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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0">
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">NHESS</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">NHESS</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1684-9981</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/nhess-21-1263-2021</article-id><title-group><article-title>Cascade effect of rock bridge failure in planar rock slides: numerical test with a distinct element code</article-title><alt-title>Cascade effect of rock bridge failure in planar rock slides</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Cascade effect of rock bridge failure in planar rock slides}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{A. Delonca et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Delonca</surname><given-names>Adeline</given-names></name>
          <email>adeline.delonca@usm.cl</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-4915</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Gunzburger</surname><given-names>Yann</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Verdel</surname><given-names>Thierry</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Departamento de Ingeniería Metalúrgica y de Materiales
(DIMM), Universidad Técnica Federico Santa Maria, <?xmltex \hack{\break}?>Campus San
Joaquín, Santiago, Chile</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>GeoRessources, UMR 7359, Université de Lorraine – CNRS, Ecole des
Mines de Nancy, Campus ARTEM, <?xmltex \hack{\break}?>BP14234 FR-54042 Nancy Cedex, France</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Adeline Delonca (adeline.delonca@usm.cl)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>21</day><month>April</month><year>2021</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>21</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <fpage>1263</fpage><lpage>1278</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>24</day><month>August</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>17</day><month>October</month><year>2020</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>1</day><month>March</month><year>2021</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>17</day><month>March</month><year>2021</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2021 Adeline Delonca et al.</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021.html">This article is available from https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e109">Plane failure along inclined joints is a classical
mechanism involved in rock slope movements. It is known that the number,
size and position of rock bridges along the potential failure plane are of
prime importance when assessing slope stability. However, the rock bridge failure phenomenology itself has not been comprehensively understood up to
now. In this study, the propagation cascade effect of rock bridge failure
leading to catastrophic block sliding is studied and the influence of rock
bridge position in regard to the rockfall failure mode (shear or tension)
is highlighted. Numerical modelling using the distinct element method
(UDEC, Itasca) is undertaken in order to assess the stability of a 10 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
rock block lying on an inclined joint with a dip angle of 40 or
80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The progressive failure of rock bridges is simulated
assuming a Mohr–Coulomb failure criterion and considering stress transfers
from a failed bridge to the surrounding ones. Two phases of the failure
process are described: (1) a stable propagation of the rock bridge failures
along the joint and (2) an unstable propagation (cascade effect) of rock bridge failures until the block slides down. Additionally, the most
critical position of rock bridges has been identified. It corresponds to the
top of the rock block for a dip angle of 40<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and to its bottom for
an angle of 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e157">Rockfall hazard is defined as “the probability of occurrence of a
potentially damaging rockfall within a given area and in a given period of
time” (Varnes, 1984). The damaging phenomenon generally results from
the failure of weakness planes and the fall of one or several rock blocks
down to the target area (Corominas et al., 2005). In other
words, the rockfall hazard can be defined as the failure probability
multiplied by the probability of propagation. While different probabilistic
methods exist to calculate the probability of propagation (Guzzetti
et al., 2002; Jaboyedoff et al., 2005; Bourrier et al., 2009; Levy
et al., 2018), the failure probability is more complex to assess. Methods
mainly based on expert judgement (Delonca et al., 2016), empirical methods (Jaboyedoff et al., 2005; Mazzoccola and Hudson, 1996; Dussauge-Peisser et al., 2002) and
kinematic analysis (Pappalardo and Mineo, 2015; Mineo et
al., 2018; Kromer et al., 2018) have mostly been used to date, but they do not
consider the failure mechanism leading to the triggering of an event.
Statistical analysis (Chau et
al., 2003; Coe et al., 2004; Delonca et al., 2014) can also be
used to approach the temporality of the hazard but presents the same
restriction as the other methods. However, the understanding of the
failure process of weakness planes is a major issue for risk assessment as
it is responsible for the generation of a rockfall and defines its time of
occurrence.</p>
      <p id="d1e160">The main parameter controlling the resistance of a rock joint, and therefore
the failure mechanism, is rock bridges (Dershowitz and Einstein, 1988; Dershowitz
and Herda, 1992), defined as areas of intact unfractured rock where
discontinuities have yet to propagate (de Vilder et al., 2017).
Therefore, intact rock bridges could be defined as portions of intact rock
separating joint surfaces (Elmo et al., 2018).
Along the rock joint, the following are accounted for: (1) rock bridge areas
(intact rock), (2) open-crack areas, and<?pagebreak page1264?> (3) areas where rock bridges have
already failed (“broken rock bridges”) and where the joint surfaces are in
frictional contact. Figure 1a presents a diagram of a discontinuity along
which these three elements can be observed. The photo (Fig. 1b) was taken
after the fall of an unstable block. The open-crack areas as well as the
broken rock bridges are visible. No rock bridges are observed in this photo;
it is assumed that after the occurrence of the fall, there is no remaining
rock bridge along the former joint. Before the fall of the unstable block,
it can be expected that the broken rock bridge areas identified in the
photo were in fact composed of intact rock and fresh intact rock rupture
(broken rock bridges).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e165">Left: definition of rock bridges; right: open-crack and failed-rock-bridge areas. Modified from Levy (2011) (with
reproduction authorization).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f01.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e175">Conceptually, the location and distribution of rock bridges along a scar is
supposed to control the failure mode (Tuckey and Stead, 2016; Stock et al., 2011). For example, the presence of rock bridges over as
little as just a few percent of the detachment surface is known to
significantly increase the factor of safety by increasing apparent overall
cohesion of a rock joint (Matasci et al., 2015; Tuckey and Stead, 2016). Moreover, the location of a rock bridge is
important for understanding if rockfall fails in tension or shear, as it
can form a pivot point about which the failing rock block is able to
potentially rotate and fail in tension (Stock et al., 2012;
Bonilla–Sierra et al., 2015).</p>
      <p id="d1e178">Moreover, various authors (Frayssines and
Hantz, 2009; Matasci et al., 2015; Tuckey and Stead, 2016) have shown the
very low proportion of rock bridges existing before the fall (between only
0.2 % to 5 % of the detachment surface). In particular, Frayssines and Hantz
(2009) have shown that rock blocks can remain stable for a long time
thanks to rock bridges and that the rock bridge proportion in the failure
surfaces in these rock blocks may be very small (less than 1 % of the joint
surface).</p>
      <p id="d1e181">Previous research has shown that failure occurs through progressive
fracturing of intact rock bridges, in a process termed step-path failure (Kemeny,
2005; Eberhardt et al., 2004; Scavia, 1995; Brideau et al., 2009) that may
in some cases be compared to a cascade-effect failure which can cause rock bridges to fail like
dominoes along sloping channels (Bonilla–Sierra
et al., 2015; Harthong et al., 2012; Zhou et al., 2015). The contribution of
rock bridges has been implemented in numerical models of rock slope
stability using apparent cohesion (Eberhardt
et al., 2004; Fischer et al., 2010; Gischig et al., 2011) or areas of intact
rock (Stead
et al., 2006; Sturzenegger and Stead, 2009; Agliardi et al., 2013; Paronuzzi et
al., 2016). These previous studies aimed to analyse the failure modes and
evolution of the rock bridges. However, they do not analyse the
phenomenology of the rock bridge failure's propagation.</p>
      <p id="d1e184">This paper studies (1) the phenomenology of the rock bridge failure
propagation and (2) the influence of the rock bridges' location, using a
simple two-dimensional numerical model. The paper is structured as follows. In
Sect. 2, the numerical modelling process considered in the study is
presented: the geometry, characteristics and procedure of the models are
defined. In Sect. 3, the results of our 2D simulations are shown: stress redistribution along the joint after reducing the proportion of rock bridges
is observed leading to the highlighting of the rock bridge failure
phenomenology. In Sect. 4, the results are discussed and the influence of
the rock bridge location and the role of the tensile shear strength on the
phenomenology is evaluated. Finally, the conclusions are presented in
Sect. 5.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Numerical modelling of the rock bridge failure propagation</title>
      <p id="d1e195">The simulations were undertaken with UDEC (Universal Distinct Element Code),
a two-dimensional distinct element code developed by Cundall (Cundall, 1980) that can model the mechanical, hydraulic and
thermal behaviour of a fractured rock mass. This code has successfully been
used in past studies to model the behaviour of rock discontinuities (Gu
and Ozbay, 2014; Jiang et al., 2006; He et al., 2018; Roslan et al., 2020). It
has a scripting language embedded within it, FISH, that allows the user to
create new model variables, customize functionality and interact with the
model. This functionality has been decisive in the selection of the
appropriate numerical tools, as it allows the rock bridge areas, open-crack
areas and broken rock bridge areas to be defined.</p>
      <p id="d1e198">UDEC models the rock medium as a collection of blocks separated by joints
regarded as smooth planes. The blocks can be rigid or deformable. They can
mechanically interact through discontinuities. A distinction is made between
data relating to blocks – nodes and corners – and data relating to
discontinuities – contacts and domains. The characteristics of the
discontinuities are defined through the contacts.</p>
      <p id="d1e201">In order to study the phenomenology of the failure, an idealized
two-dimensional numerical model has been defined. Therefore, there is no
consideration of water infiltration, thermal implication or icing impact on
the discontinuity at this stage, even though these phenomena may act as
preparatory or triggering factors.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Geometry and definition of the two models</title>
      <p id="d1e211">Two numerical models were built. Both models describe a potential plane
failure along a pre-existing joint. Model 1 presents a joint with
an 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> dip angle, while model 2 presents a dip angle of
40<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. These two models have been proposed in agreement with the
objective of this work: to study the phenomenology of the rock bridge failure. To do so, a steeply dipping rock wall and a gentle slope are
considered. These two cases are defined in the function of the expected rockfall
failure mode (shear or tension). It is expected that in the case of a steep
slope, a tensile and/or shear failure mode will be observed. Indeed, authors (Stock et al., 2012;
Bonilla–Sierra et al., 2015) have highlighted that the location of a rock
bridge is important for understanding if rockfall fails in<?pagebreak page1265?> tension or shear,
as they can form a pivot point about which the failing rock block is able to
potentially rotate and fail in tension. In the case of a gentle slope, only
a shear failure mode is expected. Therefore, it is possible to assess the
influence of the location of the rock bridges as well as the initial
morphology of the rock wall.</p>
      <p id="d1e232">The geometry of the two models is presented in Fig. 2. The rock block
presents a length of 6 m and a width of 1.5 m, leading to a total
area of 9 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, which, considering an out-of-plane thickness of 1 m, is
also the volume (in m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) defined as “particularly dangerous for linear
infrastructures and private residence” (Effendiantz et al., 2004).
The total height of the model is 12 m. In practice, the geometry of the
two models is the same; only the inclination of gravity is changed (angle
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in Fig. 2).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e262">Geometry of both models. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">α</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is equal to 0<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for
model 1 (slope angle 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and is equal to 40<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for
model 2 (slope angle 40<inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e315">During the meshing process, 128 contacts were created along the joint
located between the block and the underlaying rock mass. Each contact can be
defined by its coordinates in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (altitude). The behaviour of the rock
joint is defined by the mechanical properties implemented for each
individual contact (presented in Sect. 2.2). As only contacts
belonging to regions can be modified in UDEC, the rock joint was then
divided into 100 regions of the same length that can represent either “rock
bridges” or “open-crack” areas. This division has been undertaken using
the FISH language. Each region can therefore include one or two contacts. During
the computation process, the local stress distribution along the joint can
lead to the rupture of some rock bridge regions, then becoming a region
of “failed rock bridges” that behaves as an open-crack area. This
phenomenon progressively increases the number of open-crack regions
along the joint.</p>
      <p id="d1e332">Once the models are meshed, they are loaded only by gravity to
evaluate the initial local state of stress along the joint.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e338">Mechanical properties of the rock mass based on Urgonian limestone.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Young's</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Poisson's</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Density</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">modulus (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mi>E</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">ratio (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ν</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">68.9 GPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.31</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">26.9 kN/m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Table 2</label><caption><p id="d1e426">Elastic mechanical properties of typical rock joints in Urgonian
limestone.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="2">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Normal stiffness (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">n</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Shear stiffness (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>k</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">6.9 GPa/m</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2.7 GPa/m</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>Mechanical parameters</title>
      <p id="d1e493">An elastic model is assumed for the rock blocks, and a Mohr–Coulomb
elasto-plastic model is assumed for the rock joint (contacts along the
joint). A contact exhibits a shear failure mode when the local stress
reaches the Mohr–Coulomb<?pagebreak page1266?> failure criterion and a tensile failure mode when
its tensile normal stress becomes equal to the assigned tensile strength.</p>
      <p id="d1e496">The mechanical properties of the rock blocks (Table 1) were defined based on
a literature review of a common limestone in the French Alps (“Urgonian”
limestone) (Frayssines, 2005). This limestone has been
considered the reference in this study as it forms high cliffs in
south-eastern France, where present traces of failed rock bridges are widely
documented (Frayssines and Hantz, 2006).</p>
      <p id="d1e499">Along the rock joint, three types of contact are considered:
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e504">rock bridge (RB) contacts which behave elastically with the same characteristics as
the intact rock; to determine the normal and shear stiffness of the rock
bridges, a centimetric opening of the joint has been considered;</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e508">open crack (OC) contacts which represent an absence of contact along the joint and
behave in a perfectly plastic way;</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e512">rock bridge failed (RBF) contacts that failed due to stress transfers along the joint and
behave in a perfectly plastic way after their rupture.</p></list-item></list>
RB and RBF contacts have the same mechanical elastic parameters; the only difference
between them comes from the fact that RB contacts present a purely elastic
behaviour, while RBF contacts present an elasto-plastic behaviour.</p>
      <p id="d1e516">The normal and shear stiffnesses of RB and RBF contacts have been defined based on a
literature review of Urgonian limestone fractures (Frayssines, 2005). They are presented in Table 2.</p>
      <p id="d1e520">The failure envelope properties of RB and RBF contacts (cohesion, friction angle and
tensile strength) were defined following a step-by-step procedure. As the
objective of the numerical modelling is to study the phenomenology of the
rock bridge failure propagation, the failure criterion has to be close
enough to the initial stresses along the joint, when considering only RB contacts.
Therefore, during a first step, the distribution of stresses has been
evaluated and compared to “classical” failure criteria provided in the
literature (Frayssines, 2005). Then, in a second step, the
characteristics of the criteria have been decreased to fit the objective.
The classical values and the ones defined with this procedure for the RB
and RBF contacts are presented in Table 3. Even if the values considered in the study
are much lower than those found in literature, it is assumed that the
failure propagation phenomenology will be the same as in reality. In the
case of OC contacts all the values are taken as equal to 0 (Table 3) to ensure the
phenomenology is identified and not polluted by other behaviour.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Table 3</label><caption><p id="d1e526">Shear strength characteristics of RB, RBF and OC areas along the
joint for both model 1 and model 2.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Classical</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Rock bridge (RB)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Rock bridge (RB)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Open-crack</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">rock bridge</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">and failed rock bridge</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">and failed rock bridge</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(OC) model 1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">characteristics</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(RBF) model 1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(RBF) model 2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">and model 2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Cohesion <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mi>C</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">23 MPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">45 kPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">40 kPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0 Pa</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Angle of friction</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">54<inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">30<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0<inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Tensile strength TS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">7 MPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10 kPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">10 kPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0 Pa</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>Modelling protocol</title>
      <p id="d1e702">The modelling protocol proposed to study the rock bridge failure
phenomenology is based on the following steps. It is summarized in
Fig. 3.
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e707">All the 100 regions and so the 128 contacts of the rock joint are initially
considered rock bridge (RB). In other words, 100 % of the rock
joint is defined as RB. The model is run to equilibrium under gravitational
loading. This corresponds to the initial stage (Step 0).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e711">Disturbances are introduced into the system. To do so, selected regions
along the joint are transformed into open crack (OC) regions using FISH language
(steps 1 to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> being the maximum number of steps before the block
does not stabilize anymore). These regions can be selected randomly
considering a uniform distribution or chosen intentionally by the user at
specific locations. During these steps, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> % of the rock joint is defined
as OC and (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">100</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) % is defined as RB. At each of these calculating steps,
the introduction of disturbance induces a stress redistribution along the
joint, which leads to the failure of some rock bridges, then converted into
RBF. This introduction of open-crack areas simulates a virtual time as it
represents the aperture of a crack and the propagation of the discontinuity
through the rock bridges. It simulates the joint alteration that can be
caused by, for example, water, freeze–thaw, root growth or another
external parameter.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e748">New open cracks are introduced stepwise (Step <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) until the block does
not stabilize anymore.</p></list-item></list>
At each step of the modelling process, the following data are recorded:
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e761">the normal and shear stresses at each contact along the rock joint,</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e765">the number of contacts considered open crack (OC),</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e769">the number of considered failed contacts (open crack and rock bridges that
failed due to the increased of the stresses, OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF).</p></list-item></list>
Considering this modelling protocol, different scenarios have been
considered:
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e782"><italic>Scenario 1.</italic> The propagation of an open fracture was
simulated. A 60 cm long area of open crack (OC) (10 % of the rock joint
length) was initially defined, located at the lower part of the rock joint
(30 cm from point A) for both model 1 and model 2. Then, a progressive
propagation of the open crack upwards was simulated (in this part of the
study, contacts are not randomly modified from RB to OC.) At each step, the
open-crack area is enlarged. For model 1, an increase of 2 % of the rock
joint length is imposed (12 cm long area of open crack). For model 2, an
increase of 10 % of the rock joint length is imposed (60 cm long area of
open crack).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e788"><italic>Scenario 2.</italic> The influence of rock bridge location
along the joint was studied. (1) Open cracks are introduced<?pagebreak page1267?> into the upper
part of the rock joint (30 cm from point B), and (2) open cracks are
introduced into the lower part of the joint (30 cm from point A). This
protocol was followed for both dip angles – 40 and 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. For model 1, an increase of 2 % in the rock joint length is imposed at
each step (12 cm long area of open crack). For model 2, an increase of
10 % in the rock joint length is imposed at each step (60 cm long area of
open crack).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e803"><italic>Scenario 3.</italic> A total of 40 simulations with a random introduction
of new OC contacts were carried out to statistically compare results. For model 1, an
increase of 2 % in the rock joint length is imposed at each step (12 cm long area of open crack). For model 2, an increase of 10 % in the rock
joint length is imposed at each step (60 cm long area of open crack).</p></list-item></list></p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e810">Modelling process. Step 0: 100 % of the rock joint is defined as
rock bridge (RB). Step 1 to Step <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: introduction of open crack (OC) contacts along
the joint. From Step 2 to Step <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, in the graph of model 1 the increase in shear stresses due to the introduction of OC contacts can be introduced.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e833">It can be noted that the numerical model has been validated by comparing the
stresses evaluated by a simple theoretical analytical calculation of a block
laying on an inclined plane by numerical shear and normal stress values.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Stress transfer and RB failure induced by the introduction of new OC contacts</title>
      <p id="d1e852">To study the phenomenology of rock bridge failure (RB and RBF), the
evolution of normal and shear stresses along the joint during the stepwise
introduction of open-crack (OC) contacts has been analysed in detail. To do so,
Scenario 1 was considered.</p>
      <p id="d1e855">Figure 4 presents, for both model 1 and model 2, the distribution of the normal
and shear stresses along the rock joint at different equilibrium steps 0 to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e867">Distribution of the normal and shear stresses for models 1 and 2 considering Scenario 1. The different steps represent the introduction of new OC contacts until the model does not converge anymore. The points on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis have normal stress but no shear stress as if the friction angle were zero. Each colour between point A and point B in the model corresponds to the step presented in the graph.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e884">First, the distribution of the stresses along the rock joint is presented at
Step 0, considering that the joint is only composed of rock bridges. In the
case of model 1 (slope of 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), tension (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">&lt;</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is observed at the upper part of the block (near point B in Fig. 4a). In model 2 (slope of 40<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), no tension is observed.</p>
      <p id="d1e920">For both models, at Step 1, 10 % of the rock joint is intentionally
modified from RB to OC contacts. In both models, the introduction of OC contacts
results in a general increase in the shear stresses along the rock joint,
with a stronger increase in these shear stresses in the vicinity of the OC
area. This increase in the shear stresses brings the joint closer to the
failure criterion not only in the vicinity of the OC area but also elsewhere, in
particular at contacts located in the upper part of the rock joint (point B
in Fig. 4). The normal stresses slightly vary during this first stage.</p>
      <p id="d1e923">During each subsequent Step 2 to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, 2 % of additional contacts are
modified from RB to OC in model 1 and 10 % of additional contacts are
modified from RB to OC in model 2. These modifications induce the
failure of rock bridges directly near the OC contacts by increasing the shear
stresses along the rock joint, but the model reaches a mechanical
equilibrium at the end of each step. There is also an increase in the normal
stresses along the rock joint. This phenomenon continues until no
mechanical equilibrium is reached anymore, which is associated with the
downward sliding of the block (simultaneous failure of all the contacts).</p>
      <p id="d1e933">The non-convergence of the model occurs when 16 % of the contacts are
converted to OC in the case of model 1 and 30 % for model 2.</p>
      <p id="d1e936">These results highlighted two phases during the rock bridge failure: a
first phase during which only the intentionally created open-crack contacts
are observed and a second phase during which the stress transfers induce
the additional failure of rock bridges. In other words, in a first phase, the
crack enlarges without inducing rupture elsewhere, and in a second phase the
open crack reaches a state where rupture self-propagation starts until the
block slides along the joint.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Rock bridge cascading failure phenomenology</title>
      <p id="d1e947">To study more specifically rock bridge cascading failure phenomenology, Scenario 2 was considered.
Results are presented in Fig. 5 in terms of the proportion of so-called
“failed contacts” (OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF) versus the proportion of OC contacts along the
joint. For both dip angles, there is a first linear phase during which the
only failed contacts are the intentionally introduced OC ones. During this
first phase, the block remains stable; i.e. a mechanical equilibrium is
reached after each introduction of new OC contacts. Then, in a second phase, the
redistribution of stresses caused by the introduction of new OC contacts induces the
rupture of some RB contacts, which are converted into RBF contacts. During this second phase,
even a small increase in the proportion of OC contacts leads to the rupture of
additional rock bridges, which<?pagebreak page1268?> highlights the cascading failure
phenomenology affecting the rock bridges. The slope of the linear regression
in this second phase is around 10 in the case of model 1 and 5 in the case
of model 2, meaning that the introduction of 1 OC contact leads to the failure of 10 RB contacts for model 1 and 5 RB contacts for model 2. This second phase starts for
approximately 8 % of the rock joint defined as OC for model 1 and 23 %
for model 2. The start of this phase differs slightly depending on the
position of the RB and OC along the joint.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e959">Propagation of rock bridge failure for models 1 and 2 considering
Scenario 2. Intentionally introduced OC contacts are located in the upper part of the
joint (blue curve) or in the lower part of the joint (orange curve). The
proportion of the rock joint that failed is defined as a ratio between the
number of failed contacts (OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF) and the total number of contacts (OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e989">The non-convergence of the model starts when OC contacts represent 19 and 35 %
of the joint for models 1 and 2 respectively.</p>
      <p id="d1e993">Based on these preliminary results, Scenario 3 was considered. Results are
shown in Fig. 6.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e998">Propagation of rock bridge failure for models 1 and
2 considering Scenario 3 in the case of randomly introduced new OC contacts.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1007">For both model 1 and model 2, two phases in the propagation of the rupture may be
identified for all the simulations carried out. In the case of model 1, the
second phase starts for an average of (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) % of the rock joint
defined as OC, and the slide of the block (non-convergence of the
simulation) occurs for an average proportion of (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">20</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) %.
Regarding model 2, the second phase begins for an average of (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">29</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) % of the rock joint defined as OC, and the slide of the block occurs
for an average proportion of (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">44</mml:mn><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) %. The transition area (Figs. 5–7) has first been identified in Fig. 6 and reported in Figs. 5–7. It corresponds to the transition between both phases in the
propagation of the rock bridge failure and is due to the difference in the
location of the RB.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e1060">Displacement of point C (in metres) with respect to
the proportion of OC contacts along the joint, for models 1 and 2 considering
Scenario 3. The transition zone presented here corresponds to the one
defined previously (Sect. 3.2).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <label>3.3</label><title>Block displacement with time</title>
      <p id="d1e1077">In order to check whether there is a correlation between the two phases of
rock bridge failure and the displacement that can be monitored on a
potentially unstable block, a tracking point (C), shown in Fig. 7, has
been introduced. Such a point could easily be instrumented in the real case
of motion tracking if displacements of the order of millimetres are observed before
the failure of the block.</p>
      <p id="d1e1080">Scenario 3 was considered. The displacement of point C was studied versus
the proportion of OC along the joint, which is a marker of “virtual time”.
The movement is no<?pagebreak page1269?> longer recorded as soon as all the contacts have failed,
because the computation does not converge anymore.</p>
      <p id="d1e1083">Figure 7 shows that there is only one phase when considering the
displacement. Both phases identified previously cannot be observed through
displacement. To be certain of this result, a smaller mesh has been defined,
and the same results have been obtained.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e1095">The results highlight that the rock bridge failure phenomenology presents
two phases: a first phase during which only the intentionally created open-crack contacts are observed and a second phase during which stress
transfers induce the additional failure of rock bridges. Based on these
results, the influence of different parameters on this observed
phenomenology was tested. The results are presented below.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Influence of OC location on the evolution of RBF with time</title>
      <p id="d1e1105">As highlighted by different authors (Tuckey and Stead,
2016; Stock et al., 2011), the location of the rock bridges has a strong
impact on the stability of a potentially unstable block. To see whether our
model leads to the same conclusion, the following protocol has been
followed:
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1110">A number <inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of contacts is defined to be OC and randomly located along the
joint. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is equal to 18 for model 1 (14 % of the joint) and to 46 for
model 2 (36 %<?pagebreak page1270?> of the joint). These values were chosen for the model to
be in the second phase, where the cascading failure phenomenology
affecting the rock bridges is observed (Sect. 3.2). As seen previously,
these proportions are sufficient to induce the additional RBF.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1128">The number of considered failed contacts (OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF) is determined.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1139">The number of failed contacts is compared to the average altitude of the OC
contact.</p></list-item></list>
To maximize the number of data, Scenario 3 is run two times, and
therefore 80 models are considered.</p>
      <p id="d1e1143">The results are presented in Fig. 8. The figure (top part) shows the values
of the minimum, maximum and average contact altitude along the rock joint
for both model 1 and model 2. It also shows (bottom part) the total number of
considered failed contacts for a number <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of contacts defined to be OC with
respect to the average altitude of the OC contacts for both model 1 and model 2.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e1155">Number of considered failed contacts for a number <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
of contacts defined to be OC with respect to the average altitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> coordinate) of the OC contacts, for models 1 and 2 considering Scenario 3
(run two times). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is equal to 18 and 46 for model 1 and 2 respectively.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?pagebreak page1271?><p id="d1e1186">Figure 8a presents the results of model 1. It highlights that there are a
larger number of failed contacts (OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF) when the OC contacts are localized on
average in the upper part of the joint. Figure 8b shows that, for model 2,
contrary to model 1, there are a larger number of failed contacts
(OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF) when the OC are localized on average in the lower part of the
joint.</p>
      <p id="d1e1203">This difference highlighted between the two models can be explained by the
distribution of the stresses along the joint.
<list list-type="order"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1208">In model 1, there is tension in the upper part of the rock joint (Fig. 4a)
when considering 100 % of RB contacts. To the contrary, in model 2, there is no
tension along the rock joint (Fig. 4b).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <?pagebreak page1272?><p id="d1e1212">During the introduction of new OC contacts, the stresses increase along the entire
rock joint and more specifically around the OC area. Therefore, the
distance to the failure criterion must play an important role if it is
assumed that the increase in stresses is made in a homogeneous way, which
seems to be the case based on Fig. 4. For model 1, the distance to the
criterion is the smallest in the upper part of the block and vice versa for
model 2, which may explain the influence of the position of the open crack.</p></list-item></list>
Figure 8 highlights the presence of the critical position of the OC area. Figure
9 presents the histogram of the average altitude of OC contacts. The critical
position could be defined as the position where, for the same proportion of
OC contacts, more RBF contacts will be generated than in any other position along the joint.
In the case of model 1, the critical position of the open-crack area
corresponds to the upper part of the joint (i.e. RB located preferentially
in the lower part of the joint). To the contrary, for model 2, it is the OC
area located in the lower part of the joint that corresponds to the critical
position (RB located in the upper part of the joint). These results combined
with geophysical-tool investigations (Stock et al., 2011; Matasci et al., 2015; Paronuzzi et al., 2016; Guerin et al., 2019; Frayssines and Hantz, 2006; Paronuzzi and Serafini, 2009; Spreafico et
al., 2017) could allow the prioritization of the potentially unstable blocks.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e1218">Histogram of the average altitude (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
coordinate) of the OC contacts, for models 1 and 2 considering Scenario 3
(run two times). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is equal to 18 and 46 for model 1 and 2 respectively.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f09.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>Role of the tensile strength in the evolution of RBF with time</title>
      <p id="d1e1249">In the presented study, as the tensile strength is relatively high in
comparison with the cohesion and the friction angle, only shear failure was
observed, and no tensile failure was reported. Based on this observation, it
is needed to study more specifically the role of tensile strength in the
evolution of RBF with time. To do so, a new model 3 has been defined and
run. It is based on model 1 (dip angle of 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) as model 1 shows
tension. In the new model, a tensile truncation was added to the
Mohr–Coulomb failure criterion. The tensile strength (TS) has been taken as equal
to the uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) value divided by 10 (UCS <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mo>/</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10). The
compressive strength is calculated according to Eq. (1).
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M64" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">UCS</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn><mml:mi>c</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi>cos⁡</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>sin⁡</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mi>c</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> being the cohesion and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ϕ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the friction angle.</p>
      <p id="d1e1315">The mechanical characteristics of model 3 are listed in Table 4. The
cohesion value has been increased in comparison to model 1 for numerical
modelling requirements: when considering the same cohesion value, the model
was not converging. The cohesion value has been increased until the model
could be run.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e1320">Distribution of the normal and tangential stresses
in the plane of Mohr for model 3 considering Scenario 1. The various
steps represent the introduction of 10 % of open-crack (OC) contacts each time, until the non-convergence of the model.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f10.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Table 4</label><caption><p id="d1e1333">Mechanical characteristics of rock bridges in model 3
used when studying the effect of tensile strength. The dip angle is equal to
80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Rock bridge</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Rock bridge</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(RB) model 1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(RB) model 3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Cohesion <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mi>C</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">45 kPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">130 kPa</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Friction angle</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">UCS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">107 kPa</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">312 kPa</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Tensile strength TS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">10 kPa<inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">31.2 kPa</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e1345"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>*</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> As defined in model 1.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e1473">The results are presented in Fig. 10. The tensile truncation of the
Mohr–Coulomb failure criterion results in tensile failure of 6 % of the
joint at the initial Step 0 (eight contacts present a tensile normal stress
that becomes equal to the assigned tensile strength). At each subsequent
step, 10 % of additional OC contacts are introduced along the rock joint. Because
the cohesion is 3 times higher than for model 1, the stresses along the
joint are further away from the failure criterion of rupture than for model 1 (Fig. 10). As observed previously, the normal and shear stresses
progressively increase. It can be noted, as for the previous models, there is a more
significant increase in the shear stress in the vicinity of the OC area. Up
to 40 % of the joint can be defined as OC area before the calculation does not
converge anymore.</p>
      <p id="d1e1476">For model 3, the transition phase identified previously is comprised of between
40 % and 50 % of the rock joint defined as OC, while in model 1, it is
comprised of between 10 % and 20 %. In other words, when increasing
cohesion value, the proportion of open-crack area needs to be higher to reach the
cascading failure affecting the rock bridges than when considering low
cohesion values. It justifies that in reality, as the cohesion values of the
rock bridges are 500 times higher than in the study presented in this paper,
only a few portions of rock bridges allow a potentially instable block to be
in place. The second phase observed in the paper occurs instants before the
fall of the block.</p>
      <p id="d1e1479">This study shows that, when considering tensile failure through the tensile
truncation of the Mohr–Coulomb failure criterion, a proportion of failed
rock bridges comes from the tensile stresses along the joint. However, the
same “bi-phase” propagation failure phenomenology was observed regardless of
the comprehensive consideration of the tensile failure.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e1484">Normal and shear stress distribution for <bold>(a)</bold> model 1 in the case where three types of contact are considered (open crack (OC), rock bridge (RB), rock bridge that failed (RBF)) and <bold>(b)</bold> model 4 if the contacts defined as rock bridges that failed are automatically changed to open crack (OC) – Scenario 1.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f11.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F12" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{12}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 12</label><caption><p id="d1e1502">Propagation of rock bridge failure for <bold>(a)</bold> model 1 in the
case where three types of contact are considered (open crack (OC), rock
bridge (RB), rock bridge that failed (RBF)) and <bold>(b)</bold> model 4 if the
contacts defined as rock bridges that failed are automatically changed to
open crack (OC) – Scenario 2.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1263/2021/nhess-21-1263-2021-f12.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>Influence of RBF shear strength on the results</title>
      <?pagebreak page1273?><p id="d1e1525">In the modelling procedure presented in Sect. 2.3 and applied to
models 1 to 3, the rock bridges that failed during the calculation (RBF) are
considered to keep the same shear strength values as RB. This hypothesis has
been made to consider asperity that can exist along areas of failed rock
bridges. An alternate approach would be to consider that RBF contacts behave like OC contacts.
This is discussed hereafter, by the mean of an additional model 4 comprising
only two types of contact: RB and OC. RBF are considered to behave as OC.
This model is based on model 1 (dip angle of 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), to which it
will be compared.</p>
      <p id="d1e1537">The new OC contacts will be introduced into the upper part of the joint as it has been
highlighted that for model 1, there are a larger number of failed contacts
(OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF) when the OC contacts are localized on average in the upper part of the
joint.</p>
      <p id="d1e1547">Figure 11 presents the distribution of stresses along the joint at different
steps of computation for models 1 and 4. The first OC area is introduced into
the upper part of the joint, 10 cm away from point B. It is observed, as
previously, that there is a general increase in shear stresses and a very small increase
in normal stresses. Model 1 stops converging when 18 % of the joint is
defined as OC (Fig. 11a), which is in agreement with what was observed
before. When considering 16 % of the joint defined as OC (last step before the
model does not converge), there are 22 % failed contacts (OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF).
Model 4 stops converging for 26 % of OC (Fig. 11b). Therefore,
considering two or three types of contact gives similar results. To test this
theory, Fig. 12 presents the proportion of so-called failed contacts
(OC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> RBF) versus the proportion of OC contacts along the joint. It shows that the
two phases highlighted previously are again identified. The main difference
comes from the fact that considering only two types of contact, the first
phase is smaller.</p>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page1274?><sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <label>4.4</label><title>Influence of the rock bridges' mechanical properties</title>
      <p id="d1e1573">In this study, the choice has been made to consider much lower strength
properties of the rock bridges than in reality (see Sect. 2.2),
due to numerical restrictions. Indeed, it has been shown by various authors (Frayssines and Hantz, 2009; Matasci et al.,
2015; Tuckey and Stead, 2016) that only a few percent of rock bridges along
the detachment surface are enough to maintain a compartment in a stable
state. This extremely low proportion of rock bridges brings modelling
challenges, such as high stress concentration at rock bridges, that have yet
to be overcome. From a numerical point of view, modelling less than 1 % of
the joint as rock bridges would require an extremely dense meshing, due to
the high stress concentration and stress gradients in the rock bridge areas.
In order to answer the objective of this paper, which is to highlight the
phenomenology of the rock bridge failure propagation and not to accurately
represent rock bridge behaviour, the authors have considered that
decreasing the mechanical properties of the rock bridges is an adequate way
of answering the presented difficulty.</p>
      <p id="d1e1576">Despite the fact that low rock bridge mechanical properties are imposed by
numerical modelling restrictions, it<?pagebreak page1275?> is essential to assess the influence of
this choice. The authors feel confident in the proposed methodology as
models have been realized with higher mechanical properties and have shown
similar phenomenology. An example of this is model 3, which considers in
particular a higher cohesion value (130 kPa for model 3 compared to 45 kPa for
model 1). Moreover, as shown by previous research, the compartment
instability occurs through progressive fracturing of intact rock bridges, in
a process termed step-path failure (Kemeny,
2005; Eberhardt et al., 2004; Scavia, 1995; Brideau et al., 2009) that may
in some cases be compared to a cascade-effect failure: they can fail like
dominoes along sloping channels (Bonilla–Sierra,
et al., 2015; Harthong et al., 2012; Zhou et al., 2015). The study presented in
this paper corroborates the previously observed cascade-effect failure of
rock bridges.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>5</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e1589">The work presented in this paper has allowed the phenomenology of rock bridge failure to be studied. It has shown that the rock bridge failure
phenomenology can be associated with a cascade-effect failure (two phases in
the failure propagation), which is consistent with previous research. This
phenomenon can be explained by the increase in the shear stress in the
vicinity of the open-crack areas, which can lead to the failure of the
neighbouring rock bridges.</p>
      <p id="d1e1592">Moreover, it has been highlighted that the stress redistribution along the
rock joint is directly related to the geometry and failure mode of the rock
block: when considering a shear failure mode (sliding along a gentle slope),
the increase in the shear stress is slower than when considering a tensile
or shear failure mode along a steep slope. This observation can be directly
related to the influence of the rock bridges' positions on the stability of
the block. In the case of a steep slope, the critical position of the rock
bridges corresponds to the lower part of the joint. To the contrary, for a
gentle slope, it is the rock bridges located in the upper part of the joint
that is critical. This result is consistent with previously published work (Tuckey and Stead,
2016; Stock et al., 2011).</p>
      <p id="d1e1595">These interesting results lead to a better understanding of the failure
mechanism leading to the triggering of a rockfall. They help complement the
current assessment methods of the failure probability of the rockfall
hazard. In particular, they describe why it can be so challenging to assess
the occurrence probability of such events and the temporal probability (Delonca et al., 2016).</p>
      <p id="d1e1598">Furthermore, the work presented in this paper has highlighted the importance of
the rock bridge location and its assessment. Therefore, the use of
geophysical investigations could allow the prioritization of the potentially unstable
blocks. It is to be noted that the monitoring of displacements does not seem to be
a good indicator to identify the two phases in the failure propagation and,
therefore, to be able to anticipate or predict the acceleration of the rock bridge failure. Moreover, the monitored displacement in the models is of
less than a hundredth of a millimetre, and this quantity is very difficult
to monitor in the field.</p>
      <p id="d1e1602">Finally, while interesting results have been drawn and validated by previous
work, additional work needs to be carried out and could be the topic of future
studies:
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1607">The choice of low rock bridges' shear strength characteristics, even if
justified, does not allow a perfect comparison with real case conditions to
be made. This<?pagebreak page1276?> means that more work has to be carried out to better model the
cascade-effect failure of the rock bridges for realistic environments. From
a numerical point of view, an extremely dense meshing could be realized to
overcome the current limitations exposed in the presented work.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1611">Only shear and tension failure modes have been considered in the presented
study, in order to focus on representative failure modes, that would allow
clear conclusions about the phenomenon of failure and in particular the
cascade effect of the failure to be drawn. To complete the analysis, more
failures mode could be considered (for example transitional failure mode).</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1615">The choice of discretizing the joint into regions and considering only a
uniform distribution has allowed a first approximation of the process
involved in the rock bridge failure to be observed. However, it would be
interesting to test other random distribution (Bossi et al., 2016) and consider that
every contact along the joint can be modified (not only the region). This
should be considered in future work.</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e1619">A simplified planar open crack has been considered in the presented work.
In reality, a discontinuity presents asperity, rugosity and defects that
could affect the shear strength of the plane. This point could be integrated
into future work.</p></list-item></list></p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="codeavailability"><title>Code availability</title>

      <p id="d1e1626">The code can be found in the first author's PhD thesis, available here – Annex 7:
<uri>http://docnum.univ-lorraine.fr/public/DDOC_T_2014_0184_DELONCA.pdf</uri> (Delonca, 2021).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e1635">The data are available by contacting the corresponding author.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e1641">AD was responsible for investigation, formal analysis and writing of the original
draft. YG was responsible for conceptualization, methodology, review and editing
of the paper, and supervision. TV was responsible for conceptualization, methodology, review and editing of
the paper, and supervision.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e1647">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e1653">This paper was edited by Daniele Giordan and reviewed by three anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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<abstract-html><p>Plane failure along inclined joints is a classical
mechanism involved in rock slope movements. It is known that the number,
size and position of rock bridges along the potential failure plane are of
prime importance when assessing slope stability. However, the rock bridge failure phenomenology itself has not been comprehensively understood up to
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along the joint and (2) an unstable propagation (cascade effect) of rock bridge failures until the block slides down. Additionally, the most
critical position of rock bridges has been identified. It corresponds to the
top of the rock block for a dip angle of 40° and to its bottom for
an angle of 80°.</p></abstract-html>
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