic hazard assessments for large areas or areas without measured site parameters.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e4140"><bold>(a)</bold> Number of stations per Eurocode 8 class, <bold>(b)</bold> the correlation between measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope coloured by geological era, and <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sediment thickness (GST).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f10.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e4174">The ranges of site properties selected to correspond to the Eurocode 8 classes: A, B and C.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Proxy</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col3" align="center">A </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col5" nameend="col6" align="center">B </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col8" nameend="col9" align="center">C </oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Range</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Number of</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Range</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Number of</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Range</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Number of</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">stations</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">stations</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">stations</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">800</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m <inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>s</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">68</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">360–800 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">184</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">180–360 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">9</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">800</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">15</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">360–800 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">138</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">180–360 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">65</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Slope</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.1–0.3 m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M223" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">28</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.05–0.1 m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M224" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">69</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.01–0.03 m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M225" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">148</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="1">GST</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="1">0–5 m</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col3" morerows="1">51</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">5–30</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">142</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col8" morerows="1">30–50 m</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col9" morerows="1">311</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">30–50 m</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">7</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1" morerows="3">Geological era</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2" morerows="2">Cretaceous</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3" morerows="2">9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Cretaceous,</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">22</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Holocene</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">18</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Jurassic–Triassic</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">6</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8" morerows="2">Pleistocene</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9" morerows="2">10</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Precambrian</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Jurassic–Triassic</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">5</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Paleozoic</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><?xmltex \gdef\@currentlabel{1}?></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6">
  <label>6</label><title>Proxy-based site-amplification predictions and maps</title>
      <?pagebreak page1234?><p id="d1e4645">To further evaluate the ability of the site proxies to predict site amplification, we compare the predicted site amplification with empirical site amplification for the entire frequency range (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M226" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.460</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–9.903 Hz). The object of this study is to test regionally or globally available site proxies as predictors for regional site amplification over a large area. It is therefore not necessarily meaningful to compare our site-amplification predictions to empirical site amplification at a single site. Instead, we compare the predicted amplification to empirical amplification grouped according to the Eurocode 8 classes <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13" id="paren.73"><named-content content-type="pre">EC8</named-content></xref> provided in the ESM database. Based on the station distribution with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M227" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>) and the number of stations per class (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>a), we only use the stiffer classes, A, B and C, for the comparison. Selecting corresponding ranges of site properties for predicting the site amplification for each EC8 class using other proxies than inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M228" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> requires some attention. The correlation between measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M229" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b shows that slope generally increases with increasing <inline-formula><mml:math id="M230" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Although the relation has a high variability, especially for high <inline-formula><mml:math id="M231" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, we select high slope (0.1–0.3 m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M232" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) for A, 0.05–0.1 m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M233" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for B and 0.01–0.03 m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M234" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for C. Because the relation between geomorphological sediment thickness and measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M235" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> has a high variability over the entire range (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>c), we use the newly proposed Eurocode 8 draft <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="paren.74"/> with very shallow geomorphological sediment thickness at (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M236" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m) for A, shallow (5–30 m) and intermediate (30–50 m) for B and intermediate for C. When selecting corresponding geological eras, we use Holocene and Pleistocene for C (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b, yellow and pink scatter points), the remaining geological eras (leaving out Cenozoic) Cretaceous, Jurassic–Triassic, Precambrian and Paleozoic for B (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>c, brown, green, blue and purple scatter points), and Cretaceous and Jurassic–Triassic for A (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>c, brown and green scatter points). The selected ranges of site properties are given in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e4819">Empirical mean (solid black line) site amplification with standard deviation (shaded black area) compared to predicted site amplification for the Eurocode classes <bold>(a)</bold> A, <bold>(b)</bold> B and <bold>(c)</bold> C, using inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M237" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (solid blue lines), slope (solid orange lines), geomorphological sediment thickness (dashed–dotted green and olive lines), and geological era and slope (dotted magenta lines).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f11.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e4851">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/> shows the mean of the empirical site amplification (solid black line) with the standard deviation (shaded black area) of the sites in each of the EC8 classes A, B and C. The variability of the empirical site amplification even within each class is very high, and the predicted site amplifications using any of the proxies are within the standard deviation of the three classes. For A, slope and geomorphological sediment thickness are continuously in the upper range of the empirical site-amplification standard deviation, while the predictions based on inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M238" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and geological era with slope slightly underpredict relative to the mean empirical site amplification for low frequencies and overpredict for higher frequencies. For class B, inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M239" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope are in the lower range of the empirical site-amplification standard deviation but generally follow the shape of the mean<?pagebreak page1235?> empirical site amplification, while the prediction based on shallow (5–30 m) and especially intermediate (30–50 m) geomorphological sediment thickness overpredicts with respect to the mean empirical amplification, The site-amplification models based on geological era and slope underpredict relative to the mean empirical site amplification, especially for low frequencies, but get closer to the mean empirical amplification at higher frequencies. For the softer soil class C, the different proxies have similar predictions and are close to the mean of the empirical amplification. At low frequencies, in particular the model predictions based on geomorphological sediment thickness and inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M240" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are close to the mean empirical amplification. However, the differences between the predictions and empirical amplification could also be due to a poor correspondence between the selected ranges of inferred proxy values and the measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M241" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, particularly for geological era.</p>
      <p id="d1e4913">Finally, we use the proxy-based site-amplification models to predict the site amplification for the whole of Europe, as shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F12"/> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M242" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.06</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>2 Hz. The amplification maps at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M243" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M244" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.903</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz are shown in Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F22"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F23"/>. The site-amplification maps show the amplification (red) and deamplification (blue) relative to the median site amplification (white) predicted by the associated GMM defined in Eqs. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>)–(<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>). This is different from conventional amplification maps used in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, where the site amplification is relative to a rock reference. In this study, we keep the amplification relative to the median to avoid biasing the result with poorly constrained rock properties. Furthermore, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M245" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M246" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> used to develop the models is obtained from strong-motion stations mainly located in southern Europe and the Mediterranean region (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>); some regional bias is therefore likely to be present in the amplification predictions. The maps all show similar features, for example, high amplification in the soft-sediment basins of the Po Plain in northern Italy, the Danubian Plain of eastern Romania and the Great Hungarian Plain and strong deamplification in the Alps, the Carpathian Mountains and western Norway. However, clear differences are also evident in the different site-amplification maps, for example around the Rhine Valley, in the Baltic and eastern Türkiye. These differences show not only that the proxies are capturing different aspects of the site effects, but also that there is a need for characterizing the epistemic uncertainty related to the site-amplification predictions.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F12" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{12}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 12</label><caption><p id="d1e4983">Predicted site amplification at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M247" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz for Europe using <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M248" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness, and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era and slope. The amplification maps are relative to the median prediction of associated GMM given in Eqs. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>)–(<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f12.jpg"/>

        <?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{3mm}}?>
      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F13" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{13}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 13</label><caption><p id="d1e5039">Map of eastern Türkiye and Syria coloured by the site proxies <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M249" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era. The epicentres for the two largest earthquakes of the Kahramanmaraş  sequence of February 2023 are indicated as red stars on the map.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f13.png"/>

        <?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{3mm}}?>
      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F14" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{14}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 14</label><caption><p id="d1e5078">Predicted site amplification in eastern Türkiye and Syria at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M250" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz using <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M251" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness, and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era and slope. The triangles represent the strong motion stations coloured by empirical site amplification <inline-formula><mml:math id="M252" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M253" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M254" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz. The stations with measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M255" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values are indicated on the map. The amplification maps are relative to the median prediction of associated GMM given in Eqs. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>)–(<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f14.jpg"/>

      </fig>

<sec id="Ch1.S6.SS1">
  <label>6.1</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Justifications of the differences in the site-amplification predictions: a focus on eastern T\"{u}rkiye}?><title>Justifications of the differences in the site-amplification predictions: a focus on eastern Türkiye</title>
      <?pagebreak page1237?><p id="d1e5182">To investigate the differences in the predictions further and evaluate how the models perform with new data, we zoom in on eastern Türkiye, where the recent Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence of February 2023 occurred <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33 bib1.bibx39" id="paren.75"/>. Figures <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F14"/> show the site proxies and predicted site amplification at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M256" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz in eastern Türkiye and Syria. The main difference between the site proxies and their corresponding site amplification is in the area south of the southeastern Taurus Mountains, around the cities of Gaziantep and Aleppo, and by the border between Türkiye and Syria. In the map based on inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M257" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>a) and slope (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>b), low values of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M258" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope are present on both sides of the border and in the corresponding amplification maps (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F14"/>a and b); medium to high (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M259" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) amplification is predicted around the border with gradual lower amplification towards the Taurus Mountains. The map of geomorphological sedimentary thickness (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>c) differs markedly from that of inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M260" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope north of the Türkiye–Syria border with mainly shallow (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M261" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m) sediments, and low amplification (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M262" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.6</mml:mn><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is predicted for that area (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F14"/>c). South of the Türkiye–Syria border, however, the geomorphological sedimentary thickness map shows deep (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M263" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m) sediments and predicts high amplification (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M264" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). This sharp difference at the Türkiye–Syria border in the geomorphological sedimentary thickness is likely due to the fact that <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.76"/>, in the process of differentiating between upland and lowland, used separate geologic maps for Europe and the Arabian Peninsula. The site-amplification map based on geological era and slope combined (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F14"/>d) predicts less high amplification than inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M265" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope and mainly in concentrated areas north of the Türkiye–Syria border (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F14"/>a and b). However, because the geological era maps were created for the European seismic hazard and risk model, the maps based on geological era and slope end at the border of Türkiye and do not include Syria (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>d). Despite these limitations, we chose to focus on this area because the recent events caused large damages on both sides of the borders, showing the urgent need for seismic hazard and risk models that cross both national and regional borders.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F15" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{15}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 15</label><caption><p id="d1e5377"><bold>(a)</bold> Distribution and <bold>(b)</bold> map of the ground motions from eastern Türkiye recorded in February and March 2023.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f15.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F16" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{16}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 16</label><caption><p id="d1e5394">The within-event residuals <inline-formula><mml:math id="M266" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>  from predicted ground motions (in FAS) at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M267" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz of the recent Kahramanmaraş  earthquake sequence of February 2023 using the site-amplification models based on <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M268" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness, and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era and slope.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f16.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e5455">We use ground motions from eastern Türkiye recorded in February and March 2023 to evaluate the performance of the models. The new dataset was retrieved from the ESM database <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="paren.77"/> and contains events recorded by 290 stations. The distribution and map of the events and stations are shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F15"/>. The predicted ground motion at each site is obtained using the four proxy-based site-amplification models (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M269" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) in combination with the median GMM prediction (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M270" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">median</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>):

                <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M271" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E9"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>9</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>exp⁡</mml:mi><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">median</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E10"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>10</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">res</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">FAS</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>ln⁡</mml:mi><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">μ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Proxy</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">B</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            As the majority of the stations in the new dataset did not record a sufficient number of events (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M272" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) to derive the site-to-site residual <inline-formula><mml:math id="M273" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M274" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>, we only use event as a random effect and evaluate the predictability of the four models using the within-event residual <inline-formula><mml:math id="M275" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F16"/> shows the site-corrected <inline-formula><mml:math id="M276" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> obtained from the GMM predictions of the Kahramanmaraş earthquake sequence and the four different site-amplification models at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M277" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M278" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M279" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M280" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.903</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz are shown in Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F24"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F25"/> in the Appendix. The variability of the site-corrected <inline-formula><mml:math id="M281" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is high for all the proxies, partly because the record-to-record variability <inline-formula><mml:math id="M282" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">WS</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">e</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is also included in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M283" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, whereas the models only predict <inline-formula><mml:math id="M284" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M285" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>. Nevertheless, the site-corrected <inline-formula><mml:math id="M286" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for all the proxies is consistently centred around zero with no visible strong trends, as shown by the binned mean (blue error bars). This shows that no significant biases are<?pagebreak page1238?> present in the models and that all four proxies are satisfactorily able to predict site amplification, even for new data. However, due to the limitations of the dataset, any further conclusions on the site effects caused by these events are beyond the scope of this study.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F17" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{17}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 17</label><caption><p id="d1e5789">Empirical site amplification (solid black line) compared to predicted site amplification using the stations in eastern Türkiye with measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M287" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values, separated into medium stiff soil sites with <bold>(a)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M288" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–500 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M289" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and <bold>(b)</bold> stiff sites <inline-formula><mml:math id="M290" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–700 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M291" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, using inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M292" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (dashed blue lines), slope (solid orange lines), geomorphological sediment thickness (dashed green lines), and geological era and slope (dotted magenta lines) at the stations.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f17.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Table 2</label><caption><p id="d1e5896">Station name, location and site properties of the east Turkish stations with the measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M293" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F14"/>.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Station</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Latitude</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Longitude</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Measured</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Inferred</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Slope</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">GST</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Geological</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">code</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M294" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M295" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">(m m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M296" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">(m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">era</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M297" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M298" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-4401</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">38.34962</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">38.34019</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">481.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">502.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.069</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">3.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Cenozoic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-3102</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.21300</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.15900</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">469.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">340.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.009</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">27.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Cenozoic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-4403</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">38.09616</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">37.88732</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">655.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">425.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.014</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Unknown</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-4605</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">38.20368</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">37.19771</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">315.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">313.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.003</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">38.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Cretaceous</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-4603</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">37.57998</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.93061</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">465.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">523.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.049</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">3.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Pleistocene</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-4604</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">37.57010</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.35737</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">613.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">625.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.064</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">2.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Cenozoic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-3101</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.21423</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.15973</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">469.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">340.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.009</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">27.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Cenozoic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-3103</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.11593</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.24722</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">344.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">512.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.044</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">4.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Cenozoic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-3105</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.80262</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.51119</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">619.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">602.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.078</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Pleistocene</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-3111</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">36.37260</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.21973</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">338.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">619.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.051</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">4.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Pleistocene</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-2701</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">37.02546</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.63593</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">421.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">457.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.020</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">16.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Unknown</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-4607</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">37.48513</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">37.29775</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">672.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">501.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.059</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Cenozoic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-2702</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">37.18430</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.73280</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">599.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">469.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.073</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">3.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Unknown</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TK-4601</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">37.53872</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">36.98187</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">345.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">349.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.017</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">22.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Pleistocene</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><?xmltex \gdef\@currentlabel{2}?></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e6473">Furthermore, because there are few stations with calculated <inline-formula><mml:math id="M299" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M300" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> in this area, and particularly where the largest differences are located, it is difficult to make a solid argument for which proxy is more correct. For this purpose, one would either have to wait for more events to derive a valid <inline-formula><mml:math id="M301" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M302" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> or perform a more detailed comparison with local values. However, as stated before, the aim of this study is not to re-create the exact site-specific amplification but to evaluate the ability of inferred proxies to predict the site amplification for larger areas and capture, using several models, the epistemic uncertainty of such regional amplification prediction. Instead, we compare the empirical amplification from the few stations in the area with the predicted amplification in a similar way as in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>. We only use the 14 stations available in the original <inline-formula><mml:math id="M303" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M304" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> dataset and with measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M305" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> values; these stations are marked in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F14"/> and are described in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/>. Because the measured <inline-formula><mml:math id="M306" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of the considered stations only ranges between 300 and 700 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M307" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, the stations are separated into two ranges for medium-stiff soil sites (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M308" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–500 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M309" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F17"/>a) and stiffer sites (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M310" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">500</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>–700 m s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M311" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F17"/>b). The comparison of<?pagebreak page1239?> empirical amplification and predicted amplification for the eastern Turkish stations in the two <inline-formula><mml:math id="M312" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ranges shows that all the proxies significantly underpredict the site amplification for the medium-stiff soil sites and overpredict the stiffer sites. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F17"/> further shows that predicting site amplification using proxies cannot reproduce the full range of amplifications on a local level and that regionalized models might be necessary.</p>
      <p id="d1e6654">In addition to assessing whether new site proxies can provide additional valuable information for estimating site effects at regional or global scales, an important motivation for this and previous studies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52 bib1.bibx53" id="paren.78"/> was to discuss how to deal with epistemic uncertainty when characterizing ground motion at sites for further probabilistic seismic hazard and risk calculations. In order to properly account for the uncertainty, it is necessary to have a clear picture of where the uncertainty comes from. The results presented above have shown that using different site proxies to predict site amplification gives significantly different<?pagebreak page1240?> results, which further emphasizes the importance of capturing the epistemic uncertainty associated with modelling site amplification when using inferred proxies. Furthermore, this epistemic uncertainty needs to be incorporated into the final risk calculation. To fully assess the impact of this epistemic uncertainty, risk and loss calculations should be performed using the different site-amplification models, but this is beyond the scope of this work.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S7" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>7</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e6669">To test whether the geomorphological model for sediment thickness derived by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.79"/> can be used as an alternative site proxy, we have derived site-amplification models based on the geomorphological sediment thickness, as well as traditional site proxies like inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M313" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, slope, and geological era and slope combined. Although the predicted site-amplification maps based on the different proxies show similar trends, there are also notable differences, indicating that the proxies capture different aspects of the site effects. Using only one proxy, for example, inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M314" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is often the standard procedure, is therefore not sufficient to fully capture the range of possible amplifications. The differences in the site-amplification predictions based on the different proxies thus contribute to the characterization of the epistemic uncertainty. In a probabilistic seismic hazard and risk context, this uncertainty needs to be included and properly accounted for. In this study, we calculate the site amplification for Europe and the Middle East but focus particularly on eastern Türkiye and Syria. As a measure of how well the site proxies capture the empirical site amplification, we used the reduction in site-to-site variability. The results show that the site-amplification predictions based on geological era and slope combined cause the highest reduction, while the prediction based on geomorphological sediment thickness causes a similar, but slightly larger, reduction in site-to-site variability than the traditional site proxies, inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M315" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope. This result shows the value of including geology and geomorphology in prediction models for site amplification. Furthermore, the geological map used in this study is only available for Europe, while geomorphological sediment thickness is available globally and easily accessible. However, although the geomorphological sediment thickness has potential, further investigations and tests are needed before establishing it as an alternative to the much-used inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M316" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> model from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.80"/>, in particular in areas where inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M317" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and slope are known to have a weak correlation with site amplification. Moreover, the correlation between the empirical site amplification and the site proxies all weakens above 3 Hz, which shows the need for models with higher resolution or including more local and shallow information. Our results therefore show the potential of not only the geomorphological sediment thickness model but also of other models for soil and sediment thickness from geomorphology and similar fields outside seismology and earthquake engineering. The outputs of this study have been made available (see the “Code and data availability” section below); however, it is important to state that the site-amplification models and maps developed in this study can only be interpreted as referenced to the associated GMM median prediction and should be considered as exploratory as they were developed for the purpose of testing the different site proxies and show the epistemic uncertainty related to using different proxies. Additionally, using inferred site proxies should only be done for regional seismic hazard studies of larger areas or when more detailed site parameters are missing.</p><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>

<?pagebreak page1241?><app id="App1.Ch1.S1">
  <?xmltex \currentcnt{A}?><label>Appendix A</label><title/>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F18"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A1</label><caption><p id="d1e6762">The distribution of inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M318" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (top row panels), slope (second row panels), geomorphological sediment thickness (GST, third row panels), and geological era and slope (bottom row panels) for each 10-fold cross-validation iteration using the 10–1-part training set (blue) and the 1-part validation set (orange).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f18.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F19"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A2}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A2</label><caption><p id="d1e6789">Coefficient of determination <inline-formula><mml:math id="M319" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the linear regressions between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M320" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M321" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the site proxies inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M322" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (blue line) slope (yellow), geomorphological sedimentary thickness (green), and geological era and slope (magenta) for the entire frequency range, as shown in Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M323" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 1.062 Hz.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=284.527559pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f19.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F20"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A3}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A3</label><caption><p id="d1e6869">The site-corrected <inline-formula><mml:math id="M324" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M325" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, Proxy) for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M326" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz (left panels), <inline-formula><mml:math id="M327" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.062</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M328" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.903</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz for with inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M329" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (top row panels) slope (second top row panels), geomorphological sedimentary thickness (second bottom row panels), and geological era and slope (bottom row panels).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f20.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F21"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A4}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A4</label><caption><p id="d1e6961">The site-to-site variability <inline-formula><mml:math id="M330" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for all selected stations (black line) and the corrected site-to-site variability after subtracting the predicted site amplification using inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M331" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M332" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, blue lines), slope (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M333" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>(Slope), orange lines), geomorphological sediment thickness (GST) (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M334" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>(GST), green lines), and geological era and slope (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M335" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">cor</mml:mi><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>(Geology and slope), magenta lines) from the empirical site amplification for each 10-fold cross-validation iteration using the 10–1-part training set (top row panels) and the 1-part validation set (bottom row panels).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f21.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F22"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A5}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A5</label><caption><p id="d1e7106">Predicted site amplification at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M336" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz for Europe using <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M337" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness, and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era and slope. The amplification maps are relative to the median prediction of the associated GMM given in Eqs. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>)–(<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f22.jpg"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F23"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A6}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A6</label><caption><p id="d1e7162">Predicted site amplification at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M338" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.903</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz for Europe using <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M339" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness, and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era and slope. The amplification maps are relative to the median prediction of the associated GMM given in Eqs. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>)–(<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f23.jpg"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F24"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A7}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A7</label><caption><p id="d1e7220">The within-event residuals <inline-formula><mml:math id="M340" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the predicted ground motions (in FAS) at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M341" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.529</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>Hz of the recent Kahramanmaraş  earthquake sequence of February 2023 using the site-amplification models based on <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M342" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness, and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era and slope.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f24.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F25"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A8}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A8</label><caption><p id="d1e7286">The within-event residuals <inline-formula><mml:math id="M343" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">W</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the predicted ground motions (in FAS) at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M344" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">9.903</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Hz of the recent Kahramanmaraş  earthquake sequence of February 2023 using the site-amplification models based on <bold>(a)</bold> inferred <inline-formula><mml:math id="M345" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <bold>(b)</bold> slope, <bold>(c)</bold> geomorphological sedimentary thickness, and <bold>(d)</bold> geological era and slope.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/24/1223/2024/nhess-24-1223-2024-f25.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</app>
  </app-group><notes notes-type="codedataavailability"><title>Code and data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e7355">The empirical site amplification <inline-formula><mml:math id="M346" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>S2S<inline-formula><mml:math id="M347" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and the coefficients for the proxy-based site-amplification prediction models derived in this study, as well as a short code for computing and mapping the proxies and site-amplification predictions, are available on Zenodo: <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10686867" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5281/zenodo.10686867</ext-link> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="paren.81"/>. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M348" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> dataset from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50" id="text.82"/> is available from the US Geological Survey (USGS) and was downloaded from <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20071357" ext-link-type="DOI">10.3133/ofr20071357</ext-link> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx2" id="paren.83"/>. The slope and geological map of Europe are available from the EFEHR seismic risk web services (<ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.7414/EUC-EUROPEAN-SITE-MODEL-DATA-VIEWER" ext-link-type="DOI">10.7414/EUC-EUROPEAN-SITE-MODEL-DATA-VIEWER</ext-link>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="altparen.84"/>). The geomorphological sediment thickness from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.85"/> can be downloaded from <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1304" ext-link-type="DOI">10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1304</ext-link> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx38" id="paren.86"/>.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e7423">KL: conceptualization, methodology, data preparation, investigation, visualization, and writing. FC: conceptualization, methodology, supervision, review, and editing. GW: conceptualization, data preparation, review, and editing.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e7429">At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of <italic>Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences</italic>. The peer-review process was guided by an independent editor, and the authors also have no other competing interests to declare.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="disclaimer"><title>Disclaimer</title>

      <p id="d1e7438">Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sistatement"><title>Special issue statement</title>

      <p id="d1e7445">This article is part of the special issue “Harmonized seismic hazard and risk assessment for Europe”. It is not associated with a conference.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e7451">The authors are grateful to Jean Braun for the valuable discussion and explanation on regolith and the handling editor, Pierre-Yves Bard, and the two anonymous reviewers for constructive and helpful feedback. In addition, we would like to thank the open-source community for the Linux operating system and the many programs used in this study.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e7456">This research has been supported by the European Commission (Marie Skłodowska-Curie Innovative Training Networks, MSCA-ITN; New challenges for Urban Engineering Seismology, URBASIS; grant agreement no. 813137)  and the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation; Open Access Publication Funding; project no. 491075472).  <?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\noindent}?> The article processing charges for this open-access <?xmltex \notforhtml{\newline}?> publication were covered by the Helmholtz Centre Potsdam – <?xmltex \notforhtml{\newline}?> GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e7469">This paper was edited by Pierre-Yves Bard and reviewed by two anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
    <title>References</title>

      <ref id="bib1.bibx1"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Al~Atik et~al.(2010){Al Atik}, Abrahamson, Bommer, Scherbaum,
Cotton, and Kuehn}}?><label>Al Atik et al.(2010)Al Atik, Abrahamson, Bommer, Scherbaum, Cotton, and Kuehn</label><?label AlAtik2010a?><mixed-citation>Al Atik, L., Abrahamson, N., Bommer, J. J., Scherbaum, F., Cotton, F., and Kuehn, N.: The variability of ground-motion prediction models and its components, Seismol. Res. Lett., 81, 794–801, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.81.5.794" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/gssrl.81.5.794</ext-link>, 2010.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx2"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Allen and Wald(2007)}}?><label>Allen and Wald(2007)</label><?label Allen2007?><mixed-citation>Allen, T. I. and Wald D. J.: Topographic slope as a proxy for seismic site-conditions (VS30) and amplification around the globe, US Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2007-1357, 69 pp., US Geological Survey [data set], <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20071357" ext-link-type="DOI">10.3133/ofr20071357</ext-link>, 2007.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx3"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Amemiya(1984)}}?><label>Amemiya(1984)</label><?label amemiya1984tobit?><mixed-citation>Amemiya, T.: Tobit models: A survey, J. Econometr., 24, 3–61, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(84)90074-5" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1016/0304-4076(84)90074-5</ext-link>, 1984.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx4"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Atkinson(2006)}}?><label>Atkinson(2006)</label><?label atkinson2006single?><mixed-citation>Atkinson, G. M.: Single-station sigma, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 96, 446–455, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120050137" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120050137</ext-link>, 2006.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx5"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Bates et~al.(2015)Bates, M{\"{a}}chler, Bolker, and
Walker}}?><label>Bates et al.(2015)Bates, Mächler, Bolker, and Walker</label><?label Bates2015?><mixed-citation>Bates, D., Mächler, M., Bolker, B. M., and Walker, S. C.: Fitting linear mixed-effects models using lme4, J. Stat. Softw., 67, 1–48, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v067.i01" ext-link-type="DOI">10.18637/jss.v067.i01</ext-link>, 2015.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx6"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Bayless and Abrahamson(2019)}}?><label>Bayless and Abrahamson(2019)</label><?label bayless2019summary?><mixed-citation>Bayless, J. and Abrahamson, N. A.: Summary of the BA18 ground-motion model for Fourier amplitude spectra for crustal earthquakes in California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 109, 2088–2105, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190077" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120190077</ext-link>, 2019.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx7"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Bergamo et~al.(2021)Bergamo, Hammer, and
F{\"{a}}h}}?><label>Bergamo et al.(2021)Bergamo, Hammer, and Fäh</label><?label bergamo2021relation?><mixed-citation>Bergamo, P., Hammer, C., and Fäh, D.: On the relation between empirical amplification and proxies measured at Swiss and Japanese stations: Systematic regression analysis and neural network prediction of amplification, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 111, 101–120, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200228" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120200228</ext-link>, 2021.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx8"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Bergamo et~al.(2022)Bergamo, Hammer, and
F{\"{a}}h}}?><label>Bergamo et al.(2022)Bergamo, Hammer, and Fäh</label><?label bergamo2022correspondence?><mixed-citation>Bergamo, P., Hammer, C., and Fäh, D.: Correspondence between Site Amplification and Topographical, Geological Parameters: Collation of Data from Swiss and Japanese Stations, and Neural Networks-Based Prediction of Local Response, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 112, 1008–1030, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210225" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120210225</ext-link>, 2022.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx9"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Bindi et~al.(2017)Bindi, Spallarossa, and Pacor}}?><label>Bindi et al.(2017)Bindi, Spallarossa, and Pacor</label><?label bindi2017between?><mixed-citation>Bindi, D., Spallarossa, D., and Pacor, F.: Between-event and between-station variability observed in the Fourier and response spectra domains: comparison with seismological models, Geophys. J. Int., 210, 1092–1104, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggx217" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1093/gji/ggx217</ext-link>, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx10"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Bishop and Nasrabadi(2006)}}?><label>Bishop and Nasrabadi(2006)</label><?label bishop2006pattern?><mixed-citation>Bishop, C. M. and Nasrabadi, N. M.: Pattern recognition and machine learning, in: vol. 4, Springer, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-45528-0" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/978-0-387-45528-0</ext-link>, 2006.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx11"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Boore et~al.(2011)Boore, Thompson, and Cadet}}?><label>Boore et al.(2011)Boore, Thompson, and Cadet</label><?label boore2011regional?><mixed-citation>Boore, D. M., Thompson, E. M., and Cadet, H.: Regional correlations of VS 30 and velocities averaged over depths less than and greater than 30 meters, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 101, 3046–3059, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110071" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120110071</ext-link>, 2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx12"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Bora et~al.(2019)Bora, Cotton, and Scherbaum}}?><label>Bora et al.(2019)Bora, Cotton, and Scherbaum</label><?label bora2019nga?><mixed-citation>Bora, S. S., Cotton, F., and Scherbaum, F.: NGA-West2 empirical Fourier and duration models to generate adjustable response spectra, Earthq. Spectra, 35, 61–93, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1193/110317EQS228M" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1193/110317EQS228M</ext-link>, 2019. </mixed-citation></ref><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx13"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{CEN(2004)}}?><label>CEN(2004)</label><?label code2005eurocode?><mixed-citation>CEN: Eurocode 8: Design of structures for earthquake resistance – part 1: general rules, seismic actions and rules for buildings, European Committee for Standardization, Brussels, <uri>https://www.saiglobal.com/PDFTemp/Previews/OSH/IS/EN/2005/I.S.EN1998-1-2005.pdf</uri> (last access: 21 February 2024), 2004.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx14"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Crowley et~al.(2021)Crowley, Dabbeek, Despotaki, Rodrigues, Martins, Silva, Rom{\~{a}}o, Pereira, Weatherill, and Danciu}}?><label>Crowley et al.(2021)Crowley, Dabbeek, Despotaki, Rodrigues, Martins, Silva, Romão, Pereira, Weatherill, and Danciu</label><?label crowley2021european?><mixed-citation>Crowley, H., Dabbeek, J., Despotaki, V., Rodrigues, D., Martins, L., Silva, V., Romão, X., Pereira, N., Weatherill, G., and Danciu, L.: European seismic risk model (ESRM20), EFEHR Technical Report, 002 V1.0.1, ETH Zürich, 1–85 , <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000590388" ext-link-type="DOI">10.3929/ethz-b-000590388</ext-link>, 2021.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx15"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Cultrera et~al.(2021)Cultrera, Cornou, Di~Giulio, and
Bard}}?><label>Cultrera et al.(2021)Cultrera, Cornou, Di Giulio, and Bard</label><?label cultrera2021indicators?><mixed-citation>Cultrera, G., Cornou, C., Di Giulio, G., and Bard, P.-Y.: Indicators for site characterization at seismic station: recommendation from a dedicated survey, Bull. Earthq. Eng., 19, 4171–4195, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01136-7" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s10518-021-01136-7</ext-link>, 2021.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx16"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Derras et~al.(2017)Derras, Bard, and Cotton}}?><label>Derras et al.(2017)Derras, Bard, and Cotton</label><?label Derras2017?><mixed-citation>Derras, B., Bard, P. Y., and Cotton, F.: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M349" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, slope, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M350" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>H</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">800</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M351" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>: Performance of various site-condition proxies in reducing ground-motion aleatory variability and predicting nonlinear site response 4. Seismology, Earth Planets Space, 69, 133, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-017-0718-z" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1186/s40623-017-0718-z</ext-link>, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx17"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Edwards et~al.(2013)Edwards, Michel, Poggi, and
F{\"{a}}h}}?><label>Edwards et al.(2013)Edwards, Michel, Poggi, and Fäh</label><?label edwards2013determination?><mixed-citation>Edwards, B., Michel, C., Poggi, V., and Fäh, D.: Determination of site amplification from regional seismicity: application to the Swiss National Seismic Networks, Seismol. Res. Lett., 84, 611–621, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0220120176" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0220120176</ext-link>, 2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx18"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Foster et~al.(2019)Foster, Bradley, McGann, and
Wotherspoon}}?><label>Foster et al.(2019)Foster, Bradley, McGann, and Wotherspoon</label><?label foster2019vs30?><mixed-citation>Foster, K. M., Bradley, B. A., McGann, C. R., and Wotherspoon, L. M.: A <inline-formula><mml:math id="M352" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> map for New Zealand based on geologic and terrain proxy variables and field measurements, Earthq. Spectra, 35, 1865–1897, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1193/121118EQS281M" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1193/121118EQS281M</ext-link>, 2019.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx19"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Holbrook et~al.(2014)Holbrook, Riebe, Elwaseif, L.~Hayes,
Basler-Reeder, L.~Harry, Malazian, Dosseto, C.~Hartsough, and
W.~Hopmans}}?><label>Holbrook et al.(2014)Holbrook, Riebe, Elwaseif, L. Hayes, Basler-Reeder, L. Harry, Malazian, Dosseto, C. Hartsough, and W. Hopmans</label><?label holbrook2014geophysical?><mixed-citation>Holbrook, W. S., Riebe, C. S., Elwaseif, M., L. Hayes, J., Basler-Reeder, K., L. Harry, D., Malazian, A., Dosseto, A., C. Hartsough, P., and W. Hopmans, J.: Geophysical constraints on deep weathering and water storage potential in the Southern Sierra Critical Zone Observatory, Earth Surf. Proc. Land., 39, 366–380, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.3502" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1002/esp.3502</ext-link>, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx20"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Hollender et~al.(2020)Hollender, Roumelioti, Maufroy, Traversa, and
Mariscal}}?><label>Hollender et al.(2020)Hollender, Roumelioti, Maufroy, Traversa, and Mariscal</label><?label hollender2020can?><mixed-citation>Hollender, F., Roumelioti, Z., Maufroy, E., Traversa, P., and Mariscal, A.: Can we trust high-frequency content in strong-motion database signals? Impact of housing, coupling, and installation depth of seismic sensors, Seismol. Res. Lett., 91, 2192–2205, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190163" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0220190163</ext-link>, 2020.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx21"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Koller(2016)}}?><label>Koller(2016)</label><?label koller2016robustlmm?><mixed-citation>Koller, M.: robustlmm: an R package for robust estimation of linear mixed-effects models, J. Stat. Softw., 75, 1–24, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v075.i06" ext-link-type="DOI">10.18637/jss.v075.i06</ext-link>, 2016.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx22"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Kotha et~al.(2017)Kotha, Bindi, and Cotton}}?><label>Kotha et al.(2017)Kotha, Bindi, and Cotton</label><?label kotha2017site?><mixed-citation>Kotha, S. R., Bindi, D., and Cotton, F.: Site-corrected magnitude-and region-dependent correlations of horizontal peak spectral amplitudes, Earthq. Spectra, 33, 1415–1432, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1193/091416eqs150m" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1193/091416eqs150m</ext-link>, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx23"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Kotha et~al.(2018)Kotha, Cotton, and Bindi}}?><label>Kotha et al.(2018)Kotha, Cotton, and Bindi</label><?label kotha2018new?><mixed-citation>Kotha, S. R., Cotton, F., and Bindi, D.: A new approach to site classification: mixed-effects ground motion prediction equation with spectral clustering of site amplification functions, Soil Dynam. Earthq. Eng., 110, 318–329, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2018.01.051" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1016/j.soildyn.2018.01.051</ext-link>, 2018.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx24"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Kotha et~al.(2020)Kotha, Weatherill, Bindi, and
Cotton}}?><label>Kotha et al.(2020)Kotha, Weatherill, Bindi, and Cotton</label><?label kotha2020regionally?><mixed-citation>Kotha, S. R., Weatherill, G., Bindi, D., and Cotton, F.: A regionally-adaptable ground-motion model for shallow crustal earthquakes in Europe, Bull. Earthq. Eng., 18, 4091–4125, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00869-1" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s10518-020-00869-1</ext-link>, 2020.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx25"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Kotha et~al.(2022)Kotha, Bindi, and Cotton}}?><label>Kotha et al.(2022)Kotha, Bindi, and Cotton</label><?label kotha2022regionally?><mixed-citation>Kotha, S. R., Bindi, D., and Cotton, F.: A regionally adaptable ground-motion model for fourier amplitude spectra of shallow crustal earthquakes in Europe, Bull. Earthq. Eng., 20, 711–740, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01255-1" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s10518-021-01255-1</ext-link>, 2022.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx26"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Ktenidou et~al.(2018)Ktenidou, Roumelioti, Abrahamson, Cotton,
Pitilakis, and Hollender}}?><label>Ktenidou et al.(2018)Ktenidou, Roumelioti, Abrahamson, Cotton, Pitilakis, and Hollender</label><?label ktenidou2018understanding?><mixed-citation>Ktenidou, O.-J., Roumelioti, Z., Abrahamson, N., Cotton, F., Pitilakis, K., and Hollender, F.: Understanding single-station ground motion variability and uncertainty (sigma): lessons learnt from EUROSEISTEST, Bull. Earthq. Eng., 16, 2311–2336, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-017-0098-6" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s10518-017-0098-6</ext-link>, 2018.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx27"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Lanzano et~al.(2019)Lanzano, Sgobba, Luzi, Puglia, Pacor, Felicetta, DAmico, Cotton, and Bindi}}?><label>Lanzano et al.(2019)Lanzano, Sgobba, Luzi, Puglia, Pacor, Felicetta, DAmico, Cotton, and Bindi</label><?label lanzano2019pan?><mixed-citation>Lanzano, G., Sgobba, S., Luzi, L., Puglia, R., Pacor, F., Felicetta, C., D'Amico, M., Cotton, F., and Bindi, D.: The pan-European Engineering Strong Motion (ESM) flatfile: compilation criteria and data statistics, Bul. Earthq. Eng., 17, 561–582, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-018-0480-z" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s10518-018-0480-z</ext-link>, 2019.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx28"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Lemoine et~al.(2012)Lemoine, Douglas, and
Cotton}}?><label>Lemoine et al.(2012)Lemoine, Douglas, and Cotton</label><?label lemoine2012testing?><mixed-citation>Lemoine, A., Douglas, J., and Cotton, F.: Testing the applicability of correlations between topographic slope and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M353" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for Europe, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 102, 2585–2599, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110240" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120110240</ext-link>, 2012.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx29"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Li et~al.(2022)Li, Rathje, Cox, and Yust}}?><label>Li et al.(2022)Li, Rathje, Cox, and Yust</label><?label li2022texas?><mixed-citation>Li, M., Rathje, E. M., Cox, B. R., and Yust, M.: A Texas-specific <inline-formula><mml:math id="M354" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> map incorporating geology and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M355" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> observations, Earthq. Spectra, 38, 521–542, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211033622" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1177/87552930211033622</ext-link>, 2022.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx30"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Loviknes et~al.(2021)Loviknes, Kotha, Cotton, and
Schorlemmer}}?><label>Loviknes et al.(2021)Loviknes, Kotha, Cotton, and Schorlemmer</label><?label loviknes2021testing?><mixed-citation>Loviknes, K., Kotha, S. R., Cotton, F., and Schorlemmer, D.: Testing nonlinear amplification factors of ground-motion models, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 111, 2121–2137, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200386" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120200386</ext-link>, 2021.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx31"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Loviknes et~al.(2023)}}?><label>Loviknes et al.(2023)</label><?label Loviknes2023?><mixed-citation>Loviknes, K., Cotton, F., and Weatherill, G.:. Mapping site proxies and proxy-based site amplification predictions (Version 02), Zenodo [code], <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10686867" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5281/zenodo.10686867</ext-link>, 2023.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx32"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Luzi et~al.(2020)Luzi, Lanzano, Felicetta, D'Amico, Russo, Sgobba,
and Pacor}}?><label>Luzi et al.(2020)Luzi, Lanzano, Felicetta, D'Amico, Russo, Sgobba, and Pacor</label><?label luzi2020orfeus?><mixed-citation>Luzi, L., Lanzano, G., Felicetta, C., D'Amico, M., Russo, E., Sgobba, S., and Pacor, F.: ORFEUS Working Group 5: Engineering Strong Motion Database (ESM) (Version 2.0), INGV – Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia [data set], <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.13127/ESM.2" ext-link-type="DOI">10.13127/ESM.2</ext-link>, 2020.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx33"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Melgar et~al.(2023)Melgar, Taymaz, Ganas, Crowell, calan, Kahraman,  Tsironi, Yolsal-Çevikbilen, Valkaniotis, Irmak, Eken, Erman, zkan, Dogan, and Altunta}}?><label>Melgar et al.(2023)Melgar, Taymaz, Ganas, Crowell, calan, Kahraman,  Tsironi, Yolsal-Çevikbilen, Valkaniotis, Irmak, Eken, Erman, zkan, Dogan, and Altunta</label><?label melgar2023sub?><mixed-citation>Melgar, D., Taymaz, T., Ganas, A., Crowell, B., Öcalan, T., Kahraman, M., Tsironi, V., Yolsal-Çevikbilen, S., Valkaniotis, S., Irmak, T. S., Eken, T., Erman, C., Özkan, B., Dogan, A. H., and Altuntaş, C.: Sub- and super-shear ruptures during the 2023 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M356" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 7.8 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M357" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>M</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">w</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 7.6 earthquake doublet in SE Türkiye, Seismica, 2, 2, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.26443/seismica.v2i3.387" ext-link-type="DOI">10.26443/seismica.v2i3.387</ext-link>, 2023.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx34"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Mori et~al.(2020)Mori, Mendicelli, Moscatelli, Romagnoli, Peronace,
and Naso}}?><label>Mori et al.(2020)Mori, Mendicelli, Moscatelli, Romagnoli, Peronace, and Naso</label><?label mori2020new?><mixed-citation>Mori, F., Mendicelli, A., Moscatelli, M., Romagnoli, G., Peronace, E., and Naso, G.: A new <inline-formula><mml:math id="M358" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> map for Italy based on the seismic microzonation dataset, Eng. Geol., 275, 105745, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.17632/8458tgzc73.1" ext-link-type="DOI">10.17632/8458tgzc73.1</ext-link>, 2020.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx35"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Nakano et~al.(2015)Nakano, Matsushima, and
Kawase}}?><label>Nakano et al.(2015)Nakano, Matsushima, and Kawase</label><?label nakano2015statistical?><mixed-citation>Nakano, K., Matsushima, S., and Kawase, H.: Statistical properties of strong ground motions from the generalized spectral inversion of data observed by K-NET, KiK-net, and the JMA Shindokei network in Japan, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 105, 2662–2680, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140349" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120140349</ext-link>, 2015.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx36"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Paolucci et~al.(2021)Paolucci, Aimar, Ciancimino, Dotti, Foti,
Lanzano, Mattevi, Pacor, and Vanini}}?><label>Paolucci et al.(2021)Paolucci, Aimar, Ciancimino, Dotti, Foti, Lanzano, Mattevi, Pacor, and Vanini</label><?label paolucci2021checking?><mixed-citation>Paolucci, R., Aimar, M., Ciancimino, A., Dotti, M., Foti, S., Lanzano, G., Mattevi, P., Pacor, F., and Vanini, M.: Checking the site categorization criteria and amplification factors of the 2021 draft of Eurocode 8 Part 1–1, Bull. Earthq. Eng., 19, 4199–4234, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01118-9" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s10518-021-01118-9</ext-link>, 2021.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx37"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Pelletier et~al.(2016a)Pelletier, Broxton, Hazenberg, Zeng, Troch,
Niu, Williams, Brunke, and Gochis}}?><label>Pelletier et al.(2016a)Pelletier, Broxton, Hazenberg, Zeng, Troch, Niu, Williams, Brunke, and Gochis</label><?label pelletier2016gridded?><mixed-citation>Pelletier, J. D., Broxton, P. D., Hazenberg, P., Zeng, X., Troch, P. A., Niu, G.-Y., Williams, Z., Brunke, M. A., and Gochis, D.: A gridded global data set of soil, intact regolith, and sedimentary deposit thicknesses for regional and global land surface modeling, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8, 41–65, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000526" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1002/2015MS000526</ext-link>, 2016a.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx38"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Pelletier et~al.(2016b)}}?><label>Pelletier et al.(2016b)</label><?label Pelletier2016?><mixed-citation>Pelletier, J. D., Broxton, P. D., Hazenberg, P., Zeng, X., Troch, P. A., Niu, G.-Y., Williams, Z., Brunke, M. A., and Gochis<?pagebreak page1247?>, D.: Global 1-km Gridded Thickness of Soil, Regolith, and Sedimentary Deposit Layers, ORNL DACC [data set], <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1304" ext-link-type="DOI">10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1304</ext-link>, 2016b.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx39"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Petersen et~al.(2023)Petersen, Büyükakpinar, Vera~Sanhueza, Metz,
Cesca, Akbayram, Saul, and Dahm}}?><label>Petersen et al.(2023)Petersen, Büyükakpinar, Vera Sanhueza, Metz, Cesca, Akbayram, Saul, and Dahm</label><?label petersen20232023?><mixed-citation>Petersen, G. M., Büyükakpinar, P., Vera Sanhueza, F. O., Metz, M., Cesca, S., Akbayram, K., Saul, J., and Dahm, T.: The 2023 Southeast Türkiye Seismic Sequence: Rupture of a Complex Fault Network, Seismic Rec., 3, 134–143, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0320230008" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0320230008</ext-link>, 2023.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx40"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Rodriguez-Marek et~al.(2013)Rodriguez-Marek, Cotton, Abrahamson,
Akkar, {Al Atik}, Edwards, Montalva, and Dawood}}?><label>Rodriguez-Marek et al.(2013)Rodriguez-Marek, Cotton, Abrahamson, Akkar, Al Atik, Edwards, Montalva, and Dawood</label><?label RodriguezMarek2013?><mixed-citation>Rodriguez-Marek, A., Cotton, F., Abrahamson, N. A., Akkar, S., Al Atik, L., Edwards, B., Montalva, G. A., and Dawood, H. M.: A model for single-station standard deviation using data from various tectonic regions, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 103, 3149–3163, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130030" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120130030</ext-link>, 2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx41"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Seyhan and Stewart(2014)}}?><label>Seyhan and Stewart(2014)</label><?label Seyhan2014?><mixed-citation>Seyhan, E. and Stewart, J. P.: Semi-empirical nonlinear site amplification from NGA-West2 data and simulations, Earthq. Spectra, 30, 1241–1256, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1193/063013EQS181M" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1193/063013EQS181M</ext-link>, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx42"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Silva et~al.(2020)Silva, Amo-Oduro, Calderon, Costa, Dabbeek,
Despotaki, Martins, Pagani, Rao, Simionato et~al.}}?><label>Silva et al.(2020)Silva, Amo-Oduro, Calderon, Costa, Dabbeek, Despotaki, Martins, Pagani, Rao, Simionato et al.</label><?label silva2020development?><mixed-citation>Silva, V., Amo-Oduro, D., Calderon, A., Costa, C., Dabbeek, J., Despotaki, V., Martins, L., Pagani, M., Rao, A., Simionato, M., Viganò, D., Yepes-Estrada, C., Acevedo, A., Crowley, H., Horspool, N., Jaiswal, K., Journeay, M., and Pittore, M.: Development of a global seismic risk model, Earthq. Spectra, 36, 372–394, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899953" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1177/8755293019899953</ext-link>, 2020.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx43"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Stewart et~al.(2017)Stewart, Afshari, and Goulet}}?><label>Stewart et al.(2017)Stewart, Afshari, and Goulet</label><?label stewart2017non?><mixed-citation>Stewart, J. P., Afshari, K., and Goulet, C. A.: Non-ergodic site response in seismic hazard analysis, Earthq. Spectra, 33, 1385–1414, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1193/081716eqs135m" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1193/081716eqs135m</ext-link>, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx44"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Thompson et~al.(2014)Thompson, Wald, and Worden}}?><label>Thompson et al.(2014)Thompson, Wald, and Worden</label><?label thompson2014vs30?><mixed-citation>Thompson, E., Wald, D. J., and Worden, C.: A <inline-formula><mml:math id="M359" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Map for California with Geologic and Topographic Constraints, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, 2313–2321, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130312" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120130312</ext-link>, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx45"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Thompson and Wald(2016)}}?><label>Thompson and Wald(2016)</label><?label thompson2016uncertainty?><mixed-citation>Thompson, E. M. and Wald, D. J.: Uncertainty in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M360" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>-based site response, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 106, 453–463, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120150214" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120150214</ext-link>, 2016.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx46"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Thompson et~al.(2010)Thompson, Baise, Kayen, Tanaka, and
Tanaka}}?><label>Thompson et al.(2010)Thompson, Baise, Kayen, Tanaka, and Tanaka</label><?label thompson2010geostatistical?><mixed-citation>Thompson, E. M., Baise, L. G., Kayen, R. E., Tanaka, Y., and Tanaka, H.: A geostatistical approach to mapping site response spectral amplifications, Eng. Geol., 114, 330–342, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2010.05.010" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1016/j.enggeo.2010.05.010</ext-link>, 2010.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx47"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Tobin(1958)}}?><label>Tobin(1958)</label><?label tobin1958estimation?><mixed-citation>Tobin, J.: Estimation of relationships for limited dependent variables, Econometrica, 26, 24–36, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.2307/1907382" ext-link-type="DOI">10.2307/1907382</ext-link>, 1958.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx48"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Trifunac(2016)}}?><label>Trifunac(2016)</label><?label trifunac2016site?><mixed-citation>Trifunac, M. D.: Site conditions and earthquake ground motion – A review, Soil Dynam. Earthq. Eng., 90, 88–100, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/J.SOILDYN.2016.08.003" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1016/J.SOILDYN.2016.08.003</ext-link>, 2016. </mixed-citation></ref><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx49"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Vilanova et~al.(2018)Vilanova, Narciso, Carvalho, Lopes,
Quinta-Ferreira, Pinto, Moura, Borges, and Nemser}}?><label>Vilanova et al.(2018)Vilanova, Narciso, Carvalho, Lopes, Quinta-Ferreira, Pinto, Moura, Borges, and Nemser</label><?label vilanova2018developing?><mixed-citation>Vilanova, S. P., Narciso, J., Carvalho, J. P., Lopes, I., Quinta-Ferreira, M., Pinto, C. C., Moura, R., Borges, J., and Nemser, E. S.: Developing a Geologically Based <inline-formula><mml:math id="M361" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Site-Condition Model for Portugal: Methodology and Assessment of the Performance of ProxiesDeveloping a Geologically Based <inline-formula><mml:math id="M362" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">S</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> Site-Condition Model for Portugal, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 108, 322–337, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170213" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120170213</ext-link>, 2018.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx50"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Wald and Allen(2007)}}?><label>Wald and Allen(2007)</label><?label wald2007topographic?><mixed-citation>Wald, D. J. and Allen, T. I.: Topographic slope as a proxy for seismic site conditions and amplification, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 97, 1379–1395, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120060267" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1785/0120060267</ext-link>, 2007.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx51"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Wang et~al.(2023)Wang, Nakano, Ito, Kawase, and
Matsushima}}?><label>Wang et al.(2023)Wang, Nakano, Ito, Kawase, and Matsushima</label><?label wang2023hybrid?><mixed-citation> Wang, Z., Nakano, K., Ito, E., Kawase, H., and Matsushima, S.: A hybrid approach for deriving horizontal site amplification factors considering both the similarity of HVSRe and the vertical amplification correction function, Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dynam., 52, 128–146, 2023.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx52"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Weatherill et~al.(2020)Weatherill, Kotha, and
Cotton}}?><label>Weatherill et al.(2020)Weatherill, Kotha, and Cotton</label><?label weatherill2020re?><mixed-citation>Weatherill, G., Kotha, S. R., and Cotton, F.: Re-thinking site amplification in regional seismic risk assessment, Earthq. Spectra, 36, 274–297, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899956" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1177/8755293019899956</ext-link>, 2020.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx53"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Weatherill et~al.(2023)Weatherill, Crowley, Roull{\'{e}},
Tourli{\`{e}}re, Lemoine, Gracianne, Kotha, and
Cotton}}?><label>Weatherill et al.(2023)Weatherill, Crowley, Roullé, Tourlière, Lemoine, Gracianne, Kotha, and Cotton</label><?label weatherill2022modelling?><mixed-citation>Weatherill, G., Crowley, H., Roullé, A., Tourlière, B., Lemoine, A., Gracianne, C., Kotha, S. R., and Cotton, F.: Modelling site response at regional scale for the 2020 European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20), Bull. Earthq. Eng., 21, 665–714, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-022-01526-5" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s10518-022-01526-5</ext-link>, 2023.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx54"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Weatherill et~al.(2021)}}?><label>Weatherill et al.(2021)</label><?label Weatherill2021?><mixed-citation>Weatherill, G. A., Crowley, H., Roullé, A., Tourlière, B., Lemoine, A., Gracianne Hidalgo, C., Kotha, S. R., Cotton, F., and Dabbeek, J.: European Site Response Model Datasets Viewer (v1.0), European Site Response Model Datasets Viewer [data set], <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.7414/EUC-EUROPEAN-SITE-MODEL-DATA-VIEWER" ext-link-type="DOI">10.7414/EUC-EUROPEAN-SITE-MODEL-DATA-VIEWER</ext-link>, 2021.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx55"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Zhu et~al.(2021)Zhu, Weatherill, Cotton, Pilz, Kwak, and
Kawase}}?><label>Zhu et al.(2021)Zhu, Weatherill, Cotton, Pilz, Kwak, and Kawase</label><?label zhu2021open?><mixed-citation>Zhu, C., Weatherill, G., Cotton, F., Pilz, M., Kwak, D. Y., and Kawase, H.: An open-source site database of strong-motion stations in Japan: K-NET and KiK-net (v1. 0.0), Earthq. Spectra, 37, 2126–2149, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293020988028" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1177/8755293020988028</ext-link>, 2021.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bibx56"><?xmltex \def\ref@label{{Zhu et~al.(2022)Zhu, Cotton, Kawase, Haendel, Pilz, and
Nakano}}?><label>Zhu et al.(2022)Zhu, Cotton, Kawase, Haendel, Pilz, and Nakano</label><?label zhu2022well?><mixed-citation>Zhu, C., Cotton, F., Kawase, H., Haendel, A., Pilz, M., and Nakano, K.: How well can we predict earthquake site response so far? Site-specific approaches, Earthq. Spectra, 38, 1047–1075, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211060859" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1177/87552930211060859</ext-link>, 2022.</mixed-citation></ref>

  </ref-list></back>
    <!--<article-title-html>Exploring inferred geomorphological sediment thickness as  a new site proxy to predict ground-shaking amplification at  regional scale: application to Europe and eastern Türkiye</article-title-html>
<abstract-html/>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib1"><label>Al Atik et al.(2010)Al Atik, Abrahamson, Bommer, Scherbaum,
Cotton, and Kuehn</label><mixed-citation>
      
Al Atik, L., Abrahamson, N., Bommer, J. J., Scherbaum, F., Cotton, F., and
Kuehn, N.: The variability of ground-motion prediction models and its
components, Seismol. Res. Lett., 81, 794–801, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.81.5.794" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.81.5.794</a>, 2010.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib2"><label>Allen and Wald(2007)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Allen, T. I. and Wald D. J.: Topographic slope as a proxy for seismic site-conditions (VS30) and amplification around the globe, US Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 2007-1357, 69&thinsp;pp., US Geological Survey [data set], <a href="https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20071357" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20071357</a>, 2007.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib3"><label>Amemiya(1984)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Amemiya, T.: Tobit models: A survey, J. Econometr., 24, 3–61,
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(84)90074-5" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(84)90074-5</a>, 1984.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib4"><label>Atkinson(2006)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Atkinson, G. M.: Single-station sigma, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 96, 446–455, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120050137" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120050137</a>, 2006.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib5"><label>Bates et al.(2015)Bates, Mächler, Bolker, and
Walker</label><mixed-citation>
      
Bates, D., Mächler, M., Bolker, B. M., and Walker, S. C.: Fitting linear mixed-effects models using lme4, J. Stat. Softw., 67, 1–48, <a href="https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v067.i01" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v067.i01</a>, 2015.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib6"><label>Bayless and Abrahamson(2019)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Bayless, J. and Abrahamson, N. A.: Summary of the BA18 ground-motion model for Fourier amplitude spectra for crustal earthquakes in California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 109, 2088–2105, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190077" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190077</a>, 2019.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib7"><label>Bergamo et al.(2021)Bergamo, Hammer, and
Fäh</label><mixed-citation>
      
Bergamo, P., Hammer, C., and Fäh, D.: On the relation between empirical
amplification and proxies measured at Swiss and Japanese stations: Systematic
regression analysis and neural network prediction of amplification, Bull.
Seismol. Soc. Am., 111, 101–120, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200228" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200228</a>, 2021.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib8"><label>Bergamo et al.(2022)Bergamo, Hammer, and
Fäh</label><mixed-citation>
      
Bergamo, P., Hammer, C., and Fäh, D.: Correspondence between Site
Amplification and Topographical, Geological Parameters: Collation of Data
from Swiss and Japanese Stations, and Neural Networks-Based Prediction of
Local Response, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 112, 1008–1030, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210225" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210225</a>, 2022.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib9"><label>Bindi et al.(2017)Bindi, Spallarossa, and Pacor</label><mixed-citation>
      
Bindi, D., Spallarossa, D., and Pacor, F.: Between-event and between-station
variability observed in the Fourier and response spectra domains: comparison
with seismological models, Geophys. J. Int., 210, 1092–1104, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggx217" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggx217</a>, 2017.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib10"><label>Bishop and Nasrabadi(2006)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Bishop, C. M. and Nasrabadi, N. M.: Pattern recognition and machine learning,
in: vol. 4, Springer, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-45528-0" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-45528-0</a>, 2006.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib11"><label>Boore et al.(2011)Boore, Thompson, and Cadet</label><mixed-citation>
      
Boore, D. M., Thompson, E. M., and Cadet, H.: Regional correlations of VS 30
and velocities averaged over depths less than and greater than 30 meters,
Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 101, 3046–3059, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110071" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110071</a>, 2011.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib12"><label>Bora et al.(2019)Bora, Cotton, and Scherbaum</label><mixed-citation>
      
Bora, S. S., Cotton, F., and Scherbaum, F.: NGA-West2 empirical Fourier and
duration models to generate adjustable response spectra, Earthq. Spectra, 35, 61–93, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1193/110317EQS228M" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1193/110317EQS228M</a>, 2019.


    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib13"><label>CEN(2004)</label><mixed-citation>
      
CEN: Eurocode 8: Design of structures for earthquake resistance – part 1: general rules, seismic actions and rules for buildings, European Committee for Standardization, Brussels, <a href="https://www.saiglobal.com/PDFTemp/Previews/OSH/IS/EN/2005/I.S.EN1998-1-2005.pdf" target="_blank"/> (last access: 21 February 2024), 2004.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib14"><label>Crowley et al.(2021)Crowley, Dabbeek, Despotaki, Rodrigues, Martins, Silva, Romão, Pereira, Weatherill, and Danciu</label><mixed-citation>
      
Crowley, H., Dabbeek, J., Despotaki, V., Rodrigues, D., Martins, L., Silva, V., Romão, X., Pereira, N., Weatherill, G., and Danciu, L.: European seismic risk model (ESRM20), EFEHR Technical Report, 002 V1.0.1, ETH Zürich, 1–85 , <a href="https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000590388" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000590388</a>, 2021.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib15"><label>Cultrera et al.(2021)Cultrera, Cornou, Di Giulio, and
Bard</label><mixed-citation>
      
Cultrera, G., Cornou, C., Di Giulio, G., and Bard, P.-Y.: Indicators for site
characterization at seismic station: recommendation from a dedicated survey,
Bull. Earthq. Eng., 19, 4171–4195, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01136-7" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01136-7</a>, 2021.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib16"><label>Derras et al.(2017)Derras, Bard, and Cotton</label><mixed-citation>
      
Derras, B., Bard, P. Y., and Cotton, F.: <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub>, slope, <i>H</i><sub>800</sub> and <i>f</i><sub>0</sub>: Performance of various site-condition proxies in reducing ground-motion aleatory variability and predicting nonlinear site response 4. Seismology, Earth Planets Space, 69, 133, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-017-0718-z" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-017-0718-z</a>, 2017.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib17"><label>Edwards et al.(2013)Edwards, Michel, Poggi, and
Fäh</label><mixed-citation>
      
Edwards, B., Michel, C., Poggi, V., and Fäh, D.: Determination of site
amplification from regional seismicity: application to the Swiss National
Seismic Networks, Seismol. Res. Lett., 84, 611–621, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0220120176" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0220120176</a>, 2013.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib18"><label>Foster et al.(2019)Foster, Bradley, McGann, and
Wotherspoon</label><mixed-citation>
      
Foster, K. M., Bradley, B. A., McGann, C. R., and Wotherspoon, L. M.: A
<i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> map for New Zealand based on geologic and terrain proxy
variables and field measurements, Earthq. Spectra, 35, 1865–1897,
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1193/121118EQS281M" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1193/121118EQS281M</a>, 2019.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib19"><label>Holbrook et al.(2014)Holbrook, Riebe, Elwaseif, L. Hayes,
Basler-Reeder, L. Harry, Malazian, Dosseto, C. Hartsough, and
W. Hopmans</label><mixed-citation>
      
Holbrook, W. S., Riebe, C. S., Elwaseif, M., L. Hayes, J., Basler-Reeder, K.,
L. Harry, D., Malazian, A., Dosseto, A., C. Hartsough, P., and W. Hopmans,
J.: Geophysical constraints on deep weathering and water storage potential in
the Southern Sierra Critical Zone Observatory, Earth Surf. Proc. Land., 39, 366–380, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.3502" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.3502</a>, 2014.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib20"><label>Hollender et al.(2020)Hollender, Roumelioti, Maufroy, Traversa, and
Mariscal</label><mixed-citation>
      
Hollender, F., Roumelioti, Z., Maufroy, E., Traversa, P., and Mariscal, A.: Can we trust high-frequency content in strong-motion database signals? Impact of housing, coupling, and installation depth of seismic sensors, Seismol. Res. Lett., 91, 2192–2205, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190163" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190163</a>, 2020.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib21"><label>Koller(2016)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Koller, M.: robustlmm: an R package for robust estimation of linear
mixed-effects models, J. Stat. Softw., 75, 1–24, <a href="https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v075.i06" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v075.i06</a>, 2016.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib22"><label>Kotha et al.(2017)Kotha, Bindi, and Cotton</label><mixed-citation>
      
Kotha, S. R., Bindi, D., and Cotton, F.: Site-corrected magnitude-and
region-dependent correlations of horizontal peak spectral amplitudes,
Earthq. Spectra, 33, 1415–1432, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1193/091416eqs150m" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1193/091416eqs150m</a>, 2017.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib23"><label>Kotha et al.(2018)Kotha, Cotton, and Bindi</label><mixed-citation>
      
Kotha, S. R., Cotton, F., and Bindi, D.: A new approach to site classification: mixed-effects ground motion prediction equation with spectral clustering of site amplification functions, Soil Dynam. Earthq. Eng., 110,
318–329, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2018.01.051" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2018.01.051</a>, 2018.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib24"><label>Kotha et al.(2020)Kotha, Weatherill, Bindi, and
Cotton</label><mixed-citation>
      
Kotha, S. R., Weatherill, G., Bindi, D., and Cotton, F.: A regionally-adaptable ground-motion model for shallow crustal earthquakes in Europe, Bull. Earthq. Eng., 18, 4091–4125, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00869-1" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00869-1</a>,
2020.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib25"><label>Kotha et al.(2022)Kotha, Bindi, and Cotton</label><mixed-citation>
      
Kotha, S. R., Bindi, D., and Cotton, F.: A regionally adaptable ground-motion
model for fourier amplitude spectra of shallow crustal earthquakes in Europe,
Bull. Earthq. Eng., 20, 711–740, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01255-1" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01255-1</a>, 2022.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib26"><label>Ktenidou et al.(2018)Ktenidou, Roumelioti, Abrahamson, Cotton,
Pitilakis, and Hollender</label><mixed-citation>
      
Ktenidou, O.-J., Roumelioti, Z., Abrahamson, N., Cotton, F., Pitilakis, K., and Hollender, F.: Understanding single-station ground motion variability and
uncertainty (sigma): lessons learnt from EUROSEISTEST, Bull. Earthq. Eng., 16, 2311–2336, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-017-0098-6" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-017-0098-6</a>, 2018.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib27"><label>Lanzano et al.(2019)Lanzano, Sgobba, Luzi, Puglia, Pacor, Felicetta, DAmico, Cotton, and Bindi</label><mixed-citation>
      
Lanzano, G., Sgobba, S., Luzi, L., Puglia, R., Pacor, F., Felicetta, C.,
D'Amico, M., Cotton, F., and Bindi, D.: The pan-European Engineering Strong
Motion (ESM) flatfile: compilation criteria and data statistics, Bul. Earthq. Eng., 17, 561–582, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-018-0480-z" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-018-0480-z</a>, 2019.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib28"><label>Lemoine et al.(2012)Lemoine, Douglas, and
Cotton</label><mixed-citation>
      
Lemoine, A., Douglas, J., and Cotton, F.: Testing the applicability of
correlations between topographic slope and <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> for Europe, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 102, 2585–2599, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110240" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110240</a>, 2012.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib29"><label>Li et al.(2022)Li, Rathje, Cox, and Yust</label><mixed-citation>
      
Li, M., Rathje, E. M., Cox, B. R., and Yust, M.: A Texas-specific
<i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> map incorporating geology and <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> observations, Earthq. Spectra, 38, 521–542, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211033622" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211033622</a>, 2022.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib30"><label>Loviknes et al.(2021)Loviknes, Kotha, Cotton, and
Schorlemmer</label><mixed-citation>
      
Loviknes, K., Kotha, S. R., Cotton, F., and Schorlemmer, D.: Testing nonlinear amplification factors of ground-motion models, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 111, 2121–2137, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200386" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200386</a>, 2021.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib31"><label>Loviknes et al.(2023)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Loviknes, K., Cotton, F., and Weatherill, G.:. Mapping site proxies and proxy-based site amplification predictions (Version 02), Zenodo [code], <a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10686867" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10686867</a>, 2023.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib32"><label>Luzi et al.(2020)Luzi, Lanzano, Felicetta, D'Amico, Russo, Sgobba,
and Pacor</label><mixed-citation>
      
Luzi, L., Lanzano, G., Felicetta, C., D'Amico, M., Russo, E., Sgobba, S., and
Pacor, F.: ORFEUS Working Group 5: Engineering Strong Motion Database (ESM) (Version 2.0), INGV – Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia [data set], <a href="https://doi.org/10.13127/ESM.2" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.13127/ESM.2</a>, 2020.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib33"><label>Melgar et al.(2023)Melgar, Taymaz, Ganas, Crowell, calan, Kahraman,  Tsironi, Yolsal-Çevikbilen, Valkaniotis, Irmak, Eken, Erman, zkan, Dogan, and Altunta</label><mixed-citation>
      
Melgar, D., Taymaz, T., Ganas, A., Crowell, B., Öcalan, T., Kahraman, M.,
Tsironi, V., Yolsal-Çevikbilen, S., Valkaniotis, S., Irmak, T. S., Eken, T., Erman, C., Özkan, B., Dogan, A. H., and Altuntaş, C.: Sub- and super-shear ruptures during the 2023 <i>M</i><sub>w</sub>&thinsp;7.8 and <i>M</i><sub>w</sub>&thinsp;7.6 earthquake doublet in SE Türkiye, Seismica, 2, 2, <a href="https://doi.org/10.26443/seismica.v2i3.387" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.26443/seismica.v2i3.387</a>, 2023.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib34"><label>Mori et al.(2020)Mori, Mendicelli, Moscatelli, Romagnoli, Peronace,
and Naso</label><mixed-citation>
      
Mori, F., Mendicelli, A., Moscatelli, M., Romagnoli, G., Peronace, E., and Naso, G.: A new <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> map for Italy based on the seismic
microzonation dataset, Eng. Geol., 275, 105745, <a href="https://doi.org/10.17632/8458tgzc73.1" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.17632/8458tgzc73.1</a>, 2020.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib35"><label>Nakano et al.(2015)Nakano, Matsushima, and
Kawase</label><mixed-citation>
      
Nakano, K., Matsushima, S., and Kawase, H.: Statistical properties of strong
ground motions from the generalized spectral inversion of data observed by
K-NET, KiK-net, and the JMA Shindokei network in Japan, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 105, 2662–2680, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140349" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140349</a>, 2015.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib36"><label>Paolucci et al.(2021)Paolucci, Aimar, Ciancimino, Dotti, Foti,
Lanzano, Mattevi, Pacor, and Vanini</label><mixed-citation>
      
Paolucci, R., Aimar, M., Ciancimino, A., Dotti, M., Foti, S., Lanzano, G.,
Mattevi, P., Pacor, F., and Vanini, M.: Checking the site categorization
criteria and amplification factors of the 2021 draft of Eurocode 8 Part 1–1,
Bull. Earthq. Eng., 19, 4199–4234, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01118-9" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01118-9</a>, 2021.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib37"><label>Pelletier et al.(2016a)Pelletier, Broxton, Hazenberg, Zeng, Troch,
Niu, Williams, Brunke, and Gochis</label><mixed-citation>
      
Pelletier, J. D., Broxton, P. D., Hazenberg, P., Zeng, X., Troch, P. A., Niu,
G.-Y., Williams, Z., Brunke, M. A., and Gochis, D.: A gridded global data set
of soil, intact regolith, and sedimentary deposit thicknesses for regional
and global land surface modeling, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8, 41–65, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000526" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000526</a>, 2016a.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib38"><label>Pelletier et al.(2016b)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Pelletier, J. D., Broxton, P. D., Hazenberg, P., Zeng, X., Troch, P. A., Niu, G.-Y., Williams, Z., Brunke, M. A., and Gochis, D.: Global 1-km Gridded Thickness of Soil, Regolith, and Sedimentary Deposit Layers, ORNL DACC [data set], <a href="https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1304" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1304</a>, 2016b.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib39"><label>Petersen et al.(2023)Petersen, Büyükakpinar, Vera Sanhueza, Metz,
Cesca, Akbayram, Saul, and Dahm</label><mixed-citation>
      
Petersen, G. M., Büyükakpinar, P., Vera Sanhueza, F. O., Metz, M., Cesca, S.,
Akbayram, K., Saul, J., and Dahm, T.: The 2023 Southeast Türkiye Seismic
Sequence: Rupture of a Complex Fault Network, Seismic Rec., 3, 134–143, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0320230008" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0320230008</a>, 2023.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib40"><label>Rodriguez-Marek et al.(2013)Rodriguez-Marek, Cotton, Abrahamson,
Akkar, Al Atik, Edwards, Montalva, and Dawood</label><mixed-citation>
      
Rodriguez-Marek, A., Cotton, F., Abrahamson, N. A., Akkar, S., Al Atik, L.,
Edwards, B., Montalva, G. A., and Dawood, H. M.: A model for single-station
standard deviation using data from various tectonic regions, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 103, 3149–3163, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130030" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130030</a>, 2013.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib41"><label>Seyhan and Stewart(2014)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Seyhan, E. and Stewart, J. P.: Semi-empirical nonlinear site amplification
from NGA-West2 data and simulations, Earthq. Spectra, 30, 1241–1256,
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1193/063013EQS181M" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1193/063013EQS181M</a>, 2014.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib42"><label>Silva et al.(2020)Silva, Amo-Oduro, Calderon, Costa, Dabbeek,
Despotaki, Martins, Pagani, Rao, Simionato et al.</label><mixed-citation>
      
Silva, V., Amo-Oduro, D., Calderon, A., Costa, C., Dabbeek, J., Despotaki, V., Martins, L., Pagani, M., Rao, A., Simionato, M., Viganò, D., Yepes-Estrada, C., Acevedo, A., Crowley, H., Horspool, N., Jaiswal, K., Journeay, M., and Pittore, M.: Development of a global seismic risk model, Earthq. Spectra, 36, 372–394, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899953" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899953</a>, 2020.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib43"><label>Stewart et al.(2017)Stewart, Afshari, and Goulet</label><mixed-citation>
      
Stewart, J. P., Afshari, K., and Goulet, C. A.: Non-ergodic site response in
seismic hazard analysis, Earthq. Spectra, 33, 1385–1414, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1193/081716eqs135m" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1193/081716eqs135m</a>, 2017.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib44"><label>Thompson et al.(2014)Thompson, Wald, and Worden</label><mixed-citation>
      
Thompson, E., Wald, D. J., and Worden, C.: A <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> Map for
California with Geologic and Topographic Constraints, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, 2313–2321, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130312" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130312</a>, 2014.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib45"><label>Thompson and Wald(2016)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Thompson, E. M. and Wald, D. J.: Uncertainty in <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub>-based site
response, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 106, 453–463, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120150214" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120150214</a>, 2016.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib46"><label>Thompson et al.(2010)Thompson, Baise, Kayen, Tanaka, and
Tanaka</label><mixed-citation>
      
Thompson, E. M., Baise, L. G., Kayen, R. E., Tanaka, Y., and Tanaka, H.: A
geostatistical approach to mapping site response spectral amplifications, Eng. Geol., 114, 330–342, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2010.05.010" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2010.05.010</a>, 2010.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib47"><label>Tobin(1958)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Tobin, J.: Estimation of relationships for limited dependent variables,
Econometrica, 26, 24–36, <a href="https://doi.org/10.2307/1907382" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2307/1907382</a>, 1958.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib48"><label>Trifunac(2016)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Trifunac, M. D.: Site conditions and earthquake ground motion – A review, Soil Dynam. Earthq. Eng., 90, 88–100, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/J.SOILDYN.2016.08.003" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/J.SOILDYN.2016.08.003</a>, 2016.


    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib49"><label>Vilanova et al.(2018)Vilanova, Narciso, Carvalho, Lopes,
Quinta-Ferreira, Pinto, Moura, Borges, and Nemser</label><mixed-citation>
      
Vilanova, S. P., Narciso, J., Carvalho, J. P., Lopes, I., Quinta-Ferreira, M., Pinto, C. C., Moura, R., Borges, J., and Nemser, E. S.: Developing a Geologically Based <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> Site-Condition Model for Portugal:
Methodology and Assessment of the Performance of ProxiesDeveloping a
Geologically Based <i>V</i><sub>S30</sub> Site-Condition Model for Portugal, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 108, 322–337, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170213" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170213</a>, 2018.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib50"><label>Wald and Allen(2007)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Wald, D. J. and Allen, T. I.: Topographic slope as a proxy for seismic site
conditions and amplification, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 97, 1379–1395, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1785/0120060267" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1785/0120060267</a>, 2007.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib51"><label>Wang et al.(2023)Wang, Nakano, Ito, Kawase, and
Matsushima</label><mixed-citation>
      
Wang, Z., Nakano, K., Ito, E., Kawase, H., and Matsushima, S.: A hybrid
approach for deriving horizontal site amplification factors considering both
the similarity of HVSRe and the vertical amplification correction function,
Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dynam., 52, 128–146, 2023.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib52"><label>Weatherill et al.(2020)Weatherill, Kotha, and
Cotton</label><mixed-citation>
      
Weatherill, G., Kotha, S. R., and Cotton, F.: Re-thinking site amplification in regional seismic risk assessment, Earthq. Spectra, 36, 274–297,
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899956" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899956</a>, 2020.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib53"><label>Weatherill et al.(2023)Weatherill, Crowley, Roullé,
Tourlière, Lemoine, Gracianne, Kotha, and
Cotton</label><mixed-citation>
      
Weatherill, G., Crowley, H., Roullé, A., Tourlière, B., Lemoine, A.,
Gracianne, C., Kotha, S. R., and Cotton, F.: Modelling site response at
regional scale for the 2020 European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20), Bull. Earthq. Eng., 21, 665–714, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-022-01526-5" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-022-01526-5</a>, 2023.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib54"><label>Weatherill et al.(2021)</label><mixed-citation>
      
Weatherill, G. A., Crowley, H., Roullé, A., Tourlière, B., Lemoine, A., Gracianne Hidalgo, C., Kotha, S. R., Cotton, F., and Dabbeek, J.: European Site Response Model Datasets Viewer (v1.0), European Site Response Model Datasets Viewer [data set], <a href="https://doi.org/10.7414/EUC-EUROPEAN-SITE-MODEL-DATA-VIEWER" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.7414/EUC-EUROPEAN-SITE-MODEL-DATA-VIEWER</a>, 2021.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib55"><label>Zhu et al.(2021)Zhu, Weatherill, Cotton, Pilz, Kwak, and
Kawase</label><mixed-citation>
      
Zhu, C., Weatherill, G., Cotton, F., Pilz, M., Kwak, D. Y., and Kawase, H.: An open-source site database of strong-motion stations in Japan: K-NET and
KiK-net (v1. 0.0), Earthq. Spectra, 37, 2126–2149, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293020988028" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293020988028</a>, 2021.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib56"><label>Zhu et al.(2022)Zhu, Cotton, Kawase, Haendel, Pilz, and
Nakano</label><mixed-citation>
      
Zhu, C., Cotton, F., Kawase, H., Haendel, A., Pilz, M., and Nakano, K.: How
well can we predict earthquake site response so far? Site-specific
approaches, Earthq. Spectra, 38, 1047–1075, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211060859" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211060859</a>, 2022.

    </mixed-citation></ref-html>--></article>
