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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">NHESS</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">NHESS</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1684-9981</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/nhess-19-2525-2019</article-id><title-group><article-title>Economic assessment of precautionary measures against <?xmltex \hack{\break}?> floods: insights from a non-contextual approach</article-title><alt-title>Economic assessment of measures aimed at reducing flood damage to buildings</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Economic assessment of measures aimed at reducing flood damage to buildings}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{C.~Richert et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name><surname>Richert</surname><given-names>Claire</given-names></name>
          <email>claire.richert@irstea.fr</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name><surname>Boisgontier</surname><given-names>Hélène</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name><surname>Grelot</surname><given-names>Frédéric</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2638-8114</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><institution>G-EAU, Irstea, AgroParisTech, Cirad, IRD, Montpellier SupAgro, Université de Montpellier, Montpellier, France</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Claire Richert (claire.richert@irstea.fr)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>19</day><month>November</month><year>2019</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>19</volume>
      <issue>11</issue>
      <fpage>2525</fpage><lpage>2539</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>17</day><month>May</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>11</day><month>June</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>9</day><month>October</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>17</day><month>October</month><year>2019</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2019 </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2019</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e97">To limit the losses due to floods, public authorities can try to foster the adoption of private measures aimed at reducing the vulnerability of dwellings. However, the efficacy and cost-efficiency of such measures to reduce material losses are not well-known. In particular, the influence of building and flood characteristics on these variables has not been thoroughly studied.  A better understanding of this topic would help identify the measures that are relevant to implement in specific contexts. To address this gap, we examined the effect of building and flood characteristics on the cost, efficacy, and cost-efficiency of three groups of measures taken for existing dwellings: one consists of elevating the dwelling, one of dry proofing it, and one of using construction materials that are resistant to water or cheap to repair or replace. We combined expert judgement and computer modelling to assess their cost, efficacy, and cost-efficiency for a wide range of flood depths and durations, building characteristics, and levels of exposure. We found that the value of the building components has a positive effect on the efficacy of dry proofing and elevating a dwelling. Both the efficacy and cost of these two groups of measures increase with the size of the dwelling. Moreover, according to our results, dry proofing and elevating a dwelling are unlikely to be cost-efficient for dwellings that are not exposed to floods with a return period lower than 100 and 30 years, respectively. Our findings also highlight that it is often less expensive to use the adapted than the original materials when rebuilding a damaged dwelling. Moreover, adapting the materials of an intact dwelling is unlikely to be cost-efficient for dwellings that are not exposed to floods with a return period lower than 20 years. Our results apply to France because the damage and the installation costs of the measures are specific to France and the geometry of the dwellings considered to perform our analyses is based on French dwellings.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e109">A flood risk can be defined as the combination of a hazard, exposed assets and populations, and their vulnerability to the hazard (e.g. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx3" id="altparen.1"/>). Thus, mitigating such a phenomenon boils down to reducing at least one of these three components. Throughout the 20th century, it was largely preferred in several countries to only target the hazard component of flood risks through the building of physical defence (e.g. in the Netherlands – <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx34" id="altparen.2"/>; in the UK – <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35" id="altparen.3"/>; or in the US – <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33" id="altparen.4"/>). Nowadays, several authors report that flood risk management policies are increasingly combining flood defences with measures aimed at reducing the vulnerability of people and assets <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17 bib1.bibx23" id="paren.5"/>. This tendency is driven by the awareness that physical defences can harm ecosystems and that levee failures can have catastrophic consequences <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.6"/> and by the increasing uncertainty regarding the risks of floods due to climate change <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="paren.7"/>. Thus, in countries such as England, France, Hungary, or Germany, recent policies were designed to limit development in flood-prone areas, provide more efficient insurance schemes, raise human awareness of the risk, or foster the adoption of measures aimed at reducing the vulnerability of dwellings <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.8"/>. Policymakers need to be able to compare these different means of reducing the vulnerability to floods in order to efficiently allocate public funds among them in terms of subsidies and communication.</p>
      <p id="d1e137"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>We focused on measures aimed <?pagebreak page2526?>at reducing the vulnerability of existing dwellings to floods, which we call “precautionary measures”, and analysed their efficacy, cost, and cost-efficiency. We define the cost-efficiency of a measure as the discounted sum of the difference between its annual expected efficacy and its annual cost over its lifespan. The efficacy of a precautionary measure indicates the extent to which it reduces the level of damage to a dwelling. It depends on the flood intensity. The annual expected efficacy is thus the probability-weighted average of the values of efficacy computed for all possible flood intensities.</p>
      <p id="d1e141">So far, the efficacy of precautionary measures has been examined at the household level using mainly empirical approaches and expert judgement (see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx21" id="altparen.9"/>, for a review). For instance, the International Commission for the Protection of the Rhine relied on expert judgement to assess the efficacy of flood-proofing measures <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16" id="paren.10"/>. On the other hand, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="text.11"/> surveyed people who were affected by the flood that took place in 2002 in the Elbe River basin. They compared the damage to the building and contents of dwellings with and without different types of precautionary measures. Their results suggest that installing flood barriers and adapting the building structure, use, and layout to floods were effective measures to reduce material damage in their case study. The same conclusion was reached by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18" id="text.12"/> after comparing the levels of damage due to different floods that occurred in a given area in Germany and between which the proportion of inhabitants who took measures had increased. Using a similar approach in another case study in Germany, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx4" id="text.13"/> also suggest that precautionary measures significantly reduced material damage.</p>
      <p id="d1e159">All these studies assessed the efficacy of precautionary measures for particular flood events. However, the comparison of the cost and efficacy of a measure requires estimating its annual expected efficacy. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.14"/>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.15"/>, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="text.16"/> proposed various methods for assessing the annual expected efficacy of some measures. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.17"/> surveyed people who were affected by floods in Germany. They assumed that the mean efficacy of a measure is the difference between the mean amount of damage suffered by those who lived in houses where the measure was not implemented and the mean amount of damage suffered by the others. They multiplied the estimated mean efficacies by several frequencies to obtain annual expected efficacies that relate to various flood return periods. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.18"/> conducted a survey in France to assess the cost-efficiency of some precautionary measures. They used ordinary least-squares regression models to explain the relationship between the amount of damage and several independent variables, such as the presence of some precautionary measures and the flood depth. They assumed that the mean efficacy of a measure is the difference between the estimated levels of damage suffered by an average home without and with this measure. To assess the annual expected efficacy, they proceeded in the same way as <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.19"/>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="text.20"/> assumed that the annual expected efficacy of elevating a dwelling is the reduction in the risk-based annual insurance premium due to this measure, which they computed following the guidelines of the Federal Emergency Management Agency <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx13" id="paren.21"/>. As explained in a report of the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="text.22"/>, the risk-based annual insurance premium takes into account the average annual expected damage, which is obtained across classes of buildings which are in the same flood zone and share some characteristics, including their elevation. The values of average annual expected damage are computed using two types of depth–damage functions: some were obtained by using claims data and others come from the US Army Corps of Engineers, but the method used to obtain them is not well-documented, according to the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="text.23"/>. Thus, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="text.24"/> ultimately relied partly on empirical data and partly on data of an unknown nature to assess the annual expected efficacy of elevating a dwelling.</p>
      <p id="d1e197">While empirical studies analyse precautionary measures in realistic settings, the results they provide are largely context-dependent, as reported by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.25"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx21" id="text.26"/>. Moreover, since they do not control for all the parameters that influence the amount of damage, they cannot be used to anticipate the efficacy or cost-efficiency of precautionary measures in other contexts. In particular, they do not take into account the influence of the materials used for the components of the buildings on the vulnerability to floods, which could partly explain the variance in the amount of damage <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="paren.27"/>. As for the reports based on expert judgement, since they contain little methodological information, it is difficult to evaluate their reliability in specific contexts.</p>
      <p id="d1e209">In brief, the existing literature focuses on assessing the efficacy or cost-efficiency of precautionary measures rather than on explaining their variability. The aim of our study was to address this gap. We combined data based on expert judgement and computer modelling to analyse three types of measures (elevation, dry proofing, and component adaptations) for a wide range of flood intensities and dwellings characteristics, including the materials used for their components. More specifically, we assessed ranges of cost and efficacy of the measures and examined the influence of building and flood characteristics on these variables. For each type of measure, we also found a range of exposure level for which it is unlikely that the measure could be cost-efficient independently of the building characteristics.</p>
      <p id="d1e212">In the following section, we present the measures that we focus on. We describe the method used to assess their efficacy, cost, and cost-efficiency in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3"/>. Then, we present the results in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4"/>. We discuss them in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S5"/> and conclude in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S6"/>.</p>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page2527?><sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Precautionary measures studied</title>
      <p id="d1e231">We reviewed the measures recommended to reduce the vulnerability of dwellings to floods in a joint report of the French ministries in charge of environment and housing <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx24" id="paren.28"/>, a report of the European Center for Flood Risk Prevention <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx5" id="paren.29"/>, and a report of the Doubs and Saône catchment management agency <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx10" id="paren.30"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e243">The measures described in these reports can be classified into three categories: some aim at avoiding damage by elevating the house, storing valuables upstairs, or elevating heating and electrical utilities, for example; some at preventing the water from entering into the dwelling; and some at limiting the costs of repair and replacement of building components.</p>
      <p id="d1e246">We analysed the measure that consists of elevating the house and the measures that aim at preventing the water from entering into the dwelling or at limiting the costs of repair and replacement of the building components. We refer to the first measure as the elevation strategy, to the second group of measures as the dry-proofing strategy, and to the third group of measures as the component adaptation strategy.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Elevation</title>
      <p id="d1e256">To avoid damage up to a given flood depth, dwellings can sometimes be elevated. According to a report of the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11" id="text.31"/>, if a dwelling is built on a basement, a crawl space, or on open foundations, the first step for elevating it consists generally of separating it from its foundations and raising it on hydraulic jacks while it is held by a temporary support. Then, the existing foundations can be extended or new ones can be built. If the dwelling has slab-on-grade foundations, they are lifted together and new foundations are constructed below the slab<fn id="Ch1.Footn1"><p id="d1e262">It is also possible to leave the slab on the ground and to construct a new floor after lifting the house.</p></fn>. In both cases, an external staircase must be built to access the dwelling and utility lines must be extended.</p>
      <p id="d1e266">We analysed the efficacy, cost, and cost-efficiency of elevating dwellings by 50, 100, and 250 cm. We assumed that only single-storey houses can be elevated because other types of dwellings are too large.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>Dry proofing</title>
      <p id="d1e278">Measures can be taken to prevent the water from entering into a dwelling if the flood depth stays below 1 m and the flood lasts less than 48 h. For higher flood depths or longer flood durations, the pressure on the vertical elements of the building structure can cause severe damage.</p>
      <p id="d1e281">For a dwelling without a basement, the following measures must be taken together and dimensioned consistently to prevent the water from entering up to a chosen threshold: installing flood barriers, repairing faulty seals in the external walls, waterproofing the external walls, treating cracks in the external walls, installing removable covers on small openings that are below the chosen threshold, installing anti-backflow valves, ensuring that the electrical cable sleeves are watertight, and buying a pumping device<fn id="Ch1.Footn2"><p id="d1e284">For dwellings with a basement, additional measures must be taken. We only analysed the measures which aim to prevent the water from entering into a dwelling without a basement.</p></fn>. Following <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27" id="text.32"/>, we call “dry proofing” the combination of these measures. We assessed the efficacy, cost, and cost-efficiency of dry proofing a dwelling without a basement in the cases where it prevents the water from entering up to flood depths of 50 cm and 1 m.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>Component adaptations</title>
      <p id="d1e299">We define “component adaptation” as a measure which consists of using building materials that are resistant to water or cheap to repair or replace. We studied component adaptations which pertain to the ceilings, the walls, the floors, and the openings. We detail in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/> the component adaptations that pertain to each of these building components.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e307">Materials that limit the costs of repair or replacement after a flood.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="2">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Component</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Material</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ceilings</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Plasterboards and metal frame</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Insulation of ceilings</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Cellular plastic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Internal walls</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Plasterboards and metal frame</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Insulation of walls</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Cellular plastic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Floors</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Concrete</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Coatings of floors</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Sealed tiling</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Internal door frames</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Metal</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">External door frames</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">PVC or metal</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Window frames</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">PVC</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Shutters</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">PVC</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Method</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Overview</title>
      <p id="d1e441">We used a computer tool called <italic>floodam</italic> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15" id="paren.33"/> and developed in R language <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="paren.34"/> to assess the efficacy of the strategies aimed at reducing the vulnerability of existing dwellings. <italic>floodam</italic> requires, as input, a numerical model of a building and produces a function which associates a level of damage with several combinations of flood depth and duration. We call this type of output a damage function. <italic>floodam</italic> has been developed to produce national damage functions that are recommended by the French state in its cost–benefit analysis methodology <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="paren.35"/>.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2528?><p id="d1e463">The efficacy and the cost of the strategies were assessed for several numerical models of dwellings. The cost of each strategy depends on the geometry of the dwellings and, in some cases, on whether the strategy is taken for an intact or damaged building and for the building materials. The efficacy is assessed by comparing the damage functions of the dwellings obtained with and without a strategy. It depends on the flood depth and duration, on the geometry of the dwellings, and on the building materials.</p>
      <p id="d1e466">In this section, we describe the numerical models used as inputs, we provide an overview of how <italic>floodam</italic> works, we present the advantages of <italic>floodam</italic> to assess the strategies compared to other flood damage models, and we describe how we modelled the strategies. We then explain how we assessed the cost, the efficacy, and the cost-efficiency of each strategy.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Numerical models of dwellings</title>
      <p id="d1e483">The numerical model of a dwelling is made up of an XML file and a CSV file. The former indicates the ground floor height above ground level, the layout and size of the rooms, and the construction materials used for the building. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/> provides a graphical interpretation of the XML file of a numerical model. The CSV file indicates the pieces of furniture that are present in each room and their height above the floor. For instance, Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T2"/> shows the information that pertains to a bedroom contained in the CSV file of a numerical model.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e492">Top view of the single-storey house. The external walls are in black, the internal walls in grey, the doors in brown, and the windows in blue.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/19/2525/2019/nhess-19-2525-2019-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Table 2</label><caption><p id="d1e504">Pieces of furniture contained in Bedroom 1 of the single-storey house (see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Item</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Height above</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Quantity</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">the floor (cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Single bed in solid wood</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Stock of linen (value: EUR 2675)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Various furniture in chipboard</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Small items (value: EUR 1500)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Small items (value: EUR 1500)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">120</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Stock of toys (value: EUR 900)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">120</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e622">Originally, we had three numerical models which represent real dwellings: we visited an apartment to establish its plan and make an inventory of its furniture, the European Center for Flood Risk Prevention did the same with a single-storey house <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx6" id="paren.36"/> and gave us access to their data, and we used the architectural plan of a double-storey house. Since we had no real data regarding the furniture of the double-storey house, we first allocated the pieces of furniture of the single-storey house to the corresponding rooms of the double-storey house. Then, we added pieces of furniture to one room which had no correspondence in the single-storey house (a home office) and to two dressing rooms. More specifically, we assumed that the home office contained a desk, a chair, and a cupboard in chipboard and that the dressing rooms each contained a variety of small items.</p>
      <p id="d1e628">In order to be able to generalise our results, we developed several versions of these three numerical models of dwellings by modifying the combination of the building components listed in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T3"/>. These components were chosen because they are widely used in French buildings, according to a report of the agency of building quality <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx2" id="paren.37"/>. Each version contains only one variant of each component listed in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T3"/>. Since there are 1728 possible combinations of all components, we developed the same number of versions for each of the three original numerical models of dwellings. In total, we thus have 5184 numerical models of dwellings.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Table 3</label><caption><p id="d1e641">Components of the building used to develop the versions of the numerical models of dwellings.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Component</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Number of</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Variant</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">variants</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">External walls</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Brick, reinforced concrete, concrete blocks</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">External walls – render</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Cement</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Internal walls</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Plasterboards or metal frame, masonry</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Insulation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Mineral wool, plastic</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Coatings of walls</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Paint, paper</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ceilings</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Wood planks and frame, plasterboards or metal frame, concrete</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Coatings of ceilings</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">paint</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Floors</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Concrete, joist board</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Coatings of floors</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Tiles, parquet, textile</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Opening frames</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">PVC, wood</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Shutters</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">PVC, wood</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <label>3.3</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Overview of \textit{floodam}}?><title>Overview of <italic>floodam</italic></title>
      <p id="d1e827">We define the damage suffered by a good as the expected cost of the actions that must be performed after a flood in order to bring it back to its pre-flood state. Using this definition, <italic>floodam</italic> relies on two main assumptions: (1) the damage suffered by a building is the sum of the levels of damage suffered by its components, and (2) the levels of damage of the components are independent.</p>
      <p id="d1e833"><italic>floodam</italic> relies on a database of 431 elementary damage functions. An elementary damage function associates a level of damage suffered by an elementary component with several combinations of flood depth and duration. A partition wall in plaster and a washing machine are examples of elementary components. The elementary damage functions come from interviews with insurance and construction experts. We used elementary damage functions with data points at immersion depth values from 0 to 500 cm (included) in 10 cm increments and immersion duration values from 0 to 144 h (included)<fn id="Ch1.Footn3"><p id="d1e838">Some floods can last more than 144 h. The experts interviewed did not provide data regarding the vulnerability of the elementary components to such floods. Thus, we did not study the efficacy of precautionary measures for floods longer than 144 h.</p></fn> in 12 h increments.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2529?><p id="d1e842">For a given numerical model, <italic>floodam</italic> computes the height above the ground of all elementary components and the size or quantity of the elementary components of the building. Then, for each combination of depth and duration of immersion, it (1) computes the depth of immersion of each elementary component, (2) retrieves the corresponding levels of damage by measurement unit for the duration of immersion considered, (3) multiplies each level of damage by the size or quantity of the corresponding elementary component, and (4) sums the obtained values to obtain the level of damage at the scale of the dwelling. The damage function of the numerical model considered is made up of the levels of damage computed for each combination of immersion depth and duration.</p>
      <p id="d1e849"><italic>floodam</italic> is used to estimate the damage due to floods that do not cause failure of walls and that do not involve salt water.</p>
      <p id="d1e854">A more detailed description of <italic>floodam</italic> can be found in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15" id="text.38"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS4">
  <label>3.4</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Suitability of \textit{floodam} for assessing the precautionary measures}?><title>Suitability of <italic>floodam</italic> for assessing the precautionary measures</title>
      <p id="d1e875">Numerous empirical and synthetic flood loss models exist. <italic>floodam</italic> belongs to the latter category. Empirical models are based on observed flood loss data, whereas synthetic models rely on a description of flood damage mechanisms <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="paren.39"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e884">Some empirical flood damage models include precautionary measures as explanatory variables (see for example <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22" id="altparen.40"/>) and can be used to estimate their mean efficacy <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="paren.41"/>. These models account for the mean effect on flood damage of all the measures observed in the case studies used to produce them. Thus, they cannot be used to estimate the efficacy of specific precautionary measures. Moreover, the influence of the flood parameters and building characteristics on the efficacy of precautionary measures cannot be deduced from these models.</p>
      <p id="d1e893">The damage mechanisms are more explicit in synthetic models (see for example <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8 bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx25 bib1.bibx37" id="altparen.42"/>). They can be altered to depict the effect of specific precautionary measures.</p>
      <p id="d1e900">To our knowledge, <italic>floodam</italic> is the synthetic model based on the most detailed database of elementary damage functions. This characteristic enabled us to examine the influence of a wide variety of building materials on the efficacy of specific precautionary measures.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS5">
  <label>3.5</label><title>Modelling of the strategies</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS5.SSS1">
  <label>3.5.1</label><title>Elevation</title>
      <p id="d1e922">Modelling the elevation of a dwelling consists of choosing a threshold of flood depth below which damage should be avoided. The cost and efficacy of the strategy are deduced from this threshold.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS5.SSS2">
  <label>3.5.2</label><title>Dry proofing</title>
      <p id="d1e933">To model the dry proofing of a dwelling, a threshold below which the water should be prevented from entering must first be chosen. The number of openings that are below the threshold is the number of flood barriers that must be installed. Then, the perimeter of the dwelling, from which the quantity of removable covers that must be installed is deduced, is computed. The perimeter is multiplied by the threshold to obtain the area on which faulty seals and cracks in the external walls must be repaired and on which the external walls must be waterproofed.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
</sec>
<?pagebreak page2530?><sec id="Ch1.S3.SS5.SSS3">
  <label>3.5.3</label><title>Component adaptations</title>
      <p id="d1e945">Adapting a given component of the numerical model of a dwelling boils down to replacing its original variant by the recommended one (see Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T1"/>) if the latter is different from the former.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Table 4</label><caption><p id="d1e953">Costs of elevating a masonry dwelling as reported by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11" id="text.43"/>.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Type of foundation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Height</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Cost</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(feet)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(USD per square foot)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Basement, crawl space, open</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">60</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Basement, crawl space, open</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">63</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Slab on grade</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">88</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Slab on grade</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">91</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e959">The costs per square foot are in USD 2009.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6">
  <label>3.6</label><title>Analysis</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSS1">
  <label>3.6.1</label><title>Assessment of the cost</title>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSSx1" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Elevation</title>
      <p id="d1e1072">To assess the cost of elevating a dwelling, we relied on the estimates provided by the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11" id="text.44"/> and reported in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T4"/>. We first converted each of these estimates into 2017 euros per square foot. To do so, we multiplied them by the ratio between the construction prices in France and the United States (0.97; see <uri>https://www.fgould.com/americas/articles/construction-intelligence-prospects-global/</uri>, last access: May 2019), the exchange rate between the US dollar and the euro in 2009 (0.72), and an index that gives the construction price development in France between 2009 and December 2017 (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1670</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1507</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1502</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1498</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1503</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>; see <uri>https://www.insee.fr/fr/statistiques/serie/000008630</uri>, last access: May 2019).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T5"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Table 5</label><caption><p id="d1e1126">Costs of elevating a masonry dwelling used in our study.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Type of foundation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Height</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Cost</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(EUR per square metre)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Basement, crawl space, open</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">497</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Basement, crawl space, open</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">517</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Basement, crawl space, open</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">250</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">579</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Slab on grade</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">731</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Slab on grade</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">751</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Slab on grade</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">250</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">813</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e1129">The costs per square metre are in EUR 2017.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e1245">Once the costs were in euros per square foot, we converted them into euros per square metre by dividing them by 0.3048<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> ft<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (1 ft <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.3048 m). After that, we computed the cost for elevations of 50, 100, and 250 cm by assuming that the cost increases linearly between 50 and 250 cm. Finally, we used the costs indicated in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T5"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSSx2" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Dry proofing</title>
      <p id="d1e1293">The cost of each measure that must be implemented to dry proof a dwelling was assessed by a construction expert for the single-storey house. Knowing the characteristics of this dwelling, we estimated the cost of each measure by measurement unit. For each numerical model of a dwelling, they were multiplied by the quantities on which the measures must be applied. Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T6"/> indicates the cost of each measure and its measurement unit.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T6"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Table 6</label><caption><p id="d1e1301">Costs of the dry-proofing measures.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Measure</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Cost by</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Quantity</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">measurement</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">unit</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Flood barriers</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 775 per unit</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of 0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Removable covers</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 15.5 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Repair of faulty seals</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 35 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Treatment of cracks</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 3 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Waterproofing of the walls</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 30 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Watertight electrical sleeves</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 550</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">NA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Pumping device</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 820</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">NA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Anti-backflow valves</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EUR 650</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">NA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e1304"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of 0: number of opening. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: perimeter. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: threshold. NA: we assume that the cost of the measure is fixed.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSSx3" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Component adaptations</title>
      <p id="d1e1564">A given component can be destroyed or intact when the adaptation takes place. At the level of a dwelling, we consider two situations: either all the components are destroyed or they are all intact when the adaptation takes place. In the first case, which we call the repair context, the adaptation cost is the difference between the costs of installing the recommended and the original variants of the components. In the second case, which we call the prevention context, the adaptation cost is the sum of the costs of installing the recommended variant of the components (if they are different from the original ones) and of reinstalling the original coatings (of the walls, floors, and ceilings).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSS2">
  <label>3.6.2</label><title>Assessment of the efficacy</title>
      <p id="d1e1576">We define the efficacy of a strategy for a given numerical model of a dwelling as the difference between the damage functions computed without and with the strategy.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSSx4" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Elevation</title>
      <?pagebreak page2531?><p id="d1e1585">When a dwelling is elevated by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> centimetres, its damage function (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), which depends on the flood depth (de) and duration (du), becomes <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mi>g</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>(de, du) such as
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{-6mm}}?>

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M21" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">de</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">du</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="{" close=""><mml:mtable class="cases" rowspacing="0.2ex" columnspacing="1em" columnalign="left left" framespacing="0em"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">de</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">du</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">if</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">de</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">otherwise</mml:mi></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            Therefore, the efficacy of elevating a given numerical model depends on the immersion depth and duration. For example, elevating the original version of the single-storey house by 1 m can reduce the damage by up to EUR 30 000 approximately, as shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1688">Efficacy of the elevation, dry proofing, and component adaptation strategies implemented on the original version of the single-storey house. The two top panels show damage in euros, while the lower panel shows avoided damage in euros.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/19/2525/2019/nhess-19-2525-2019-f02.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSSx5" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Dry proofing</title>
      <p id="d1e1703">The damage function of the numerical model of a dwelling where the dry-proofing strategy is installed is equal to zero for combinations of immersion depths below or equal to the threshold and immersion durations below or equal to 48 h. For all other combinations of immersion depth and duration, dry proofing has no effect on the damage function. For example, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/> shows the damage functions of the original version of the single-storey house without and with the dry-proofing strategy with a threshold of 1 m and the resulting efficacy. For this dwelling, the maximum avoided damage due to dry proofing is approximately EUR 25 000.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSSx6" specific-use="unnumbered">
  <title>Component adaptations</title>
      <p id="d1e1714">The efficacy of a component adaptation to reduce the vulnerability of a dwelling is the difference between the damage functions computed with the original and recommended variants of the component. Hence, the efficacy depends on the immersion depth and duration. For instance, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/> shows that the maximum avoided damage due to the component adaptation strategy in the original single-storey house is lower than EUR 5000.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS6.SSS3">
  <label>3.6.3</label><title>Assessment of the maximum cost-efficiency</title>
      <p id="d1e1727">The maximum cost-efficiency of a strategy for a given type of dwelling (single-storey house, double-storey house, or apartment) is defined as a supremum of the cost-efficiency computed for the version for which the strategy is the most cost-efficient. It is thus a supremum of the cost-efficiency for the type of dwelling considered. In other words, for a given strategy and a given type of dwelling, the cost-efficiency of the strategy is always lower than the maximum cost-efficiency regardless of the building materials or the relationship between the flood intensity and frequency.</p>
      <p id="d1e1730">In this section, we mathematically define the cost-efficiency and maximum cost-efficiency of a strategy.</p>
      <p id="d1e1733">The cost-efficiency (CE) of a strategy is defined for a contextualised dwelling, which is a dwelling that has a given location and thus a given exposure to floods depending on their frequency. The cost-efficiency is the discounted sum of the difference between the annual expected efficacy (AEE) and the cost of the strategy over a defined time horizon (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>):
<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{-6mm}}?>
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>2</label><mml:math id="M23" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CE</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>H</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munder><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">AEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">AEC</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IC</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the discount rate, AEC the annual expected maintenance cost of the strategy, and IC its installation cost. We assume that AEE and AEC are constant over the time horizon considered. A strategy is cost-efficient for a given contextualised dwelling if CE <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0, that is to say, if
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><label>3</label><mml:math id="M26" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IC</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">AEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">AEC</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munder><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d1e1872">Moreover, the annual expected efficiency of a strategy for a given dwelling is equal to
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>4</label><mml:math id="M27" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">AEE</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:munderover><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">de</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">du</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">df</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> being the flood frequency, “de” the immersion depth, “du” the immersion duration, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mi>E</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the efficacy.</p>
      <p id="d1e1940">What we call maximum cost-efficiency is in fact an upper boundary of the cost-efficiency. We first computed it for each version of a given type of dwelling.</p>
      <p id="d1e1943">To compute the maximum cost-efficiency of a strategy <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> for a given dwelling <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, we use a lower boundary of the cost by taking only the installation cost into account. We also define the following upper boundary of annual expected efficiency

                  <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M32" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E5"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>5</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">AEE</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mfenced open="(" close=")"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E6"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>6</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true" class="stylechange"/><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

              with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> being the frequency of the flood that affects <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the most often, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the return period of the flood that affects <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the most often, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the highest value of efficacy of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> over all possible combinations of immersion depth and duration.</p>
      <p id="d1e2119">Thus, we define the maximum cost-efficiency of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mi>d</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> as follows:
              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E7" content-type="numbered"><label>7</label><mml:math id="M42" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">CE</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>E</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>T</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">min</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>≤</mml:mo><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:munder><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>r</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IC</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
            The maximum cost-efficiency of a strategy <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> for a given type of dwelling is then the cost-efficiency computed for the version of the dwelling for which the ratio <inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">IC</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">AEE</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">max</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:math></inline-formula> is the lowest.</p>
      <p id="d1e2272">We used a discount rate of 2.5 %, which is the value recommended to assess public investments in France <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="paren.45"/>.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2532?><p id="d1e2278">For each type of dwelling, we computed the maximum cost-efficiency for values of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> from 1 to 50 (for dry proofing and component adaptations) or 100 years (for elevation) in 1-year increments and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mi>T</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> from 1 to 120 years in 1-year increments. <inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> can be considered to be the lifespan of the strategy.</p>
      <p id="d1e2302">For each strategy and type of dwelling, we searched for the combinations of the time horizon and return period for which the maximum cost-efficiency is negative. In these contexts, our results suggest that the strategy is unlikely to be cost-efficient. Indeed, unlike the cost-efficiency, the maximum cost-efficiency for a given type of dwelling does not depend on the building materials and on the relationship between the flood intensity (immersion depth and duration) and frequency. It only depends on the time horizon and return period. Thus, for the combinations of the time horizon and return period associated with a negative maximum cost-efficiency, the strategy is always cost-inefficient regardless of the building materials and of the relationship between the flood intensity and frequency.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Results</title>
      <p id="d1e2315">We present the ranges of cost and efficacy and the maximum cost-efficiency of the elevation, dry proofing, and component adaptation strategies.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Range of cost</title>
      <p id="d1e2326">As shown in Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T7"/>, the cost of a given strategy does not depend on the immersion depth and duration. It always varies with the type of dwelling and the characteristic of the strategy (the height of elevation, the threshold, or the adaptation context). In the specific case of the component adaptation strategy, it also depends on the original variant used for the building components.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Table 7</label><caption><p id="d1e2334">Distribution of the cost in thousands of euros across all numerical models of dwellings.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="6">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Strategy</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Case</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Mean</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Maximum</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Standard</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">deviation</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Elevation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">66.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">66.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">66.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(on basement, crawl space,</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">69.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">69.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">69.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">open foundations)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">250 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">77.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">77.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">77.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Elevation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">97.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">97.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">97.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(slab on grade)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">100.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">100.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">100.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">250 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">108.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">108.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">108.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Dry proofing</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Single-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">8.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">8.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">8.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(threshold: 50 cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Double-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">6.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">6.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Apartment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">7.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">7.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Dry proofing</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Single-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">10.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">10.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(threshold: 100 cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Double-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">7.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">7.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Apartment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">9.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">9.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">9.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Component adaptations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Single-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">33.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">9.9</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(repair context)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Double-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">45.5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18.2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">8.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">13.1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Apartment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">28.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">11.4</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">5.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">7.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Component adaptations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Single-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">40.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">74.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">17.2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(prevention context)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Double-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">53.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">102.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">24.9</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Apartment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">30.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">57.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">13.4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e2842">The cost of elevating a single-storey house lies between EUR 66 000 and EUR 109 000. Thus, it is always higher that the highest value of efficacy for this strategy. It increases with the elevation and is always the highest for dwellings that have slab-on-grade foundations.</p>
      <p id="d1e2846">The cost of dry proofing a dwelling ranges from EUR 6000 to EUR 10 000. For a given threshold, the cost of dry proofing is always maximum for the single-storey house and minimum for the double-storey house. This is due to the fact that the single-storey house has the greatest perimeter (54 m) and the double-storey house the smallest (40 m). The area on which some measures must be applied increases with the threshold. Thus, the cost of dry proofing is greater when the threshold is 100 cm than when it is 50 cm.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2533?><p id="d1e2849"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>Regarding the adaptation of all building components, if it takes place on a damaged building (repair context), it is often less expensive to adapt the dwelling than to install the original variants of the components again. More precisely, it is the case for 91 % of the 5184 numerical models of dwellings. On the contrary, if the dwelling is intact when the adaptation takes place (prevention context), the mean cost of adapting all components is approximately 4 times higher than the cost of dry proofing. In the prevention context, the minimum costs relate to versions of the dwellings for which the original variants of the components are highly similar to the recommended ones. Note that we did not compute numerical models of dwellings that were made up of all the recommended variants of the components. The cost and efficacy of adapting all building components of such dwellings would be null. The highest adaptation costs relate to versions of the dwellings for which almost all components must be adapted.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>Range of efficacy</title>
      <p id="d1e2861">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/> shows the range of efficacy obtained for each strategy. The efficacy of a strategy depends on the type and components of the dwelling, on the immersion depth and duration, and sometimes on some characteristics of the strategy.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e2868">Efficacy of the three strategies for a duration of immersion of 24 or 72 h.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/19/2525/2019/nhess-19-2525-2019-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2877">More specifically, the efficacy of elevating a dwelling increases with the value of elevation and with the value of the components of the dwelling. For this strategy, the highest efficacy is obtained for numerical models of dwellings which contain a lot of wooden components (joist boards, parquet, and opening frames and shutters in wood). The highest efficacy is observed for an immersion depth equal to the elevation value.</p>
      <p id="d1e2881">As for dry proofing, its efficacy increases with the threshold, the value of the components of the dwelling, and the floor area. The highest maximum efficacies relate to the single-storey house and the lowest to the double-storey house because the former has the largest floor area (133.5 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the latter the smallest (98 m<inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). For a given numerical model of a dwelling, the efficacy of dry proofing increases up to an immersion depth equal to the threshold and an immersion duration of 48 h. In keeping with the assumptions used when modelling dry proofing, the efficacy is equal to zero for higher immersion depths and longer immersion durations.</p>
      <p id="d1e2902">Adapting all components can sometimes generate the same or a higher level of damage than keeping all the original components. This is the case for the 576 versions of each type of dwelling, which originally have masonry internal walls and tiles or textiles as coatings of floors. There is indeed a probability greater than zero that the adapted walls in plaster must be replaced for immersion depths greater than or equal to 30 cm, no matter the immersion duration. On the contrary, the probability that masonry walls must be replaced for immersion durations lower than 72 h is equal to zero. This type of wall needs only to be repaired in such cases. As a consequence, for some immersion depths, the elementary damage function of an internal wall in plaster is above the one of a masonry internal wall for immersion durations lower than 72 h. Negative levels of efficacy are observed only for<?pagebreak page2534?> dwellings which originally have tiles or textile as coatings of floors because the high efficacy of replacing parquet floors by sealed tiling floors compensates the negative efficacy of replacing masonry walls by walls in plaster. The efficacy of adapting all components is always positive for immersion durations higher than or equal to 72 h. The variance in the efficacy increases with the quantity of building components to adapt.</p>
      <p id="d1e2905">Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="Ch1.T8"/> shows the distribution of the efficacy of each strategy. The efficacy of elevating a dwelling lies between EUR 0 and EUR 65 000. Dry proofing a dwelling leads to a reduction of damage ranging between EUR 0 and EUR 36 000, and the efficacy of adapting all the components of the building is between EUR <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 000 and EUR 54 000. These results highlight the high variability of the efficacy of each strategy.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Table 8</label><caption><p id="d1e2923">Distribution of efficacy in thousands of euros across all numerical models of dwellings and all combinations of immersion depth and duration.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="6">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Strategy</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Case</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Minimum</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Mean</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Maximum</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Standard</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">deviation</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Elevation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">4.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">58.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">10.1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">100 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">9.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">60.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">13.8</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">250 cm</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">22.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">65.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">18.2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Dry proofing</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Single-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">32.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(threshold: 50 cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Double-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">22.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3.1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Apartment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">23.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.8</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Dry proofing</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Single-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">36.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">6.2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">(threshold: 100 cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Double-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">25.9</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Apartment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">27.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Component adaptations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Single-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8.9</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">9.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">38.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">8.9</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Double-storey house</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">13.3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">8.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">53.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">10.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Apartment</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">7.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">26.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">6.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup>

</oasis:table><?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{3mm}}?></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>Maximum cost-efficiency</title>
      <p id="d1e3283">Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/> indicates the maximum cost-efficiency of each strategy, depending on the type of dwelling and on some characteristics of the strategy (the elevation, the threshold, or the adaptation context) and for several combinations of the time horizon and return period.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e3290">Sign of the maximum cost-efficiency of each strategy.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/19/2525/2019/nhess-19-2525-2019-f04.png"/>

          <?xmltex \hack{\vspace*{3mm}}?>
        </fig>

      <p id="d1e3301">For the analysed values of the time horizon, it is never cost-efficient to elevate a single-storey house which is only exposed to floods with a return period higher than 30 years. If the dwelling has slab-on-grade foundations, the minimum return period for which it could be cost-efficient to elevate a dwelling is 20 years approximately.</p>
      <p id="d1e3305">Similarly, according to our results, adapting all building components is never cost-efficient for intact dwellings that are not exposed to floods that have a return period of less than 20 years. However, when component adaptations take place on a damaged dwelling, our results do not indicate ranges of the time horizon and return period for which this strategy is never cost-efficient.</p>
      <p id="d1e3308">Regarding dry proofing, the results are similar for the three types of dwellings and are not affected by the threshold. They suggest that dry proofing is never cost-efficient for dwellings that are not exposed to floods with a return period of 100 years or less.</p>
      <?pagebreak page2536?><p id="d1e3311">Except in the case of adapting all the building components of a damaged building, we observe that the maximum return period for which a strategy is cost-efficient increases with the time horizon. For instance, for a dwelling that must be entirely dry proofed again after 20 years and that is not exposed to floods with a return period of less than 60 years, this strategy will never be cost-efficient.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e3324">We assessed the cost and efficacy of some precautionary measures by taking into account some characteristics of the dwellings (their building components and size), parameters of the measures, grouped in strategies (their dimension or implementation context), and flood characteristics (immersion depth and duration). Then, we computed the maximum cost-efficiency of each strategy for several combinations of the time horizon and return period. We could thus identify exposure levels for which it is unlikely that the strategies could be cost-efficient.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS1">
  <label>5.1</label><title>Main results</title>
      <p id="d1e3334">The value of the building components by square metre has a positive effect on the efficacy of dry proofing and elevating a dwelling, while it does not affect the cost of these strategies. Hence, the more expensive the components of a dwelling, the more relevant it can be to elevate or dry proof it. By contrast, both the efficacy and the cost of dry proofing and elevation increase with the flood depth below which damage must be avoided and with the size of the dwelling. Consequently, these parameters do not affect the maximum cost-efficiency of dry proofing and elevation. According to our results, these strategies are unlikely to be cost-efficient for dwellings only exposed to floods with a return period higher than 100 and 30 years, respectively.</p>
      <p id="d1e3337">The efficacy of adapting the building components strongly depends on their original materials. It can even be negative for floods that last less than 72 h if the internal walls are originally in masonry. The cost of adapting the building components is influenced by the adaptation context and by the original materials. If the adaptation takes place on an already-damaged building, it is most of the time less expensive to adapt it than to reinstall the original variants of the components. However, it costs approximately EUR 40 000 on average to adapt an intact building. Since the cost and efficacy both increase with the quantity of components to adapt, the maximum cost-efficiency does not depend on the size of the dwelling. Adapting an intact dwelling that is not exposed to floods with a return period lower than 20 years is unlikely to be cost-efficient. In a repair context, we could not identify exposure levels for which it is never cost-efficient to adapt all building components.</p>
      <p id="d1e3340"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>Note that the cost-efficiency of all strategies increases with their lifespan and with the level of exposure in terms of frequency of floods.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2">
  <label>5.2</label><title>Comparison with previous studies</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS1">
  <label>5.2.1</label><title>Elevation</title>
      <p id="d1e3359">According to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.46"/>, the mean efficacy of elevating the ground floor is EUR 8000 approximately, and the cost of this strategy for existing buildings lies between EUR 25 000 and 69 000. The range of cost comes from an article written by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx1" id="text.47"/>. These authors also used the data from the report of the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11" id="text.48"/> to estimate the costs of elevating dwellings. Thus, our estimates of the cost of elevation are of the same order of magnitude as those reported by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.49"/>, even if they are higher on average (EUR 87 000). Moreover, the mean efficacy estimated by these authors lies in the range of efficacy that we found (between EUR 0 and 65 000). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.50"/> also found that elevating an existing building is only cost-efficient for dwellings exposed to floods with a return period lower than 10 years. These results are compatible with our study.</p>
      <p id="d1e3377">Similarly to our results, those of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="text.51"/> indicate that the cost-efficiency of elevating a dwelling is positively affected by the value by square metre of the latter, the frequency of floods, and the lifespan of the strategy.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS2">
  <label>5.2.2</label><title>Dry proofing</title>
      <p id="d1e3391"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.52"/> investigated the cost-efficiency of dry proofing a dwelling until 0.9 m. They found that it would cost EUR 8000 to implement this strategy on a typical Dutch single-family dwelling. These results lie within the range of cost we found for this strategy. In the two case studies examined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx37" id="text.53"/>, dry proofing was cost-efficient until a return period of 30 years. This is in line with our results.</p>
      <p id="d1e3399"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.54"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.55"/> studied the efficacy, cost, and cost-efficiency of installing flood barriers. The average efficacy of flood barriers estimated by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.56"/> is EUR 23 491, and the estimated cost of this measure is EUR 6100 for an average house. As explained in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3"/>, flood barriers must be complemented by other measures to dry proof a dwelling. Since <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.57"/> only asked whether flood barriers were installed, it is likely that the average efficacy they found is lower than the one that would have been observed for completely dry-proofed dwellings. Moreover, since the flood depth which affected the dwellings of the respondents is not known, we cannot precisely compare our results with this average efficacy. However, it lies in the range of efficacy that we found for the dry-proofing strategy. Moreover, we found an average cost for the installation of flood barriers only of EUR 3100, which is 2 times lower than the one used by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.58"/> but<?pagebreak page2537?> stays within the same order of magnitude. According to the results of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.59"/>, flood barriers are only cost-efficient for dwellings affected by floods with a return period lower than 40 years approximately. These results are compatible with those of our study, since we found that it is unlikely that dry proofing could be cost-efficient for dwellings only exposed to floods with a return period higher than 100 years.</p>
      <p id="d1e3422"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.60"/> found that flood barriers did not significantly reduce material damage in their whole sample. However, they highlight that this result may not be reliable because of multi-collinearity issues.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS2.SSS3">
  <label>5.2.3</label><title>Component adaptations</title>
      <p id="d1e3435">We did not find studies which analyse specifically the efficacy, cost, or cost-efficiency of adapting all the building components. However, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="text.61"/> studied the efficacy of the combination of using waterproof building materials and having mostly movable pieces of furniture on the ground floor. They found that this strategy reduced the total damage by EUR 39 000 on average. In line with this result, our estimates of the efficacy of adapting all building components are between EUR <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">14</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">000</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and 54 000.</p>
      <p id="d1e3454">According to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.62"/>, adapting the walls and equipment increases the damage by EUR 2000 on average. This result is compatible with our finding that adapting the walls can lead to negative levels of efficacy. These authors did not estimate the cost of this measure. They also found that adapting the floors could reduce the damage by EUR 400 to 10 000. They used a cost for this measure that lies between EUR 800 and 7250. They do not specify the adaptation context for which this cost was estimated, but given that it is always positive, we assume that it was assessed for an intact building. To adapt only the floors, we found costs in a prevention context that amounted to between EUR 10 000 and 23 000. These values are higher than those used by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.63"/>. As for the efficacy of adapting only the floors, we estimate that it lies between EUR 0 and 16 000, depending on the flood depth and duration. These values are in line with those found by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28" id="text.64"/>.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS3">
  <label>5.3</label><title>Recommendations based on our results</title>
      <p id="d1e3475">Our results seem reliable, since they are mostly in line with previous studies. They suggest that elevating or adapting the building components of intact dwellings that are not exposed to frequent floods (i.e. with a return period lower than 30 years) should not be fostered by policymakers who wish to limit material damage due to floods. However, after a flood, it could be efficient to take advantage of the reconstruction phase to adapt the building components, since it is often less expensive to install the recommended components than to rebuild dwellings as they were before the event. Given that the post-disaster recovery often occurs in a climate of urgency, it could be useful to design in advance policy tools to help people adapt their dwelling during this phase.</p>
      <p id="d1e3478">Moreover, policymakers should not promote the installation of dry-proofing measures in dwellings that are not exposed to floods with a return period lower than 100 years.</p>
      <p id="d1e3481">Besides the level of exposure, the building components should be taken into account to assess the vulnerability of the dwellings and thus the relevance of implementing precautionary measures that sometimes generate higher costs than benefits.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS4">
  <label>5.4</label><title>Limits</title>
      <p id="d1e3493">Decisions regarding the allocation of public funds to communicate about the strategies considered here or to subsidise their installation cannot be based solely on the present study because of several limits relating either to its perimeter or to the method on which it relies. Several limits due to the method are linked to the assumptions and data used in <italic>floodam</italic>.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS4.SSS1">
  <label>5.4.1</label><title>Limits linked to the study perimeter</title>
      <p id="d1e3506">We only took into account the damage in terms of monetary losses and did not consider the impact of the strategies on the damage related to human health. While the latter is unlikely to be influenced by component adaptations, it could be reduced by dry proofing and even more by elevating the dwelling.</p>
      <p id="d1e3509">Moreover, our results cannot be used to identify a range of exposures for which it is likely that the studied precautionary measures would efficiently reduce monetary losses. Contextualised studies are required to finely relate the efficiency of precautionary measures to the characteristics of a dwelling and its level of exposure to floods.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5.SS4.SSS2">
  <label>5.4.2</label><title>Limits linked to the method</title>
      <p id="d1e3520">Our results are mainly relevant for relatively slow riverine floods. Indeed, <italic>floodam</italic> assumes that the pieces of furniture are never moved by the water during a flood and that the salinity level of the water is negligible.</p>
      <p id="d1e3526">Moreover, our results apply to France because we used French data to estimate the costs of the measures, the database of elementary damage functions of <italic>floodam</italic> relies on French costs, and we used French dwellings to develop the numerical models. These elements should be adapted to conduct our study in another country.</p>
      <p id="d1e3532">We only studied the efficacy and cost-efficiency of the strategies for dwellings that are exposed to floods that do not last more than 144 h because the experts interviewed to develop the elementary damage functions of <italic>floodam</italic> did not have information about the consequences of longer floods. The efficacy of dry proofing for such floods is null because it is recommended to let the water enter the building after 48 h. As for the elevation strategy, its efficacy in the case of<?pagebreak page2538?> floods that last more than 144 h depends on the propensity of such floods to generate foundations' failure. If the foundations fail, the fact that the building is elevated does not reduce the damage. The efficacy of the component adaptation strategy for floods longer than 144 h depends on the vulnerability of the recommended components when they are in contact with water for more than 144 h.</p>
      <p id="d1e3538">Our results also depend on the geometry of the dwellings used to develop the numerical models. For instance, dry proofing was only analysed for dwellings that do not contain a basement.</p>
      <p id="d1e3542"><italic>floodam</italic> is the tool used by the French state to produce currently recommended national flood damage functions to be used in cost–benefit analyses. The comparison of these damage functions to formerly recommended empirical flood damage functions and to empirical data collected in the south of France <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx6" id="paren.65"/> led to this recommendation. The national damage functions were also used in a case study in the south of France, and the estimates obtained were compared with empirical flood damage data <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx30" id="paren.66"/>: the mean damage estimate amounted to 70 % (99 %) of the mean empirical damage to houses (apartments). Nevertheless, in the present article, we used <italic>floodam</italic> for a wide range of configurations for which validation against empirical data has not been done. To
perform such a validation, we would need to have access to detailed data about a given flood. These data should indicate precisely the location and characteristics (in terms of building materials, furniture, and geometry) of the dwellings of the flooded area, the flood depth and duration outside
and inside these dwellings, and the flood damage suffered by each dwelling. At the present moment, this data type is not available.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>6</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e3566">We analysed three types of precautionary measures in a non-contextualised setting. This novel approach enabled us to explore the influence of several building and flood characteristics on the cost and efficacy of the precautionary measures and to find ranges of exposure for which they are unlikely to be cost-efficient. In particular, we found that adapting all the building components or elevating an existing dwelling is unlikely to be cost-efficient if the probability of occurrence of floods is lower than <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> per year. As for dry proofing, this measure is unlikely to be cost-efficient for dwellings exposed only to floods with a return period higher than 100 years. Our results apply to the whole country of France. Decision-makers could rely on them to recommend precautionary measures only to inhabitants that live in dwellings for which they could be advantageous.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="codedataavailability"><title>Code and data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e3585"><italic>floodam</italic> is developed as an R library. <italic>floodam</italic> and data at building levels are available upon request through a Git repository maintained by Irstea and under certain
conditions.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e3596">CR modelled the elevation strategy, analysed the data, and wrote the article. HB modelled the other strategies. FG developed <italic>floodam</italic>, supervised the project, and proofread the article.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e3605">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e3611">This research has been supported by the Ministère de la Transition écologique et Solidaire (grant no. 2102049246).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e3617">This paper was edited by Kai Schröter and reviewed by two anonymous referees.</p>
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<abstract-html><p>To limit the losses due to floods, public authorities can try to foster the adoption of private measures aimed at reducing the vulnerability of dwellings. However, the efficacy and cost-efficiency of such measures to reduce material losses are not well-known. In particular, the influence of building and flood characteristics on these variables has not been thoroughly studied.  A better understanding of this topic would help identify the measures that are relevant to implement in specific contexts. To address this gap, we examined the effect of building and flood characteristics on the cost, efficacy, and cost-efficiency of three groups of measures taken for existing dwellings: one consists of elevating the dwelling, one of dry proofing it, and one of using construction materials that are resistant to water or cheap to repair or replace. We combined expert judgement and computer modelling to assess their cost, efficacy, and cost-efficiency for a wide range of flood depths and durations, building characteristics, and levels of exposure. We found that the value of the building components has a positive effect on the efficacy of dry proofing and elevating a dwelling. Both the efficacy and cost of these two groups of measures increase with the size of the dwelling. Moreover, according to our results, dry proofing and elevating a dwelling are unlikely to be cost-efficient for dwellings that are not exposed to floods with a return period lower than 100 and 30 years, respectively. Our findings also highlight that it is often less expensive to use the adapted than the original materials when rebuilding a damaged dwelling. Moreover, adapting the materials of an intact dwelling is unlikely to be cost-efficient for dwellings that are not exposed to floods with a return period lower than 20 years. Our results apply to France because the damage and the installation costs of the measures are specific to France and the geometry of the dwellings considered to perform our analyses is based on French dwellings.</p></abstract-html>
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