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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">NHESS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">NHESS</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1684-9981</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/nhess-16-1771-2016</article-id><title-group><article-title>Vulnerability curves vs. vulnerability indicators: application <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> of an indicator-based methodology for debris-flow hazards</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Vulnerability curves vs. vulnerability indicators}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{M.~Papathoma-K\"{o}hle}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Papathoma-Köhle</surname><given-names>Maria</given-names></name>
          <email>maria.papathoma-koehle@boku.ac.at</email>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><institution>Institute of Mountain Risk Egineering, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, 1190 Vienna, Austria</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Maria Papathoma-Köhle (maria.papathoma-koehle@boku.ac.at)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>3</day><month>August</month><year>2016</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>16</volume>
      <issue>8</issue>
      <fpage>1771</fpage><lpage>1790</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>7</day><month>March</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>15</day><month>March</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>2</day><month>June</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>1</day><month>July</month><year>2016</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
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</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri>
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      <abstract>
    <p>The assessment of the physical vulnerability of elements
at risk as part of the risk analysis is an essential aspect for the
development of strategies and structural measures for risk reduction.
Understanding, analysing and, if possible, quantifying physical
vulnerability is a prerequisite for designing strategies and adopting tools
for its reduction. The most common methods for assessing physical
vulnerability are vulnerability matrices, vulnerability curves and
vulnerability indicators; however, in most of the cases, these methods are
used in a conflicting way rather than in combination. The article focuses on
two of these methods: vulnerability curves and vulnerability indicators.
Vulnerability curves express physical vulnerability as a function of the
intensity of the process and the degree of loss, considering, in individual
cases only, some structural characteristics of the affected buildings.
However, a considerable amount of studies argue that vulnerability
assessment should focus on the identification of these variables that
influence the vulnerability of an element at risk (vulnerability
indicators). In this study, an indicator-based methodology (IBM) for
mountain hazards including debris flow (Kappes et al., 2012) is applied
to a case study for debris flows in South Tyrol, where in the past a
vulnerability curve has been developed. The relatively “new”
indicator-based method is being scrutinised and recommendations for its
improvement are outlined. The comparison of the two methodological
approaches and their results is challenging since both methodological
approaches  deal with vulnerability in a different way. However, it is
still possible to highlight their weaknesses and strengths, show clearly
that both methodologies are necessary for the assessment of physical
vulnerability and provide a preliminary “holistic methodological
framework” for physical vulnerability assessment showing how the two
approaches may be used in combination in the future.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>Climate and environmental change are expected to alter the patterns of risk
in mountain areas. On one hand, the frequency, magnitude and spatial extend
of natural hazards is expected to change; on the other hand, extensive
development and changes in land use and land cover will certainly alter the
spatial pattern of the vulnerability of the elements at risk
(Fuchs et al., 2013; Mazzorana et al., 2012). Especially in the
Alps, the influence of climate change on geomorphological hazards as well as
their monitoring and modelling is a major issue (Keiler et al.,
2010). It is clear that although predicting, monitoring and assessing the
hazardous process is essential, the analysis of the vulnerability of the
elements at risk may be the key to risk reduction. To address vulnerability
in a holistic way, all its dimensions (social, economic, physical,
environmental, institutional) should be addressed and analysed
(Fuchs et al., 2011; Karagiorgos et al., 2016). However, herein
the focus is solely on the physical vulnerability of buildings. Physical
vulnerability is often considered to be the degree of loss following a
disastrous event. Nevertheless, the characteristics of the elements at risk
that constitute them susceptible to harm are often overlooked and have to be
further investigated. The most common method for assessing vulnerability is
the development of vulnerability curves that often ignore the
characteristics of the buildings, especially when the type of hazard under
investigation affects a limited amount of buildings (e.g. debris flow),
focusing mainly on the intensity of the process and the corresponding loss.
At this point, the difference between fragility curves and vulnerability
curves has to be highlighted. Fragility curves express the probability that
a building will be damaged as a function of the intensity of the process,
whereas vulnerability curves relate the intensity with the corresponding
degree of loss. HAZUS, for example, defines five damage states for buildings
subject to earthquake hazard (none, slight, moderate, extensive and
complete) and develops fragility curves for different building types
(HAZUS, 2006). HAZUS fragility curves present the probability for these
five damage states to occur under different peak ground acceleration (PGA)
values (HAZUS, 2006). Nevertheless, vulnerability curves for different
types of buildings may also be found in the literature for earthquake, wind
and flood hazards. In the present study an indicator-based methodology (IBM) is applied in Martell
(South Tyrol, Italy) for debris flows. The same case study area has been used in
the past for the development of a vulnerability curve based on damage data
from a debris flow event in 1987 (Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2012).
By comparing the results of the two methods, the advantages and
disadvantages of the IBM can be highlighted and recommendations for its
further development and improvement can be outlined. Last but not least, a
preliminary framework proposing the combination of these methods may be proposed.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Physical vulnerability assessment: the PTVA method and the use of indicators</title>
      <p>Due to the multi-dimensional nature of vulnerability a long list of
definitions can be found in the literature varying from general ones to more
dimension-specific ones. As far as the physical vulnerability is concerned,
the definition of UNDRO (1984) (“vulnerability is the degree of loss to
a given element, or set of elements, within the area affected by a hazard.
It is expressed on a scale of 0 (no loss) to 1 (total loss)”) is in
conflict with other, more general, definitions presenting vulnerability as
susceptibility to harm or the result of a combination of characteristics of
the elements at risk. For example, according to (UNISDR, 2009)
vulnerability is defined as “the characteristics and circumstances of a
community, system or asset that makes it susceptible to the damaging effects
of a hazard”, often used by social scientists to describe the social
dimension of vulnerability. The first definition is based on the ex post
outcome of a specific event, whereas, the second is based on the ex ante
condition of the elements at risk without considering the intensity or the
characteristics of the hazardous process. From these two definitions various
approaches for vulnerability assessment derive that require different
datasets leading to diverse results. It is, therefore, clear that the lack
of common definition for vulnerability results to the absence of a universal
methodology for its assessment.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Methods for assessing physical vulnerability</title>
      <p>The variety of methodologies and concepts regarding vulnerability in general
has been highlighted and demonstrated in several publications (e.g. Fuchs et
al., 2012; Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2011). The most common
approaches for assessing vulnerability in general are vulnerability
matrices, vulnerability curves and indicator-based approaches (Kappes et
al., 2012). Vulnerability matrices provide only qualitative information on
vulnerability based on descriptions of damage patterns. Regarding physical
vulnerability, vulnerability curves are the most common method for assessing
physical vulnerability as far as mountain hazards are concerned
(Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2011). The vulnerability of buildings
to natural hazards is determined by a number of attributes such as building
material, size and condition (Fuchs et al., 2007; Tarbotton et
al., 2015) as well as the availability of local structural protection
(Holub et al., 2012). However, these attributes and their combination
vary from building to building. This makes data collection a time-consuming
process which requires a detailed building-to-building investigation.
Consequently, decision makers and practitioners prefer to use data from
past events to develop empirical vulnerability models such as vulnerability
curves (Tarbotton et al., 2015). Another reason that makes
vulnerability curves so popular among practitioners is that they connect
directly the intensity of a process with the corresponding degree of loss,
providing concrete quantitative results and translating potential events
into monetary damage (Mazzorana et al., 2009). Tarbotton et
al. (2015) suggest that the accuracy and reliability of the results of
empirical vulnerability curves depend on a series of factors including: the
survey method for the data collection, the accuracy of the data regarding
the building damage as well as the building characteristics and the
statistical method used for the analysis of the data. In more detail,
according to the same authors, the survey method may be remote (e.g. the
building damage and type may be identified by the use of ortho-photos) or on
site (field survey). The remote survey methods are faster and cheaper but
also
inaccurate, whereas the field survey is accurate but time-consuming and
expensive. Moreover, for the development of the vulnerability curves the
intensity has to be expressed in a measurable way (e.g. height of deposit or
impact pressure). The choice of the parameter of the intensity that will be
used for its expression influences the result (Tarbotton et al.,
2015). Additionally, Tarbotton et al. (2015) point out that the
uncertainty of the results is increasing with the use of interpolation in
order to identify the intensity of a process on individual buildings. Last
but not least, the number of buildings used for the development of a
vulnerability curve also influences the accuracy and validity of the
results. In case of earthquakes or floods the assessment of the intensity
per building is easier and the number of affected buildings is large.
Intensity per building is often the product of interpolation and the
structural characteristics of the buildings are ignored. In these cases,
however, it is relatively uncomplicated to develop reliable vulnerability
curves due to sufficient data availability. For other hazard types, such as
rock falls, this is not the case since a single event affects only a limited
amount of elements at risk and the assessment of the process intensity on
each of them is a challenging process. Moreover, vulnerability curves do not
consider the individual features of the buildings or characteristics related
to their location and surroundings (Fuchs, 2009). Although they
provide concrete information regarding the loss, they do not provide
information concerning the drivers of vulnerability or
potential ways of reducing it.</p>
      <p>As far as debris flow is concerned, the first approaches for physical
vulnerability assessment were qualitative (Fell and Hartford,
1997; Liu and Lei, 2003; Romang, 2004), including in some cases vulnerability
matrices (Leone et al., 1995, 1996; Sterlacchini et al.,
2007; Zanchetta et al., 2004) showing a descriptive relationship between the
damage and intensity of the flow. However, recently the number of
vulnerability curves for debris flows has considerably increased and several
studies may be found in the literature (Fuchs et al., 2007;
Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2012; Quan Luna et al., 2011; Totschnig and
Fuchs, 2013; Totschnig et al., 2011). Each vulnerability curve has been
developed for a specific area, is based on a particular catastrophic event
and expresses the intensity of the process in various ways. For example,
there are curves based on data for a small (e.g. 13 buildings in Fuchs
et al., 2007) or a larger number of buildings (1560 buildings in Lo et al.,
2012). In some cases, due to lack of empirical data, information on
the process had to be derived through modelling (Quan Luna et al., 2011; Rheinberger et al.,
2013) that expressed the flow not only as debris height but also as velocity,
viscosity or impact pressure. As far as the degree of loss is concerned,
relevant information could be provided in some cases by the authorities.
Nevertheless, where damage data were not available, damage costs were
assessed based on photographic documentation (e.g. Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2012). Last but not least, it is worth
mentioning that a number of studies focus on laboratory experiments in order
to determine the interaction between the flow and the structural components
of the buildings (Gems et al., 2016; Zhang et al., 2016).</p>
      <p>In contrast, shortage of empirical data often leads to the development
of vulnerability indices based on the selection, weighting and aggregation
of vulnerability indicators. IBMs have been used mainly for other
vulnerability dimensions, such as social or economic vulnerability. However,
recently a considerable number of studies are available that make use of
vulnerability indicators for the assessment of other vulnerability
dimensions (e.g. physical). Vulnerability indicators, according to Birkmann (2006),
are “variables which are operation representations of a
characteristic quality of the system able to provide information regarding
the susceptibility, coping capacity and resilience of a system to an impact
of an albeit ill-defined event linked to a hazard of a natural origin”. The
importance of developing and using indicators has been also stressed in
Hyogo Framework, by identifying, as a key activity, the development of
“systems of indicators of disaster risk and vulnerability at national and
sub-national scales that will enable decision makers to assess the impact of
disasters on social, economic and environmental conditions and disseminate
the results to decision makers, the public and populations at risk” (UN,
2007). However, using indicators to assess vulnerability (any dimension of
it) may be problematic due to a number of reasons (Barnett et al.,
2008). In more detail, Barnett et al. (2008) suggest that the use of
vulnerability indicators and indices for national scale is less meaningful,
whereas for larger scale it might lead to policy relevant results; however,
it still bears many uncertainties. The same authors also stress that
challenges are mainly related to the selection of indicators, their
standardisation, the availability of required data, their weighting and the
method of aggregation for the development of a vulnerability index,
concluding that empirical investigation (e.g. vulnerability curves) may lead
to better results. Nevertheless, vulnerability indicators are very often
used for the assessment of social vulnerability as, for example, in the
Social Vulnerability Index of Cutter et al. (2003). Regarding
physical vulnerability, although vulnerability curves are more popular than
vulnerability indicators, studies using indicators for assessing physical
vulnerability are on the rise. Some of these studies focus only on the
development of inventories of elements at risk and their characteristics
(Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2007) or they make an additional step
towards exposure assessment (Fuchs et al., 2015). Barroca et al. (2006)
developed a vulnerability analysis tool for floods based on a
system of indicators describing the elements at risks, their spatial
relation, the prevention, emergency and reconstruction systems. Barroca et
al. (2006) suggest that the vulnerability assessment tool is simple and
flexible and can be used by different users without requiring expert
knowledge for its use. Moreover, Müller et al. (2011) assessed
urban vulnerability towards flood using indicators for physical and social
vulnerability. Concerning physical vulnerability, four indicators were
selected (construction material, building position, proportion of green
spaces and local structural protection) and ranked based on expert
judgement. Most of the IBMs found in the literature are applied at local
scale. The study of Balica et al. (2009) is noteworthy because the
selected indicators used to develop indices for flood vulnerability are
available for three scales (river basin, sub-catchment and urban area).
Balica et al. (2009) suggest that the IBM is powerful because it
supports decision makers in prioritisation underpinning transparency. Apart
from floods, physical vulnerability has been investigated with means of
indicators also for other hazard types such as landslides. Silva and
Pereira (2014) assess physical vulnerability of buildings to landslides based
on the building resistance and the landslide magnitude. The building's
resistance is determined by a number of indicators including construction
technique and material, number of floors, floor and roof structure and
conservation status. Last but not least, Kappes et al. (2012) developed an
IBM for multi-hazard in mountain areas which is presented in detail and
applied in the present study. In general, in most of the studies, indicators
are weighted empirically and no validation of their selection and weighting
has been implemented using the damage pattern and loss from a real event.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>The PTVA method and its evolution</title>
      <p>One of the first attempts to use indicators for the assessment of physical
vulnerability was made by Papathoma and Dominey-Howes (2003) and
Papathoma et al. (2003). Specifically, they developed a
methodology for assessing the physical vulnerability of buildings to tsunami
at coastal areas in Greece using indicators. The main concept of the
Papathoma Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment Model (PTVA) was the
combination of an inundation scenario with “attributes relating to the
design, condition and surroundings of the building”
(Tarbotton et al., 2012). The methodology was based on the
fact that two buildings located exactly at the same place despite
experiencing the same process intensity do not always suffer the same loss.
The reason for this is the variety of building characteristics concerning
the building itself and its surroundings. A number of buildings
characteristics related to the damage pattern following a tsunami event were
selected (indicators) and a GIS database with the buildings and their
attributes was created. The indicators were weighted using expert judgement
and a vulnerability index was given to each building. The result was a
series of maps for a number of coastal segments in Greece showing the
spatial pattern of the relative physical vulnerability of the buildings. In
this way, authorities and emergency services could focus their limited
resources on specific buildings rather the whole potentially inundated area.
The method was later validated (Dominey-Howes and Papathoma, 2007)
using data from Maldives following the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. The
validation showed that the selected vulnerability indicators correlate well
with the severity of the damage; however, recommendations for improvement
led to an improved version of the method: PTVA-2. PTVA-2 was used in the USA
(Dominey-Howes et al., 2010) for the estimation of the probable
maximum loss from a Cascadia tsunami in Oregon (USA). The main difference to
PTVA-1 was the inclusion of the water depth above ground as an attribute in
the calculation of the overall vulnerability. In this way, the method became
more intensity dependant than before. PTVA-3 was developed by Dall'Osso et
al. (2009a) and was tested in Australia (Dall'Osso et al.,
2009b) and in Italy (Dall'Osso et al., 2010). PTVA-3 made a step
towards and more reliable weighting of the vulnerability indicators by using
analytical hierarchy process (AHP) rather than expert judgement to weight
the attributes.</p>
      <p>The first attempt to use vulnerability indicators for mountain hazards was
made by Papathoma-Köhle et al. (2007) with the development of an
elements at risk database containing indicators regarding the physical
vulnerability of buildings to landslides. However, due to the lack of data
regarding the hazardous process itself and the limited availability of data
regarding the building characteristics the study constitutes only a good
basis for further research. The next attempt was made by Kappes et al. (2012), who introduced a methodology for vulnerability assessment using
vulnerability indicators, e.g. characteristics of the building that are
responsible for its susceptibility to damage and loss due to mountain
hazards, based on the PTVA model. The methodology is presented in the
following chapter. It is clear that as far as mountain hazards are
concerned, there is definitely a need to improve and modify indicator-based
approaches in order to be used for vulnerability assessment and as basis for
risk reduction strategies.</p>
      <p>The two methodological concepts have been always used separately rather than
in combination from scientists and practitioners. A first effort to combine
them has been made by Papathoma-Köhle et al. (2015).
Papathoma-Köhle et al. (2015) developed a tool which uses the
vulnerability curve presented in the following chapters as a core to
implement three functions: updating and improvement of the curve with data
from new events, damage and loss assessment for future events and damage
documentation of new events. However, the tool has the possibility to
include information regarding building characteristics. This provides the
opportunity to investigate the correlation of damage patterns and the
building characteristics in the future.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>The indicator-based methodology: a PTVA for debris flow</title>
      <p>The concept of the IBM for mountain hazards (debris flows, landslides and
floods) is based on the assignment of weights to a number of building
characteristics resulting to a relative vulnerability index (RVI) per
building (Fig. 1). The RVI is calculated per building by using the
following Eq. (1):

              <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>RVI</mml:mtext><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>s</mml:mi><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

        where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> represents the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> different weights, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>I</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> indicators and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> scores
of the indicators as shown in Fig. 1. A selection of vulnerability
indicators of buildings for debris flow events and the weighting according
to different users are shown in Fig. 2. In more detail, the vulnerability
indicators are related to building characteristics (material, condition,
number of floors, building surroundings) and location (row towards torrent
and row towards the slope). The indicators are weighted and aggregated
according to Eq. (1) to a RVI which is
attributed to each building.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><caption><p>The concept of the IBM (Kappes et al., 2012).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f01.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><caption><p>The IBM adapted for debris flow. The vulnerability indicators are
demonstrated together with the weight index, which varies according to the
objective of the vulnerability assessment and the end users (Kappes et al., 2012).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f02.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p>However, the weighting is not static since the needs of the end users may
vary. Therefore, each user of the method should be able to set their own
priorities and change the weighting accordingly. For example, emergency
services need to know the physical vulnerability of the buildings in order
to locate concentrated number of casualties and potential victims following
an event. Therefore, one-floor buildings not offering vertical evacuation
opportunities are of greater importance. “Vertical evacuation” refers often
to any action aiming at moving people to a higher area (higher ground, upper
floors of multi-storey building or a vertical shelter) (Velotti et
al., 2013) and is growing in importance in the Netherlands as an emergency
management option for floods (Velotti et al., 2013), whereas in
Japan it is already used for tsunamis (Scheer et al., 2011). However, if the aim of the study is the development of vulnerability
reduction efforts during the preparedness phase, building material and
condition or the existence of building surroundings are of the highest
importance. In this way, several RVIs may be calculated for each building by
varying scores and weights: for example, an RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>EP</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> which can be used
for emergency planning or an RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>VR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> which can be used as a base for
vulnerability reduction strategies (e.g. reinforcement of buildings).</p>
      <p>Kappes et al. (2012) suggest that the main advantage of the method is the
flexibility in weighting, although flexibility in this case increases
subjectivity, which consequently increases the level of uncertainty.
Moreover, they consider the fact that the method is not hazard-intensity
specific to be an advantage, because the assessment may be carried out in
absence of information regarding the process characteristics. In this case,
although the focus is on physical vulnerability, vulnerability is considered
to be an “inherent property of a system arising from its internal
characteristics” as Adger et al. (2004) suggest. However, Adger et
al. (2004) pointed out that this definition is appropriate only for
“social vulnerability”. Nevertheless, the approach of Kappes et al. (2012)
is based on a “relative” vulnerability index which more or less highlights
the buildings that are more vulnerable than the others. Kappes et al. (2012),
based on the limitations of the method, outline the necessary
actions that have to be taken in the future in order to improve the method.
They recommend that damages of events have to be recorded in a more detailed
way in order to comprehend the role of each indicator and their importance
in determining the vulnerability of the building. Since the method requires
a large amount of detailed data, alternative data collection methods may be
introduced, e.g. questionnaires or remote sensing. Additional data, such
data regarding open spaces, the accumulation of movable objects or even
additional elements at risk, such as agricultural spaces and industry, will
make the method more integrated. Furthermore, the database could be enriched
with socioeconomic data at building level. Last but not least, Kappes et
al. (2012) suggest that an interesting development of the method would be
the validation of the indicators weighting based on damage records of past events.</p>
      <p>The weighting of the indicators has been done without carrying out a
sensitivity analysis. A sensitivity analysis would be an important next step
following the development of the IBM methodology of Kappes et al. (2012).
A sensitivity analysis would show the different outcomes of the method by
changing each time the assumptions – for example, the weighting of the indicators.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>The case study area</title>
      <p>The IBM has to be tested in an area that has not only a long record of
debris flow events but also detailed documented damages on buildings. Damage
documentation may additionally reveal information regarding the intensity of
the event itself as well as the damage pattern on the built environment. For
this reason, the methodology will be validated in Martell (South Tyrol,
Italy). Communities in South Tyrol (Italy) often suffered material damages
due to geomorphological hazards such as landslides, flash floods and debris flows.</p>
      <p>The municipality of Martell is located in the tributary valley of Vinschgau
in South Tyrol, Italy. The valley of Martell is 27km long with a ranging
altitude from 950 to 3700 m (Martell, 2013). The settlements are
located at the bottom of the valley which is mainly used for agriculture.
Most of the built-up areas, such as Meiern, Gand, Ennewasser, and Burgaun are
situated in the north part of the valley. Martell has a long record of water-related natural hazard events such as glacial lake outburst, floods, debris
flows and avalanches. The loose material (debris) that was left behind by
glaciers during the Holocene retreat has often been transported downstream
by debris flows in the past, causing considerable material damage to the
settlements of the valley. Additionally, a reservoir dam was constructed in 1956,
which served mainly as an electrical power source and protected the
village from unexpected excessive flooding.</p>
      <p>On 24 August 1987, following some days of continuous and heavy
precipitation, the river Plima transported a considerably higher amount of
water than usual. Debris flows were initiated in tributary streams along the
valley. In the evening, the inhabitants were successfully evacuated, as the
water level continued to rise. A couple of hours after the evacuation, a
large debris flow went through the valley, causing devastation. The specific
debris flow event cannot be considered as entirely natural, as it was
directly connected to the mismanagement of the reservoir dam which failed to
regulate the water flow into the valley (Pfitscher, 1996). The
actual outflow has been estimated to be 3 times the usual discharge
(300 to 350 m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> s<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). The debris flow reached the village of Gand, overflowed the
river bed and found its way through the settlements. Not only were buildings
destroyed, but significant damages were also recorded in agricultural areas,
infrastructure and the industrial zone in Vinschgau (Pfitscher,
1996). Fortunately, due to the early warning and evacuation no casualties
were recorded. Although the total damage summed up to ITL 45 to 50 billion
(approximately EUR 23.2 to 25.8 million), private households suffered
damages of slightly less than EUR 8 million.</p>
      <p>As far as the infrastructure, local light industry, forestry, agriculture,
tourism and emergency response are concerned, damages up to EUR 4 million
were recorded. Furthermore, EUR 5.6 million had to be spent for the recovery
of the regional road and the telecommunications network as well as for
torrent control measures. At the time, only the direct costs of the event
were assessed (Pfitscher, 1996). The event was documented mainly
through photographic material (Fig. 4) that enabled later
assessment of the intensity of the process as well as the damage pattern on
individual buildings.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <title>The development of a vulnerability curve for the study area</title>
      <p>Following an intensive workshop with stakeholders from South Tyrol a
methodology for developing a vulnerability curve for the area was created
based on the needs of the stakeholders, their experience and the available
data. The pilot study included the making of a vulnerability curve based on
empirical damage data of buildings in Martell, South Tyrol, Italy, that were
damaged during the 1987 debris flow event (Fig. 5). Following the event,
the buildings, as well as parts of the affected villages, were photographed.
These photographs give a very good overview of the damage pattern; however,
information regarding the costs of the damages per building, or detailed
descriptions of the damage, were not available. In more detail, photographic
documentation of 51 buildings out of the 69 buildings that were damaged or
completely destroyed during the event was used (Pfitscher, 1996),
because only for this number of buildings was adequate photographic
documentation  available. Based on these photos, the height of the debris
deposits per building could be estimated and the monetary damage was
calculated. For example, in case the damage is limited to the exterior of
the building, the works will include only restoration of the external walls.
In case the debris has entered the building through openings or wall breaks,
there will be additional renovation works such as removal of debris and
restoration of interior walls and floor (Papathoma-Köhle et al.,
2012). The extent of the damage per building was translated in monetary loss
based on standard prices for renovation works (Kaswalder, 2009). By
comparing the value of a building in terms of reconstruction costs to the
monetary damage caused by the event the degree of loss per building could be
also assessed. Every building used in the analysis was represented as a
point in the <italic>xy</italic> axis system shown in Fig. 5. A Weibull function was fitted
to the data points as this curve was the one that fulfilled the defined
criteria (the curve has to go through 0 and not over degree of loss 1)
and had the best <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (coefficient of determination).</p>
      <p>The vulnerability curve clearly shows that the higher the intensity of the
process the greater the damage that an element at risk suffers. The curve
indicates that when the intensity exceeds 1.5 m, the degree of loss increases
considerably. This may be explained by the fact that debris flow of this
height may easily enter the building from windows and doors and cause
additional damage in the interior. However, at this point it is important
to emphasise that only the structural damage was considered in the
calculation of the monetary loss and not the content of the buildings. In
more detail, the costs of the structural damage included cleaning up of the
interior, repairing the exterior and interior walls, removing and replacing
doors and windows, and testing and reinstalling electric, heating and sewage
systems where necessary.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p>The case study area: municipality of Martell (villages of Gand and
Ennewasser). The buildings used in the case study are highlighted in red colour.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f03.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p>Finally, Papathoma-Köhle et al. (2012) computed  a validation
curve (blue curve in Fig. 3) using real compensation data for only part of
the buildings provided by the Department of Domestic Construction of the
Autonomous Province of Bozen/Bolzano for the calculation of the degree of
loss. The visual comparison of the two curves demonstrated the validity of
the vulnerability curve.</p>
      <p>The results (intensity and degree of loss) are displayed herein for the
first time in two separate maps (Fig. 6) in order to demonstrate the
spatial pattern of the two factors. By the maps it is clear that buildings
located very close to the steep slope experienced higher intensity. For
buildings situated next to the road also high intensity values were
recorded, probably because roads acted as preferred corridors that enabled
the debris flow to enter the settlement area. Moreover, in Fig. 6 is also
obvious that in Ennewasser (north of the map) the intensities were
significantly lower due to the protection offered by the forest on the east
side of the settlement. In Fig. 6 (right map) the spatial distribution of
the degree of loss follows in most cases the pattern of the intensity
distribution. Table 1 clearly shows that the majority of the buildings
experienced rather low intensity of debris flow (less than 1m debris
height). Only nine buildings (17.5 %) experienced high intensity of debris
flow (more than 2 m debris height).</p>
      <p>Observations based on the vulnerability curve may also lead to the selection
of indicators: e.g. height of windows, proximity to the road, importance of
surrounding vegetation. In more detail, since the curve becomes clearly
steeper after the intensity of 1.5 m it reveals the importance not only of
the existence of the openings but also of their height and possibly also
size, material and location in relation to the flow direction. The
vulnerability curve also shows that there are buildings (points) that,
although they have experienced low intensities,  have suffered a
considerable degree of loss. This may be explained by the existence of
basements or of basement windows that allowed material to enter the
basement and cause additional damage to the building. However, the opposite
phenomenon may be also observed. There are buildings that although they have
experienced very high intensity, the degree of loss is relatively low. Since
the degree of loss is a percentage of loss, buildings with more than one
floor will experience a lower degree of loss as percentage of their overall
value. This shows the importance of indicators concerning the number of
floors or the height of the building.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1"><caption><p>Intensity categories and the corresponding number of affected buildings.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="3">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Intensity</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Number of</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">%</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">buildings</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">59</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1–2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">23.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">17.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p>Example of photographic documentation following the August 1987 event
(source: municipality of Martell).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f04.jpg"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="Ch1.F5"><caption><p>The vulnerability curve and the validation curve based on damage data
from the 1987 debris flow event in Martell (South Tyrol) (Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2012).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f05.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p>The spatial pattern of the assessed intensity of the 1987 event per
building (left panel) and the corresponding degree of loss (right panel) in
the villages Gand and Ennewasser.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f06.png"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Comparison of the results per building. The typeface indicates the degree
of intensity as described in Table 1 (bold for intensity <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 m, italic
for intensities 1–2 m and underlined for intensities <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 m).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="10">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="10" colname="col10" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Building</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Intensity</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Degree</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>VR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>EP</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Building</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Intensity</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Degree</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>VR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>EP</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ID</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">of loss</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">ID</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">of loss</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><underline>2.10</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><underline>1.00</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><underline>0.6565</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><underline>0.88</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 226</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><underline>2.40</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><underline>0.22</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><underline>0.5055</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><underline>0.565</underline></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 28</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><italic>1.20</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><italic>0.10</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><italic>0.6285</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><italic>0.735</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 41</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.04</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.4335</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.53</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 29</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><underline>2.40</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><underline>1.00</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><underline>0.6615</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><underline>0.76</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 219</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.02</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.5305</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.55</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.80</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.5885</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.665</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 42</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.02</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.4305</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.51</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 32</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>2.50</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.71</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.6135</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.69</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 45</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.20</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.05</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.4665</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.56</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 35</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><italic>1.90</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><italic>1.00</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><italic>0.6285</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><italic>0.735</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 46</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.30</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.06</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.5605</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.62</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 36</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.20</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.07</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.5855</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.645</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 60</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.20</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.5335</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.61</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 37</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.60</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.07</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.5855</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.645</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">G 62</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.03</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6035</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.64</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 38</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.00</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.6815</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.735</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">M 68</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.05</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6755</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.695</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 224</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>1.60</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.32</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.5985</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.71</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">M 69</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6945</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.805</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 47</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.6785</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.715</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 148</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.50</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6755</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.74</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 48</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.6315</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.755</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 153</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6485</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.7</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 49</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.6215</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.705</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 154</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><italic>1.30</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><italic>0.31</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><italic>0.6755</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><italic>0.74</italic></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 55</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><italic>1.10</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><italic>0.24</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><italic>0.6945</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><italic>0.805</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 157</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.5845</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.655</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 54</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.20</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.04</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.5905</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.65</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 159</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.20</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6355</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.765</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 225</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.6855</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.745</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 160</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.30</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.01</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6855</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.745</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 52</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><bold>1.00</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>0.19</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>0.5565</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><bold>0.65</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 161</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>1.00</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.12</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6755</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.695</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 53</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><italic>1.70</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><italic>0.27</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><italic>0.5145</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><italic>0.625</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 162</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.40</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.08</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6455</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.68</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 56</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><underline>3.00</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><underline>1.00</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><underline>0.5785</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><underline>0.615</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 221/A</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.20</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.09</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6885</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.765</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 57</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><italic>1.20</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><italic>0.24</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><italic>0.4885</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><italic>0.565</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 221/B</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.20</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.05</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6755</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.695</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 59</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><underline>2.50</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><underline>1.00</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><underline>0.6685</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><underline>0.745</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 170</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.80</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.07</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.5385</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.635</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 58</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><underline>2.50</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><underline>1.00</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><underline>0.5785</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><underline>0.615</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 171</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.70</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.17</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6885</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.765</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 66</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><underline>2.10</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><underline>0.40</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><underline>0.5785</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><underline>0.615</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 172</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>1.00</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6755</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.695</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 65</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><italic>1.30</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><italic>0.13</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><italic>0.6085</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><italic>0.685</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 173</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.40</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.03</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6655</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.69</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 64</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><underline>2.20</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><underline>0.55</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><underline>0.5035</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><underline>0.54</underline></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">E 176</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><bold>0.10</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><bold>0.07</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><bold>0.6585</bold></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><bold>0.75</bold></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G 63</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><italic>1.20</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><italic>0.13</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><italic>0.4885</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><italic>0.585</italic></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6">
  <title>The application of the IBM in the study area</title>
      <p>The IBM was applied at the same buildings that were used for the computation
of the vulnerability curve in Gand and Ennewasser (Municipality of Martell).
Based on photographic documentation provided from the municipality of
Martell a GIS a database was developed containing the vulnerability
indicators for each building. Information regarding the material, the
building condition and the intensity could be collected from photos,
whereas information regarding the building surroundings and the building
location, in relation to the neighbouring buildings, could be acquired from
an ortho-photo of the area. An example of the calculation of physical
vulnerability using indicators is shown in Fig. 7. The photo shows a
building which was damaged from the debris flow in 1987. The intensity of
the process and the degree of loss have been assessed and calculated
respectively during the development of the vulnerability curve
(Papathoma-Köhle et al., 2012).</p>
      <p>The vulnerability indicators were collected for each building, and as  shown
in the example of Fig. 7, RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>EP</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> and RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>VR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> were calculated. The
RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>EP</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> is a relative vulnerability index that is important for
professionals designing emergency evacuation plans. This may include local
authorities or emergency services such as the fire brigade. The RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>VR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>
is a relative vulnerability index that may indicate the buildings that
need reinforcement or local protection measures in order to reduce their
physical vulnerability to debris flow. This information may interest local
authorities and individual building owners but also insurance companies. The
application of the RVI at Martell shows that the weighting of the
vulnerability indicators by different end users leads (at least in this
case) to rather similar results (Figs. 8 and 9 and Table 2) and that
differences are focused on individual buildings.</p>
      <p>In the following paragraphs the results of the two methods are compared, the
benefits and drawbacks of the indicators based method are listed and
improvements not only for the further development of IBMs but also for the
improvement of the assessment of physical vulnerability in general are outlined.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><caption><p>An example of the application of the IBM for two different objectives:
for evacuation planning (RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>EP</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) and for vulnerability reduction
strategies and reinforcement (RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>VR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=384.112205pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f07.jpg"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><caption><p>The spatial distribution of physical vulnerability using indicators for
emergency planners (left panel) and for vulnerability reduction strategies (right panel).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=412.564961pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f08.png"/>

      </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S7">
  <title>Results and discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S7.SS1">
  <title>Comparison of the results of both methods</title>
      <p>The spatial distribution of damage and intensity data used for the
development of vulnerability curves is not often displayed on a map,
although this would be simple with the use of GIS. The curves are mainly
used as a tool that displays geographically distributed information on a
<italic>xy</italic> axis system and may predict the degree of loss of a building should it
experience a specific intensity. However, in the present article the spatial
pattern of the intensity and the degree of loss are displayed in two maps in
Fig. 6. The comparison of the results of the IBM (Fig. 8) with the
intensity of the process per building of the 1987 event and the spatial
distribution of the degree of loss (Fig. 6) (Papathoma-Köhle
et al., 2012) shows that the results of both methods are generally
compatible. The buildings that experienced a high degree of loss (Fig. 6)
are often the ones with a high RVI, especially in the case of RVI<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>VR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>.
However, the visual comparison of the maps highlights some exceptions. Some
buildings that experienced a very high degree of loss have been assigned
with a low vulnerability index and vice versa. For example, the buildings in
Ennewasser, which were confronted with low intensities and, for this reason,
also suffered a relative lower degree of loss, were classified as
highly vulnerable by the IBM. This observation highlights an important
aspect of the method: the fact that the IBM is not
hazard intensity specific, in contrast to the vulnerability curve method
that includes information regarding the intensity. It is clear that the two
approaches define vulnerability in a different way, namely as a result of
intrinsic characteristics in one case (IBM) or as a consequence of a
specific hazard intensity in the other (vulnerability curves). In contrast, there are buildings in Gand that, although they have experienced a high
degree of loss,  are assigned with a low RVI. The high degree of loss
is expected since, according to Fig. 6, the same building also experienced
high intensity. It is, therefore, clear that the results show
inconsistencies because the intensity is not considered by the IBM.
Nevertheless, some vulnerability indicators are directly connected to the
intensity that a building experiences, e.g. surrounding vegetation or
protection from other buildings or proximity to the road network.</p>
      <p>By visualising the spatial pattern of the degree of loss and the observed
intensity, as well as their relationship through vulnerability curves,
additional valuable information regarding the importance of vulnerability
indicators may become available and, in this way, the IBM may be modified,
extended and substantially improved. For example, the low intensities
recorded on buildings in Ennewasser may be related to the presence of
surrounding vegetation, which highlights the importance of the relevant
vulnerability indicator. This leads to the conclusion that both methods,
although based on a different concept, shed light on two different
aspects of the physical vulnerability: specifically, the intrinsic
characteristics of the buildings and the expected degree of loss under a
given intensity respectively; therefore, they should be used in
combination rather than in conflict. Apart from the visual comparison of the
results, a closer look to the results for each building in Table 2 reveals
even more about the advantages and disadvantage of both methods.</p>
      <p>In Table 2 the results of both methods are displayed for each of the
51 buildings of the case study. The comparison of the results leads to a number
of interesting observations.
<list list-type="order"><list-item><p>The RVI values vary from 0.43 to 0.88. No extreme values are observed. There
are no buildings with RVI <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1. This is to be expected since there are no
buildings in the area with extreme scores (e.g. material <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> wood or
condition <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> ruin).</p></list-item><list-item><p>There are no buildings with RVI <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0. That would mean that a building is not
vulnerable. However, the assignment of zero scores that could lead in such a
result is not possible. This is understood since no building can be
characterised by zero vulnerability since all buildings under investigation
are located within the area affected by the debris flow. This is also
supported by the vulnerability curve, which is based on a real event and
shows that no building suffered 0 degrees of loss.</p></list-item><list-item><p>As far as the comparison between the two methodologies is concerned, some
buildings, although they experienced low degree of loss,  are assigned
a high RVI. This can be explained by the fact that the IBM is not
intensity specific. The high RVI means that the specific building could
experience a high degree of loss due to its characteristics. However, the vulnerability curve shows that the specific building did not
suffer a high degree of loss during the event for reasons that may be connected
to characteristics of the process itself (e.g. G48). This is even more
obvious in the case of buildings G53 and G56. The two buildings have been
assigned with similar RVIs. They have, however, experienced degrees of loss of 1
and 0.27 respectively. This is explained by the significant difference in
the process intensity (1.7 and 3 m respectively).</p></list-item><list-item><p>However, the contrary observation is also evident: some buildings have been
impacted by debris flow of high intensity which resulted in a low degree of
loss (e.g. G53, G64, G66, G224, G226). Obviously, the fact that buildings,
although they experience the same intensity of the process, experience
different degrees of loss (some are completely destroyed and some others
have less than 50 % of loss) may be explained by significant differences
in their attributes. However, another explanation may be related to
characteristics of the process that are not considered by the vulnerability
curve, such as velocity of the flow, direction of impact, viscosity,
duration, size of debris, etc.</p></list-item></list>
The results of the IBM depend on the set of indicators used for the
calculation of the RVI. The IBM is based on a set of indicators that were
selected based on expert judgement, damage reports and photographic
documentation of past events. However, Birkmann (2006), based on existing
sets of indicators (EEA, NZ Statistics etc.), provides a list of the quality
criteria that vulnerability indicators have to fulfil. In Table 3 the set of
indicators of the present study is tested towards some of these criteria.</p>
      <p>Table 3 shows that although the set of indicators fulfils many criteria,
there is still room for improvement of the indicator set itself, the
description and assignment of the scores for each indicator and the
collection of the required data.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S7.SS2">
  <title>Benefits, limitations and future development of the IBM</title>
      <p>In contrast to the vulnerability curves, IBMs are not established and
applied by practitioners in the same dimension. For this reason, the
comparison between the two concepts is not only essential but also very
challenging due to the different way that they approach vulnerability.
However, this comparison may highlight the benefits of the IBMs, point out
its weaknesses and lead to a list of recommendations not only for the
improvement of the indicator-based concept but also for the improvement of the
assessment of physical vulnerability in the future.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Quality criteria for vulnerability indicators (adapted from Birkmann, 2006).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="2">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Criteria</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Vulnerability indicators</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Measurable</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators used are not always easily measurable. The difference between a building of “good” and</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">“medium” condition is not clear and not measurable in quantitative terms. The scores for each building</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">may be dependent on the judgement of the data collector and may not always be objective. Moreover,</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">this information is process specific. The scoring of the same indicators would be different for a study</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">focusing e.g. on earthquakes. Improved data collection techniques (e.g. detailed standardised</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">questionnaires) may improve the measurability of the indicators.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Relevant</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators have been based on reports and documentation of past events and for this reason are</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">relevant to the assessment. They have also been chosen according to the needs of the end users</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">although the latter could be more involved in the selection process in the future. The weighting,</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">however, is done directly by the end users, offering flexibility to the method as well as subjectivity.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Policy-relevant</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Although not demonstrated in the specific article, the indicators may be policy relevant. The</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">vulnerability indicators may give decision makers an overview of damage potential for future events.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Moreover, they may be used for emergency planning and they may guide local structural protection</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">measures as shown by Holub and Fuchs (2009) for case studies in the Austrian Alps. However,</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">intensity should also be included in the assessment.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Measure</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators are connected to key elements (e.g. reaction of the structure to the impact of debris</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">important</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">flow) and are not attempting to indicate all aspects (e.g. vulnerability to other hazard types); however,</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">they do not consider the intensity of the process.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Analytically and</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Although the indicators may give an overview of the actual situation, the links between natural process</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">statistically sound</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">and degree of loss, as well as the reaction of a structure to the natural process according to its</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">characteristics, are not fully understood and, therefore, further research is required (Mazzorana et al.,</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2014).</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Understandable/</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators used in this study are easy to interpret. No experts are required for their collection.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">easy to interpret</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Although this is an advantage of the method, the judgement of the collector may influence the result</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">significantly and increase uncertainties.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Sensitivity</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Although the indicators are specific to the phenomenon of debris flow, they are not sensitive to changes</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">related to this phenomenon (e.g. intensity). However, they are sensitive to changes in the structure of</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">the building, which means that they are able to express changes in the physical vulnerability should a</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">building be reinforced.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Validity/accuracy</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators have the capacity to express the physical vulnerability of buildings in most of the cases</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">and this may also be confirmed by the results of the vulnerability curve. However, this is not always</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">the case. The cases where high vulnerability has been assigned for buildings that have experienced</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">low degree of loss have to be investigated, and based on the conclusions of this investigation the</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">methodology may be improved.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Reproducible</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Theoretically, the set of indicators could be reproducible for another area facing a threat of debris</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">flows. However, significant differences in the architecture and building standards of buildings should</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">be considered.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Based on</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators are not always based on available data. Some information could be available from the</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">available data</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">municipality. However, the majority of the required information may be collected through field work</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">or interpretation of ortho-photos.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Data</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators may be compared to similar ones in other areas but also to past or future conditions of</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">comparability</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">the same area.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Cost effective</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">The indicators are cost effective. The assessment of the vulnerability for debris flow usually involves</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">a limited amount of buildings. Although fieldwork is necessary there are ways to avoid it by sending</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">questionnaires to the building owners or interpreting ortho-photos for rapid data collection.</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p>The comparison of the two methods highlighted the following benefits
of using indicators for assessing physical vulnerability of buildings to
torrential hazards.
<list list-type="order"><list-item><p>Contrary to vulnerability curves, the IBM prompts the user to develop an
<italic>inventory of the elements at risk</italic> and a database of building
characteristics. This may enable the development of strategies for the
reduction of vulnerability at a very local level, as well as the development
of local structural protection measures. In this way, the focus and the
resources will be concentrated on limited amount of buildings.</p></list-item><list-item><p>The IBM does not use empirical loss data but  rather indicates the
<italic>relative vulnerability </italic>of individual buildings. This means that
this type of methodology can be applied to areas with no recorded history of
events, making its use possible in the absence of damage data. In other words,
although the IBM does not have a predictive power in quantifying expected
loss in comparison to the vulnerability curves, it does still have a
predictive power in indicating the specific buildings that will experience loss.</p></list-item><list-item><p>The <italic>weighting is flexible</italic> and may be adjusted to the needs of
individual users. This ensures the use of the methodology by a range of end users.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>No experts</italic> are required for the data collection. The assignment of
the scores of the individual indicators do not require any expert knowledge.
This means that even the owners of the buildings may provide the required
information themselves, saving in this way money and time for data collection.</p></list-item><list-item><p>The use of GIS makes the <italic>updating of information</italic> easier but, by
changing the scores of indicators, we can also answer “what if” questions
related to local structural protection and reinforcement of buildings. The
weights and scores may be fine-tuned by using information of past events.
Moreover, by using easy to update databases future changes in the spatial
pattern of the built environment, socioeconomic and land use changes may be
considered for future scenarios.</p></list-item><list-item><p>The use of GIS enables the <italic>visualisation</italic> of the spatial pattern of
the physical vulnerability and also individual characteristics (Fuchs
et al., 2012). In this way, vulnerability maps may be used as a basis
e.g. for emergency planning. On the contrary, practitioners use vulnerability
curves as a prediction tool rather than to acquire information about
specific buildings in an area and for this reason they ignore their spatial component.</p></list-item><list-item><p>The <italic>transferability</italic> of methods in the field of risk research may be
challenging due to differences in the nature of elements at risk,
environmental conditions and processes. However, since the specific method
is not process intensity dependent, it is easier to transfer it
to other areas with a similar problem provided that necessary modifications
will be made (e.g. additional building characteristics due to local architecture).</p></list-item><list-item><p>IBMs encourage the <italic>involvement of local communities</italic> and individual
building owners in data collection and vulnerability reduction
(Thaler and Levin-Keitel, 2016; Thaler et al., 2016).</p></list-item></list>
However, IBMs for physical vulnerability assessment are in their infancy,
allowing much room for improvement. The first step for their improvement
is the identification of the following main drawbacks of the methodology.
<list list-type="order"><list-item><p><italic>Intensity relevance</italic>: the IBM assigns a relevant vulnerability index
to each building which more or less shows which building is more vulnerable
than another in a worse-case scenario without indicating a specific
intensity of the event. This is a major drawback which is obvious from Table 2:
buildings with high RVI experienced a very low degree of loss. A possible
development of the method could be similar to the one of PTVA-2, which
included the water height (in this case the deposit height) as an indicator
in the vulnerability assessment, based on a specific scenario.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Completeness of the set of indicators</italic>: in Table 2 some
inconsistencies between the two methods for specific buildings are evident.
The reason may be the lack of completeness of the set of indicators. For
example, characteristics that may affect the vulnerability of the buildings
significantly, such as the existence of openings on the slope side, their
size and quality, as well as the existence of a basement are not considered.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Completeness of datasets and costs of data collection</italic>: the dataset required for the implementation of the methodology is detailed and has
to be collected at local level.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Description of scores</italic>: the scores for the various indicators are
often described in a trivial way, e.g. “good” or “medium” building
condition, leading to a large dependence on the judgement of the data
collector to decide the score that will be assigned to a building.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Classification of results</italic>: the classification of the results may
also change the overview of the spatial pattern of the values. The
classification method used in the present study was the “equal interval
classification method” whereas, Kappes et al. (2012) used the “quantile
classification methods”, arguing that in this way the users may set
priorities. In any case the classification method as well as the weighting
should also be decided by the user.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>“Relativeness” of the vulnerability index</italic>: the RVI expresses the
relative vulnerability of buildings in an area. That means that the RVI
points out which building is more vulnerable than the other without having
the capacity to translate this vulnerability into a quantitative value. This
may be considered a disadvantage for practitioners because the vulnerability
map made this way may only indicate vulnerable buildings in an abstract way
and vulnerability maps from different areas may not be compared.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Uncertainties</italic>: both methods bear a number of uncertainties that
should be analysed and quantified. As far as the end users are concerned,
decision makers are in need of vulnerability assessment methods that they
can use for risk analysis but they also need to know the uncertainties that
are associated with the vulnerability values. This is important because low
estimated risk with high uncertainties may cause higher losses than medium
estimated risks with minor uncertainties. Papathoma-Köhle et al. (2012)
lists the sources of uncertainties that are related to the development of the vulnerability
curve.
<list list-type="custom"><list-item><label>a.</label><p>Intensity of the event: attributes of the intensity of the process such as
duration, velocity, and direction are ignored.</p></list-item><list-item><label>b.</label><p>Damage pattern: photographic documentation has been used for the
identification of the damage pattern. Information regarding the damage of
the interior of the buildings is missing.</p></list-item><list-item><label>c.</label><p>The degree of loss was based on the assessment of the cost of reconstruction
and the value of the building. Both assessments bear a significant number of
uncertainties (e.g. existence and size of basement changes the building
value, impact on the electricity and heating network).</p></list-item><list-item><label>d.</label><p>Credibility of existing data: some buildings, although they were not severely
damaged, got full compensations to be rebuilt due to relocation.</p></list-item></list>
As far as the IBM is concerned, uncertainties are related to the following:
<list list-type="custom"><list-item><label>a.</label><p>the subjectivity of the data collector (e.g. what is a “good” and what is
a “medium” building condition?)</p></list-item><list-item><label>b.</label><p>the subjectivity of the end user concerning the weighting and the
classification method.</p></list-item></list></p></list-item></list>
Efforts to analyse and quantify uncertainties concerning the assessment of
physical vulnerability for debris flows have been made in the past
(Eidsvig et al., 2014; Totschnig and Fuchs, 2013); however,
most of them concern vulnerability curves.</p>
      <p>Based on the comparison of the two methods and the outline of the advantages
and disadvantages of it as far as the assessment of physical vulnerability
is concerned a number of recommendations for improvement may be made.
<list list-type="order"><list-item><p><italic>Reduction of data collection effort and time</italic> through the use of
modern technologies (GIS and remote sensing): information regarding the
surroundings or the building row is  easily collected by using GIS maps
and/or remote sensing where needed. For other types of information such as
openings, existence of basement and building material and condition an
additional field survey may be necessary. Alternative data collection
methods (e.g. distribution of standardised questionnaires to the building
owners) may also be introduced.</p></list-item><list-item><p>Improvement of <italic>post-disaster documentation</italic> methods: detailed post-disaster documentation including photographic material may provide valuable
information regarding the interaction between natural processes and elements
at risk but it may also give information regarding the variation of the
intensity of a process within a given area. An improved method for damage
documentation is recommended by Papathoma-Köhle et al. (2015).</p></list-item><list-item><p>Reconsider the <italic>score description</italic>: some scores would be more
reliable if they were less dependent on expert judgment (for example
building condition). A solution would be to reconsider their descriptions or
propose tangible scores instead (e.g. age of the building or detailed
description of building condition).</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Additional indicators</italic>: the list of indicators used for the
assessment of physical vulnerability of buildings to debris flow is not
exhaustive. Information regarding the presence of a basement as well as the
number, location, size and quality of openings is also missing. Furthermore,
data on local structural protection of buildings (e.g. elevation, splitting
wedges, deflection walls) should also be included.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Physical resilience</italic>: some of the indicators mentioned above may
contribute not only to the assessment of the physical vulnerability of the
building but also to the assessment of its physical resilience. According to
Haigh (2010) a resilient built environment should “enable society to
continue functioning when subject to a hazard”. In this respect, when the
interior of the building has been invaded by debris or when the heating and
electricity network are located in the basement and have been heavily
damaged by intruding water and material, the building will need more time to
be re-inhabited by its occupants. Therefore, indicators regarding the
physical resilience of buildings may include location of vital equipment,
existence of openings, local protection measures, basement, primary or
secondary residence of the inhabitants.</p></list-item><list-item><p>The <italic>interaction of structures with the natural process</italic> has not been
thoroughly investigated. Gems et al. (2016) investigate the
interaction among buildings and debris flow and they give insights of the
impact of flooding in the interior and on the exterior of the building.
However, further experiments are needed.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Improved weighting of indicators</italic>: the weighting of indicators is
based on expert judgement increasing in this way the level of uncertainty.
An improved weighting could base the hierarchy of indicators on statistical
analysis of their importance correlating real damage data (monetary cost of
damages) to building characteristics. Moreover, as mentioned earlier, a
sensitivity analysis could be an additional next step of this study.</p></list-item><list-item><p><italic>Application for multi-hazards</italic>: Kappes et al. (2012) presented the
specific methodology for multi-hazards. In their study they made three
separate maps based on the indicator-based methodology for flood, shallow
landslides and debris flows. However, as Kappes et al. (2012) also pointed
out, there is a need to consider how different hazard types affect the
vulnerability of buildings to other hazards that may happen simultaneously
or in a short time span. A database which includes indicators related to
more than one hazard type would be a good start.</p></list-item></list>
Improving the IBM is an important step towards disaster risk reduction;
however, the advantages of the vulnerability curves are also indisputable.
Therefore, a comparison of the two methods may reveal their advantages and
drawbacks and may also inform the practitioners about their available
methodological choices. However, as it is suggested in the following
paragraphs, since both methodological approaches are important, a
combination of the two may be the key to an improved physical vulnerability
assessment approach.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><caption><p>The role of vulnerability assessment and the corresponding methodological
concepts in the phases of the disaster cycle (Papathoma-Köhle and Ciurean, 2014).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f09.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S7.SS3">
  <title>Vulnerability curves vs. vulnerability indicators: a new framework for physical vulnerability</title>
      <p>The above comparison of the two methodological concepts clearly shows that
decision makers and other potential end users are actually in need of both
methods during the four phases of the disaster management cycle for various
reasons. An effort to place the available methodological concepts (including
in this case also vulnerability matrices) within the phases of the disaster
cycle has been made by Papathoma-Köhle and Ciurean (2014). Figure 9
additionally shows the importance of vulnerability assessment in every phase
of the disaster cycle, highlighting the relevant methods for each phase. For
example, during the mitigation phase vulnerability curves may be used for
the loss estimation of future events and the design of mitigation measures.
The results in this case may be used for public awareness and education as well as for recommendations for reinforcement. However, vulnerability
maps based on the vulnerability indicators may guide the emergency and
evacuation planning process during the preparedness phase. Additionally,
during the response phase, vulnerability maps are essential to indicate the
buildings that are more likely to have been damaged, whereas the recovery
phase is the ideal phase for validating the weighting of indicators.
Moreover, during the recovery phase the results of the vulnerability
assessment may be used as guidance for relocation of buildings. The centre
of the disaster management cycle consists of an information pool including
two types of data: empirical data from past events and an inventory of the
elements at risk and their characteristics. The exchange of information
between the pool and the different phases of the disaster cycle is also
demonstrated in Fig. 9 through the black arrows.</p>
      <p>In short, decision makers, authorities and disaster managers need a
quantitative representation of physical vulnerability based on empirical
data (curves) as well as relative vulnerability values for individual
elements that are directly connected to their characteristics (indicators)
and may support prioritisation of resources and small local interventions
for vulnerability reduction. The fact that both approaches are significant
stresses the need for a “holistic physical vulnerability framework for
practitioners” that will enable practitioners not only to choose the
relevant method according to their aim and the available resources but also
to make full use of the fact that they both complement each other.</p>
      <p>The interactions and possibilities for combination of the approaches should
be included in a “holistic physical vulnerability framework for
practitioners” (Fig. 10).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10" specific-use="star"><caption><p>A preliminary framework for the assessment of physical vulnerability
(adapted for debris flow hazards) showing clearly the need for exchange and
interaction between the two methodological approaches.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=284.527559pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/16/1771/2016/nhess-16-1771-2016-f10.png"/>

        </fig>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Indicators for a scenario of 1.5 m debris height intensity and flow
coming from the slope and not the river side.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.90}[.90]?><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Indicator</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Variable</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Vulnerability</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Justification of score</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">score</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
       <?xmltex \rotentry?>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="12">Building characteristics</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="2">Material</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Adobe</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="2">Expert judgement</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Brick 0.5</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.5</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Reinforced 0.1</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="1">Number of floors</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">One floor</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.7</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="1">Debris height (scenario)</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> One floor</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="1">Presence of openings</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Slope side</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="1">Flow direction (scenario)</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">River side</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.2</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="1">Height of openings</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.5 m</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="1">Debris height (scenario)</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.5 m</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="1">Presence of basement</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Yes</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.8</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="1">–</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">No</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.2</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="1">Basement windows</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Yes 1</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="1">–</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">No 0</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
       <?xmltex \rotentry?>
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="10">Indicators concerning intensity</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="4">Surroundings</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Wall <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.5 m</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="4">Debris height and flow direction (scenario)</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Wall <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.5 m</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.3</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Vegetation (trees)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.5</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Vegetation (bushes)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.7</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">No protection</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.9</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="2">Building row towards river</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">First</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.3</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="2">Flow  direction</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Second</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.3</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Third</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.3</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="2">Building row towards slope</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">First</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="2">Flow direction</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Second</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.7</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> Third</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.4</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
       <?xmltex \rotentry?>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1" morerows="7">Resilience indicators</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="2">Location of heating</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Basement</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="2">–</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">First floor</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.5</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Second floor or higher</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col2" morerows="2">Location of electricity central</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Basement</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col5" morerows="2">–</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">First floor</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.5</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Second floor or higher</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.1</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2" morerows="1">Evacuation possibilities</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Only one floor</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.8</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5" morerows="2">–</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">More floors</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.2</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p>The framework consists of two major parts. The left one represents the
empirical, ex post part, following the occurrence of a debris flow, and the
right one is the ex ante part referring to the time period before a hazard
occurs. The left part is connected to the use and development of
vulnerability curves and the right one relates to the use of IBMs. Between
them there are two main exchange possibilities, namely the updating of
indicators and the refinement of their weighting through information derived
from empirical data. In other words, based on empirical data of real events
new indicators may be identified and the weighting of existing ones may be
improved since damage data provide information on the interaction of
buildings and natural processes and the role that structural characteristics
may play as far as the consequences are concerned. On the right side, the
framework lists the vulnerability indicators in several categories,
recognising that some of them are closely connected to the intensity, such
as the surroundings and the building row towards the river or towards the
slope. A group of indicators related to resilience is also added. The
challenge of involving the intensity of the process in the IBM is also
tackled by introducing a “scenario” based on data provided from the
empirical side of the framework. The scenario may be based on a specific
past event and it should include information regarding not only the debris
height per building but also the direction of the flow and, ideally, the
impact pressure or the velocity of the flow. This is the first
“interaction” between the two sides (1). Information on the intensity of
the event is also used to inform the group of indicators related to the
intensity (2). The scores of the variables for each indicator will be formed
according to the scenario as it is indicatively demonstrated in Table 4. In
the same way, exchange of information is necessary in the other direction.
Information regarding the buildings is also needed for the development of a
vulnerability curve since data concerning the size and the value of the
building are necessary for the calculation of the degree of loss (3). By
using a specific scenario, the calculation of the IBM is not anymore
intensity independent and the prediction capability of the method increases.
Moreover, in contrast to the curves, additional information on the process,
such as the flow direction, may be used.</p>
      <p>The framework of Fig. 10 could be further improved by including more
detailed information about their weighting and  their aggregation to an index, possibilities for the identification of uncertainties and their
quantification, as well as the consequences of change (climate and
socioeconomic to both sides of the framework).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S8" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>Vulnerability assessment constitutes a large part of risk analysis and its
reduction has a direct effect on the consequences of natural disasters on
lives, livelihoods, communities, buildings and infrastructure. The various methods available are used mostly until now in isolation. In this
article, an IBM methodology is applied and scrutinised, enabling the
comparison between two large groups of approaches. The vulnerability curves,
although widely used by practitioners reveal the need to include the
characteristics of the buildings (indicators) in the assessment of physical
vulnerability. However, the IBM presented and applied in the
present article shows that although assessing physical vulnerability using
indicators may give reliable results, significant work has to be done in
order to improve the use of IBMs for physical vulnerability assessment.
Finally, the article emphasises that there is no need for new methodologies
as far as the assessment of physical vulnerability is concerned. In
contrast, there is a need not only to improve the existing ones but also to
combine them in order to exploit their full power. The need for a “holistic
framework for physical vulnerability assessment for practitioners” is
emphasised and a preliminary version of this framework is presented. The
framework offers the opportunity to the end users to use both methodologies
in a complementary way; however, in the future it should include additional
steps for the quantification of uncertainties and the consideration of
change, not only as far as the natural process is concerned (climate change)
but also socioeconomic and land use changes that will have a direct
influence on the consequences of natural hazards.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>This project received funding from the Austrian Science Fund (FWF): P 27400.
Data collection was partly supported by the EU project MOVE (Methods for the
Improvement of Vulnerability Assessment in Europe) (contract number 211590).
The author would like to thank the Local Authorities of Bolzano and the
Municipality of Martell for the provision of data and photographic material.
Furthermore, Thomas Thaler and Sven Fuchs are thanked for the discussions on
earlier drafts of the present article. <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: T. Glade <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Reviewed by: two anonymous referees</p></ack><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Vulnerability curves vs. vulnerability indicators: application  of an indicator-based methodology for debris-flow hazards</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p class="p">The assessment of the physical vulnerability of elements
at risk as part of the risk analysis is an essential aspect for the
development of strategies and structural measures for risk reduction.
Understanding, analysing and, if possible, quantifying physical
vulnerability is a prerequisite for designing strategies and adopting tools
for its reduction. The most common methods for assessing physical
vulnerability are vulnerability matrices, vulnerability curves and
vulnerability indicators; however, in most of the cases, these methods are
used in a conflicting way rather than in combination. The article focuses on
two of these methods: vulnerability curves and vulnerability indicators.
Vulnerability curves express physical vulnerability as a function of the
intensity of the process and the degree of loss, considering, in individual
cases only, some structural characteristics of the affected buildings.
However, a considerable amount of studies argue that vulnerability
assessment should focus on the identification of these variables that
influence the vulnerability of an element at risk (vulnerability
indicators). In this study, an indicator-based methodology (IBM) for
mountain hazards including debris flow (Kappes et al., 2012) is applied
to a case study for debris flows in South Tyrol, where in the past a
vulnerability curve has been developed. The relatively “new”
indicator-based method is being scrutinised and recommendations for its
improvement are outlined. The comparison of the two methodological
approaches and their results is challenging since both methodological
approaches  deal with vulnerability in a different way. However, it is
still possible to highlight their weaknesses and strengths, show clearly
that both methodologies are necessary for the assessment of physical
vulnerability and provide a preliminary “holistic methodological
framework” for physical vulnerability assessment showing how the two
approaches may be used in combination in the future.</p></abstract-html>
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